1 Theory Choice and the Intransitivity of Is a Better Theory Than * Peter Baumann There is a very plausible transitivity principle for theory choice. It says that if all criteria of theory evaluation are considered, and theory A is a better theory than theory B, and theory B is a better theory than theory C, then A is a better theory than C. I argue against this principle. It turns out that whenever there are two or more relevant and independent criteria of theory evaluation, and that whenever at least of one the criteria is nonlinear in a certain sense, there may be violations of transitivity that do not violate any standards of rationality (of theory choice). This shows, again, that theory choice cannot be seen as merely the application of given rules of rational theory choice. 1. Introduction. Suppose there is good evidence for assuming that Mary has gone swimming (p): She has told me so yesterday. However, there is even better evidence that she has not gone swimming, but is in her office instead (q): The office door is wide open as I can clearly see. But there is even better evidence that she is not in her office, but in the copying room (r): I have just met Jack, who never ever lies and who is very reliable; he tells me that he s just seen Mary at the copying machine. Let us also assume that the quality of the evidence is the only thing that counts with respect to the rational acceptance of the three propositions in the example. We can then say that if the person has better evidence for one proposition (q) than another (p), then she has better reasons to accept q than to accept p. One could also say: She is better justified in accepting q than in accepting p. Let R(q, p) stand for the person [e.g., *Received December 2003; revised July To contact the author, please write to: Department of Philosophy, University of Aberdeen, Old Brewery, Aberdeen, United Kingdom, AB24 3UB; I would like to thank the following persons for comments and discussions: Gisela Cramer, Hugh Lacey, Abdul Raffert, Howard Sankey, and two anonymous referees. Philosophy of Science, 72 (January 2005) pp /2005/ $10.00 Copyright 2005 by the Philosophy of Science Association. All rights reserved. 231
2 232 PETER BAUMANN me in the example above] has better reasons, all things considered, to accept q than to accept p. In our example the following is true: R(q, p) & R(r, q). There seems no doubt whatsoever that this implies R(r, p). Our example thus suggests a general principle about reasons (or justifications) for accepting propositions (or sets of propositions, or theories) as true: (T) For all propositions (or sets of propositions, or theories) p, q, and r: [R(q, p) &R(r, q)] r R(r, p). One can call this the principle of the transitivity of reasons. 1 (T) seems to work in everyday cases, as well in cases of theory choice. In the latter case, R is a relation that holds between two theories A and B(R(A, B)), if and only if A is (overall) a better theory than B taking all relevant criteria of theory evaluation into account. The relevance of those criteria is, of course, highly controversial; however, the argument in this paper does not presuppose any particular view on relevance; we can thus leave this topic aside here. The argument that follows is so general in nature that it holds (if, indeed, it does hold) no matter what one s particular views about rational acceptability of theories (R) are. We can thus also leave this topic aside here. Suppose there are three competing theories under discussion in a scientific community. Let us assume for a short moment that the quality of the evidence that speaks in favor of a theory is the only thing that matters when it comes to rational acceptability of theories. After some time, the scientists come to the conclusion that theory 1 is better supported by the evidence than theory 2, and that theory 2 is better supported by the evidence than theory 3. It seems that there is no further discussion necessary about which theory to accept or choose: Theory 1 must also be better supported by the evidence than theory 3. Hence, it must be the best theory in this situation (given, of course, that only the quality of the evidence counts). (T) looks like an essential aspect of the rational acceptance of the rational belief in propositions, sets of propositions, or theories. Apart from all that, (T) looks like an (almost) trivially true statement about the nature of rational epistemic choice. But, it is not. I will argue here that it is neither trivial nor true. This goes against a basic assumption of 1. I am only talking about epistemic, not pragmatic, reasons to accept propositions or theories.
3 INTRANSITIVITY OF IS A BETTER THEORY THAN 233 decision theoretic approaches to epistemic rationality. 2 In the following, I will restrict myself to the case of theory choice. 3 Icannotpresentacase study here (this would require another paper), but instead, I only intend to present a general argument. It will proceed in two steps as detailed in Sections 2 and First Step: The Basic Idea. There is let us assume more than one criterion for the evaluation of scientific theories: support by empirical evidence counts a lot, but so does explanatory power, simplicity, and other factors. 4 Assume further, that the plurality of criteria is irreducible such that none of them can be explained in terms of one or more of the other criteria. Let us, for the sake of argument, also assume that the three criteria just mentioned are all the relevant criteria, and that they are independent in the sense that the quality of a theory in one dimension does not imply anything (or at least not very much) about how good the theory is with respect to the other dimensions of evaluation. 5 Suppose that three theories call them A, B, and C are under discussion in a scientific community. Let us further suppose that the following is also true. A can clearly explain more than C, and it can explain everything C explains, but in a much more convincing way. On the other hand, C is clearly better supported by the data and not as complicated (a theory) as A. Which of the two theories should one accept? 2. Epistemic choice, or theory choice, is just a special case of choice in general. There are thus parallels between this paper and the (recent) discussions about transitivity in decision theory. For the classical view that rational choice requires transitivity cf., e.g., Ramsey 1990, 75, 78; von Neumann and Morgenstern 1953, 26 27; Luce and Raiffa 1957, 23, 25, 28; Savage 1972, 18; Jeffrey 1974, 391. Cf. for different views: Tversky 1969; Schumm 1987; Bar-Hillel and Margalit 1988; Fishburn 1991; Anand 1993, 55ff.; Gendin Cf. also Broome 1993, 53ff., Broome 1991, 80ff., and the discussion between Hughes 1980, Lee 1984, Philips 1989, and Rawling For empirical studies on intransitive preferences, cf. Tversky I will not consider the case of theories that are so poor that they are not worth serious consideration by a theorist or scientist. The kinds of theories I have in mind would all pass a threshold of minimal acceptability. They are all good in this sense. What follows is about problems with the alleged transitivity of the better than relation among those (good enough) theories. 4. Cf., e.g., Kuhn 1977, ; Lacey 1999, 58ff. Bayesians (cf. Howson and Urbach 1989) would deny this; I cannot go into this here. I am also assuming that none of the criteria is mistaken in one way or another. If one has doubts concerning one of the criteria above, one can easily choose alternative ones (given pluralism of criteria) such that the structure of the argument would remain unchanged. 5. We could also assume that they are mostly independent, but for the sake of simplicity, it is more convenient to assume total independence; nothing substantial hinges on this simplification.
4 234 PETER BAUMANN A lot depends on how one weighs the different criteria against each other: How important, for instance, is explanatory power in comparison with support by data? One rather extreme view would have it that there is a lexical ordering of different criteria. This seems pretty unrealistic, though. Another extreme view would say that there is no way to compare the relative importance of the different evaluative criteria relevant for theory choice; this would lead to some kind of incommensurability. 6 However, we can resist this view. There might be no context-independent and general ways of weighing the different criteria against each other, but in at least many particular situations of scientific theory choice, scientists seem able to clearly weigh the criteria against each other (cf., e.g., Sankey 1994, 176). Only for the sake of simplicity, will I assume for a moment that in our example that the three criteria are equally important (nothing essential hinges on this assumption; I will later skip this assumption). 7 All this suggests is that the scientists have better reasons overall to prefer C to A. This might change over time, as new data come in, or more sophisticated versions of the original theories are developed; in the particular situation at hand, however, C seems to be the better theory (as we can also say). 8 Let us now assume that the following is true about theories A, B, and C. With respect to explanatory power, A is better than B, and B is better than C. With respect to support by data, B is better than C, and C is better than A. With respect to simplicity, C is better than A, and A is better than B. We can illustrate this in the following way (the first, second, and third row gives us the best, second best, and worst theory, as evaluated by the relevant criterion): Theory Ranking Explanatory Power Support by Data Simplicity Best A B C Second best B C A Worst C A B Given our assumptions, we would have to say that all things considered, 6. Though not of the Kuhnian sort (cf. Kuhn 1962). For an argument of the above kind, cf. Sankey A similar argument can be made for the case in which the criteria are of different importance. The exposition would just become a bit more complicated. 8. For purely stylistic reasons, I will not explicitly mention the reference to a particular context or situation from now on.
5 INTRANSITIVITY OF IS A BETTER THEORY THAN 235 C is a better theory than A (it beats A 2:1 on the relevant criteria). Also, A is better than B, and B is better than C. In other words: R(C, A) & R(A, B) & R(B, C). This, however, clearly goes against (T). Since it is hard to see why there should be something wrong with the individual evaluations, it seems to follow that the relation is a better theory than is not transitive (with better understood as better all things considered ). There is no best theory in this context. Whichever theory one chooses, there always seems to be a better theory on offer. I have assumed pluralism in the sense that there is an irreducible plurality of criteria without lexical ordering. If one wants to keep the question of pluralism open, one would have to replace the thesis above by a weaker, conditional thesis: If pluralism is true, then rational theory choice does not obey the transitivity rule. 3. Second Step: Further Aspects and Some Objections. One could object that the above comparison of the three theories neglects the possibility that, e.g., the difference in explanatory power between A and C might be much bigger or should weigh much more than their difference with respect to support by empirical data. Should one not take such differences into account? It is not clear whether this makes sense at all: Can we, for instance, measure different degrees of explanatory power of scientific theories, and compare it with differences in simplicity? Let us, for the sake of the argument (or, for the sake of the objection) assume that we can (more or less roughly) measure different degrees to which a theory can meet a given criterion. Let us further and also for the sake of the argument assume that there are just two relevant criteria: explanatory power and simplicity; we can assume that our three theories do not differ with respect to how well they are supported by evidence. Would transitivity of rational choice always hold under these conditions? I will argue that the answer is no. Suppose there are three competing theories: D, E, and F. D explains things much better than E, but is also more complicated. However, the difference in simplicity is not so big that it really counts much, whereas the difference in explanatory power really matters. Hence, all things considered, D is better than E. Similar things hold for E and F: E is a bit more complicated, but explains much better than F. Hence, E is better than F. What about D and F? Suppose F is clearly and remarkably simpler than D so much simpler that it really matters. It matters more than the difference in explanatory power. Hence, F is better than D, all things considered. Again, we have an intransitive ranking among our three theories. There is no best theory, and for any given theory from our three competing theories, there is always a better theory. Again, there is no
6 236 PETER BAUMANN reason to believe that there is something wrong with the different evaluations of the theory. 9 Or, to put it in terms of our weaker, conditional thesis: If pluralism is true, then there is rational acceptability of intransitive rankings of theories. One might want to propose the following way out of intransitive circles. In a first step, one determines for each of the different criteria how good a given theory is with respect to that criterion. One could do this in a quantitative way and assign real numbers that measure the goodness of a theory in one dimension (defined by one of the criteria of evaluation). 10 Assuming that the different criteria constitute different dimensions of one and the same quality of goodness of a theory, one can then compute the overall goodness of a theory with respect to the different criteria. Since one can do all this for each of the theories under review one can in the end compare the (absolute) goodness of different theories in quantitative terms. There are many problems with this proposal. One is quite simple: It assumes monism, that is, the idea that in the end there is only one criterion that matters, namely goodness. Apart from the doubts concerning monism mentioned above, there is an additional problem with this proposal: It is not clear at all what goodness is supposed to be (if it does not reduce to the different aspects of evaluation captured by the different criteria). It does not seem to be an independent, substantial criterion at all. Whenever we say that a given theory is a good one, we have to specify criteria of evaluation with respect to what makes it a good one. But, then the alleged way out of intransitivity leads us back to where we started. Another way to avoid intransitivity of rational theory choice would be to introduce some kind of metaevaluation of the criteria of theory choice. I have assumed here that no criteria are mistaken in any way. Metaevaluation could then only be about the relative importance of the different criteria. However (as should be plausible by now), the argument presented here does not only not exclude or ignore this aspect, but rather takes it into account from the start (see above). Larry Laudan (cf. 1987, 1990) defends a normative naturalism according to which we can resolve deep methodological disputes by engaging in some metaevaluation of the different methods used. According to Laudan, one method is better than another one, if it does a better job in reaching its cognitive aim. Be it as it may Laudan s point concerns the evaluation of methods of inquiry, and not of criteria of evaluation of theories (which is something different). 9. One would have to beg the question in favor of transitivity in order to hold this view. 10. Perhaps using methods along the lines of those proposed by Ramsey 1990, and by von Neumann and Morgenstern 1953,
7 INTRANSITIVITY OF IS A BETTER THEORY THAN 237 Hence, it does not seem to make sense to extend Laudan s metamethodology to the evaluation of criteria. Apart from that: What constitutes a valuable cognitive aim depends on the correct criteria of evaluation. Laudan s metamethodology takes the latter as given which we cannot do here if we want to engage in the proposed metaevaluation of criteria. 11 What now could explain the (rational) possibility of intransitive rankings of theories? Consider our initial example about Mary: It does not speak against (T). We can now see why: There was only one criterion of evaluation. In the case of theories D, E, and F, however, there are two independent criteria: simplicity and explanatory power. Furthermore, at least one of these criteria (simplicity) is nonlinear in the sense that small differences (say between theories F and E, or E and D above) do not matter much (or not at all) to the chooser, but as they add up (see the case of theories F and D above), their importance for theory choice might suddenly be much bigger. 12 There might be thresholds of complexity: Small differences of complexity might be completely negligible up to a certain point; if they are even slightly greater than the threshold value, then they might suddenly make all the difference (or at least a huge difference). But even without such thresholds, the function that maps degrees of complexity onto degrees of goodness of a theory, with respect to simplicity, might not be linear. 13 In other words: If there are two or more relevant criteria for the evaluation of theories, and if at least one of those criteria is nonlinear, then 11. For the limits of metaevaluation, cf. Sankey 1994, and Brown What exactly does nonlinearity mean? Suppose there are two relatively unimportant phenomena P and Q.Supposefurtherthattheonlyrelevantdifferencebetween two given theories T1 and T2 is that T1 can explain P but not Q, whereas T2 can explain Q but not P. SupposealsothatthetheoristisindifferentbetweenT1andT2. In other words, it is as (un)important to be able to explain P as to explain Q. Wecan now use this measure of equal (un)importance for an explanation of nonlinearity. Take theories F and E above and assume, again, that F is only slightly simpler than E: The theorist is indifferent between the advantage in simplicity F has over E (and E over D) on the one hand, and the explanatory advantage of being able to explain P over not being able to explain P on the other hand. Now, if the chooser is not indifferent between (a) the advantage in simplicity F has over D and (b) the explanatory advantage of being able to explain P and Q over not being able to explain either P or Q, then the simplicity criterion is not linear (at least when it comes to differences as those between F, E, and D). More could be said about nonlinearity but these remarks should be sufficient here. 13. Again, this discussion is based on the controversial assumption that there are degrees of complexity, evidential support, explanatory power, etc., that we can somehow measure. One can deny all this. This, however, does not amount to an objection to the argument above, but rather to a rejection of the whole discussion: One would neither accept (T). I can live with that, because my aim here is to throw doubt on (T).
8 238 PETER BAUMANN transitivity of rational theory choice (i.e., (T)) might be violated. Multiplicity of criteria is necessary, but not sufficient, for the rational acceptability of some intransitive preferences among theories. The same holds for nonlinearity: It is necessary for it, but not sufficient. Pluralism and nonlinearity are individually necessary, and jointly sufficient conditions, for the rational acceptability of some intransitive preferences among theories. I am not saying that rational theory choice will always violate transitivity (according to (T)) if those two conditions are given; the point is, rather, that it can (but need not) be rationally acceptable to violate transitivity, given those conditions. It is very realistic to assume that there is more than just one independent criterion for the evaluation of scientific theories and that there is no lexical ordering of criteria. It is also realistic to assume that at least some of those criteria would be nonlinear. Hence, we have good reasons to doubt and reject (T). Or, if one wants to keep the question of pluralism open: If pluralism is true, then rational theory choice does not obey the transitivity axiom (T). The upshot is this: The violation of transitivity, as explained by (T), might be a common phenomenon in science whenever there is a choice between more than two competing theories. More important even: Such transitivity might be violated in such a way that there is no reason at all to say that there is something wrong or irrational about the way the scientists evaluate the different theories. The life of science could just be like that. In some cases (not all, of course), rational choice between theories violates the transitivity assumption. And, similar things can presumably be said about cases from everyday life, at least if they show a certain complexity and are not as simple as the initial example about Mary. 14 One final objection: Have I not completely ignored the normative question of how someone who chooses among several theories ought to choose? Should I not say something about how a rational chooser ought to weigh the different criteria of theory choice? Isn t there, for instance, anormativequestionaboutwhetheragivencriterionoughttobelinear or not (and if not: in what ways it ought to be nonlinear)? I have indeed not dealt with this whole normative dimension. Fortunately, this does not do any damage: Take any normative view about theory choice, and the same problem with intransitivity will come up within that framework (given criteria pluralism). Hence, we can leave the whole normative dimension aside here. 14. As I have said above, I have restricted myself to minimally acceptable theories. The argument here does thus not exploit features of those theories that are unworthy of consideration.
9 INTRANSITIVITY OF IS A BETTER THEORY THAN Conclusion. But how is rational comparison between theories or between propositions possible if all that is true? If the possibility of a rational answer to the question, Which theory should we choose? presupposes that there is always a best theory (or a group of equally good theories such that no theory is better), then there cannot always be a rational answer in that sense. However, if what I have said above is true, then we should not be too obsessed with the idea that there must always be a best theory. What matters is that the theories we choose from are good enough. Furthermore, the phenomenon of intransitivity might be a passing one: As new additional evidence comes up to mention just one dimension of evaluation the intransitivity might disappear. Intransitivity might be an unstable phenomenon; it is hard to think of a case in the history of science in which intransitivity did not disappear after a relatively short time. All this does not lead to Kuhnian incommensurability. It could still be true that for all theories (or, alternatively, propositions) A and B: R(A, B) R(B, A) E(A, B) where E stands for is equally good a theory as. But in another respect, one would probably be tempted to agree with Kuhn: Theory choice or, more generally, the acceptance of certain propositions is not (always) a purely rational process, or just the application of some algorithm. It also includes more pragmatic elements (not just epistemic criteria): what appeals to a group of researchers at a time, and what they can manage to persuade each other of. REFERENCES Anand, Paul (1993), Foundations of Rational Choice Under Risk. Oxford: Clarendon. Bar-Hillel, Maya, and Avishai Margalit (1988), How Vicious Are Cycles of Intransitive Choice?, Theory and Decision 24: Broome, John (1991), Rationality and the Sure-Thing Principle, in Gay Meeks (ed.), Thoughtful Economic Man. Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress, (1993), Can a Humean Be Moderate?, in Raymond Gillespie Frey and Christopher W. Morris (eds.), Value, Welfare, and Morality. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Brown, Harold I. (1988), Rationality. London: Routledge. Fishburn, Peter C. (1991), Non-Transitive Preferences in Decision Theory, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4: Gendin, Sidney (1996), Why Preference Is Not Transitive, The Philosophical Quarterly 46: Howson, Colin, and Peter Urbach (1989), Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach. La Salle, IL: Open Court. Hughes, R. I. G. (1980), Rationality and Intransitive Preferences, Analysis 40: Jeffrey, Richard C. (1974), Preference among Preferences, The Journal of Philosophy 71: Kuhn, Thomas S. (1962), The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. (1977), Objectivity, Value Judgment, and Theory Choice, in Thomas S. Kuhn,
10 240 PETER BAUMANN The Essential Tension: Selected Studies in Scientific Tradition and Change. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, Lacey, Hugh (1999), Is Science Value Free? Values and Scientific Understanding. London: Routledge. Laudan, Larry (1987), Progress or Rationality? The Prospects for Normative Naturalism, American Philosophical Quarterly 24: (1990), Normative Naturalism, Philosophy of Science 57: Lee, Richard (1984), Preference and Transitivity, Analysis 44: Luce, R. Duncan, and Howard Raiffa (1957), Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey. NewYork:Wiley. Philips, Michael (1989), Must Rational Preferences Be Transitive?, The Philosophical Quarterly 39: Ramsey, Frank Plumpton (1990), Truth and Probability, in David Hugh Mellor (ed.), Philosophical Papers. Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress, Rawling, Piers (1990), The Ranking of Preference, The Philosophical Quarterly 40: Sankey, Howard (1994), Judgment and Rational Theory Choice, Methodology and Science 27: (1995), The Problem of Rational Theory Choice, Epistemologia 18: Savage, Leonard J. (1972), The Foundations of Statistics. New York: Dover Publications. Schumm, George F. (1987), Transitivity, Preference and Indifference, Philosophical Studies 52: Tversky, Amos (1969), Intransitivity of Preferences, Psychological Review 76: von Neumann, John, and Oskar Morgenstern (1953), Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton,NJ:PrincetonUniversityPress.
Lecture 8 The Subjective Theory of Betting on Theories Patrick Maher Philosophy 517 Spring 2007 Introduction The subjective theory of probability holds that the laws of probability are laws that rational
How does the problem of relativity relate to Thomas Kuhn s concept of paradigm? Eli Bjørhusdal After having published The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in 1962, Kuhn was much criticised for the use
NOÛS 43:4 (2009) 776 785 Critical Study David Benatar. Better Never To Have Been: The Harm of Coming into Existence (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006) ELIZABETH HARMAN Princeton University In this
International Journal for Philosophy of Religion 39:151-158 (June 1996) 9 1996 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. Mackie's treatment of miracles RICHARD OTTE University of California
Michael Lacewing Kant s deontological ethics DEONTOLOGY Deontologists believe that morality is a matter of duty. We have moral duties to do things which it is right to do and moral duties not to do things
The John Locke Lectures 2009 Being Realistic about Reasons T. M. Scanlon Lecture 3: Motivation and the Appeal of Expressivism The cognitivist view I have been defending has two important features in common
Subject area: Ethics Title: Injustice causes revolt. Discuss. 1 Injustice causes revolt. Discuss. When we explain phenomena we rely on the assertion of facts. The sun rises because the earth turns on its
Vivisection: Feeling Our Way Ahead? R. G. Frey Bowling Green State University In his paper "Lab Animals and The Art of Empathy", David Thomas presents his case against animal experimentation. That case
Perspectives in Philosophy Rene Descartes Descartes Philosophy is the search for certainty the search to know, for yourself, what is really true and really false to know which beliefs are reliable. However,
Fourth Quarter, 2006 Vol. 29, No. 4 Editor s Watch Sandel and Nagel on Abortion Last May, philosopher Thomas Nagel reviewed a book by Michael Sandel titled Public Philosophy in The New York Review of Books.
[Published in Dialectica 64 (2): 251 257, 2010, DOI: 10.1111/j.1746-8361.2010.01230.x. The definitive version is available at www.blackwell-synergy.com.] A Money-Pump for Acyclic Intransitive Preferences
DISCUSSION NOTE ATTRACTION, DESCRIPTION AND THE DESIRE-SATISFACTION THEORY OF WELFARE BY EDEN LIN JOURNAL OF ETHICS & SOCIAL PHILOSOPHY DISCUSSION NOTE OCTOBER 2016 URL: WWW.JESP.ORG COPYRIGHT EDEN LIN
Pascal s wager So far we have discussed a number of arguments for or against the existence of God. In the reading for today, Pascal asks not Does God exist? but Should we believe in God? What is distinctive
When Betting Odds and Credences Come Apart: More Worries for Dutch Book Arguments Darren BRADLEY and Hannes LEITGEB If an agent believes that the probability of E being true is 1/2, should she accept a
THE AUTONOMY OF PSYCHOLOGY Tim Crane, University College London Psychology has been considered to have an autonomy from the other sciences (especially physical science) in at least two ways: in its subject-matter
Review Bayesianism and Reliability Models and Simulations in Philosophy April 14th, 2014 Last Class: Difference between individual and social epistemology Why simulations are particularly useful for social
Book Review Jason Bridges The Architecture of Reason: The Structure and Substance of Rationality, by Robert Audi. New York: Oxford University Press, 2001. Pp. xvi + 286. H/b $65.00, P/b $29.95 [THIS IS
Why economics needs ethical theory by John Broome, University of Oxford For the meeting of the British Association for the Advancement of Science, London, 2000. Economics is a branch of ethics. Well, that
1 WHAT IS THE SWAMPING PROBLEM? Duncan Pritchard University of Edinburgh ABSTRACT. It is argued that the swamping problem is best understood in terms of an inconsistent triad of claims: (i) a general thesis
A review on Daniel Hausman (2012): Preference, value, choice, and welfare, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Aki Lehtinen Preferences as total subjective comparative evaluations I always look forward
General Philosophy Dr Peter Millican, Hertford College Lecture 3: Induction Hume s s Fork 2 Enquiry IV starts with a vital distinction between types of proposition: Relations of ideas can be known a priori
Boonin on the Future-Like-Ours Argument against Abortion Pedro Galvão Centro de Filosofia da Universidade de Lisboa David Boonin s recent book 1 is an impressively deep and detailed attempt to establish
Perspectives on Computer Intelligence Can computers think? In attempt to make sense of this question Alan Turing, John Searle and Daniel Dennett put fourth varying arguments in the discussion surrounding
[This essay originally appeared in the Encyclopedia of Ethics, 2nd edition, ed. Lawrence Becker and Charlotte Becker (New York: Routledge, 2001), vol. 2, pp. 947-50.] Killing And Letting Die Is it worse
Author s name: Arvi Pakaslahti Title of the paper: Act-utilitarianism, Relationships and Cheating Institutional affiliation: University of Turku E-mail address: email@example.com Telephone number:
Michael Lacewing Philosophical argument At the heart of philosophy is philosophical argument. Arguments are different from assertions. Assertions are simply stated; arguments always involve giving reasons.
Kant on Time Diana Mertz Hsieh (firstname.lastname@example.org) Kant (Phil 5010, Hanna) 28 September 2004 In the Transcendental Aesthetic of his Critique of Pure Reason, Immanuel Kant offers a series of dense arguments
Book Review of Rosenhouse, The Monty Hall Problem Leslie Burkholder 1 The Monty Hall Problem, Jason Rosenhouse, New York, Oxford University Press, 2009, xii, 195 pp, US $24.95, ISBN 978-0-19-5#6789-8 (Source
Self-locating belief and the Sleeping Beauty problem Adam Elga Analysis, 60(2): 143-147, 2000. In addition to being uncertain about what the world is like, one can also be uncertain about one s own spatial
Does rationality consist in responding correctly to reasons? John Broome Journal of Moral Philosophy, 4 (2007), pp. 349 74. 1. Rationality and responding to reasons Some philosophers think that rationality
Internal Critique: A Logic is not a Theory of Reasoning and a Theory of Reasoning is not a Logic Gilbert Harman Princeton University In order to understand the relations between reasoning and logic, it
44 ANALYSIS explicating logical truth, and, thus, also consequence and inconsistency. Let C1 and C2 be distinct moral codes formulated in English. Let C1 contain a norm N and C2 its negation. The moral
Any Non-welfarist Method of Policy Assessment Violates the Pareto Principle Louis Kaplow and Steven Shavell Harvard Law School and National Bureau of Economic Research The public at large, many policymakers,
124 JUSTICE This excerpt is from Michael J. Sandel, Justice: What's the Right Thing to Do?, pp. 124-129, by permission of the publisher. Questions for Kant Kant s moral philosophy is powerful and compelling.
What We Can Learn From The Skeptical Puzzle Tim Black In Iris: European Journal of Philosophy and Public Debate 1 (2009): 439-447 (This version might be different in certain respects from the published
Social Philosophy & Policy, vol. 9, no. 2 (1992), pp. 169-189 THE LIMITS OF WELL-BEING BY SHELLY KAGAN I. THE DIALECTIC What are the limits of well-being? This question nicely captures one of the central
1/9 Locke 1: Critique of Innate Ideas This week we are going to begin looking at a new area by turning our attention to the work of John Locke, who is probably the most famous English philosopher of all
ON GIVING PRIORITY TO POSSIBLE FUTURE PEOPLE Nils Holtug Philosophy Section Department of Media, Cognition and Communication email@example.com ABSTRACT: According to prioritarianism, roughly, it is better
ON EXTERNAL OBJECTS By Immanuel Kant From Critique of Pure Reason (1781) General Observations on The Transcendental Aesthetic To avoid all misapprehension, it is necessary to explain, as clearly as possible,
In Defense of Kantian Moral Theory University of California, Berkeley In this paper, I will argue that Kant provides us with a plausible account of morality. To show that, I will first offer a major criticism
MILD DILEMMAS Gregory Mellema Department of Philosophy Calvin College Grand Rapids, MI firstname.lastname@example.org Abstract. This paper argues that, while the existence of strong moral dilemmas is notoriously controversial,
Hume on identity over time and persons phil 20208 Jeff Speaks October 3, 2006 1 Why we have no idea of the self........................... 1 2 Change and identity................................. 2 3 Hume
Sorensen on Unknowable Obligations Theodore Sider Utilitas 7 (1995): 273 9 1. Access principles Vagueness in the phrase can know aside, the principle of Access An act is obligatory only if its agent can
24.00: Problems of Philosophy Prof. Sally Haslanger September 26, 200 I. Reasons: Inductive and Deductive Evidential Arguments from Evil We ve been considering whether it is rational to believe that an
Metaphysical preliminaries Ted Sider Properties seminar Our questions about properties affect and are affected by the choice of metaphysical tools certain key concepts that frame the debate. 1. Ontology
The Right of a State to Control Immigration Caleb Yong Nuffield College, Oxford email@example.com DRAFT only. Please do not cite. Comments very welcome. NOTE: This is a revised version of one
I ought never to act except in such a way that I can also will that my maxim should become a universal law. What does Kant mean by this, and does it give the right kind of guidance when we are choosing
Chapter 21: The Discounted Utility Model 21.1: Introduction This is an important chapter in that it introduces, and explores the implications of, an empirically relevant utility function representing intertemporal
Falsifiability Much discussion of the empirical status of social science in the past has revolved around Karl Popper's formulation of the doctrine of falsifiability. This idea has had a particularly noticeable
Skepticism about the external world & the problem of other minds So far in this course we have, broadly speaking, discussed two different sorts of issues: issues connected with the nature of persons (a
Forget about the correspondence theory of truth David Lewis The topic of truth is standardly presented as a contest between several rival theories of truth: the correspondence theory, the redundancy theory,
Ratio Juris. Vol. 13 No. 2 June 2000 (133±137) Alexy's Thesis of the Necessary Connection between Law and Morality* EUGENIO BULYGIN Abstract. This paper criticizes Alexy's argument on the necessary connection
Samples of Opening Paragraphs for a Short Philosophy Paper For Illustrative purposes only In what follows, you'll read 3 samples of opening paragraphs. The last example is a whole paper (on a topic totally
Traveling in A- and B- Time Theodore Sider The Monist 88 (2005): 329 335 Some say that presentism precludes time travel into the past since it implies that the past does not exist, but this is a bad argument.
Kant s Fundamental Principles of the Metaphysic of Morals G. J. Mattey Winter, 2015/ Philosophy 1 The Division of Philosophical Labor Kant generally endorses the ancient Greek division of philosophy into
Aquinas on Essence, Existence, and Divine Simplicity Strange but Consistent In the third question of the Summa Theologiae, Aquinas is concerned with divine simplicity. This is important for him both theologically
Approaches to Apologetics By John McClean Matthias Media (The Briefing #119; www.matthiasmedia.com.au/briefing). Used with permission. A poverty stricken student reaches the end of her financial resources
Descartes Fourth Meditation On human error Descartes begins the fourth Meditation with a review of what he has learned so far. He began his search for certainty by questioning the veracity of his own senses.
Philosophy 1100: Introduction to Ethics WRITING A GOOD ETHICS ESSAY The writing of essays in which you argue in support of a position on some moral issue is not something that is intrinsically difficult.
EPISTEMIC MERIT, INTRINSIC AND INSTRUMENTAL* Roderick Firth Harvard University Philosophers today are deeply divided by issues of a kind that can be described as "metaepistemological" -- issues concerning
On the Paradox of the Question Theodore Sider Analysis 57 (1997): 97 101 Ned Markosian (1997) tells a story in which philosophers have an opportunity to ask an angel a single question. In order to circumvent
COMMENTS ON DAVID BENATAR, WHAT S GOD GOT TO DO WITH IT? ATHEISM AND RELIGIOUS PRACTICE Daniel Rynhold I enjoyed David Benatar s paper, and am basically in agreement with many of his substantive conclusions.
FRAMING EFFECTS A framing effect is usually said to occur when equivalent descriptions of a decision problem lead to systematically different decisions. Framing has been a major topic of research in the
John R. Searle Why I Am Not a Property Dualist I have argued in a number of writings 1 that the philosophical part (though not the neurobiological part) of the traditional mind body problem has a fairly
Lecture 6 Weight Tension Normal Force Static Friction Cutnell+Johnson: 4.8-4.12, second half of section 4.7 In this lecture, I m going to discuss four different kinds of forces: weight, tension, the normal
NODAL ANALYSIS A branch of an electric circuit is a connection between two points in the circuit. In general a simple wire connection, i.e., a 'short-circuit', is not considered a branch since it is known
J. T. M. Miller, Department of Philosophy, University of Durham 1 Methodological Issues for Interdisciplinary Research Much of the apparent difficulty of interdisciplinary research stems from the nature
1 HANNE ANDERSEN, PETER BARKER AND XIANG CHEN, The Cognitive Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006. Pp. xvii + 199. ISBN 978-0-521-85575-4. [Pound Symbol] 45.00
Best Hand Wins: How Poker Is Governed by Chance Vincent Berthet During the last several years, poker has grown in popularity so much that some might even say it s become a social phenomenon. Whereas poker
University of Chicago Law School Chicago Unbound Journal Articles Faculty Scholarship 2000 Introduction, Cost-Benefit Analysis: Legal, Economic, and Philosophical Perspectives Eric A. Posner Follow this
The Metaphysics of Science: An Account of Modern Science in Terms of Principles, Laws and Theories CRAIG DILWORTH Dordrecht, Springer, 2007, 2 nd ed. (1 st ed. 1996) xii + 333 pp., ISBN 978-1-4020-6327-5
Michael Lacewing Descartes arguments for distinguishing mind and body THE KNOWLEDGE ARGUMENT In Meditation II, having argued that he knows he thinks, Descartes then asks what kind of thing he is. Discussions
Perception and Mind-Dependence Lecture 4 1 Last Week The Argument from Illusion relies on the Phenomenal Principle. The Phenomenal Principle is motivated by its ability to explain the sensuous character
Philosophy of Science: Post-positivism, part II Kristina Rolin 2012 Positivism (logical empiricism) Empiricism: Scientific knowledge is based on observation statements (which are understood to be basic
CS 70-2 Discrete Mathematics and Probability Theory Fall 2009 Satish Rao,David Tse Note 4 Stable Marriage - An Application of Proof Techniques to Algorithmic Analysis Consider a dating agency that must
From International Studies in the Philosophy of Science, vol. 10, No. 3, 1996, pp.189-202. Scientific value LARS BERGSTRÖM Department of Philosophy, Stockholm University, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Abstract
Session 8 Smith, Is There A Prima Facie Obligation to Obey the Law? Identifying the Question Not: Does the fact that some act is against the law provide us with a reason to believe (i.e. evidence) that
Two-State Options John Norstad firstname.lastname@example.org http://www.norstad.org January 12, 1999 Updated: November 3, 2011 Abstract How options are priced when the underlying asset has only two possible
BSkyB v EDS judgment at long last a dodgy degree, a dog called Lulu and some lessons for both customers and suppliers This is a briefing on the long-awaited judgment in BSkyB s claim against what was Electronic
The argument from evil Our topic today is the argument from evil. This is by far the most important argument for the conclusion that God does not exist. The aim of at least the simplest form of this argument
PDF hosted at the Radboud Repository of the Radboud University Nijmegen The following full text is a publisher's version. For additional information about this publication click this link. http://hdl.handle.net/2066/29354
IS YOUR DATA WAREHOUSE SUCCESSFUL? Developing a Data Warehouse Process that responds to the needs of the Enterprise. Peter R. Welbrock Smith-Hanley Consulting Group Philadelphia, PA ABSTRACT Developing
Glossary of Key Terms Ad hominem: An argument directed at an opponent in a disagreement, not at the topic under discussion. Agent: One who acts and is held responsible for those actions. Analytic judgment:
HARVARD COLLEGE Writing Center WRITING CENTER BRIEF GUIDE SERIES A Brief Guide to Writing the Philosophy Paper The Challenges of Philosophical Writing The aim of the assignments in your philosophy classes