Department of Public Health

Transcription

1 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r - Halth Impact Assssmnt of Commu3ng A quan3ta3v analysis of changs in burdn of disas du to incrasd commu3ng by bicycl in and out of Copnhagn Astrid Ldgaard Holm HIA Intrna2onal Confrnc Granada 14 th of April 2011 Dias 1

2 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Contxt of th study - 37% of vryon work or study in Copnhagn choos to go by bik - By 2015 Copnhagn aims to: Incras th prcntag of commutrs that cycl to work or duca2on in Copnhagn to 50% Rduc by 50 % th numbr of sriously injurd cyclists Dias 2

3 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn Purpos of th study Dual purpos: strudn, - - Es2mat th halth ffct of incrasd commu2ng by bicycl in and out of Copnhagn ShiP commutrs from passiv to ac2v transport Both posi2v and nga2v ffcts Halth Impact Assssmnt as a dcision mak tool in Danish municipali2s Incras intrst in HIA in Dnmark Focus on quan2fica2on in ffct s2ma2on Dias 3

4 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Mthods usd in th study Policy, projct or prramm Scr Scop Effct analysis Dias 4 Rpor2ng Monitor and valua2on

5 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Scr Policy, projct or prramm Scr Scop Scr tool Is it rlvant to prform an HIA? Effct analysis Dias 5 Rpor2ng Monitor and valua2on

6 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Scop (1) Policy, projct or prramm Scr Scop Quan2ta2v approach (Burdn of Disas) Slc2on of rlvant dtrminants of halth Dias 6 Effct analysis Rpor2ng Monitor and valua2on Slc2on of rlvant halth outcoms

7 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn nkt- Scop (2) Projct or plan Incrasd commu3ng by bicycl g strudn, Halth dtrminants Halth outcoms Physical inac2vity Air pollu2on Changd incidnc of ischmic harth disas, ischmic strok, typ II diabts, brast and colon cancr Bicycl accidnts Aggrgatd ffct Dias 7 Changd burdn of disas in th popula3on of commutrs

8 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Effct analysis Policy, projct or prramm Dias 8 Scr Scop Effct analysis Rpor2ng Monitor and valua2on Policy analysis and baslin dscrip2on Es2ma2on of ffct on halth dtrminants Assssmnt of ffct on halth outcoms Assssmnt of aggrgatd ffct on halth outcoms Intrprta2on and formula2on of rcommnda2ons Impact assssmnt Outcom assssmnt Aggrga1on

9 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Main rsults of ffct analysis - Analyss of diffrnt scnarios Dias 9 50% bicycl commu2ng: Rduc2on of 17 DALY (1,3%) 50% bicycl commu2ng + no incras in numbr of bicycl accidnts: Rduc2on of 54 DALY (4,1%) 50% bicycl commu2ng + no incras in numbr of accidnts + ship of physically inac2v commutrs: Rduc2on of 151 DALY (11,4%) Vry limitd ffct of air pollu2on

10 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Rpor3ng Policy, projct or prramm Scr Scop Dias 10 Effct analysis Rpor3ng Monitor and valua2on Rport and dissminat knowldg of rsults and rcommnda2ons

11 Dpartmnt of Public Halth r r udn strudn, Conclusion and rcommnda3ons - ShiP commutrs to go by bicycl has potn2al to lowr th burdn of disas in th popula2on - Condi2ons for achiv posi2v halth impacts of bicycl commu2ng: Rduc ffct of bicycl accidnts Rduc numbr and svrity of accidnts Achiv maximum chang in xposur ShiP physically inac2v commutrs Dias 11

12 Dpartmnt of Public Halth Thank you for your agn3on klik på t Dias 12