China's Space Weather operational forecast and services to aviation. National Center for Space Weather China Meteorological Administration
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1 China's Space Weather operational forecast and services to aviation National Center for Space Weather China Meteorological Administration
2 Outline Introduction toncsw SpaceWeather Service for Aviation
3 Introduction to NCSW Who Are We? In2002,CMAwasauthorizedbytheNationalCouncil toestablishthenationalcenterforspaceweather (NCSW),assignedtotheNationalSatellite MeteorologicalCenter(MSMC). NCSWbegantoprovidespaceweatheroperational serviceonjuly1,2004. NCSWnowhaspreliminarydevelopedacomplete businesssystemcoveringspaceweathermonitor, forecast,andservice. The co-chair of ICTSW/WMO(Inter-programme Coordination Team on Space Weather) 3
4 What We Have Done: Reliablereal-timespaceweatherdata 4
5 Theground-basedobservations(20+) Kelan (Shanxi) Lingshan (Beijing) Mobile Ionosonde (Beijing) Mohe (Heilongjiang) Jiamusi (Heilongjiang) Atushi (Xianjiang) Dulan (Qinghai) Shidao (Shandong) Changan (Shanxi) Xiamen (Fujian) Shaoguan (Guangdong) Hengxian (Guangxi) Maoming(Guangdong) Tunchang(Hainan) 5
6 The FY satellites has become the ideal platform for space weather observations. ThePolarsatellitescouldmonitorimpactsof energeticparticles.thenewlaunchedfy-3c couldgivetheionosphereinformationby GNSSradioocculationreceiver. TheGeo.satellitescouldmeasuresolarX-ray andenergeticparticles.fy-4willprovidethe solarimagingandgeomagneticfield observations. UV Light 6
7 A renew forecast platform 7
8 Standard product and user-tailored service Forecast type Forecast time Operation products Long term A year Solar activity index Yearly Solar Spot Number Solar F10.7cm flux Mid-term A month Solar activity index Monthly Solar Spot Number Solar F10.7cm flux Solar activity indices SSN F10.7cm flux flares SPE CME Short term 1-3 days Geomagnetic activities Storm Ap index Dst index Ionospheric weather Ionospheric background, disturbances, storms scintillations etc. Solar activities Solar flares SPE CME Warning Several minutes to 3 days Geomagnetic activity Ionospheric weather Geomagnetic storms Ionospheric storm disturbances Scintillations Solar activities Solar flares SPE CME Nowcast Events Geomagnetic activity Geomagnetic storms Ionospheric weather Ionospheric storm disturbances Scintillations 8
9 tousersthroughhard-copybulletins,internet,phone, SMS, ,publicmedia,etc. CMAalsoprovidesspecialservicesforimportantcustomers, includingshenzhou,change,beidoumissionsandstate Grid,etc. 9
10 Space Weather Service for Aviation The AgreementBetweenCMA/NCSWandCAAC/AMC Investigate the requrements ofaviationforspaceweather,developthe relativetechnology,andpromotetheserviceofspaceweatherfor aviation. Establish a communication mechanism tonotifythestatusandprocess ofseverespaceweatherevents. Share the space weather products includingmonitor,forecastand service. Train the professional foraviationspaceweatherservice. 10
11 Aviation Space Weather Index Space Weather Products Based on NOAA scales ReviewofSpaceWeatherforthe last24h Thelast72handnext72hspace weatherparameters(rgs) The72hspaceweatherforecast Thepredictionfornextweek Spaceweatheralert 11
12 Spaceweatherproductshavebeenintegratedintoaviation weatherproductsandissuedviaaviationmeteorologicalservice platformofcaac. 12
13 Ionospheric products for aviation Theionosondedatacouldbeused forfindingtheoptimumoperation frequenciesforbroadcastsortwowaycommunicationsinthehigh frequencyrange. Basedontherequirementanalysis foraviation,cma/ncswwould developspecificproductfor optimumfrequencyselection. Variation of Ionospheric weather (fof2) from CMA Ionosonde stations 13
14 Ionospheric products for aviation Scintillationsnotonlydegrade signalqualitybutalsocauseloss-oflock,posingamajorthreatto GNSS-basedapplications demandinghighlevelsofaccuracy, availabilityandintegrity. Satellite communication quality for Guangzhou 2010 Asian Games Usingionosphericscintillationdata ofbothgpsandfy-2dsatellites, theservicesofionospheric scintillationmonitoringproductin SouthChinahasbeenprovidedto Guangzhou2010AsianGamesand Shenzhen2011UniversalGames (seefigure4). 14
15 Radiation dose for aviation Itisknownthatradiationincreaseswithaltitudeandlatitude.Especiallyinthe polarandhigh-latituderegions,solarradiationstormscanfurtherincreasethe radiationexposuretopassengersandcrewinaircraft. 15
16 Radiation dose for aviation Aradiationdosecalculationsystemisdevelopingwhichcangivethedoserate andaccumulateddoseexpectedalongaflightpath. The demo system for aviation radiation dose 16
17 17
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