Debt Investors Call First Quarter 2015. Walldorf, Germany Monday, May 4, 2015



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Transcription:

Debt Investors Call First Quarter 2015 Walldorf, Germany Monday, May 4, 2015

Safe Harbor Statement Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, forecast, intend, may, plan, project, predict, should and will and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP s future financial results are discussed more fully in SAP s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ), including SAP s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 2

Agenda Income Statement Outlook - 2015 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis Other Topics I. Completing the Concur Acquisition Re-financing II. Debt Maturity Profile 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 3

Key performance metrics Q1 2015 Cloud Subscriptions and Support Revenue ( bn) IFRS Non-IFRS Software licenses and Support Revenue ( bn) IFRS Non-IFRS 3.15 3.15 +16% 2.72 2.72 +16% (+5%*) 0.22 Q1/14 Q1/15 0.50 +129% 0.22 Q1/14 Q1/15 0.51 +131% (+95%*) Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/14 Q1/15 Cloud and Software Revenue ( bn) IFRS Non-IFRS 3.65 +24% 2.94 2.94 3.66 +24% (+12%*) Operating Profit ( bn) IFRS Non-IFRS 0.72 0.64-12% 0.92 1.06 +15% (-2%*) Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/14 Q1/15 * At constant currencies 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 4

Transitioning to the cloud Non-IFRS cloud subscriptions and support revenue: +131% yoy to 509m (+95% at cc) 1) New cloud bookings key measure for SAP s sales success in the cloud: +121% to 120m 2) Cloud subscriptions & support backlog 3) : 2.3bn as of Dec 31, 2014, +94% yoy Cloud applications total subscribers: ~80 million SAP Business Network: the world s largest network of its kind brings together Ariba, Concur and Fieldglass into one operating unit which is reported as a separate business segment total segment revenue was 368m in Q1, yoy +207% at cc ~1.8m connected companies trade >$750bn of frictionless commerce 4) on this network. 1) For Q1/15, Fieldglass contributed 19m and Concur contributed 128m to SAP s Non-IFRS cloud subscriptions and support revenue at constant currencies. 2) New cloud bookings consist of all order entry of a given period that is expected to be classified as cloud subscription and support revenue and results from purchases by new customers and from incremental purchases by existing customers. The order amount must be contractually committed (i.e. variable amounts from pay-per-use and similar arrangements are not included). Consequently, due to their uncommitted pay-per-use nature Ariba and Fieldglass network transaction fees are not reflected in the new cloud bookings metric. Amounts included in the measure are annualized. Concur contributed 35 million to SAP s new cloud bookings in the first quarter. 3) Cloud subscription and support backlog represents expected future cloud subscriptions&support revenue that is contracted but not yet invoiced and thus not recorded in deferred revenue. 4) Network spend volume is the total value of purchase orders transacted on the Ariba, Concur and Fieldglass Networks in the trailing 12 months. 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 5

Cloud subscriptions and support revenue by region** Q1 2015 millions yoy percent change Non-IFRS EMEA 116 +114% +93%* Asia Pacific Japan 44 +137% +105%* Total 509 +131% +95%* Americas 348 +136% +94%* * At constant currencies ** Non-IFRS revenue is presented by region based on customer location 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 6

Cloud and software revenue by region** Q1 2015 millions yoy percent change Non-IFRS EMEA 1,571 +13% +10%* Total 3,659 +24% +12%* Americas 1,514 +34% +10%* * At constant currencies ** Non-IFRS revenue is presented by region based on customer location Asia Pacific Japan 574 +38% +23%* 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 7

Powerful mix shift to high growth Cloud business leading to higher share of predictable revenue Cloud subscriptions and support revenue Non-IFRS, in million Combined total revenue Non-IFRS, in billion Share of Cloud subscriptions & support and support revenue 4.50 509 3.70 221 +131% 63% +300 bps 66% 2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 8

SAP is able to drive the combination of fast cloud topline growth and expanding profit at the same time millions, unless otherwise stated Revenue Numbers Q1/15 Q1/14 % Q1/15 Q1/14 % % at cc Cloud subscriptions and support 503 219 129 509 221 131 95 Software licenses 696 623 12 696 623 12 1 Software support 2,454 2,097 17 2,454 2,098 17 7 Software licenses and support 3,150 2,720 16 3,150 2,722 16 5 Cloud and software 3,653 2,939 24 3,659 2,942 24 12 Services revenue 844 759 11 844 759 11 0 Total revenue 4,497 3,698 22 4,502 3,701 22 10 Operating Expense Numbers Total operating expenses -3,859-2,975 30-3,446-2,782 24 13 Profit Numbers Operating profit 638 723-12 1,056 919 15-2 Finance income, net -11-9 26-11 -9 26 Profit before tax 478 704-32 897 900 0 Income tax expense -65-170 -62-200 -233-14 Profit after tax 413 534-23 697 667 5 Operating margin in % 14.2 19.5-5,4pp 23.5 24.8-1,4pp -2,6pp Basic earnings per share, in 0.35 0.45-23 0.58 0.56 5 IFRS Non-IFRS 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 9

Gross margin declined by 80 bps Q1 2015 Non-IFRS, Q1/15 Gross Margin 68.6% -0,8pp Cloud and Software Margin 82.4% -0,5pp Services-related Margin 9.0% -8,3pp Q1/14 Total revenue 3.7bn C&SW* + services expenses 1.1bn Q1/15 Total revenue 4.5bn C&SW* + services expenses 1.4bn Q1/14 C&SW* revenue 2.9bn C&SW* + expenses 0.5bn Q1/15 C&SW* revenue 3.7bn C&SW* + expenses 0.6bn Q1/14 Services revenue 0.8bn Services expenses 0.6bn Q1/15 Services revenue 0.8bn Services expenses 0.8bn * Cloud & Software revenues / expenses 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 10

Agenda Income Statement Outlook - 2015 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis Other Topics I. Completing the Concur acquisition re-financing II. Debt Maturity Profile 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 11

Outlook for the full-year 2015 Actual Performance 3M/15 SAP s Outlook FY 2015 Basis for Comparison 2014 Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) 430m (+95%) 1.95bn to 2.05bn (upper end +86% * ) 1.10bn Cloud and Software Revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) + 12% + 8% to 10% 14.33bn Operating Profit (Non-IFRS at cc) 902m 5.6bn to 5.9bn 5.64bn While the Company's full-year 2015 business outlook is at constant currencies, actual currency reported figures are expected to continue to be impacted by currency exchange rate fluctuations. If exchange rates remain at the March 2015 average rates for the rest of the year, the Company expects non-ifrs cloud & software revenue growth rate to experience a currency benefit in a range of 8 to 11 pp for the FY/15 (10 to 13 pp for Q2/15) and its non-ifrs operating profit growth rate at actual currencies to experience a currency benefit in a range of 10 to 13 pp for the FY/15 (12 to 15 pp for Q2/15). The above mentioned indication for the expected currency exchange rate impact on actual currency reported figures replaces the earlier indication disclosed in SAP s 20-F 2014 announced on March 20, 2015. * The upper end of this range represents a growth rate of 86% at constant currencies. Concur and Fieldglass are expected to contribute approximately 50 percentage points to this growth. 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 12

Agenda Income Statement Outlook - 2015 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis Other Topics I. Completing the Concur acquisition re-financing II. Debt Maturity Profile 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 13

Balance sheet, condensed March 31, 2015, IFRS Assets millions 03/31/15 12/31/14 Equity and liabilities millions 03/31/15 12/31/14 Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets 5,594 4,006 Trade and other receivables 5,536 4.330 Other non-financial assets and tax assets 726 644 Total current assets 11,855 8,980 Goodwill 22,838 20,945 Intangible assets 4,895 4,608 Property, plant, and equipment 2,184 2,102 Other non-current assets 2,159 1,872 Total non-current assets 32,076 29,527 Total assets 43,931 38,507 Trade and other payables 956 1007 Deferred income 5,534 1,681 Provisions 216 150 Other liabilities 4,248 5,707 Current liabilities 10,954 8,544 Financial liabilities 9,282 8,980 Provisions 182 149 Deferred income 68 78 Other non-current liabilities 1,144 1,158 Non current liabilities 10,676 10,336 Total liabilities 21,629 18,909 Total equity 22,302 19,598 Equity and liabilities 43,931 38,507 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 14

Operating cash flow increased by 1% to 2.37bn millions, unless otherwise stated 01/01/15-03/31/15 01/01/14-03/31/14 Operating cash flow 2,366 2,352 +1% - Capital expenditure -139-130 +7% Free cash flow 2,227 2,222 +/-0% Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue 50% 60% -10pp Cash conversion rate 5.73 4.40 +30% Days sales outstanding (DSO in days) 67 63 +4 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 15

Total group liquidity improved by more than 1,9bn millions Total group liquidity 1) 12/31/14 Operating cash flow +2,366 Net proceeds from treasury shares +6 Capital expenditure -139 Net change debt -768 Business combinations 2) +256 Other +189 Total group liquidity 1) 03/31/15 Group debt +5,333-10,524 +3,423 Total group net liquidity 3) 03/31/15-5,191 1) Cash and cash equivalents + restricted cash + current investments 2) Includes positive effect resulting from cash receipts from derivate financial instruments related to business combinations of EUR266 M 3) Group Net Liquidity defined as Total Group Liquidity minus Group debt for more details see first quarter 2015 Interim Report 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 16

Agenda Income Statement Outlook 2015 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis Other Topics I. Completing the Concur acquisition financing II. Debt Maturity Profile 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 17

Completion of the Concur Refinancing millions All figures in bn EUR 7.00-2.75 1.00 Long 12 year at 1,75%.pa - Fixed Facility A Bridge to DCM facility 4.00 1.00 0.75 Long 8 year at 1,125%.pa - Fixed 4 year at 3M Euribor + 30bps - Floater -1.75 0.60 0.65 0.50 10 year at 1,0%.pa - Fixed 5 year at 3M Euribor + 30bps - Floater 2 year at 3M Euribor + 17bps - Floater -2.50 Facility B 3 Year Term Loan 3.00 Repaid 0,75 already in Q115 and 1,75 until contractual maturity in 2017 2.50 Credit Facility 1st Round Takeout Eurobond Nov-14 2 nd Round Takeout Eurobond Mar-15 Term Loan 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 18

Sufficient discretionary free cash flow generation to cover debt repayments Discretionary Free Cash Flow i) - billions Free Cash Flow Discretionary Free Cash Flow 3.33 2.62 3.28 1.97 3.27 2.25 2.76 1.57 1 Contractual Debt Repayment - billions 0.83 0.55 0.28 2015 0.56 2016 3.16 1.75 1.00 0.41 2017 0.89 0.75 0.14 0.75 0.92 0.65 0.27 Total Debt @ 31 st Mar 2015 10,5bn 0.41 1.00 0.30 Bank Loans Eurobonds Private Placements 0.60 0.09 1.00 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1.09 Dividend 0.71 1.31 1.01 1.19 Debt Closing Balance- billions 9.68 9.13 Bank Loans 1 2011 2012 2013 1) Includes 555mEUR cash outflow for TomorrowNow and Versata litigation 2014 Over the previous 4 years, on average, approximately 2.2bn of discretionary free cash flow generated per year ii) 5.97 5.08-55.3% 4.33 3.41 3.41 2.99 1.99 1.69 Eurobonds Private Placement 1.09 1.09 0.00 i) Discretionary Free Cash Flow = Free cash flow less dividends ii) Before litigation payments for TomorrowNow and Versata 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 19