ick Alexander ARE THE WHEAT AND SOYBEAN COMPLEX ALONG WITH CORN POSSIBLY BOTTOMING? Posted on 2/18/2015 6:24:43 AM WE HAVE A VERY GOOD HEDGING DEPARTMENT HEADED BY TED SEIFRIED. WHY NOT TALK TO HIM OR ANY OF OUR OTHER HEDGING BROKERS. NO ONE WILL PRESSURE YOU AND WHAT HAVE YOU GOT TO LOSE? I'VE BEEN A LICENSED FUTURES BROKER FOR 41 YEARS AND TRUST NO ONE MORE THAN TED AND HIS GROUP. Higher closes for Minneapolis and Chicago wheat along with corn, rough rice, soybeans and soybean meal while lower for oats and soybean oil. If you look at the charts below you can see possible bottoming formations for a good majority of the grain complex really only excluding oats and possibly soybean oil. Although Minneapolis and Chicago wheat settled higher and were near their session lows, they still are in a possible bottoming formation no matter what the fundamental news has been. While KC could also be in one it doesn't look as good as the former two do. Don't forget all have been in long term downtrends as has been mentioned many times before. I will give conservative price areas for potential breakouts in most of the grains mentioned today. Also, they will be based on the May contracts. Look at 595 and 600 for Minneapolis, 590 for KC and the 550 area for Chicago. I feel those price areas should suffice for now. To repeat from last week Minneapolis has been in a downtrend since May 2013 with its latest bear market for the shorter trend since Dec 2014. KC's bear market started back in May 2014 with its latest also since Dec. 2014 while Chicago's downtrend since Nov. 2012 along its shorter term since Dec. 2014. The world wheat crop is large while the latest carry over figures were bearish. Of course we've had bumps along the way like the Ukraine situation but really not that many. With that being said the technical are beginning to show a rally may still be in store. So, now let's see. Resistance for all three remain just overhead also. The oats long term downtrend started June 2013 and the short one Oct. 2014 while showing no technical signs of turning around at this time. Rice's bear market started April 2014 and has continued to this day but are now in a possible bottoming formation also. I don't see and good resistance until 1220 and am focusing on 1100 (May) for a chance of a turnaround higher. Corn's long term bearish market started Dec. 2012 while the latest shorter one Oct. 2014 but now could be in a nice looking bottoming formation. I'm concentrating on a close over 400 (May) to verify a breakout in my opinion. The beans long term downward slide started Feb. 2013 and its short term the May 2014 but have given me a BUY SIGNAL today with its best high and close since the middle of January. Meal's long term downtrend started May May 2014 and short term Nov. 2014 while 336 is the key price area to watch after having its best close since Jan. 12th. It's also in a good looking possible bottoming formation. Oil's downtrend started Jan. 2013 the latest Nov. 2014. The oil has had a sharp move higher since late January but is now in a solid resistance area and hasn't show be a bottom yet. BUY SIGNAL FOR SOYBEANS, SELL SIGNALS FOR MINNEAPOLIS, KANSAS CITY AND CHICAGO WHEAT ALONG WITH CORN, ROUGH RICE, SOYBEAN MEAL AND SOYBEAN OIL. For additional charts, quotes, news, commentary & more, sign up for our markethead site, www.markethead.com
ick Alexander
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