The Physical Security Business in 2013
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1 The Physical Security Business in 2013 Published: Q4 2013
2 The$ Physical$ Security$ Business$ in$2013$ Synopsis $ Thisreportaimstoassistallstakeholdersandinvestorsinthephysical securityindustryinidentifyingbusinessopportunitiesingrowthsectors ofthemarket;andforecastsdemandto2017 MemooriBusiness IntelligenceLtd $
3 Introduction Thisreportisour5 th annualassessmentoftheworld sphysicalsecurityequipmentindustry. Learnhowtheindustryisreforminginordertodevelopnewsecurityproductsandsystems, whichwillsatisfytheendusersneedtoreduceoperatingcostsandmovesecurityfroma costcentertoonethatdeliversareturnoninvestment. ContinuedgrowthshouldbebuiltonthefoundationthatthroughdisruptiveIPtechnologies andinnovativebusinessmodels,wecanmoveclientssecurityoperationsfromacostcenter toacashgenerator,whilstconvergingwithotherservicesinthebusinessenterprise. FromourdetailedanalysisofthestructureoftheIndustry,itisclearthattheproducts marketisbeingledbyasmallgroupofleadingedgecompaniesthatarerelativelynewstarts inthebusiness.theyhavetakentheopportunitytousedisruptivetechnologytoproduce productsthatcandeliveroncustomersrequirements. Bycontrastthemajorconglomeratesshareoftheproductmarkethasdeclinedandthey havefailedtocorrectthisthroughtheirnormalprocessofgrowththroughacquisition.are majorconglomerateslosinginterestinthesecuritybusiness?mosthavemademajor acquisitionsintheirotherbusinessesandtheyhavesignificantcashreservesontheir balancesheets. Appreciation Thetotalvalueoftheworld ssecurityequipmentmarketatfactorygatepricesin2012was $23.4billion.OfthisVideoSurveillanceproductsat$12.26billiontookashareof52%. We#forecast#the#Video#Surveillance#market#in#2013#and#2014#will#grow#at#12%# per#annum.#looking#further#ahead#growth#at#this#rate#by#value#may#be#a#little# more#difficult#to#attain#as#prices#fall#partly#as#a#result#of#component#prices# falling#and#more#competition#from#asian#manufacturers.# ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin2013 Whilsttheproductsuppliersmaywellbecapableofsustainingthisrateofgrowthadinfinitumwe suspectthatthesi scapacitywouldbecomestrainedastheystruggledtofindandkeephighly trainedstaff.vsaaswillfurtherexpanddemandforvideosurveillanceproductsbutcouldalso disturbtheroutestomarket. 1
4 ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin2013 Thevalueofmergerandacquisitiondealsin2011was$9.847billionariseof23%overtheprevious yearwhichwasarecordhigh,butin2012itdeclinedto$7.168billionafallof27%andthishasfallen yetagainto$5.030billionin2013. ForthefinancialyearfromSeptember2012toAugust2013weidentified16arrangementsinvesting $240millioninPhysicalSecurity.Thisismarginallydownfrom2011/12when18arrangements invested$267million. What This Report Will Tell You Withinits213pagesand23chartsandtables,thereportsievesoutALLthekeyfactsand drawsconclusions,soyoucanunderstandwhatisshapingthefutureofthephysicalsecurity industry; Table of Contents Preface' The'Executive'Summary' 2 1.'Introduction' 2.'Size,'Structure'&'Shape'of'the'Business' 2.1MarketSize&Forecastto2017
5 2.1.1MarketSize&Distributionin MarketForecastto MarketSize&TrendsbyVerticalSectors 2.1.4MarketPenetrationbyRegion 2.1.5ForecastGrowthfortheVideoSurveillanceMarket2013to ForecastGrowthfortheAccessControlMarket2013to ForecastGrowthfortheIntruderAlarmMarket2013to StructureoftheBusiness 2.3MarketShare 2.4ChannelsofDistribution&theirRestructuring' 3.'Driving'Growth'Through'Serving'Customer'Needs' 3.1IPistheMostInfluentialComponent 3.2ImprovedPerformace,ROI&ReducedTCO 3.3FocushasIntensifiedCompetition&DeliveredBetterProducts 3.4DevelopingBusinessthroughJoiningtheHorizontalLayers 3.5IntegratingAccessControlwithIdentityManagement 3.5.1TheMovetoCloudBasedSystems 3.5.2PersonalIdentityVerificationCard(PIVCard) 3.5.3PhysicalIdentityandAccessManagement(PIAM) 3.6NewIndustryVerticals,SharedIntelligence&VoiceofSociety 3.6.1NewIndustryVerticals 3.6.2SharedIntelligence 3.6.3VoiceofSociety' 4.'Reviewing'the'Future'of'Emerging'Technology'Drivers' 4.1WirelessTechnology 4.2VideoSurveillanceasaService(VSaaS)ManagedVideoandCloud ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin WhatisHoldingBackVSaaS&WhywillitWin? 4.2.2MarketSize&Forecastto TheNewBoysontheBlock 3
6 4.2.4AcquisitionsandAlliancesinVSaaS 4.3VideoTechnology,IPCameras&HDCCTV 4.4Storage/Standards&MobileApps 4.4.1Storage 4.4.2Standards 4.4.3MobileApps 4.5VMS/Analytics/PSIM/PIAM&SituationalAwarenessPlatforms 4.5.1VideoManagementSoftware(VMS) 4.5.2VideoSecurityAnalytics 4.5.3PSIM ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin PhysicalIdentityandAccessManagement(PIAM) 4.5.5SituationalAwareness 4.6NewConcepts,Applications&BusinessOpportunities 4.6.1NewConceptsforCameras 4.6.2NewApplicationsforSpecialistCameras' 5.'Consolidation'through'Internal'Strategic'&'External'Acquisitions?' 5.1InternalStrategicAcquisitions 5.2ExternalBuys Defense/IT&CommunicationsRelatedCompanies 5.3WillM&APlayaMoreImportantRoleintheNext5Years' 6.'M&A'Performance'/'Valuation'2013'&'Forecast'to'2017' 6.1TheProgressofConsolidation&Outlookto M&AActivityDeclinesin ForecastofM&ABusinessto M&AAnalyzedbyBusinessSegment 6.2Valuation ExitMultiples&Drivers 6.2.1PerformanceofExitMultiples Technology/ValueAddSolutions ImpactonValuation 6.3TheUSDominatesM&AActivityinthePhysicalSecurityIndustry 6.4StrategicBuysDominateWhilstIPOs&ManagementBuyOutsDisappoint
7 7.'The'Investment'Market' 7.1TheStateoftheInvestmentBusiness&ExposuretotheSecurityIndustry 7.1.1ImpactontheSecurityIndustry 7.2InvestorsintheSecurityIndustry&Recipients' 8.'Identifying'Potential'Acquisition'Targets'&'Fast'Growth'Markets' 8.1PotentialAcquisitionTargets 8.2BusinessOpportunitiesintheFastestGrowthMarkets 8.2.1TheIPVideoIndustry 8.2.2SecurityManagementSoftware 8.2.3VideoSurveillanceasaService(VSaaS) 8.2.4AccessControl,Biometrics&IdentityAuthorization' 9.'Alliances'Play'a'Major'Role'in'Delivering'Customer'Value'Proposition' 10.'Redefining'Business'Models' 10.1ManufacturersneedtoadapttotheNewChannelsofDistribution 10.2TheGeographicDistributionofSalesisChangingwithAsiaDominant CanaBusinessModelbeFoundthatSolvesBothProblems? 10.3StrongGrowthdoesnotSpreadRightAcrossallVerticalMarkets 10.4SecurityasaServiceisGrowingandthiswillImpactonConventionalPractices 10.5TheNewBusinessModel BrandThroughtheInternet' ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin2013 List of Figures Fig2.1 WorldSalesofSecurityProducts2013 Fig2.2 WorldDistributionofSecurityProductsbyMajorRegions2013 Fig2.3 WorldSalesofSecurityProducts ($Bn) Fig2.4 DistributionofSecuritySystemsbyBuildingType 2006&2013 Fig2.5 ComparisonofPhysicalSecurityPenetrationbyMajorRegion2013 Fig2.6 WorldSalesofVideoSurveillanceProducts ($Bn) Fig2.7 WorldSalesofAccessControlProducts ($Bn) Fig2.8 WorldSalesofIntruderAlarmProducts ($Bn) 5
8 Fig2.9 DistributionofSalesbyMajorGroupingbyValue2013 Fig2.10 DistributionofSalesbyMajorGroupingbyNumberofCompanies2013 Fig2.11 AverageRevenueforGroupA,B,C&DCompanies($M)2013 Fig2.12 DistributionChannelsforVideoSurveillance2006&2013 Fig6.1 SecurityDealsCompletedfrom2000to2013 Fig6.2 ForecastofDealsto2017 Fig6.3 M&AbyBusinessSegment2013(%ofTotalM&ASpendbyVolume) Fig6.4 AcquisitionValuationBenchmarks2005to2013 Fig6.5 GrowththroughDigitalIPTechnology ThePhysicalSecurityBusinessin2013 Fig6.6 ThePhysicalSecurityValueChain List of Tables TableA1.1 ListingofVentureCapitalCompanies&TheirSecurityInvestments TableA1.2 Acquisitions&FundingAnnouncedin2011/12 TableA1.3 PotentialAcquisitionTargets2012/13 TableA1.4 TheWorld smajorsecurity&safetycompanies How to Order The#report#is#priced#at#$999#USD#for#an#electronic#PDF#copy,#delivered#by# .#to#order,#or#if#you#require#further#information#please#contact;# Alternatively#you#can#order#through#our#website# # 6
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