ALLYSON LUCINDA BENTON

Transcription

1 ALLYSON LUCINDA BENTON División de Estudios Políticos Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. (CIDE) Carretera México- Toluca 3655 Colonia Lomas de Santa Fe México Distrito Federal Tel. (Office): (52) , ext E- Mail: allyson.benton@cide.edu Employment August present November 2012 January 2014 July 2004 August 2005 Profesora- Investigadora (Research Professor) División de Estudios Políticos (Political Studies Division) Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. (CIDE) Mexico City, Mexico On sabbatical leave from CIDE Research Fellow, Alexander von Humboldt Foundation Visiting Scholar, Institute of Latin American Studies, GIGA Hamburg, Germany On leave from CIDE Analyst, Latin America Practice Eurasia Group New York, New York, USA Education Ph.D. B.A. Non-Degree University of California, Los Angeles, 2001 Department of Political Science Major Fields: Comparative Politics and Methodology University of California, Berkeley, 1991 Major in Political Science, Minor in French Literature High Honors from the Department of Political Science Distinction in General Scholarship ICPSR Summer Statistics Program Sessions I and II, Summer 2003 Dissertation Patronage Games: Economic Reform, Political Institutions, and the Decline of Party Stability in Latin America, Committee: Barbara Geddes (chair), Miriam Golden, George Tsebelis, William Summerhill. Approved by Committee in November 2001, Filed in December 2001.

2 Awards, Fellowships, and Grants Humboldt Research Fellowship for Experienced Researchers, , Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, Bonn, Germany, for sabbatical leave at the Institute of Latin American Studies (ILAS) at the German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA), Hamburg, Germany. William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, Iniciativas Académicas Sobre América Latina [Academic Initiatives on Latin America], , for field research in Argentina. Chancellor s Dissertation Year Fellowship, University of California, Office of the President, , for dissertation write- up. Best Conference Paper Submitted by a Graduate Student, Department of Political Science, UCLA, Dissertation Field Research Fellowship, International Studies and Overseas Programs, UCLA, , for fieldwork in Argentina. Foreign Language and Area Studies Fellowship, Title VI Award, , for study of Spanish. Travel Grant, Latin American Center, UCLA, , for fieldwork in Argentina. Research Grant, Ford Foundation and International Studies and Overseas Programs Interdisciplinary Program for Students of Developing Areas, 1996, for fieldwork in Mexico. Foreign Language and Area Studies Fellowship, Title VI Award, , for study of Portuguese. Research Grant, Ford Foundation - International Studies and Overseas Programs Interdisciplinary Program for Students of Developing Areas Grant, Foreign Language Grant, Latin American Center, UCLA, 1995, for study of Portuguese. Articles in Refereed Journals Partisan Policy Promises and Sector- Specific Stock- Market Performance: Evidence from Mexico s 2006 Presidential Campaign, Business and Politics, Vol. 15, No. 2, August 2013 (pp ). Bottom- Up Challenges to National Democracy: Mexico s (Legal) Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves, Comparative Politics, Vol. 44, No. 3, April 2012 (pp ). The Catholic Church, Political Institutions, and Electoral Outcomes in Oaxaca, Mexico, Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales, Vol. LVI, No. 213, December 2011 (pp ). What Makes Strong Federalism Seem Weak? Fiscal Resources and Presidential- Provincial Relations in Argentina, Publius: The Journal of Federalism, Vol. 39, No. 4, Fall 2009 (pp ). A ras de suelo: Apariciones de candidatos y eventos en la campaña presidencial de México [A ras de suelo: Candidate appearances and events during the 2006 Mexican presidential

3 campaign], with Joy Langston, Política y Gobierno, 15 Aniversario, Volumen Temática: Elecciones en México, October 2009 (pp ). Introducción [Introduction], Política y Gobierno, 15 Aniversario, Volumen Temática: Elecciones en México, October 2009 (pp. 5-14). El efecto de las reglas electorales sobre el comportamiento de la votación indígena en el estado mexicano de Oaxaca [The Effect of Electoral Rules on Indigenous Voting Behavior in Mexico], Política y Gobierno, Vol. XVI, Núm. 1, Primer Semestre de 2009 (pp ). Do Investors Assess the Credibility of Campaign Commitments? The Case of Mexico s 2006 Presidential Race, Political Research Quarterly, Vol. 61, No. 3, September 2008 (pp ). The Strategic Struggle for Patronage: Political Careers, State Largesse, and Factionalism in Latin American Parties, Journal of Theoretical Politics, Vol. 19, No. 1, January 2007 (pp ). Quién está preocupado por López Obrador? Las respuestas del mercado a las tendencias electorales durante la campaña presidencial mexicana del 2006 [Who s Afraid of López Obrador? Market Responses to Election Polling Trends during the 2006 Mexican Presidential Campaign], Colombia Internacional, No. 64, julio diciembre 2006, December 2006 (pp ). Dissatisfied Democrats or Retrospective Voters? Economic Hardship, Political Institutions, and Voting Behavior in Latin America, Comparative Political Studies, Vol 38, No. 4, May 2005 (pp ). Presidentes fuertes, provincias poderosas: el caso de Argentina [Strong Presidents, Powerful Provinces: The Case of Argentina], Política y Gobierno, Vol X, Núm. 1, Primer Semestre de Book Chapters and Non-Refereed Publications Realidad y ficción de la violencia y la política en México, en un libro sobre la Encuesta Nacional de Valores en Mexico (DF, Mexico: Banamex, forthcoming 2013). Mecanismos de selección de candidatos, in Debatiendo la reforma política, ed. by Gabriel Negretto (Distrito Federal, Mexico: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, 2010). Formulación de políticas en México: de la hegemonía partidista al gobierno dividido, (with Fabrice Lehoucq, Gabriel Negretto, Francisco Aparicio, Benito Nacif, coauthors), in El juego político en América Latina: Cómo se deciden las políticas públicas? (Inter- American Development Bank, 2010). Also published in English as Policymaking Under One- Party Hegemonic and Divided Government in Mexico, (with Fabrice Lehoucq, Gabriel Negretto, Francisco Aparicio, Benito Nacif, coauthors), Policymaking in Latin America: How Politics Shape Policies, ed. by Ernesto Stein and Mariano Tommasi (Cambridge, Mass.: David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies, Harvard University/Inter- American Development Bank, 2008). Mexico s Presidential Elections: Taking the Chávez out of López Obrador, ReVista, the Harvard Review of Latin America, David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies (DRCLAS), Harvard University, Vol. 5, No.1, Also published as Las Elecciones presidenciales en México: Quitarle lo Chávez a López Obrador, in ISTOR, Year 5, No. 25, 2006.

4 Mexico s (Temporary) Turn to the Left, Current History, Vol 105, No. 688, February Selected Manuscripts Under Review or In Progress The Municipal Foundations of Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves, book manuscript in process (working title). The Autocrat s Dilemma: Choosing the Optimal Distribution of Political Manipulation for Electoral Authoritarian Regime Survival, under review. Political Career or Party Reputational Concerns? Determining How Partisan Effects Matter for Subnational Fiscal Discipline, Evidence from Mexico, with Heidi Jane Smith, under review. The Logic of Candidate Visits during the 2006 Mexican Presidential Campaign, with Joy Langston, article draft. Published Working Papers Political Career or Party Reputational Concerns? Determining How Partisan Effects Matter for Subnational Fiscal Discipline, Evidence from Mexico, with Heidi Jane Smith, Documento de Trabajo No. 252, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, The (Authoritarian) Governor s Dilemma: Supporting the National Authoritarian Regime Without Stoking Local Demands for Political Change, Documento de Trabajo No. 239, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, Some Facts and Fictions About Violence and Politics in Mexico, Documento de Trabajo No. 237, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, The Catholic Church, Political Institutions, and Electoral Outcomes in Oaxaca, Mexico, Documento de Trabajo No. 236, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, The Origins of Mexico s Municipal Usos y Costumbres Regimes: Supporting Local Political Participation or Local Authoritarian Control? Documento de Trabajo No. 226, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, Politics and Sector- Specific Stock Market Performance: A General Argument Applied to Mexico s 2006 Presidential Campaign, Documento de Trabajo No. 214, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, The Effect of Electoral Rules on Indigenous Voting Behavior in Mexico s State of Oaxaca, Documento de Trabajo No. 205, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, December A Ras de Suelo : Candidate Appearances and Events in Mexcio s Presidential Campaign, with Joy Langston, Documento de Trabajo No. 199, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, 2007.

5 Latin America s (Legal) Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves: The Case of Mexico, Documento de Trabajo No. 196, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, Do Investors Assess the Credibility of Campaign Commitments? The Case of Mexico s 2006 Presidential Race, Documento de Trabajo No. 193, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, May What Makes Strong Federalism Seem Weak? Fiscal Resources and Presidential- Provincial Relations in Argentina, Documento de Trabajo No. 190, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, April Political Institutions, Policymaking Processes, and Policy Outcomes in Mexico, with Fabrice Lehoucq, Gabriel Negretto, Javier Aparicio, Benito Nacif Latin American Research Network Working Paper no. R- 512, Department, Inter- American Development Bank Research, Washington, DC, 2005 and Documento de Trabajo, No. 176, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, August Dissatisfied Democrats or Retrospective Voters? Economic Hardship, Political Institutions, and Voting Behavior in Latin America, Documento de Trabajo, No. 153, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, January The Strategic Struggle for Patronage: Political Careers, State Largesse, and Factionalism in Latin American Parties, Documento de Trabajo, No. 151, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, December Economic Reform in Decentralized Systems: When Institutions Work to Protect Subnational Politicians from Economic Reform, Documento de Trabajo, No. 150, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, December When do Parties Survive Economic Ruin? The Political Uses of Fiscal Transfers in an Era of Economic Uncertainty, Documento de Trabajo, No. 149, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, December Strong Presidents, Powerful Provinces: The Political Economy of Party Building in Argentina s Federal System, Documento de Trabajo, No. 148, División de Estudios Políticos, CIDE, December Conferences (Organized) Mexico s 2006 Elections. Organized with Joy Langston. This conference brings together 18 scholars of Mexican politics, parties, and elections to discuss each stage of Mexico s 2006 electoral process. CIDE, April Conference Papers The Autocrat s Dilemma: Choosing the Optimal Distribution of Political Manipulation for Electoral Authoritarian Regime Survival, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, September 2013.

6 Does Partisanship affect Municipal Fiscal Discipline? The Case of Mexico, with Heidi Jane Smith, delivered at the Midwest Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April The (Authoritarian) Governor s Dilemma: Supporting the National Authoritarian Regime Without Stoking Local Demands for Political Change, delivered at the Midwest Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April The Need for Scaling Down Measures of Democracy: Evidence from Spatial and Subnational Electoral Patterns in Mexico, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, New Orleans, Louisiana, August 30 September 2, Subnational Regime Dynamics After National Authoritarian Breakdown: When Political Competition and Turnover Don t Indicate Democratization, delivered at the Workshop on Elections, Electoral Behavior and the Economy in Latin America, Hotel Clarendon, Quebec City, October 21 22, 2011 and at the Midwest Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April Subnational Authoritarian Regime Dynamics After National Authoritarian System Breakdown: A Theoretical Approach, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Seattle, Washington, September 1 3, Political Ideology, Fiscal Rents, and Oil Contract Regimes in Latin America, delivered at the Latin American Association s Annual Meetings, Toronto, Canada, October 6 9, The Origins of Mexico's Municipal Usos y Costumbres Regimes: Supporting Local Multicultural Identities or Local Authoritarian Control? delivered at the Conference on Sub- national Democratization: Latin America, Russia and India in Comparative Perspective, April 15-16, 2010, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Also delivered at the Latin American Association s Annual Meetings, Toronto, Canada, October 6 9, How Candidate Selection Rules, Legislative Electoral Laws, and Political Behavior: An Analysis of Mexico s 2010 Political Reform Proposals, with Recommendations for Improvement, presented at the Conference on Mexico s Political Reforms, April 2010, CIDE. Political Institutions, Hydrocarbons Resources, and Economic Policy Divergence in Latin America, delivered at the Conference on Latin American Economies: History and Globalization, sponsored by the UCLA Latin American Institute, the UCLA Center for Economic History, and CIDE, April 24 25, 2009, and at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Boston, Massachusetts, August 28 31, Candidate Appearance Strategies during Mexico s 2006 Presidential Campaign, American, Mexican, or Mexican- American Style?, (With Joy Langston) delivered at the Midwest Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April Latin America s (Legal) Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves: The Case of Mexico, delivered at the Latin American Studies Association s Annual Meetings, Montreal, Canada, September 2007.

7 The Price of Ideology: Oil Revenues, Political Ideology, and Energy Policy Choice in Latin America, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, August Policy Promises, Polling, and Asset Prices During the 2006 Mexican Presidential Campaign, delivered at the Midwest Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April Religion, Politics, and Political Institutional Choice in Mexico, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, August September The Political Economy of Energy Policy Change in Latin America, delivered at the Latin American Studies Association s Annual Meetings, San Juan, Puerto Rico, March The Effect of Electoral Rules on Indigenous Voting Behavior in Mexico, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Washington, D.C., September 2005 and at the Midwestern Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April The Length of Economic Memories in Latin America or Why Voters Repeatedly Punish Prior Presidential Parties at the Polls: Evidence from Argentina, delivered at the Western Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, March 11-13, 2004 and at the Midwestern Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, April 14-18, What Explains the Survival of Machine Politics in Latin America? The Political Effects of Fiscal Transfers in the Era of Economic Reform, the Case of Argentina or The Provincial Origins of National Economic Instability in Argentina, delivered at the Latin American Studies Association s XXIV International Congress, Dallas, Texas, March 27 29, Dissatisfied Democrats or Retrospective Voters? Economic Hardship, Political Institutions, and Voting Behavior in Latin America, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Boston, August 2002 and at the First Latin American Political Science Conference at the Universidad de Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain, July 9-11, Federalism and the Stability of Provincial Party Systems in Argentina: Regional Development Policies, Fiscal Resources, and Provincial Politics during Economic Reform, delivered at the Latin American Studies Association s XXIII International Congress, Washington, D.C., September 2001 and at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Washington, D.C., August Economic Reform in Decentralized Systems: When Institutions Work to Protect Subnational Politicians from Economic Reform, delivered at the Latin American Studies Association s XXII International Congress, Miami, Florida, March 16-18, The Strategic Struggle for Patronage: Political Careers, State Largesse, and Factionalism in Latin American Parties, delivered at the American Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Washington, D.C., August 1997 and at the Latin American Studies Association s XX International Congress, Guadalajara, Mexico, April 1997.

8 Explaining Recent Party Instability in Latin America: Combining Insights From Economic and Institutional Based Analyses, delivered at the Midwestern Political Science Association s Annual Meetings, Chicago, Illinois, April 1997 and at the PCCLAS- RMCLAS Conference, San Diego, California, February Teaching Experience Game Theory in Political Science, Fall 2001, Fall Game Theory in the Social Sciences (M.A.), Fall Statistics I, (Beginning Data Analysis), listed as Introduction to Empirical Analysis 2, Spring Statistics II, (Intermediate Data Analysis Using Statistics) Spring Statistics III, (Advanced Data Analysis Using Statistics) Spring Research Design, listed as Introduction to Empirical Analysis 1, Fall 2002, Fall 2003, Fall Political Institutional Arrangements and the Study of Latin American Politics, Winter Thesis Seminar (B.A.): Fall 2003, Fall 2007, Fall 2008, Fall 2009, Fall 2010, Spring Additional Teaching Interests Democratization and the Breakdown of Authoritarian Regimes, Latin American Politics, Latin American Political Economy Theses Advised (Undergraduate) Eugenio Juárez Coronado. La democracia en Oaxaca: una medición municipal. In progress. Fátima Ávila Acosta. Las implicaciones de las diferencias entre El Cártel de Sinaloa y Los Zetas. In progress. Arón Baca Nakakawa. Cómo los legisladores responden a los resultados electorales? El efecto de las instituciones sobre la satisfacción con la democracia de los legisladores de América Latina. Draft Completed June Alarii Montesinos Zimbrón. Relación entre la cohesión interna y el proceso de selección de candidatos: El caso de México, PRI, PAN y PRD ( ). Completed Cecilia de los Ríos Álvarez. La democracia en los países musulmanes [Democracy in Mustlim Countries]. In progress. Constanza Mier y Terán Ruesga. Estrategias para la contención de conflictos étnicos: La contribuciónde los partidos políticos a la consolidación de la democracia y la disminución de la violencia [Strategies for Addressing Ethnic Conflict]. Completed Alicia Odile Cortés Abascal. Predicando con el ejemplo? Elecciones primarias como mecanismo de selección de candidatos en México. [Leading by example? Primary elections as a candidate selection mechanism in Mexico.] Completed Marissa Ariza Madrigal. Abstencionismo: Un estudio de las elecciones presidenciales de 2000 y 2006 de México [Abstention: A study of the 2000 and 2006 Mexican presidential elections]. Completed 2010.

9 Lucia Ixtacuy. Organizaciones Indígenas y Partidos Étnicos en Latinoamérica: Los Casos de Bolivia, Ecuador, y Guatemala [Indigenous Organizations and Ethnic Parties in Latin America: The Cases of Bolivia, Ecuador, and Guatemala]. Completed June Susanna Sanchez. Aprobación Gubernamental: Explicando la popularidad de Andrés Manuel López Obrador [Governmental Approval: Explaining the Popularity of Andrés Manuel López Obrador]. Completed December Diana Rangel. Actividad exterior de las entidades federativas de México [External Activity of the Mexican Federal Entities]. Completed August Carolina Varela Martínez. Poderes partidarios del ejecutivo en sistemas presidenciales [Partisan Powers of National Executives in Presidential Systems]. Completed February Susan Niederstrasser Fuentes. Atención al parto en el sector público y en el sector privado: Análisis del factor hospitarlario y su contribución a los altos indices de cesarean en México [The Birth Process in the Public and Private Sectors: Analysis of Hospital Medical Environments and their Contribution to the High Incidence of Cesarean Sections in Mexico]. Completed December Francisco Javier Rojas. La Calidad de la Educación en México: Un Análisis a Partir de P.I.S.A [Educational Quality in Mexico: An Anlysis Using PISA Data]. Completed March University and Academic Service University Service: Comité de Biblioteca, [Library Committee], CIDE, Fall 2005 to Spring Comité de Ética, [Ethics Committee], CIDE, Fall Comité de Selección, [Chair of Job Search Committee], CIDE, Spring 2007, Fall 2007, Fall Comité de Titulación, Licenciatura en Ciencias Políticas y Relaciones Internacionales [Degree Conferral Committee, Undergraduate Program in Political Science and International Relations], CIDE. Consejo Técnico, Licenciaturas en Ciencias Políticas y Relaciones Internacionales, Económia, y Estudios Juridicos [Tecnical Council, Undergraduate Programs in Political Science and International Relations, Economics, and Legal Studies], CIDE. Junta de Profesores, Licenciaturas en Ciencias Políticas y Relaciones Internacionales, Económia, y Estudios Juridicos [Board of Professors, Undergraduate Programs in Political Science and International Relations, Economics, and Legal Studies], CIDE. Journal Reviews: American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, Canadian Journal of Latin American and Caribbean Studies, El Trimestre Económico, Comparative Politics, Comparative Political Studies, Journal of Politics, Journal of Politics in Latin America, Journal of Theoretical Politics, Latin American Politics & Society, Latin American Research Review, Legislative Studies Quarterly, Política y Gobierno, Political Research Quarterly, Publius: The Journal of Federalism, Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales, World Development.

10 Professional Memberships (by Invitation Only) Miembro del Sistema Nacional de Investigadores, Nivel II, Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología, Gobierno de México [Member of the National System of Researchers, Level II, National Council for Science and Technology, Government of Mexico]. Miembro del Consejo de Investigación, Reforma, Grupo Reforma, México, [Member of Mexican Daily Newspaper Reforma Research Council], January 2007 December 2007; January 2012 December Miembro del Consejo Mexicano de Asuntos Internacionales, México (COMEXI) [Member of the Mexican Council on Foreign Affairs], March present. External Consulting Work Eurasia Group, New York, New York, September 2008 to April Analysis of Mexican political and policy risk for financial institutions, multinational corporations, oil majors, and US government. Medley Global Advisors, New York, New York, December 2005 April Analysis of Mexican political and policy risk for financial institutions. Scotiabank Inverlat, Mexico City, May Analysis of Mexican politics and policy risk for conferences held in Mexico City, Monterrey (Mexico), Boston, and New York. Eurasia Group, New York, New York, August 2005 December Analysis of Mexican political risk for financial institutions, US government, and oil majors. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (Inter-American Development Bank), The Latin American Research Network, Political Institutions, Policymaking Processes and Policy Outcomes Project, September 2003 September Part of CIDE team contracted to evaluate policy- making in Mexico. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (Inter-American Development Bank), Red del Gestión y Transparencia del Diálogo Regional de Política, June 15 - December 2, Mexican consultant for a project evaluating Latin American public sector employment and civil service systems. Selected Financial Institution Presentations: Banamex/Citigroup, Bear Stearns, Credit Suisse. Statistical and Formal Analytic Methods Linear Regression Maximum Likelihood Estimation ARCH/GARCH Models Longitudinal Analysis Foreign Languages Spanish (fluent)

11 French (advanced comprehension) Last Updated: July 2013