Initiative for the Palestinian Economy Information and Communication Technology. Proprietary: Office of the Quartet Representative

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Transcription:

Initiative for the Palestinian Economy Information and Communication Technology 0

Disclaimer The information contained in this presentation or document ( presentation ) is for general guidance on matters of interest only. It is provided on the basis that OQR and OQR advisers are not engaged in rendering any professional advice and/or services of any kind. As such, it should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional accounting, tax, legal or any other advisers, nor should it be relied on in any way. While the OQR has made every attempt to ensure that the information contained in this presentation has been obtained from reliable sources, OQR is not responsible for any errors or omissions, accuracy, impressions or otherwise, or for any results which are consequential directly or indirectly from the use of this information. All information in this presentation is provided "as is", with no guarantee of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or of the results obtained from the use of this information, and without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including, but not limited to warranties of performance and fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will OQR, its advisers, agents or employees thereof be liable for any decision made, action taken or omission of an action in reliance on the information in this presentation and/or any discussions that followed it or for any consequential, special or other damages. 1

Information Technology 2

Overview of IT sector ICT overview Current size of the sector ICT sector estimated to reach $637M and 6% of GDP by end of 2013 Telecom makes up 70% of sector revenues IT makes up 30% of sector revenues Software and services ~$100M and ~$100M in hardware (mainly retail and wholesale) 1,900 direct jobs + ~2-3 indirect jobs for each direct job IT sector description Over ~200 companies (software, services, hardware and training) Educated workforce with literacy rates exceeding 95%: 2,500/year university graduates in the IT sector only ~10% of graduates find a job in IT Growth in the sector has been driven by international partnerships, including Cisco, Intel and Google Benchmarks Neighbouring countries growth: Jordan in the last 10 years (from ~$100M in 2000 to ~$600M in 2005) Israel (~$19B, 8% of GDP) Palestinian labour is competitive with Jordanian labour in terms of wages and education levels 3 Reference: Expert interviews, 2012 Cisco report: Market Development Approach in Palestine, PalTrade, PCBS

The Palestinian IT sector is small but growing rapidly Major component of IT sector 1 Revenues of IT sector 1 Software Development and Testing Details Product and software design, development and testing Mobile applications Arabisation /localisation of content Application maintenance $M +27% p.a. ~100 Export Domestic Business Process Outsourcing - Advanced Back office administration HR Payroll Accounting ~50 ~15 ~25 ~75 Business Process Outsourcing - Basic Data management Basic voice Microwork ~35 2010 2013E 4 1 Excludes hardware Reference: PITA, Cisco, PCBS

Business environment Labour skills Current competitiveness of the Palestinian IT sector Infrastructure Legal structure Policy Overall skills Specialised knowledge Experience Developed offering 1 Registration cost of $2,000 for a capital of $500,000 including $1,200 of lawyer fees, 1% fee for every $1,000 of capital, 285NIS administrative fee, 87 NIS naming registration fee and 84 NIS fee per signatory 5 Reference: PITA, Cisco, PCBS, press releases, interviews ~ Semi-developed offering Under-developed offering High speed fixed line broadband accessible for businesses and ~75% voice and SMS mobile penetration, though insufficient for mobile B2B and B2B services $14,000 start up capital requirement, 25% of capital to be in bank, and 10% of profits set aside as reserve Registration costs between $1,000-5,000 1 Registration timing expected at 5 days but in reality longer Contract laws enforcement subject to legal delays IP regulations perceived unsatisfactory by 95% of international respondents to PalTrade survey Barriers to direct foreign ownership above 49% Corporate tax increased from 15% to 20% 0% tax rate for new IT projects for first 5-7 years Investors paying double tax, locally and in home market High literacy rate of 95% High level of English proficiency ~2,500 annual IT graduates Underdevelopment of IT specialised training, business and soft skills Limited on-the-job training Only 10% of IT graduates hired in IT, only 30% employed overall Lack of management experience ~ ~ ~

Labour skills: wages and labour skills are competitive to outsource programming work, but less competitive for simple BPO Quality Cost Key expertise Literacy rate Percent TIMSS results 3 2011, 8 th grade Wage, IT programmer kusd/year Wage, call centre rep kusd/year Israel 97 516 73.7 30.6 Content / software/ Advanced BPO Palestinian Territories 95 Jordan 93 404 406 25.0 1 17-20 8.5 2 8.1 Content / software/ Advanced BPO Content / software/ Advanced BPO Egypt 72 391 4 18.6 6.9 Basic BPO India 61 392 4 17.4 5.9 Basic BPO 1 Estimated at 1/3 of Israeli wages 2 Yearly wage of mid-level call centre employee at REACH call centre 3 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study 4 2007 results for Egypt and 2003 for India (selected provinces only) Reference: ESCWA Regional ICT Profiles, Nasscom, EgyptOn, PITA, Jordan Investment Board, TIMSS 6

IT services Potential impact of the IT sector development on the economy Excludes inflation 1 Current situation 3 year horizon 6 year horizon Revenue 3 ($ M) ~100 2 ~27-46% p.a. ~200-310 ~10-15% p.a. ~270-470 Employment ( 000 FTEs) 1.9 ~4.0-6.0 ~5.0-9.0 Investment ($ M) ~50-100 ~80-165 1 All GDP figures are real GDP in constant 2012 dollars 2 100 Software, 100 Hardware 3 Revenue and employment estimates based on historical Palestinian ICT growth and growth of expanding IT sectors in benchmark economies 7

IT strategy aims to generate foreign investments and contracts in the IT sector Description Cost in year 3 Potential annual impact in year 3 Strategy IT - Attract international and domestic investments in targeted IT services leveraging the quality of labour force and relative regional wage competitiveness Mid-skilled software development from international companies, especially in software programming Specialized Business Process Outsourcing needs, but no focus on voice BPO due to lack of wage competitiveness with Egypt, India, etc. Opex (annual) ~$.5-1.5M Promotion agency cost of operations ~$3-3.5M training cost Investment (cum.) ~$40-85M in investment requirements ~$100-210M in GDP ~2,000-4,000 direct jobs Reference: Expert interviews 8

Potential projects to attract IT investments in the Palestinian Territories 1 2 Trade promotion Direct trade promotion offices in international high tech markets, focused on generating contracts with MNCs and US-based firms Road show to fifty strong opportunities with multinational corporations that have large outsourcing operations, especially in the United States Attract private sector funding from MNCs, venture funds, and accelerators to support industry growth Develop brand that reflects attractive place to do business Special economic zone Extra-governmental economic free zone across sectors Improved framework to protect investments and IP rights Government incentives to encourage investment and ease foreign ownership MNC investment in IT companies or to build local office Build up of seed funding opportunities 3 IT training 3-6 months specialised certificates for IT graduates Programs tied to job creation with employers, ideally with off take agreements Funding sources include aid programs, employers, private sector, and self-funding, with potential payroll incentives 9

Telecom 10

Overview of telecommunications sector ICT overview Current size of the sector ICT Sector estimated to reach $637M and 6% of GDP by end of 2013 Telecom makes up 70% of sector revenues IT makes up 30% of sector revenues Sector revenues ( ~$440M USD) Over 3,700 direct jobs +~2-3 indirect jobs for each direct job) Telecom sector description 2 mobile communications companies (Jawwal 80% and Wataniya 20% of the market share). 1 fixed communications company (Paltel) 11 ISPs 77% penetration for voice and SMS services Low data penetration (2G and WiFi) representing 11% of mobile revenues Israeli operators captures 20-40% of market share Restrictions on access to spectrum and to import and installation of equipment High quality broadband fixed line network is developed for large businesses Benchmarks Neighbouring countries growth: Mobile penetration reaches ~120% in Israel and ~150% in Jordan, driven by dual-simming 3G is available in Jordan and Israel with data accounting for ~20% of mobile revenues in Jordan 11

Telecom strategy aims to improve network connectivity in the telecommunications sector Description Cost in year 3 Potential annual impact in year 3 1 Strategy Telecommunications - Enhance performance across economic sectors through creating a level playing field with Israeli operators allowing cost-effective high speed mobile and fixed broadband (e.g., spectrum, 3G/4G services, equipment availability and installation) Capex (cum.) $~350-450M $70-85M in GDP Potential projects Upgrade telecommunications service and network infrastructure and create a level playing field by Release of spectrum Opening procurement options Allowing installation throughout the Palestinian Territories 1 Assumes networks are built and operational within 18 months. Detailed on following page. Reference: Expert evaluation 12

Telecommunications Potential impact of telecommunications sector development on the economy Excludes Current inflation 1 situation 3 year horizon 6 year horizon ~4-8% p.a. Revenue ($ M) ~440 ~560-580 2 ~650-670 Employment 3 ( 000 FTEs) 3.7 ~4.4 ~4.9 Investment ($ M) ~350-450 Additional spill over impact on overall private sector of ~$100M, given telecommunications is a critical enabler to the economy 1 All GDP figures are real GDP in constant 2012 dollars 2. Assumes 3-4% revenue growth from 3G, 10-12% market share recapture. Assumed 5% industry growth per year Assumes networks are built and operational within 18 months 3 Employment growth assumed to be proportional to revenue growth 13