Fiscal Year 2015 Third Quarter Conference Call

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Transcription:

Fiscal Year 2015 Third Quarter Conference Call July 29, 2015 Copyright 2015 Rockwell Automation, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

2 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation includes statements related to the expected future results of the company and are therefore forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those projections due to a wide range of risks and uncertainties, including those that are listed in our SEC filings. This presentation also contains non-gaap financial information and reconciliations to GAAP are included in the appendix. All information should be read in conjunction with our historical financial statements.

3 Fiscal 2015 Third Quarter and YTD Highlights Q3 Results sales up 2.2% YOY Segment operating margin of 21.8%, up 200 bps YOY Adjusted EPS of $1.59, up 7% YOY Free cash flow of $267M YTD Highlights Revenue diversification yielding results Strong productivity driving margin expansion 12% Adjusted EPS growth on lower reported sales Excellent cash flow performance Narrowing fiscal 2015 Adjusted EPS guidance range to $6.55 to $6.70

4 Key Financial Information: Third Quarter (in millions, except per share amounts) Q3 2015 Q3 2014 YOY B/(W) $ 1,575 $ 1,650 (4.5)% Segment Operating Margin 21.8% 19.8% 200 bps General Corporate - Net $ 22 $ 18 $ (4) Adjusted EPS $ 1.59 $ 1.49 7% Adjusted Effective Tax Rate 27.9% 27.6% (30) bps Free Cash Flow $ 267 $ 274 $ (7) ROIC 33.1% 29.6% 350 bps Strong margin, Adjusted EPS and cash flow performance

5 Architecture & Software ($ millions) Segment Operating Margin $2,200 $2,098 $2,066 35% $1,800 $1,400 30% 28.6% 29.2% 28.9% 30.1% $1,000 $600 $715 $684 25% $200 Q3 YTD 20% Q3 YTD 2014 2015 2014 2015 YOY % Change Q3 2015 YTD Reported (4.4)% (1.5)% 3.1% 4.3% Segment operating margin expanded 60 bps in Q3, primarily due to higher organic sales and productivity, partially offset by increased spending

6 Control Products & Solutions ($ millions) Segment Operating Margin $2,800 $2,400 $2,000 $2,744 $2,635 20% 15% 16.1% 13.0% 12.7% 15.3% $1,600 10% $1,200 $800 $934 $892 5% $400 Q3 YTD 0% Q3 YTD 2014 2015 2014 2015 YOY % Change Q3 2015 YTD Reported (4.6)% (4.0)% 1.6% 0.8% Segment operating margin expanded 310 bps in Q3, primarily due to higher organic sales and strong productivity

7 Regional (in millions, except percentages) Q3 2015 YTD Region % Change % Change U.S. $ 873 3.1% $ 2,572 2.2% Canada 93 (7.5)% 279 (3.7)% EMEA 285 4.3% 868 1.5% Asia Pacific 215 1.5% 622 2.5% Latin America 109 1.1% 359 10.4% TOTAL $ 1,575 2.2% $ 4,700 2.3% Third Quarter * Solid US growth in spite of oil & gas headwinds Canada adversely impacted by resource-based industries Improvement in EMEA Emerging markets up mid-single digits Strong growth in India China flat Mexico remained strong * All growth comments refer to organic growth

8 Revised Fiscal 2015 Guidance April Guidance July Guidance Midpoint ~ $6.4B ~ $6.4B Growth Range 1.5% to 4.5% 1.5% to 2.5% Currency Translation & Acquisitions ~ (5.8)% ~ (5.5)% Segment Operating Margin ~ 21.5% ~ 22% Adjusted Effective Tax Rate ~ 26.5% ~ 27% Adjusted EPS $6.50 to $6.80 $6.55 to $6.70 Free Cash Flow as a % of Adjusted Income 100% + ~ 110% Note: As of July 29, 2015

Appendix Supplemental Financial Information and Reconciliations to non-gaap Measures

10 Third Quarter Results: Summary (in millions, except per share amounts) Q3 2015 Q3 2014 Total $ 1,575.2 $ 1,649.5 Total Segment Operating Earnings $ 343.7 $ 326.1 Purchase Accounting Depreciation and Amortization (5.2) (5.5) General Corporate - Net (21.9) (18.1) Non-Operating Pension Costs (15.6) (14.1) Interest Expense (16.4) (14.4) Income Tax Provision (78.5) (74.3) Net Income $ 206.1 $ 199.7 Adjustments Non-Operating Pension Costs, Net of Tax 10.2 9.0 Adjusted Income $ 216.3 $ 208.7 Adjusted EPS $ 1.59 $ 1.49 Average Diluted Shares 135.5 139.6

11 Free Cash Flow (in millions) Q3 2015 YTD 2015 Net Income $ 206.1 $ 626.3 Depreciation/Amortization 41.2 120.9 Retirement Benefits Expense 35.1 106.4 Receivables/Inventory/Payables (4.2) 69.1 Compensation and Benefits 12.2 (58.1) Pension Contributions (9.6) (30.9) Income Taxes 1.3 (12.7) Other 4.2 18.7 Cash Flow from Operations 286.3 839.7 Capital Expenditures (25.2) (83.2) Excess Income Tax Benefit from Share-based Compensation 5.6 12.2 Free Cash Flow $ 266.7 $ 768.7

12 Reconciliation to Non-GAAP Measures (in millions, except percentages) Three Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 Excluding Changes in Growth (Decline) Growth (Decline) (b)/(c) (a) Effect of Changes in Currency Currency Effect of Acquisitions (b) (c) (a)/(c) United States $ 872.4 $ 1.0 $ 873.4 $ (1.4) $ 872.0 $ 845.9 3.1% 3.1% Canada 93.1 11.7 104.8 104.8 113.3 (17.8)% (7.5)% Europe, Middle East, Africa 285.4 65.7 351.1 351.1 336.7 (15.2)% 4.3% Asia Pacific 215.0 8.8 223.8 223.8 220.5 (2.5)% 1.5% Latin America 109.3 25.2 134.5 134.5 133.1 (17.9)% 1.1% Total $ 1,575.2 $ 112.4 $ 1,687.6 $ (1.4) $ 1,686.2 $ 1,649.5 (4.5)% 2.2% Nine Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 Excluding Changes in Growth (Decline) Growth (Decline) (b)/(c) (a) Effect of Changes in Currency Currency Effect of Acquisitions (b) (c) (a)/(c) United States $ 2,572.4 $ 2.7 $ 2,575.1 $ (4.4) $ 2,570.7 $ 2,515.2 2.3% 2.2% Canada 278.9 30.1 309.0 309.0 321.0 (13.1)% (3.7)% Europe, Middle East, Africa 868.2 150.6 1,018.8 (2.7) 1,016.1 1,001.1 (13.3)% 1.5% Asia Pacific 621.6 21.9 643.5 643.5 627.8 (1.0)% 2.5% Latin America 359.3 56.5 415.8 415.8 376.6 (4.6)% 10.4% Total $ 4,700.4 $ 261.8 $ 4,962.2 $ (7.1) $ 4,955.1 $ 4,841.7 (2.9)% 2.3%

13 Reconciliation to Non-GAAP Measures (in millions, except percentages) Three Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 Excluding Changes in Growth (Decline) (a)/(c) Growth (Decline) (b)/(c) (a) Effect of Changes in Currency Currency Effect of Acquisitions (b) (c) Architecture & Software $ 683.5 $ 53.8 $ 737.3 $ $ 737.3 $ 715.2 (4.4)% 3.1% Control Products & Solutions 891.7 58.6 950.3 (1.4) 948.9 934.3 (4.6)% 1.6% Total $ 1,575.2 $ 112.4 $ 1,687.6 $ (1.4) $ 1,686.2 $ 1,649.5 (4.5)% 2.2% Nine Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 Excluding Changes in Growth (Decline) (a)/(c) Growth (Decline) (b)/(c) (a) Effect of Changes in Currency Currency Effect of Acquisitions (b) (c) Architecture & Software $ 2,065.6 $ 125.0 $ 2,190.6 $ (2.2) $ 2,188.4 $ 2,097.9 (1.5)% 4.3% Control Products & Solutions 2,634.8 136.8 2,771.6 (4.9) 2,766.7 2,743.8 (4.0)% 0.8% Total $ 4,700.4 $ 261.8 $ 4,962.2 $ (7.1) $ 4,955.1 $ 4,841.7 (2.9)% 2.3%

326.1 1,024.7 Copyright 2015 Rockwell Automation, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 14 Reconciliation to Non-GAAP Measures Segment Operating Margin (in millions, except percentages) Three Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Nine Months Ended June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 Architecture & Software (a) $ 683.5 $ 715.2 $ 2,065.6 $ 2,097.9 Control Products & Solutions (b) 891.7 934.3 2,634.8 2,743.8 Total sales (c) $ 1,575.2 $ 1,649.5 $ 4,700.4 $ 4,841.7 Segment operating earnings Architecture & Software (d) $ 199.9 $ 204.8 $ 622.1 $ 606.9 Control Products & Solutions (e) 143.8 121.3 402.6 349.3 Total segment operating earnings (f) 343.7 $ $ $ 956.2 Purchase accounting depreciation and amortization (5.2) (5.5) (15.8) (15.9) General corporate - net (21.9) (18.1) (66.1) (58.7) Non-operating pension costs (15.6) (14.1) (47.2) (42.1) Interest expense (16.4) (14.4) (47.0) (44.3) Income before income taxes (g) $ 284.6 $ 274.0 $ 848.6 $ 795.2 Segment operating margin: Architecture & Software (d/a) 29.2 % 28.6 % 30.1 % 28.9 % Control Products & Solutions (e/b) 16.1 % 13.0 % 15.3 % 12.7 % Total segment operating margin (f/c) 21.8 % 19.8 % 21.8 % 19.7 % Pretax margin (g/c) 18.1 % 16.6 % 18.1 % 16.4 %

15 Reconciliation to Non-GAAP Measures Adjusted Income, Adjusted EPS and Adjusted Effective Tax Rate (in millions, except per share amounts) Three Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Nine Months Ended June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 Income from continuing operations $ 206.1 $ 199.7 $ 626.3 $ 578.1 Non-operating pension costs 15.6 14.1 47.2 42.1 Tax effect of non-operating pension costs (5.4) (5.1) (16.4) (15.1) Adjusted Income $ 216.3 $ 208.7 $ 657.1 $ 605.1 Diluted EPS from continuing operations $ 1.52 $ 1.43 $ 4.60 $ 4.12 Non-operating pension costs per diluted share 0.11 0.10 0.34 0.30 Tax effect of non-operating pension costs per diluted share (0.04) (0.04) (0.12) (0.10) Adjusted EPS $ 1.59 $ 1.49 $ 4.82 $ 4.32 Fiscal 2015 Guidance Diluted EPS from continuing operations $6.25 - $6.40 Non-operating pension costs per diluted share 0.46 Tax effect of non-operating pension costs per diluted share (0.16) Adjusted EPS $6.55 - $6.70 Three Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 Effective tax rate 27.6% 27.1% Tax effect of non-operating pension costs 0.3% 0.5% Adjusted Effective Tax Rate 27.9% 27.6% Non-Operating Pension Costs (in millions) Three Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Nine Months Ended June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 June 30, 2015 June 30, 2014 Interest cost $ 41.7 $ 43.6 $ 125.6 $ 130.8 Expected return on plan assets (55.7) (54.5) (167.6) (163.5) Amortization of net actuarial loss 29.6 25.0 89.2 74.8 Non-operating pension costs $ 15.6 $ 14.1 $ 47.2 $ 42.1

16 Reconciliation to Non-GAAP Measures Return On Invested Capital (in millions, except percentages) Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2015 2014 (a) Return Income from continuing operations $ 875.0 $ 793.4 Interest expense 62.0 59.2 Income tax provision 312.6 281.0 Purchase accounting depreciation and amortization 21.5 20.4 Return 1,271.1 1,154.0 (b) Average Invested Capital Short-term debt 222.6 254.5 Long-term debt 1,142.8 905.2 Shareowners' equity 2,614.3 2,550.6 Accumulated amortization of goodwill and intangibles 788.6 773.7 Cash and cash equivalents (1,325.7) (1,177.3) Short-term investments (609.8) (434.0) Average invested capital 2,832.8 2,872.7 (c) Effective Tax Rate Income tax provision 312.6 281.0 Income from continuing operations before income taxes $ 1,187.6 $ 1,074.4 Effective tax rate 26.3% 26.2% (a) / (b) * (1-c) Return On Invested Capital 33.1% 29.6%