Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference. June 16, 2016

Transcription

1 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference June 16, 2016

2 Agenda Recent Results and Outlook P&G Transformation Productivity Portfolio Reaccelerating Top-line Growth Organization & Culture Q&A 2

3 Organic Sales Growth 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% -1% AMJ'14 JAS'14 OND'14 JFM'15 AMJ'15 JAS'15 OND'15 JFM '16 3

4 FYTD 16 Bottom-Line Core Core ex. FX Earnings Per Share Growth +2% +12% Gross Margin +240 bps +310 bps Operating Margin +310 bps +330 bps 4

5 Q4 FY16 Headwinds Non-operating income Tax Investment Levels Foreign Exchange 5 5

6 FY 2017 Considerations Core Portfolio Clean-up Venezuela Beauty transition costs Foreign Exchange Investment Levels Share Count Impacts 6 6

7 FYTD 16 Cash Free Cash Flow Q1 Q3 $9.3bn Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity 108% Dividends ($bn) $5.6 Share Repurchase ($bn) 3.5 Value to Shareholders $9.1bn 7

8 Value to Shareholders FY 15 $11.9 bn Past 5 Yrs (FY 11 FY 15) $60 bn Next 4 Yrs (FY 16 FY 19) Up to $70 bn 8

9 P&G Transformation A Balanced Growth & Value Creation Strategy Top-line Bottom-line Cash Productivity Portfolio Top-line Acceleration Organization & Culture 9

10 Productivity Transformation Cost of Goods Savings ($bn) $1.2 $1.3 $1.6 $1.5 $1.4 Cumulative Savings: ~$7bn Target Run-Rate = $1.2bn/yr FY '12 FY '13 FY '14 FY '15 FY '16e 10

11 Enrollment Productivity Transformation Same-Site Manufacturing Enrollment Results-to-Date: -19% as of June 2015 Results-to-Date: -25% as of June 2016 (est.) Target: -25% to -30% by June 2017 June '12 June '13 June '14 June '15 June '16e Cumulative Reduction -5% -11% -19% -25% 11

12 Enrollment Productivity Transformation Non-Manufacturing Enrollment Original Target: -10% by June 2016 Results-to-Date: -24% as of March 2016 Updated Plan: -25% to -30% by June 2017 June '11 June '12 June '13 June '14 June '15 June '16e Cumulative Reduction -5% -12% -15% -22% -25% 12

13 Productivity Transformation Agency/Production Savings 14/15 Reduction 15/16e Reduction Number of Agencies -40% ~ -25% Agency/Production Spending ($ million)

14 Productivity Transformation Driving Structural Earnings & Margin Improvement Constant Currency FY12/13 FY13/14 FY14/15 FYTD 15/16 Core EPS Growth +10% +14% +11% +12% Core Gross Margin +50 bps +10 bps +90 bps +310 bps Core Op. Margin +50 bps +150 bps +130 bps +330 bps 14

15 Productivity Savings FY 17 FY 21 Up to $10bn 15

16 Productivity Savings Cost of Goods Sold Supply Chain 16

17 Productivity Savings Marketing & Digitization

18 Productivity Savings Operationalize New Company Baby Fem Family Fabric Home Hair Skin & PC Grooming Oral PHC 18

19 Productivity Savings Promotional Spend Effectiveness 19

20 Past 3 year growth rates and margins thru FY 13 Portfolio Transformation Before After # Brands Sales Growth 1 pt. Faster BT Margin 2 pts. Higher 20

21 Portfolio Transformation Beauty Transaction with COTY Expected Close OCT

22 Portfolio Transformation Baby Fem Family Fabric Home Hair Skin & PC Grooming Oral PHC 22

23 Value Accretive BU Moves Mexico Family Care Pre-Change* Post-Change* Sales, $ millions 100 ~25 Before-Tax Margin Negative Double-Digits Positive Double-Digits * Pre = FY 15, Post = Going 23 23

24 Value Accretive BU Moves India $ Millions 2013/ /15 Organic Sales Growth +Mid-Teens +High-Single Digits Before-Tax Profit Negative Triple Digit Profits Before-Tax Margin -Low-Single Digits +Mid-Single Digits 24 24

25 Top-line Growth Consumer at the Center 25

26 Top-line Growth Largest Categories Largest Markets Baby + Fabric + Hair + Grooming 26

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30 35 30 Millions of Washing Machine Samples FY '15 FY '16 CY '16 30

31 Baby Care U.S. P&G 43% K-C 37% 01/31/09 5/21/

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33 Baby Care U.S. Introduce Brand Build Relationship Create Preference 33

34 Baby Care ex. U.S. Opportunities Consumer Preferences Consumer Value 34

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36 Live Flake Free for Life 36

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40 Top-line Growth

41 Organization & Culture Transformation Simplified structure Clear responsibilities Stronger accountability 41

42 Organization & Culture Transformation Talent development and assignment planning 42

43 Organization & Culture Transformation Incentive compensation 43

44 Organization & Culture Transformation Field the Best Team 44

45 Balanced Growth & Value Creation Sales Growth Cash Generation Margin Expansion TSR 45

46 Forward Looking Statements Certain statements in this release or presentation, other than purely historical information, including estimates, projections, statements relating to our business plans, objectives, and expected operating results, and the assumptions upon which those statements are based, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words believe, project, expect, anticipate, estimate, intend, strategy, future, opportunity, plan, may, should, will, would, will be, will continue, will likely result, and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise. Risks and uncertainties to which our forward-looking statements are subject include, without limitation: (1) the ability to successfully manage global financial risks, including foreign currency fluctuations, currency exchange or pricing controls and localized volatility; (2) the ability to successfully manage local, regional or global economic volatility, including disruptions in credit markets, reduced market growth rates or changes affecting our credit rating, and generate sufficient income and cash flow to allow the Company to effect the expected share repurchases and dividend payments; (3) the ability to maintain key manufacturing and supply arrangements (including sole supplier and sole manufacturing plant arrangements) and manage disruption of business due to factors outside of our control, such as natural disasters and acts of war or terrorism; (4) the ability to successfully manage cost fluctuations and pressures, including commodity prices, raw materials, labor costs, energy costs and pension and health care costs, and achieve cost savings described in our announced productivity plan; (5) the ability to stay on the leading edge of innovation, obtain necessary intellectual property protections and successfully respond to technological advances attained by, and patents granted to, competitors; (6) the ability to compete with our local and global competitors in new and existing sales channels by successfully responding to competitive factors, including prices, promotional incentives and trade terms for products; (7) the ability to manage and maintain key customer relationships; (8) the ability to protect our reputation and brand equity by successfully managing real or perceived issues, including concerns about safety, quality, efficacy or similar matters that may arise; (9) the ability to successfully manage the financial, legal, reputational and operational risk associated with third party relationships, such as our suppliers, contractors and external business partners; (10) the ability to rely on and maintain key information technology systems and networks (including Company and third-party systems and networks) and maintain the security and functionality of such systems and networks and the data contained therein; (11) the ability to successfully manage regulatory and legal requirements and matters (including, without limitation, those laws and regulations involving product liability, intellectual property, antitrust, privacy, accounting standards and environmental) and to resolve pending matters within current estimates; (12) the ability to manage changes in applicable tax laws and regulations; (13) the ability to successfully manage our portfolio optimization strategy, as well as ongoing acquisition, divestiture and joint venture activities, to achieve the Company s overall business strategy, without impacting the delivery of base business objectives; and (14) the ability to successfully achieve productivity improvements and manage ongoing organizational changes, while successfully identifying, developing and retaining particularly key employees, especially in key growth markets where the availability of skilled or experienced employees may be limited. For additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to materially differ from those projected herein, please refer to our most recent 10- K, 10-Q and 8K reports.

47 Regulations FD and G Disclosure For a full reconciliation, please visit: 47

48 The Procter & Gamble Company Regulation G Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures In accordance with the SEC's Regulation G, the following provides definitions of the non-gaap measures used in Procter & Gamble's June 16, 2016 Deutsche Bank Conference and associated slides and the reconciliation to the most closely related GAAP measure. We believe that these measures provide useful perspective of underlying business trends and results and provide a more comparable measure of year-on-year results. These measures are also used to evaluate senior management and are a factor in determining their at-risk compensation. These non-gaap measures are not intended to be considered by the user in place of the related GAAP measure, but rather as supplemental information to more fully understand our business results. These non-gaap measures may not be the same as similar measures used by other companies due to possible differences in method and in the items or events being adjusted. The measures provided are as follows: 1. Organic Sales Growth page 3 2. Core EPS and Currency-Neutral Core EPS pages 4 3. Core Operating Profit Margin and Constant Currency Core Operating Profit Margin page 5 4. Core Gross Margin and Constant Currency Core Gross Margin page 5 5. Free Cash Flow page 6 6. Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity page 6 The Core earnings measures included in the following reconciliation tables refer to the equivalent GAAP measures adjusted as applicable for the following items: charges for incremental restructuring due to increased focus on productivity and cost savings, charge in 2015 related to the change in accounting for our Venezuelan subsidiaries, charges for certain European legal matters, charges for balance sheet impacts from the devaluation of the foreign currency exchange rate in Venezuela prior to deconsolidation, impairment charges in 2013 and 2012 for goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets and a holding gain in 2013 on the purchase of the balance of our Iberian joint venture. We do not view these items to be part of our sustainable results. Organic sales growth: Organic sales growth is a non-gaap measure of sales growth excluding the impacts of the Venezuela deconsolidation, acquisitions, divestitures and foreign exchange from year-overyear comparisons. We believe this provides investors with a more complete understanding of underlying sales trends by providing sales growth on a consistent basis. Core EPS and currency-neutral Core EPS: Core EPS is a measure of the Company's diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations adjusted as indicated. Currency-neutral Core EPS is a measure of the Company's Core EPS excluding the incremental current year impact of foreign exchange rate changes. The tables below provide a reconciliation of diluted net earnings per share to Core EPS and of Core EPS to currency-neutral Core EPS. 1

49 Core operating profit margin and currency-neutral Core operating profit margin: Core operating profit margin is a measure of the Company's operating profit margin adjusted for items as indicated. Currency-neutral Core operating profit margin is a measure of the Company's Core operating profit margin excluding the incremental current year impact of foreign exchange. Core gross margin and currency-neutral Core gross margin: Core gross margin is a measure of the Company's gross margin adjusted for items as indicated. Currency-neutral Core gross margin is a measure of the Company's Core gross margin excluding the incremental current year impact of foreign exchange. Adjusted free cash flow: Adjusted free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow less capital spending excluding tax payments for the Pet divestiture. We view adjusted free cash flow as an important measure because it is one factor used in determining the amount of cash available for dividends and discretionary investment. Adjusted free cash flow productivity: Adjusted free cash flow productivity is defined as the ratio of adjusted free cash flow to net earnings excluding the gain on the sale of the Batteries business, impairment charges and Venezuela charges. The Company's long-term target is to generate annual free cash flow at or above 90 percent of net earnings. 2

50 1. Organic sales growth: The reconciliation of reported sales growth to organic sales is as follows: Foreign Exchange Impact Acquisition/ Divestiture Impact* Total Company Net Sales Growth Organic Sales Growth AMJ 2014 (1)% 2% 1% 2% JAS % - 2% OND 2014 (4)% 6% - 2% JFM 2015 (7)% 8% - 1% AMJ 2015 (9)% 9% 1% 1% JAS 2015 (12)% 9% 2% (1)% OND 2015 (9)% 8% 3% 2% JFM 2016 (7)% 5% 3% 1% *Acquisition/Divestiture Impact includes volume and mix impacts of acquired and divested businesses, the impact of the Venezuela deconsolidation beginning in JAS 2015, as well as rounding impacts necessary to reconcile net sales to organic sales. 3

51 2. Core EPS and currency-neutral Core EPS: FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FYTD JFM 15 FYTD JFM 16 Diluted Net Earnings Per Share from Continuing Operations, attributable to P&G $2.97 $3.50 $3.63 $2.84 $2.67 $2.78 Incremental Restructuring Venezuela B/S Remeasurement & Devaluation Impacts Charges for Certain European Legal Matters Venezuela Deconsolidation Charge Non-Cash Impairment Charges Gain on Iberian JV Buyout - (0.21) Rounding (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) - Core EPS $3.45 $3.65 $3.85 $3.76 $2.83 $2.88 Percentage change vs. prior year Core EPS - 6% 5% (2)% - 2% Currency Impact to Earnings Currency-Neutral Core EPS - $3.80 $4.17 $ $3.16 Percentage change vs. prior year Core EPS - 10% 14% 11% - 12% 4

52 3. Core operating profit margin: FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FYTD JFM 15 FYTD JFM 16 Operating Profit Margin 17.1% 17.7% 18.7% 15.6% 18.9% 22.2% Incremental Restructuring 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% Charges for Certain European Legal Matters 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% - 0.1% - Venezuela B/S Remeasurement & Devaluation Impacts - 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% - Venezuela Deconsolidation Charge % - - Non-Cash Impairment 1.2% 0.4% Rounding 0.1% (0.1)% % 0.1% Core Operating Profit Margin 19.2% 19.4% 19.7% 19.6% 19.9% 23.0% Basis point change vs. prior year Core margin (10) Currency Impact to Margin - 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% - 0.2% Constant Currency Core Operating Profit Margin % 20.9% 21.0% % Basis point change vs. prior year Core margin Core gross margin: FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FYTD JFM 15 FYTD JFM 16 Gross Margin 48.2% 48.5% 47.5% 47.6% 47.9% 50.1% Incremental Restructuring 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% Rounding % - - Core Gross Margin 48.4% 48.8% 47.9% 48.4% 48.5% 50.9% Basis point change vs. prior year Core margin - 40 (90) Currency Impact to Margin - 0.1% 1.0% 0.4% - 0.7% Constant Currency Core Gross Margin % 48.9% 48.8% % Basis point change vs. prior year Core margin

53 5. Adjusted free cash flow: Operating Cash Flow Capital Spending Free Cash Flow Cash Tax Payment - Pet Sale Adjusted Free Cash Flow Three Months Ended March 31, 2016 $3,278 $(800) $2,478 - $2,478 Three Months Ended December 31, 2015 $4,480 $(691) $3,789 - $3,789 Three Months Ended September 30, 2015 $3,538 $(532) $3,006 - $3,006 Fiscal Year to Date March 31, 2016 $11,296 $(2,023) $9,273 - $9,273 FY 2015 $14,608 $(3,736) $10,872 $729 $11, Adjusted free cash flow productivity: Adjusted Free Cash Flow Net Earnings Impairment & Deconsolidation Charges Gain on Batteries Sale Net Earnings Excl. Impairment Charges Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity Three Months Ended March 31, 2016 $2,478 2,783 - $(422) $2, % Three Months Ended December 31, 2015 $3,789 $3, $3, % Three Months Ended September 30, 2015 $3,006 $2,635 $350 - $2, % Fiscal Year to Date March 31, 2016 $9,273 $8,646 $350 $(422) $8, % FY 2015 $11,601 $7,144 $4,187 - $11, % 6