Full-Year 2015 Presentation
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1 Full-Year 2015 Presentation
2 Full-Year 2015 Presentation Dr. Dieter Zetsche Bodo Uebber February 18, 2016 The figures in this document have been adjusted subsequent to the disclosure on February 4, 2016 in order to reflect expenses from the recall in connection with Takata airbags. Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 /
3 Winning a championship is hard. Defending one is even harder Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 3
4 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 4
5 Mercedes-Benz Cars: All-time sales record. Again 2 mn Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 5
6 China Mercedes-Benz in China: Sales and local production up 387,400 Imported Locally produced Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 6
7 Daimler Trucks: Sales top 500,000 Rest of world 502,500 Rest of world Asia Asia LatAm LatAm NAFTA NAFTA Western Europe Western Europe Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 7
8 Daimler Buses: Leader in our core markets Market shares (in percent)* 30.9 Western Europe 49.3 Germany 52.5 Brazil *Based on estimates in certain markets Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 8
9 Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sprinter 20 years and counting Citan V-Class Vito 321,000 Citan V-Class Vito Sprinter Sprinter Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 9
10 Daimler Financial Services: Engaging customers for life Number of DFS customers 3.72 mn Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 10
11 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 11
12 Daimler 2015: Translating sales into profit Revenue EBIT from ongoing business Dividend proposed Profit-sharing payout - in bn. euros - - in bn. euros - - in euros - - in euros % % +33% % 4,350 5, Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 12
13 Key figures Unit sales (in thousands of units) 2, ,853.0 Revenue EBIT as reported from ongoing business Net profit Free cash flow of the industrial business Earnings per share (in euros) Dividend per share (in euros) in billions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 13
14 Net industrial liquidity: development in in billions of euros - Free cash flow industrial business FY 2015: 4.0bn Net industrial liquidity 12/31/2014 Earnings and other cash flow impact Working capital impact Pension/ healthcare; M&A Dividend payment Other (mainly FX effects, capital increases to DFS and dividend payments to minority shareholders) Net industrial liquidity 12/31/2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 14
15 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 15
16 Mercedes-Benz Cars: profitable growth through success of attractive models Unit sales in thousands of units Revenue in billions of euros EBIT from ongoing business in millions of euros 1,723 2, % +14% +40% 5,964 8, Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 16
17 Mercedes-Benz Cars: sales volume at new record level - in thousands of units , , smart Sports Cars SUVs* S-Class E-Class C-Class A-/B-Class * incl. GLA Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 17
18 Mercedes-Benz Cars: balanced sales structure - unit sales in thousands - 2,001 1, Rest of world Western Europe excl. Germany Germany United States China Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 18
19 Mercedes-Benz Cars: EBIT from ongoing business - in millions of euros - + 2, %* 5,964 Higher unit sales Net pricing Efficiency enhancements Foreign exchange rates Higher expenses for new technologies, future products and additional capacity 10.0%* 8,343 * Return on sales EBIT 2014 EBIT 2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 19
20 Daimler Trucks: successful development in heterogeneous market environment Unit sales in thousands of units Revenue in billions of euros EBIT from ongoing business in millions of euros % +16% +32% 2,073 2, Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 20
21 Daimler Trucks: sales growth in NAFTA region and Western Europe - in thousands of units Rest of world Asia Latin America NAFTA region Western Europe Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 21
22 Daimler Trucks: incoming orders below prior-year level - in thousands of units Rest of world Asia Latin America NAFTA region Western Europe Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 22
23 Daimler Trucks: EBIT from ongoing business - in millions of euros %* 2,073 Higher unit sales in NAFTA region and Europe Efficiency enhancements Foreign exchange rates Lower unit sales in Latin America and Indonesia Higher expenses for new technologies, future products and additional capacity Warranty and goodwill costs 7.3%* 2,742 * Return on sales EBIT 2014 EBIT 2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 23
24 Mercedes-Benz Vans: success in volatile markets Unit sales in thousands of units Revenue in billions of euros EBIT from ongoing business in millions of euros % +15% +49% Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 24
25 Mercedes-Benz Vans: EBIT from ongoing business - in millions of euros %* 638 Higher unit sales Material costs Warranty and goodwill costs 8.3%* 952 * Return on sales EBIT 2014 EBIT 2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 25
26 Daimler Buses: strong EBIT despite significant market contraction in Latin America Unit sales in thousands of units Revenue in billions of euros EBIT from ongoing business in millions of euros % -2% -4% Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 26
27 Daimler Buses: EBIT from ongoing business - in millions of euros %* 211 Higher unit sales and better model mix in Europe Efficiency enhancements Foreign exchange rates Negative impact due to economic situation in Latin America 4.9%* 202 * Return on sales EBIT 2014 EBIT 2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 27
28 Daimler Financial Services: further business growth New business in billions of euros Contract volume in billions of euros EBIT from ongoing business in millions of euros % +18% +17% 1,387 1, /31/ /31/ Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 28
29 Daimler Financial Services: EBIT from ongoing business - in millions of euros %* 1,387 Higher contract volume Foreign exchange rates Higher expenses due to business growth 18.3%* 1,619 * Return on equity EBIT 2014 EBIT 2015 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 29
30 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 30
31 Development of EBIT and RoS from ongoing business* - EBIT in billions of euros; RoS in % % 7.4% 8.1% 6.8% 6.5% 7.7% * EBIT from ongoing business of Daimler Group; return on sales from ongoing business of Daimler Group excluding Daimler Financial Services Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 31
32 Dividend at record level based on strong net profit Net profit* in billions of euros Dividend per share in euros thereof: related to RRPSH and Tesla * attributable to shareholders of (proposed) Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 32
33 Development of dividend per share - in euros - +76% (proposed) Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 33
34 Increased investment as a basis for profitable growth - in billions of euros Investment in property, plant and equipment Research and development expenditure Actual 2010 Actual 2011 Actual 2012 Actual 2013 Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Plan 2016/17 (average p.a.) Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 34
35 Capital expenditure / Research and development - in billions of euros - Investment in property, plant and equipment Research and development expenditure Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Plan 2016/2017 (average p.a.) Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Plan 2016/2017 (average p.a.) Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 35
36 Attractive employer Fair value of pension plan assets in billions of euros Profit sharing** in euros , * % +86% 3,041 12/31/ /31/ * related to extraordinary contributions to the German pension fund assets in 2011, 2014 and 2015 ** paid out to each eligible employee of for the respective financial year Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 36
37 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 37
38 2016: The product offensive continues Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 38
39 Mercedes-Benz E-Class: Masterpiece of intelligence Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 39
40 Mercedes me: Building an eco-system Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 40
41 Identifying new business opportunities Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 41
42 smart: Summer in the city Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 42
43 Bringing e-mobility to everyday life Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 43
44 Commercial vehicles: Staying the course and accelerating Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 44
45 Investing in our future growth Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 45
46 Rethinking Leadership Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 46
47 Contents Highlights 2015 Key figures Divisional information Group financials Outlook Guidance Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 47
48 2016 sales outlook Mercedes-Benz Cars Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Significantly higher unit sales Strong momentum from renewed SUV portfolio and further plug-in hybrid models Launch of all-new E-Class, C-Class Coupé, S-Class Cabriolet and smart fortwo cabrio Unit sales at the prior-year level Sustained market leadership in softening NAFTA market, strong product portfolio across all regions, expansion of global market presence with regional centers Significantly higher unit sales Significant growth in core market Western Europe Continued momentum from Mercedes-Benz Vans goes global strategy Unit sales at the prior-year level Maintain market leadership in core markets Positive development in Western Europe and Mexico, lower demand in Brazil Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 48
49 2016 outlook for EBIT from ongoing business We expect Group EBIT for FY 2016 to increase slightly based on the following expectations for divisional EBIT: Mercedes-Benz Cars Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services Slightly above the prior-year level At the prior-year level Slightly above the prior-year level Slightly above the prior-year level Slightly above the prior-year level Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 49
50 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 50
51 Full-Year 2015 Presentation Appendix Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 /
52 Key balance sheet and financial figures Daimler Group Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015 Equity ratio 22.1% 23.6% Gross liquidity Industrial business Equity ratio 40.8% 44.2% Net liquidity Free cash flow in billions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 52
53 Unit sales % change Daimler Group 2, , of which Mercedes-Benz Cars 1, , Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses in thousands of units Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 53
54 Revenue by division % change Daimler Group of which Mercedes-Benz Cars Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services Contract volume of Daimler Financial Services* * at year-end in billions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 54
55 Development of unit sales and revenue by divisions since 2010 Sales in thousands of units Revenue in billions of euros 2, , % +53% Daimler Financial Services Daimler Buses Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Cars Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 55
56 Revenue by region % change Daimler Group of which Western Europe of which Germany NAFTA of which United States Asia of which China* Other markets * excluding revenue of not fully consolidated companies in billions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 56
57 EBIT by division EBIT in millions of euros; RoS in % - EBIT RoS* EBIT RoS* Daimler Group 10, , of which Mercedes-Benz Cars 5, , Daimler Trucks 1, , Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services 1,387 1,619 Reconciliation * Return on sales; Daimler Group excluding Daimler Financial Services Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 57
58 Group EBIT in in millions of euros - 10,752 +2,939 Cars +2,133 Trucks +425 Vans +428 Buses Cars +451 Trucks +409 Vans +15 Buses ,249 Cars -204 Trucks -165 Vans -130 Buses +8 of which: Own dealer network -28 Recall due to Takata airbags -340 Public-sector levies related to prior periods -121 Workforce adjustments Daimler Trucks +91 RRPSH (sale of shares and put option)* -888 Tesla (hedge of share price and remeasurement)* -594 EU antitrust proceedings* ,186 Actual 2014 Volume/ Structure/ Net pricing Foreign exchange rates Other cost changes Financial Services Reconciliation Special items affecting EBIT Actual 2015 * in 2014 Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 58
59 Group EBIT in Q in millions of euros ,901 2,138 Cars +491 Trucks +17 Vans +214 Buses -30 Cars +363 Trucks +23 Vans +36 Buses -55 Cars -457 Trucks +60 Vans -111 Buses +70 of which: Own dealer network +23 Recall due to Takata airbags -340 Public-sector levies related to prior periods -121 Workforce adjustments Daimler Trucks +20 Hedge of Tesla share price* -106 EU antitrust proceedings* +600 Actual Q Volume/ Structure/ Net pricing Foreign exchange rates Other cost changes Financial Services Reconciliation Special items affecting EBIT Actual Q * in Q Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 59
60 Special items affecting EBIT Q4 Full year Mercedes-Benz Cars Restructuring of own dealer network Relocation of headquarters of MBUSA Sale of real estate in the United States +87 Impairment of investments in the area of alternative drive systems -30 Recall in connection with Takata airbags Public-sector levies related to prior periods Daimler Trucks Workforce adjustments Restructuring of own dealer network Sale of Atlantis Foundries Impairment of investment in Kamaz in millions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 60
61 Special items affecting EBIT Q4 Full year Mercedes-Benz Vans Restructuring of own dealer network Relocation of headquarters of MBUSA -1-3 Reversal of impairment of investment in FBAC +61 Recall in connection with Takata airbags Daimler Buses Business repositioning Restructuring of own dealer network Sale of investment in New MCI Holdings Inc Reconciliation Measurement of put option for RRPSH -118 Sale of shares in RRPSH +1,006 Remeasurement of Tesla shares +718 Sale of Tesla shares and hedge of Tesla share price Expenses related to EU antitrust proceedings in millions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 61
62 EBIT from ongoing business EBIT in millions of euros; RoS in % - EBIT RoS* EBIT RoS* Daimler Group 10, , of which Mercedes-Benz Cars 5, , Daimler Trucks 2, , Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services 1,387 1,619 Reconciliation * Return on sales; Daimler Group excluding Daimler Financial Services Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 62
63 Q4 2015: EBIT from ongoing business Q Q EBIT in millions of euros; RoS in % - EBIT RoS* EBIT RoS* Daimler Group 2, , of which Mercedes-Benz Cars 1, , Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services Reconciliation * Return on sales; Daimler Group excluding Daimler Financial Services Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 63
64 Assumptions for automotive markets in 2016 Car markets Medium- and heavy-duty truck markets Van markets Bus markets Global Western Europe USA China NAFTA region Europe Japan* Brazil Indonesia* Europe USA Western Europe Brazil +3 to 4% slight growth slight growth significant growth around -10% slight growth around the prior-year level around -10% around the prior-year level slight growth for mid-size and large vans slight growth slight growth significant decrease * including light-duty trucks Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 64
65 Capital expenditure / Research and development Investment in property, plant and equipment Research and development expenditure Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Plan* Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Plan* Daimler Group of which Mercedes-Benz Cars Daimler Trucks Mercedes-Benz Vans Daimler Buses Daimler Financial Services * average p.a. in billions of euros Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 65
66 Mercedes-Benz Vans: market success of mid-size vans - in thousands of units Sprinter Vito V-Class* Citan * incl. Viano Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 66
67 Daimler Buses: lower demand for bus chassis in Brazil - unit sales in thousands Rest of world Latin America (excl. Brazil and Mexico) Brazil Mexico Europe Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 67
68 Daimler Financial Services: growth in all regions - contract volume in billions of euros Africa & Asia-Pacific Americas Europe (excl. Germany) /31/ /31/2015 Germany Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 68
69 Daimler Financial Services: net credit losses* at low level 0.89% 0.83% 0.69% 0.68% 0.50% 0.61% 0.36% 0.51% 0.43% 0.34% 0.37% 0.31% 0.24% * as a percentage of portfolio, subject to credit risk Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 69
70 Disclaimer This document contains forward-looking statements that reflect our current views about future events. The words anticipate, assume, believe, estimate, expect, intend, may, can, could, plan, project, should and similar expressions are used to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties, including an adverse development of global economic conditions, in particular a decline of demand in our most important markets; a worsening of the sovereign-debt crisis in the euro zone; an increase in political tension in Eastern Europe; a deterioration of our refinancing possibilities on the credit and financial markets; events of force majeure including natural disasters, acts of terrorism, political unrest, armed conflicts, industrial accidents and their effects on our sales, purchasing, production or financial services activities; changes in currency exchange rates; a shift in consumer preferences towards smaller, lower-margin vehicles; a possible lack of acceptance of our products or services which limits our ability to achieve prices and adequately utilize our production capacities; price increases for fuel or raw materials; disruption of production due to shortages of materials, labor strikes or supplier insolvencies; a decline in resale prices of used vehicles; the effective implementation of cost-reduction and efficiency-optimization measures; the business outlook for companies in which we hold a significant equity interest; the successful implementation of strategic cooperations and joint ventures; changes in laws, regulations and government policies, particularly those relating to vehicle emissions, fuel economy and safety; the resolution of pending government investigations and the conclusion of pending or threatened future legal proceedings; and other risks and uncertainties, some of which we describe under the heading Risk and Opportunity Report in the current Annual Report. If any of these risks and uncertainties materializes or if the assumptions underlying any of our forward-looking statements prove to be incorrect, the actual results may be materially different from those we express or imply by such statements. We do not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements since they are based solely on the circumstances at the date of publication. Full-Year 2015 Presentation / February 18, 2016 / Page 70
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