6 6 My Background and Who We Are Benefits of Day Trading & Swing Trading with WEEKLY Options A Dynamic Price Cycle Timing Model for All Asset Classes Powerful Break-out Strategies Hidden Gem WEEKLY Option Expiration Strategies Money Show Giveaway Power Bar Break Out Strategy Money Show Special Kitchen Sink Offer
7 7 Who Is Larry Gaines Anyway? I have been trading and brokering commodities and financial markets for over thirty years. Over twenty years ago, I started trading newly created option contracts on cargoes of North Sea Brent Crude Oil, and traded millions of barrels of these crude oil options. My trading career first began with cargoes of foreign crude oil for legendary oilman Oscar Wyatt, founder of the Coastal Corporation, a large publicly listed integrated oil company in the 80 s. For over ten years, I managed the international oil trading and marketing group for Transworld Oil Bermuda, one of the largest oil trading companies in the world. My group traded billions of dollars worth of oil, foreign exchange and financial market derivatives. It was not uncommon for us to trade over a billion dollars worth of commodity derivatives in a single day.
8 8 I am the founder and CEO of Power Cycle Trading, Home to the Options On The Open Virtual Trading Room, where individuals learn how to generate greater returns from their investment capital with less risk exposure. Utilizing my thirty years of professional trading experience, I developed a simple yet highly accurate price cycle trading system that individual traders can easily learn and use to level the playing field with the Wall Street pros. The Power Cycle Trading(tm)Model gives traders or investors the ability to recognize and capitalize on the beginning of a trend rather than the end.
9 9 So let s get started on this journey to becoming a successful trader
10 10 It is important to understand that becoming a successful trader or even a great trader is a journey. There is no perfect trader or perfect system but when you have a system that is highly accurate, and a teacher and mentor with over 30 years of real trading experience, your journey to achieving success becomes much quicker and easier.
11 11 90% of Trading Success is determined by mental and emotional control. If you are not in control of your emotions, then you are doomed as a trader. As someone who has spent their entire professional career in trading, I know first hand that the best way to take control of your emotions is accomplished by trading with a proven high probability trading system and using good risk management.
12 12 There is a great saying in trading: Anything can work sometimes, nothing works all the time and very few things work most of the time. So as a trader, wouldn t it be great to have an investing or trading methodology that works MOST OF THE TIME? This is what I offer our members at Power Cycle Trading. Today I will go over this trading methodology which incorporates the use of our dynamic trading system with WEEKLY Options to provide our members a system that does work MOST OF THE TIME!
13 Who we are. 13
15 15 Personally knowing you and your trading reputation for the last thirty years, I kept on remembering your words each totally frustrating trade I made the rest of that week. Today I made six option trades in Apple.5 wins and 1 small loss for a total net profit of $230 per contract. Your indicators guided me through each of these trades. There is no way I would have even thought about day trading options in Apple prior to buying your course. Will ~ Houston, Texas
16 16 "Thanks Larry for developing such a simple to use trading system that has helped me to get more winning trades. I have been very impressed and feel confidant following your system. I have gotten 80% successful trades and on my first CASH trade I made a 15% return!" Mahbub ~ Dallas, Texas
17 17 As seen in the Options on the Open Trading Room. 9:36 AM EST ~ Will from Texas ~ "Day in day out your indicators just continue to impress me Larry! 9:41 AM EST ~ Stewart from Wales, U.K. ~ "Totally agree with Will. Profit target reached again already thanks Larry. You can count me in until I die, so please never retire! Will just listen in and read comments for rest of the day." Notice the time!
18 18 While I ve traded credit spreads for years, I ve enjoyed and profited from some exciting new strategies that have less risk and more reward. Larry is an excellent teacher and sticks to high probability trades It s a winner!! Lee ~ Naples, Florida
19 19 The Power of WEEKLY Options ~ LEVERAGE at a LOW COST ~
20 20 Trading Benefits of WEEKLY Options
21 21 When day trading or swing trading stocks I use Weekly Options which offer some exceptional trading benefits. One primary benefits is.. Leverage at an extremely low cost
22 22 WEEKLY options now account for nearly 12% of the 300+ MILLION option contracts traded every month. Options On The Open is one of the very few educational services that teach how to day trade and swing trade WEEKLYs in a virtual trading room using our proven trading system the Power Cycle Trading(tm)Model. WEEKLYS are still a relatively new contract but should not be overlooked for they offer huge trading benefits, if you know how to use them. Some of the more exciting stocks like Apple and Google, WEEKLYs now make up a whopping 40% of all option volume traded! New options are available each Thursday and expire the next Friday, 8 days later.
23 23 Their Benefits Weeklys are cheap... since expiration is within days, and often hours, you can purchase At-The-Money Weeklys for as little as $5 or $10 per contract... Weeklys have unlimited profit potential... They can move 500%, 800%, 1,000% or more on a very regular basis. Contrast that with regular options. Weeklys are easily traded securities... They trade just like stocks. And volume is very high so liquidity has never been a problem. Weeklys bring in 333% more low-risk income... Weekly options give you 52 times a year to profit from low-risk, non-directional & directional income strategies more opportunities every year.
24 24 WEEKLYS are for everyone - not just the pros. Options have managed to get a bad rep over the years - despite being used by practically every professional investor out there. This is because most education offered on options is so difficult and complex that new traders are simply overwhelmed. I use what I call the Practical Way of Trading Options to teach option trading ~ this approach is focused on Option Delta & Market Timing Market Timing is the single most important factor in assessing a stock's likely price movement. Traders realize the importance of market timing, but just don't have what they need to get this information quickly and accurately. But with my Price Cycle Trading System, our members at Options On The Open have an almost 'unfair' advantage.
25 Combining the accuracy of the PCTM with Weekly Option trading has regularly demonstrated outstanding profits ranging from 25% to greater than 400% over a one to five day period in our virtual trading room at Options on the Open. The dynamics of these short duration Weeklys offer us exceptional trading benefits: The ability to make money with lower risk Low capital requirements Shortened time frame for trading Higher profits Higher return on capital Weekly trading opportunities 25
26 Some simple facts about WEEKLY Options 26
27 27 The value of an option is determined by: Time Value X Implied Volatility X Intrinsic/Extrinsic value By using Weekly Option s for day trading & swing trading we have been able to better utilize their beneficial factors of; time decay, volatility and option delta, creating a forceful triple win trading formula and Then by combining our highly accurate directional price cycle ~ break-out system we have created one really great High Probability Trading Methodology.
32 Our trading success starts with the Power Cycle Trading(tm)Model which we use for all day trades & swing trades. 32
33 33 As a professional trader I have spent thousands of hours and thousands of dollars on trading systems. I was paid well into the millions to analyze and implement trades for others. I have used, reviewed and developed many different trading systems, and in my opinion, the ones that perform best have a medium complexity, not too simple yet not too complex.
34 You can use the Power Cycle Trading Model to trade successfully across all asset classes and time frames. 34 It is Universal. It can be used by investors or traders for market timing the MACRO & Long Term Trends of the markets, OR by traders wanting highly accurate entries for swing trades and day trades..it covers them all.. Our focus in the Options On The Open Virtual Trading Room is day trading and swing trading both Options & Futures using the PCTM.
35 35 The Power Cycle Trading(tm)System is based on a 4-step price cycle trading model. It uses four powerful indicators to signal a price cycle change by identifying: A defined price range Price volatility Change in price cycle Change in price cycle momentum
36 36 We use this same model of indicators across 2 to 4 different time frames for all trade set-ups & trigger entries. This is a trade confirming process. This combination has created a trading system that has an average winning percentage of over 75%.
37 To further enhance the accuracy of this Trading Model we incorporate Moving Averages & Trend Lines for Break-Out Trades & Trade Management. 37
38 38 Trend Line Break-Outs A simple strategy when used correctly
39 39 Trend Lines ~ The correct way to construct Supply and demand dictate price movement and the use of Trend Lines. Trend Lines are universally used but the construction of them can be very dissimilar from one person to the next causing for a very subjective interpretation. Consistency and uniformity are totally lacking. There is one effective method that will make constructing a trend line consistent and mechanical, making it no longer subjective.
40 40 The difficulty, when creating these lines, involves the specific points to select and connect (review charts below). Human nature often interferes in the proper construction of these lines. We are accustomed to review the historical price activity of a market from past to present, with the dates reading from left to right. As a result, the demand and supply lines of a trend line are drawn and extended from the left side of the chart to the right. Intuitively, this is incorrect, recent price activity is more significant than historical movement. So precision and accuracy demand that the lines be extended from right to left with the most recent date appearing at the right side of the chart.
41 41 Supply Pivot Points A supply trend line is the declining price movement as defined by a down sloping supply line as well as the pattern of both lower price highs and lows. The Supply Pivot Point is when there is a Price High that is not exceeded by the Prior Price or the Price immediately after. This is a Pivot High.
42 Apple 5 Minute Chart showing a Descending Supply Trend Lines 42
46 46 Demand Pivot Points The Demand Pivot Point is when there is a Lower Price that is lower than the Prior Price and the Price immediately after. This is a Pivot Low.
47 S&P 500 Daily Chart showing an Ascending Demand Trend Line 47
48 SPY 5 Minute Bar Chart showing an Ascending Demand Trend Line 48
49 49 Friday s WEEKLY Option Expiration ~ Strategies ~ Volatility Collapse Income Strategy Advanced Directional Strategy
50 50 Screening Steps For Friday Expiration Trades Looking for stocks that are susceptible to a short squeeze Looking for stocks that may break-out (Up or Down). Trend line analysis is used Use the Power Cycle Trading(tm)Model for all entries Pinning analysis done on all stocks or ETFs being considered
52 52 Option Chain ~ Strike Pinning Analysis The strike closest to the underlying asset price, on the close, at expiration is referred to the pinning strike. To screen for Friday Expiration Trades Pinning Analysis is done on every stock or ETF being considered for a trade.
53 53 One major key to a successful Weekly Option Expiration Trades is in the selection of the strike that is traded for Pinning. The main component of this analysis deals with option open interest and volume of the options that expire on Friday. The formula for this analysis is based on total volume (call Open Interest plus daily call volume plus put Open Interest plus put daily volume). This is done on Thursday, 1 day, prior to Friday s Option Expiration.
54 54 This statistical overview identifies the strike with the most activity. On expiration there is a high probability that the market will push price towards the most active strike by the close on expiration. There are so many market forces in play and this information highlights the most active strikes to watch and trade.
55 Option Chain APPLE 55
56 56 The Option Chain of APPL showed the open interest volume skewed to the $670 Calls with the most total volume building at the $665 Calls. $665 Total Volume: Call O.I. 8,659 + call volume 95,295 + put volume 60,537 + Put O.I. 9,297 = Total Volume of 173,788 For a thorough analysis over a number of stocks you can use a spread sheet to display total volumes:
57 57 How to use? In this example the open interest total volume on calls is more than the puts (a call volume skew) and indicates the potential for a bullish close towards the $665 & $670 Call Strike at close. This gives me a bullish closing bias & has me looking for long WEEKLY Option Strategies.
58 58 Volatility Collapse Income Strategy Short selling WEEKLY Puts for volatility collapse on Friday Option Expiration. This strategy benefits from an increase in the price of the underlying asset or a decrease in volatility. The risk is almost unlimited as the underlying asset falls. The profit is limited to the amount collected in option premium. The highest profitability for maximum profit occurs when the put strike price chosen to short is ATM or ITM and is OTM at the close on expiration.
59 59 When one sells an option you collect that premium but now hold the option position with potential liability. For this reason the seller of a put or call is required to put up some collateral to hold the position. This collateral is not a cost. It is simply a deposit made with funds from one s trading account and is known as margin. So when you consider the return on capital the only capital is the risk free interest that could be earned on funds used for collateral. This is creates great leverage.
61 Option Chain AAPL 8/31/
62 Apple Daily Chart 62
63 63 Apple 400 tick chart Friday Expiration 8/31/12 Closed at $665.24
64 Apple $670 Put 15 minute Friday Expiration 8/31/12 Apple $670 Put closed ITM at $
65 Apple $665 Put 15 minute Friday Expiration 8/31/12 Apple $665 Put closed OTM at $
66 66 Returns on Apple short put strategy Short $670 Puts: Expired ITM ~ covered before close Premium received $800 per contract Covered ~ bought $475 per contract Gross profit ~ $325 per contract Return on Capital Out: 68.42% Short $665 Puts ~ Expired worthless OTM Premium received $300 per contract Expired worthless Gross profit ~ $300 per contract Return on Capital Out: 100%
67 Option Chain GLD 8/31/
68 GLD Daily Chart 68
69 GLD 2 minute chart 8/31/
70 Gold Futures December contract 2 minute chart 70
71 GLD $162 Put 15 minute chart 8/31/
72 72 Returns on GLD short put strategy Short $162 Puts: Expired worthless OTM Premium received $160 per contract Expired worthless Gross profit ~ $160 per contract Return on Capital Out: 100%
73 Advanced Directional Strategy 73 Friday Expiration Day ~ day trade only Buy Single Options (Puts or Calls) ~ cheap options with defined low risk due to volatility collapse on expiration $5/contract, $1o/contract, $25/contract, $50/contract Looking for stocks that are susceptible to a short squeeze Looking for stocks that may break-out (Up or Down). Trend line analysis is used Use the Power Cycle Trading(tm)Model for all entries Pinning analysis done on all stocks or ETFs being considered Potential Profits 50% ~ 1,000% plus
76 76 Advanced Directional Strategy ~ NFLX Bought at open 3/16/12 ~ Friday expiration the $110 call at$11/contract $110 calls high at $174/contract/closed at $127/contract Net gain ~ $127/contract - $11/contract = $116/contract or 1,055% Return on Capital!
81 81 Advanced Directional Strategy ~ BIDU Bought at open 1/27/12 ~ Friday expiration the $130 call at$5/contract $130 call closed at $145/contract Net gain ~ $145/contract - $5/contract = $140/contract or 2,800% Return on Capital!
Swing Trade Warrior Chapter 1. Introduction to swing trading and how to understand and use options How does Swing Trading Work? The idea behind swing trading is to capitalize on short term moves of stocks
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