1H2016 RESULTS - BREAKFAST. August 22, 2016

Similar documents
AES GENER HIGHLIGHTS

Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Review November 6, 2014

Full Year 2013 Review March 3, 2014

AES Gener 2013 Year-End Results

How To Profit From Power Production

Enersis: corporate reorganization update and 1H 2015 results. July 28, 2015

Energy Chilean Market Current Situation & Expected Evolution. SONAMI, December 2014

Endesa Chile YE14 Results

Endesa Chile 2013 Results

COMPANY PRESENTATION. BTG Pactual & Celfin Southern Cone / Andean Conference. Santiago, June 5 th -6 th 2013

COMPANY PRESENTATION 1Q 2013

Endesa Chile 1H14 Results

Presentation of Grupo ACS. September 2009

Enersis 1H 2014 results 28/07/2014

During 2013, we had special advances in the main civil works, and the execution of the social and environmental commitments related to the license.

Introduction to the Chilean power sector

EVN Institutional Investors Conference. Zürs, April 11 th, 2013

9M10 Results Presentation

T: F: UPCOMING EVENTS 2007 FIRST HALF RESULTS: JULY 25th, 2007.

Empresas Públicas de Medellín

Enersis Américas IR Presentation 11/05/2016

Financial Overview & Strategy

1Q 2014 Results. May 8, 2014

Electricity Supply Board

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q1 2016

ANNUAL CONTENTS REPORT Company Overview. 19 Finance and Administration. 57 Operations and Maintenance. 75 Business Development

Tanner Investor Information 1Q 2014

FINANCE AND ADMINISTRATION

Corporate Bond Issue. up to UF 7,900,000. Arranger and Placement Agent. Santiago, August 2009

enersis 1H 2012 results

Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability ABENGOA. Understanding the Value in Concessions. Analyst & Investor Day.

Light Holdings Diversified structure which comprehends the Distribution, Generation and Commercialization segments

VERBUND AG,

Results Presentation Jan-Sep November 25 th, 2014

enersis FY 2013 results

Fortunes of a Terna in 2006

THE POWER MARKET IN CHILE WHAT IS GOING ON?

1. H key highlights

FINANCIAL INFORMA TION INFORMA AS OF MARCH 31, 2015

2011 Results Plan

Aksa Enerji OUTPERFORM. 07 September Massive cut in 2011 production target more than priced in... Upside Potential* 80%

endesa chile IR presentation As of March 2012

A Glance at the Energy Matrix up to 2025

ABENGOA. 2014: Financial Review. Barbara Zubiria. 8th Annual Analyst and Investor Day. EVP, Capital Markets & IR

Results of Electricity Sector Restructuring in Chile

Health Care Worldwide. Citi - European Credit Conference September 24, London

Conference Call Codensa and Emgesa 1Q 2016 May 13, 2016

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q May 2012

BMO 2016 Fixed Income Infrastructure & Utilities Conference

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q2 2015

Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability ABENGOA. First Nine Months of 2014 Earnings Presentation

Vattenfall Full Year 2013 results

Vattenfall Q results

2 nd Quarter 2014 Financial Results Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A.

Entering in Mexico s electricity generation business with 2,000 MW. October 23, 2015

Health Care Worldwide

The Role of a Pension Fund in Renewable Energy Investments. Transformational NAMA in the Renewable Energy Sector May 2013

Electric Utilities. Introduction to the module

Iberdrola USA-UIL merger. February 2015

Non-Merchant Independent Power Projects: An Excellent Source of Yield and Duration for a De-risking Strategy

Codelco Investor Presentation. April 2014

Social and environmental challenges in power system development in Chile

Institutional Presentation. April, 2016

Electric Utilities. Introduction to the module

A Regional Leader in the Energy Sector

SECOND QUARTER 2015 CONFERENCE CALL & WEBCAST Results, mid-year review & outlook AUGUST 6, 2015

Investor Day -May Oporto, May 22 nd, 2012

2013 Results Plan. March 12, 2014

Health Care Worldwide

Strategic Plan Madrid Stock Exchange

INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE CALL TRACTEBEL ENERGIA S.A. THIRD QUARTER 2010 EARNINGS RESULTS NOVEMBER 8, 2010

Great Plains Energy. Third Quarter 2009 Earnings Presentation. October 30, 2009

Renewable Energy. IFC s Approach. September 2011

2012 1ST QUARTER RESULTS

Turkish power market entry. Cleaner & better energy. 4th December 2012

Successful Strategy Business Portfolio Ensures Results. Mr. Fernando Henrique Schüffner Neto Chief Officer for Business Development

DEUTSCHE TELEKOM Q3/14 Results

2006 & 2007 Earnings Guidance Conference Call and Webcast December 14, 2006

Midwest Utilities Seminar 2014

ABENGOA YIELD The sustainable total return company

ABENGOA. Crystallizing our Financial Investments. Santiago Seage. 8th Annual Analyst and Investor Day. CEO Abengoa Concessions

Chile Economy-wide implications of a carbon tax in the Chilean electricity generation sector

9M2004 Consolidated Results

S O L A R F A C T S & F I G U R E S C H I L E

Corporate and Corporate Bond Rating BioEnergie Taufkirchen GmbH & Co. KG Germany, Renewable Energy

E.ON Russia 12 months 2015 results. 16 March 2016

Innovative Technology Solutions for Sustainability ABENGOA. Market Update

Earnings Conference Call TGI and Cálidda: Results and Key Developments 2Q2015

November EEI Financial Conference Dallas, Texas 1

November 14 th, Q/14 Results Presentation

Metsä Board Debt investor presentation Q2/ August 2015

Enel Green Power 1H 2015 consolidated results. Rome July 29, 2015

Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A. First Quarter 2015 Results. May 19 th, 2015

Report of the Executive Board. In millions of EUR

1stH 2014 CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Business Entities - Italian Motorways

2015 Investor day Strategic Plan New foundations for growth

Disclaimer. This presentation does not constitute financial advice.

Empresas Publicas de Medellin ESP August 11, 2015

Financing of Wind Projects: IFC s Perspective. Walid Labadi 2nd IEL-ANADE May, 2012

Transcription:

1H2016 RESULTS - BREAKFAST August 22, 2016

Company Overview 2

Company Overview Data as of June 30, 2016, unless otherwise noted 5,529MW of installed Capacity (1)(3)(4) US$3.5bn Market capitalization (2) 797MW of fully funded capacity under construction US$ 1.0bn 100% US$ 725MM 11 remaining capex of the U$4bn 2nd expansion phase fully funded of baseload energy in Chile sold under long-term PPAs LTM EBITDA Years of avg. remaining PPA life 100% 66.7% BBB-/Baa3 of ownership of the exclusive transmission line between Chile (SING) and Argentina (SADI) AES Corp Stake (AFP s 19.4% stake) credit ratings (S&P, Fitch, Moody s) (1) (2) (3) (4) Includes Guacolda As of August 17, 2016 Includes 21 MW Andes Solar started commercial operations on May 28 Includes 266 MW Cochrane Unit 1 started commercial operations on July 9 3

Attractive Markets with stable regulatory frameworks CHILE Ratings System Data Expected Energy Sales Growth (CAGR 2016-2025) Energy Sales (GWh) Generation by Fuel Type Regulated 12% Other 6% SING S&P AA- Installed capacity 4,008 MW Generation 18,797 GWh 4.6 % Unregulated 88% Thermal 94% Moody s Aa3 SIC Fitch A+ Installed capacity 15,597 MW Unregulated 30% Thermal 48% Other 13% Generation 52,901 GWh 4.0 % Source: CNE data as of February 2016 Energy Sales expected growth from CNE (ITD as of April 2016) Excludes TermoAndes Regulated 70% Hydro 39% 4

Attractive Markets with stable regulatory frameworks COLOMBIA ARGENTINA Colombia S&P BBB Ratings Moody s Baa2 Fitch BBB System Data Installed capacity 16,420 MW Generation 66,549 GWh Expected Energy Sales Growth (CAGR 2016-2025) 3.2 % Unregulated 33% Energy Sales (GWh) Regulated 67% Hydro 67% Generation by Fuel Type Thermal 28% Other 5% Argentina S&P B- Moody s B3 Fitch B Installed capacity 33,494 MW Generation 135,215 GWh 3.5 % Commercial 13% Large Customers 47% Thermal 35% Other 4% Source: XM, data as of December 2015 for Colombia Cammesa and Private Consultants for Argentina Residential 40% Hydro 61% 5

Leading Position #1 GENERATION PLAYER IN CHILE MAJOR PLAYER IN COLOMBIA Note: In GWh, data as of June 30, 2016 6

Leading Position (Cont.) EBITDA LTM - By electric system Revenues 2015 - By customers SING 26% Spot 9% Regulated 34% Total Chile 66% US$ 725mn* SIN 30% Unregula ted 57% US$ 1.5bn* SIC 40% Installed capacity - By fuel type Hydro 21% SADI 4% Spot sales 58% Regulated customer 42% US$ 0.5bn* Biomass 0% Diesel 1% 5,529 MW Coal 54% Natural Gas 24% Note: As of June 30, 2016 SIC: Sistema Interconectado Central SING: Sistema Interconectado del Norte Grande (*) LTM figures as of June 30, 2016 Spot sales 42% Unregulated 58% US$ 0.1bn* 7

Growth Strategy Phase I: Successful and disciplined growth strategy 1,829 MW of new capacity in Chile, since 2007 +54% Angamos I & II Ventanas III & IV Guacolda III, IV & V BESS Projects Note: Data as of December 31, 2015 (*) Additional Capacity of Angamos 13MW 8

Growth Strategy (Cont.) Phase II: Current expansion $4B Fully Funded +25% CURRENT PROJECTS STATUS 531 Project Progress 266 13 (*) 307 152 Solar Andes Completed 5,057 5,222 5,795 Tunjita Cochrane Unit 1 Completed Completed 2015 2016 2018/2019 Cochrane Unit 2 97.8% Guacolda V 152 MW Angamos Desalinization Tunjita 20 MW Solar Andes 21 MW Alto Maipo 531 MW Alto Maipo 34.0% (*) Additional Capacity of Angamos Cochrane 532 MW Note: Data as of December 31, 2015 (*) Additional Capacity of Angamos 13MW 9

Wide Access to Capital Successful financing for US$7 bn Sources of Financing for the Expansions (1) Amount (US$ mn) Equity Cash from Operations 720 Capital Increases 668 Partners 688 International 300 Debt Bonds Local 415 Banks Project Finance 4,505 (1) First and Second Phases: From 2007 2018/19 10

1,000 800 600 400 200 0 30% 20% 10% 0% 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 5.5x -3.0x 110% 0% Strong and Stable Cash Flows Adjusted EBITDA & EBITDA margin Total Debt and Net Debt / EBITDA 28% 28% 29% 32% 33% 660 672 691 725 624 245 263 246 218 209 355 355 377 426 479 4.5x 4.6x 3.7x 3,850 3.3x 2.8x 3,375 2,785 2,734 2,282 1,709 1,706 1,487 1,214 1,156 2,140 1,126 1,298 1,520 1,669 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Chile Colombia Argentina Ebitda Margin PF / Non Recourse Debt Corporate Debt Net Debt / Ebitda 1,200 Total capex Capital allocation 830 1,002 109 100% 100% 94% 100% 100% - 419 55 532 82 286 336 127 656 866 509 66 434 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Construction Maintenance Environmental 430 66 49 230 235 210 30 317 148 210 231 222 33 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Capex Dividends Debt Paydown Div. Payout Ratio 92 (1) Capex net of project financing. 11

Strong Capital Structure (us$ mn) Total Outstanding as of June 30, 2016 US$3,850 mn Average Cost 5.3% Average Life 14 years Net Debt/EBITDA 4.6x (2.5x excluding non recourse debt) 2,006 Recourse Debt 44% Non Recourse Debt 56% 572 69 141 143 184 162 177 193 202 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025/2073 97.8% denominated in US$ 90.2% at fixed interest rate 12

Solid Performance Significant value creation for shareholders The largest total return to shareholders since 2010(1) 220 200 Gener Market Comparison (Base Jan 2010) 180 160 AES Gener +66% E-CL +56% 140 120 100 Colbún +15% IPSA +14% Endesa Chile +8% 80 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Source: (1) (2) (3) Bloomberg as of August 17, 2016 In Chilean pesos, including dividends LTM dividends paid / market capitalization end of period Last 3 years average 13

Solid Performance (Cont.) Significant value creation for shareholders with an attractive dividend yield(2) and the highest payout ratio among peers(3) 5.9% 4.5% 5.2% 6.3% 98% 50% 41% 30% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Endesa Colbun EC-L Source: (1) (2) (3) Bloomberg as of August 17, 2016 In Chilean pesos, including dividends LTM dividends paid / market capitalization end of period Last 3 years average 14

1H16 Highlights and Results 15

Key Highlights AES Gener continues to be the largest energy producer in Chile contributing 30% of the total generation in the country. Cochrane s Unit 1 (266 MW), Andes Solar (21 MW) and Tunjita (20 MW), began commercial operations. Gas agreements with Endesa and ENAP allowed company to increase generation of Nueva Renca. Continued exporting energy from Chile to Argentina. 16

Key Highlights (Cont.) In Colombia, reservoir levels recovered as hydrology transitioned from El Niño to normal ~US$216mm in Liability Management transactions On July 28th, S&P reaffirmed the BBB- credit Rating of the company, outlook Stable Company was awarded as winner of the 2016 Carlos Vial Espantoso Award Termoandes distributions from Argentina reached US$15.7mn. 17

1H16 Earnings Results Key Metrics (US$ mn) 1H 2016 1H 2015 Var. Operating Revenues 1,099 1,073 2% Gross Profit 272 246 11% Total EBITDA 345 311 11% EBITDA margin 31% 29% Net Income 108 83 30% EBITDA by Market 1H 2016 1H 2015 SING 31% SING 22% SIC 50% SIN 16% SIC 50% SIN 27% SADI 3% SADI 1% Note: Numbers rounded for the purpose of the presentation 18

1H16 Earnings Results SIC EBITDA US$171 mn Higher demand from unregulated customers Higher efficient generation (hydro and coal) Lower margin in Nueva Renca EBITDA Electricity Revenues Breakdown 155 1H15 +10% 171 1H16 Spot sales 16% Unregulated customer 29% US$ 428 mn Regulated customer 55% 19

1H16 Earnings Results SING EBITDA US$106 mn Better PPAs terms Higher spot sales due to higher average prices Energy exports to Argentina EBITDA Electricity Revenues Breakdown 69 +54% Unregulated customer 92% 106 US$ 295 mn Spot sales 8% 1H15 1H16 20

1H16 Earnings Results SIN EBITDA US$56 mn Drop in contract sales Higher spot prices on net spot transactions Lower maintenance EBITDA Electricity Revenues Breakdown -34% 84 56 Spot 58% US$ 208 mn Contract 42% 1H15 1H16 21

1H16 Earnings Results SADI EBITDA US$12 mn Higher Generation Tariff Increase Lower sales under Energía Plus EBITDA Electricity Revenues Breakdown +328% 12 Spot sales 42% US$ 52 mn Unregulated 58% 3 1H15 1H16 22

Contracted Position 23

GWh / year AES Gener Contracted Portfolio High quality and diversified customer base Efficient portfolio fully aligned with our contracted capacity Only 1,300 GWh of expiring contract between 2021 and 2022, representing ~8% of our contracts (excl. Guacolda) 25,000 20,000 Non-Regulated Regulated Guacolda Mining 61% Distribution 34% 15,000 10,000 Contract avg. life: 11 years 5,000 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Industrial 5% 24 Source: AES Gener

Regulated Bid Process Summary The last bid was one of the largest for regulated customers (~14% of the total demand of the country by 2021) but several auctions are coming, which considers 23 TWh/year in the next 4 years. Past Bids Current Bidi Upcoming Regulated Bids Bid call 2013 2015 2015-01 2016 2017 2018 2019 Bid volume TWh-year 13.0 1.2 12.4 2.5 7.0 9.0 4.5 TWh/year Year of the Bid 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Supply starting 2016-2019 2019 2021-2022 2023 2023 2024 2026 Duration 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 Avg. awarded price 94.7 US$/MWh (92% awarded w/o change in law) Avg. awarded price 79.3 US$/MWh (100% awarded) Avg. awarded price 47.6 US$/MWh (100% awarded) 25

US$/MWh Results Bid Summary Supplier Energy GWh % Awarded Levelized Price (US$ mn) Amount (US$ mn) ENDESA 5,852 47% 50.7 Hydro Mainstream 3,366 27% 41.2 New Wind Ibereolica 1,023 8% 51.0 New Wind WPD 953 8% 50.5 New Wind Acciona 418 3% 54.9 New Wind Solarpack 280 2% 29.1 New Solar Cox Energy 264 2% 52.7 New Wind OPDE 176 1% 38.1 New Wind AELA 88 1% 46.7 New Wind Besalco 10 1% 71.0 Hydro TOTAL 12,430 100% 47.5 OFFER CURVE (GWh-y vs Price) 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 15% of the offers 10,500 Endesa Gener 51% of the offers Colbún Engie 30 20 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 GWh/year 26

Key Takeaways 27

28 28 Key Takeaways HIGHEST TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS RETURN IN THE INDUSTRY Highest growth and highest dividend yield among its peers. 1H2016 reported the best results achieved in the last five. LEADER IN GENERATION IN CHILE Largest energy producer in Chile since 2014, contributing with 30% of the total country s generation during the 1H2016. Operational excellence proven by high availability of its facilities. DIVERSIFIED AND CONTRACTED ASSET PORTFOLIO Geographical, technological, customers base and fuel sources. Dollarized and indexed Long Term PPAs, with a remaining average life of 11 years.

Key Takeaways (Cont.) MOVING FORWARD WITH SECOND EXPANSION PHASE Guacolda Unit 5, Andes Solar, Cochrane Unit 1 and Tunjita CODs achieved. Expansion plan fully funded. STRONG AND ENHANCED CAPITAL STRUCTURE Investment grade rating. Strong liquidity. Extended debt maturity profile. 29

Annexes 30

400 0 8.0x 7.0x 6.0x 5.0x 4.0x 3.0x 2.0x 1.0x 0.0x 4.2x 1.2x 180 0 30 0 45% 0% Angamos Summary of Historical Financials Revenues (US$ mn) EBITDA and EBITDA Margin (US$ mn) 332 308 298 284 299 133 81 83 44 46 38% 39% 38% 39% 40% 127 119 112 111 121 198 225 214 238 248 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Contracted Spot Other 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Ebitda Ebitda Margin Credit Metrics Capital Expenditures (US$ mn) 6.5x 5.8x 6.6x 6.8x 6.2x 26 3.0x 3.1x 3.0x 2.5x 2.7x 5 11 16 8 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Net Debt / Ebitda Ebitda / Finance Expenses 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM 31

700 0 8.0x 7.0x 6.0x 5.0x 4.0x 3.0x 2.0x 1.0x 0.0x 250 0 400 0 32% 0% Guacolda Summary of Historical Financials Revenues (US$ mn) EBITDA and EBITDA Margin (US$ mn) 613 554 515 438 375 19% 117 30% 165 25% 129 28% 34% 122 127 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Ebitda Ebitda Margin Credit Metrics Capital Expenditures (US$ mn) 7.0x 7.3x 6.3x 5.9x 342 4.6x 4.8x 3.7x 2.9x 3.9x 3.3x 98 125 115 80 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM Net Debt / Ebitda Ebitda / Finance Expenses 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H16 LTM 32

Diversified asset portfolio (SIC COAL FIRED PLANTS) 1,644 MW VENTANAS COMPLEX 4 Units 884 MW - Coal Located in Valparaíso Region Start of operations: 1964/1977/2010/2013 816 MW (BACK UP PLANTS) NUEVA RENCA 379 MW LNG / Diesel Located in Santiago Start of operations: 1997 OTHER PLANTS: 418 MW GUACOLDA COMPLEX 5 Units 760 MW - Coal Located in Huasco (Northern part of the SIC) Start of operations: 1995/1996/2009/2010/2015 271 MW ALFALFAL I (HYDRO RUN-OF-RIVER PLANTS AND RENEWABLES) 178 MW Hydro Run-of-River Located 50 km from Santiago Start of operations: 1991 OTHER PLANTS: 106 MW 80 MW Other Hydro Run-of-River 13 MW - Biomass 33 33

Diversified asset portfolio (SING COAL PLANTS) 1,101 MW 1,020 MW (COLOMBIA) AES CHIVOR + TUNJITA 10 Units 1,020 MW - Hydro 2 units NORGENER Located in Boyacá, Colombia Start of operations: 1977/1981/2016 277 MW Coal Located in Tocopilla Start of operations: 1995/1997 643 MW (ARGENTINA) TERMOANDES 2 Units 558 MW Coal Located in Mejillones ANGAMOS Combined Cycle (2 Gas and 1 Steam Turbines) 643 MW Natural Gas Located in Salta, Argentina Start of operations: 1999 Start of operations: 2011 1 Unit 266 MW Coal Located in Mejillones COCHRANE 53 MW (BATTERY STORAGE [BESS] & SOLAR) BATTERY STORAGE: 32 MW Norgener and Angamos Start of operations: 2009/2011 SOLAR: 21 MW 34 Start of operations: 2016 Adjacent to Andes Substation Start of operations: 2016 34

CORPORATE PRESENTATION August 2016