Dr. Rick Timbs Executive Director Statewide School Finance Consortium Canandaigua, NY November 20, 2013
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1 State Aid & New York State Public School Districts Who Got What and How: An Analysis of Data Confront the Brutal Facts. (#4 Good to Great- Jim Collins) Dr. Rick Timbs Executive Director Statewide School Finance Consortium Canandaigua, NY November 20, 2013 R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc. 2013
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5 There is a category of school districts for whom the CWR paints a distorted picture. Thus, they are more prone to be shortchanged by broad brush state aid initiatives. When geographically, topographically, and/or sparsely populated school districts have property values that significantly trump income values, they appear to be disadvantaged in the Foundation Aid Formula and the Restoration of the Gap Elimination Adjustment. R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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10 Questions Remain: The distribution of the Proposed $203 million Fiscal Stabilization money? The $50 million Performance Grants? The $75 million in New NY Education Reform Commission Initiatives: (Full-day Prekindergarten: $25 million, Extended Learning Time: $20 million, Community Schools: $15 million, Reward High Performing teachers: $11 million, Early College High School programs: $4 million? Reallocation of High Tax Aid ($50 million)? Status and Merit of Stable Pension Contribution Rate Proposal? Changes in Building Aid? R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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18 Inverse Scaled Curve of All CWRs Between.186 & 3.0 Thus, the Wealthiest parts of the distribution appear inappropriate; the Poorest sections appear close, but, the Middle is not equitable! It will take more funds to accomplish this curve due to continuous and contrived Save-Harmless R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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21 What is Going on with Foundation Aid? Unfortunately, a lot and much of it s not good! R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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23 CWR Distribution by Decile 1 = Lowest 10 = Highest This is the actual scaled CWR curve from.18 to 2.0 (deciles 1 to the middle of 9) Note the difference in the curve of the bar graph compared to the line graph. If the bar graph touched the line graph at every point the distribution of total aid (if it were a reliable measure of equity) would be considered equitable and a true correlation) According to information supplied by the NYS Senate in February 2013 the wealthiest 10 % all districts receives on average $1,651 per student in total state aid while the poorest 10 of all school districts receive on average $13,422. In other words the poorest school district in New York receives 8 times the total aid of the wealthiest. However, the poorest 10% of all school districts has a CWR of.38 while the wealthiest 10% has an average CWR of about 5.5. In other words the wealthiest 10 % of New York s school districts is almost 14.5 times wealthier than the poorest 10%. Note the ratio inequity. Thus, to reach the same ratio of wealth to aid to determine equity -if the wealthiest were to receive the current $1,651, the poorest 10% of school districts should receive about $23,940 per student; conversely if the poorest school district were to receive the current $13,422 then the wealthiest 10% of school districts should receive only $926 per student. Pretty simple really R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc Source: PDF handout to Capital Region and Questar III BOCES component superintendents from their state Senators; February
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27 90% of All Districts Received LESS State Aid in than in without Building Aid That is $1.07 billion Less for an average of -6.2% R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
28 96% of the Districts in Ontario, Seneca, Wayne & Yates Counties Received LESS State Aid in than in without Building Aid That is almost $23 million Less for an average of -8.1% R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
29 90% of All Districts Received LESS State Aid in than in without Building Aid That is $1.07 billion Less for an average of -6.2% That s a State Average of -$373 per student R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
30 96% of the Districts in Ontario, Seneca, Wayne & Yates Counties Received LESS State Aid in than in without Building Aid The State average is -$373 per student Your average is -$608 per student! R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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33 Why are we missing the problem? R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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35 A Model R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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37 What is the Fiscal condition of the School Districts in NYS? Source: Property Tax Report Card What is the relationship between a Tax Levy and the Budget? If the levy has been depressed by tax cap concerns, what happens to the next budget and levy should the Allowable Levy Growth Factor be less than 2%? Source: Property Tax Report Card $7.7 million is from the just the 26 districts highlighted in this presentation! What does the future hold? The Allowable Levy Growth Factor WILL be less than 2%! R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
38 What is the Fiscal condition of the School Districts in NYS? In a word Deterioration (And so goes the Educational Condition ) Source: Property Tax Report Card Source: Property Tax Report Card Source: Property Tax Report Card R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
39 With NO increase in expenses or revenues R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc. 2013
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41 The Cost of Doing Business Due in large part to unfunded mandates This is why the entire $1.638 Billion of GEA MUST GO! * * * * R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc
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43 STAR Distributional Concerns FY Seneca Falls- 1,264Enroll. $2.388M. STAR $ 1,090 Per Pupil STAR $ 20,345 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 105,098 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,029 Average Need Phelps Clifton- 1,824Enroll. $2.485M. STAR $ 1,363 Per Pupil STAR $ 18,630 Per Pup. Expend..415 CWR $ 90,470 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $544 Average Need STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu North Merrick 1,313Enroll. $3.298M. STAR $ 2,512 Per Pupil STAR $ 19,483 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 108,082 Income/TWPU $ 8.85 Local Effort Rate Decade Change $283 Low Need Putnam Valley- 1,819 Enroll. $4.14M. STAR $ 2,705 Per Pupil STAR $ 24,689 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 250,270 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,093 Low Need
44 STAR Distributional Concerns Marcus Whit.- 1,387Enroll. $1.481M. STAR $ 1,068 Per Pupil STAR $ 21,371 Per Pup. Expend..616 CWR $ 101,791 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $448 Average Need FY Honeoye- 798Enroll. $1.142M. STAR $ 1,432 Per Pupil STAR $ 20,056 Per Pup. Expend..663 CWR $ 18,157 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $817 Average Need STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu North Salem 1,325Enroll. $2.954M. STAR $ 2,230 Per Pupil STAR $ 28,470 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 472,908 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $989 Low Need Haldane- 892Enroll. $1.334M. STAR $ 1,496 Per Pupil STAR $ 23,437 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 244,410 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $576 Low Need
45 STAR Distributional Concerns FY Bloomfield- 1,058Enroll. $1.445M. STAR $ 1,366 Per Pupil STAR $ 19,342 Per Pup. Expend..542 CWR $ 115,028 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $308 Average Need Canandaigua- 3,904Enroll. $3.654M. STAR $ 936 Per Pupil STAR $ 15,711 Per Pup. Expend..613 CWR $ 117,727 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $428 Average Need STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu Tuckahoe- 1,032Enroll. $2.884M. STAR $ 2,795 Per Pupil STAR $ 26,539 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 486,003 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,142 Low Need Yorktown- 3,825Enroll. $11.832M. STAR $ 3,093 Per Pupil STAR $ 24,899 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 231,933 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,580 Low Need
46 STAR Distributional Concerns FY Geneva- 2,260Enroll. $2.855M. STAR $ 1,263 Per Pupil STAR $ 19,306 Per Pup. Expend..462 CWR $ 95,906 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $551 High Need Victor- 4,205Enroll. $3.501M. STAR $ 833 Per Pupil STAR $ 12,779 Per Pup. Expend..741 CWR $ 159,476 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $240 Average Need STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu North Bellmore- 2,110Enroll. $5.861M. STAR $ 2,778 Per Pupil STAR $ 20,201 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 172,887 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,694 Low Need Bedford- 4,353Enroll. $7.255M. STAR $ 1,667 Per Pupil STAR $ 26,758 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 832,401 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $599 Low Need
47 STAR Distributional Concerns Naples- 879Enroll. $.905M. STAR $ 1,030 Per Pupil STAR $ 18,908 Per Pup. Expend..73 CWR $ 108,918 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $362 Average Need Newark- 2,141 Enroll. $2.760M. STAR $ 1,289 Per Pupil STAR $ 17,988 Per Pup. Expend..393 CWR $ 87,381 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $633 High Need FY STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu Southold - 903Enroll. $1.305M. STAR $ 1,445 Per Pupil STAR $ 27,354 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 233,267 Income/TWPU $ 7.49 Local Effort Rate Decade Change $494 Low Need North Bellmore- 2,110 Enroll. $5.861M. STAR $ 2,778 Per Pupil STAR $ 20,201 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 172,887 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,694 Low Need
48 STAR Distributional Concerns FY Pal.-Mac.- 2,029 Enroll. $2.950M. STAR $ 1,454 Per Pupil STAR $ 17,126 Per Pup. Expend..447 CWR $ 96,135 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $725 Average Need Sodus- 1,150 Enroll. $1.474M. STAR $ 1,282 Per Pupil STAR $ 21,134 Per Pup. Expend..416 CWR $ 79,330 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $546 High Need Rural STAR Distribution Comparisons October 11, 2013 Dr. Bruce Fraser, Executive Director NY State Rural Schools Association ( ) btf27@cornell.edu Mt. Pleasant- 2,014 Enroll. $5.592M. STAR $ 2,777 Per Pupil STAR $ 24,716 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 206,530 Income/TWPU $ Local Effort Rate Decade Change $959 Low Need Bellmore- 2,014 Enroll. $2.636M. STAR $ 2,314 Per Pupil STAR $ 23,512 Per Pup. Expend CWR $ 299,147 Income/TWPU $ 8.56 Local Effort Rate Decade Change $1,309 Low Need
49 The Ask Governor, Legislators & Board of Regents SSFC Legislative Agenda This agenda addresses our three priorities: State Aid Distributions that have Equity, Sufficiency and Timeliness 1.) Get rid of the GEA now: Any formula must include a distribution that that takes into account both Poverty and Fiscal Capacity Remove any and all money for non-essential programs performance grants unproven and untested and other funding to redundant or unproven programs Avoid all temptation to divert funds for political purpose Do not recreate the shares agreement or additional Save Harmless with Foundation Aid Reallocate Bullet aid to the reduction of the GEA 2.) Form or repurpose a qualified non-political commission that will propose legislation for: the creation of an equitable Foundation Aid formula for (Include changes to- Narrow Regional Cost index, equity enhancements, adjustments to Administrative efficiency and High tax aid, elimination of the use of the inappropriate N/RC in all formulas, inequitable use of poverty and local tax effort metrics within the formula.) additional funds to support school district mergers and regional high schools additional funds for Kindergarten and Pre K programs the elimination or reduction of cost drivers that impede the mission of school districts No new unfunded mandates (Don t even think about it! IE. (Assembly bill 7786-B Senate bill 5842-A)) Such as, Access or to a statewide health insurance plan and Statewide minimum health insurance contributions Create a more equitable STAR program for taxpayers 3.) The Board of Regents must also take vigorous actions to support your effort: Appropriate State aid distributions as proposed above Fund Initiatives as noted above 49
50 Set High Expectations and Demand Results from Your State Government Let s Raise the Bar- Institute an APPR for state government representatives The Annual Professional Performance Review for State Elected Officials Provide them with constructive feed back: Regularly in person, in the media and with personal communications The New NY Education Reform Commission missed the boat so you have to get busy You ve got until March 1 to influence Legislation for the Enacted Budget You ve got until about April 1 to influence Your School District Budget You ve got until May 21, 2013 (May 20, 2014) to influence Your School District Residents What s your plan? What are you waiting for? Coupled with the story of Your Budget, to whom do you request and enlist assistance? The Board of Education All Staff All Unions Booster Clubs, Band Sports, etc. Parent- Teacher Organizations School Auditor, School Attorney Board of Regents District Superintendent Chamber of Commerce Other Groups- Rotary, Lions, American Legion, VFW Workforce Investment Board Local Governments-Towns, Villages, County Media- Print, Radio, TV, Internet, Facebook, Tweets, Blogs, Editorials Legislators: State Senate, NYS Assembly, County Commissions, Hearings, Public Meeting R. G. Timbs Advisory Group, Inc GET ORGANIZED! 50
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