Road to Basel-III Strategies and Priorities of the BDDK İhsan Uğur Delikanlı Vice Chairman Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency (BDDK)

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Road to Basel-III Strategies and Priorities of the BDDK İhsan Uğur Delikanlı Vice Chairman Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency (BDDK) 1

The roadmap from Basel I to III Outstanding issues and pending decisions Turkish Banks and Basel-III Strategies to increase both the quality and quantity of bank capital 2

The roadmap from Basel I to III Outstanding issues and pending decisions Turkish banks and Basel-III Strategies to increase both the quality and quantity of bank capital 3

The Roadmap from Basel I to III Regulatory Infrastructure Banking Act # 5411 (November 2005) Regulation on Measurement and Evaluation of Liquidity Adequacy of Banks (November 2006, June 2007, January 2009) Regulation on the Internal Systems of Banks (November 2006, June 2007, November 2008) Regulation on Measurement and Evaluation of Capital Adequacy of Banks (November 2006, October 2007, March 2008) 4 Credit Derivatives Options Value at Risk Models Structural position

The Roadmap from Basel I to III Progress Related to Basel-II Current Regulation on the Measurement and Evaluation of Banks Capital Adequacy (dated 2006) is compliant with the Basel-II Provisions related to market risk. Current Capital Adequacy Regulation is also made compliant with Basel-II by including operational risk measurement approaches in July 2007. Draft regulations that are fully compliant with Basel-II have been made public. Starting from July 2011 a one year parallel run is planned. 5

The Roadmap from Basel I to III Progress Related to Basel-II Quantitative Impact Studies QIS 3, QIS-TR1, QIS-TR2, QIS-TR3 QIS-TR3 Results: As of March 2010 consolidated capital adequacy ratio of banks decreases from %18,35 to %16,95 with the implementation of Basel-II Seminars together with KOSGEB ve TBB Working Papers Committees Progress Reports Pillar II Related Work: Regulation on Liquidity Risk, Regulation on Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book 6 For more information, see: http://www.bddk.org.tr/websitesi/turkce/basel- II/Basel-II.aspx

The roadmap from Basel I to III Outstanding issues and pending decisions Turkish Banks and Basel-III Strategies to increase both the quality and quantity of bank capital 7

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions Following Global Financial Crisis Initial Response by the BCBS: July 2009 Revisions to the Basel II market risk framework Enhancements to the Basel II framework Basel Committee Reform Package Based on mission assigned to BCBS by the G-20, in December 2009 a Reform Package was announced. Components of the Package: 1. Strengthening the resilience of the banking sector 8 a) Raising the quality, consistency and transparency of the capital base. b) Strengthening the risk coverage of the capital framework. c) Introducing a leverage ratio d) A countercyclical capital framework 2. International framework for liquidity risk measurement, standards and monitoring

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions GHOS Meeting 12 September 2010 : Easing the December 2009 document by taking into account the problems that were faced by several countries (not Türkiye). Reducing the ratio that is based on common equity to %4,5 Reducing total CAR to %10 Reducing capital conservation buffer to %2,5 Allowing longer transition periods. 9

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions Calibration of Capital Adequacy Common Equity (% ) Tier 1 (%) Total (%) Minimum 4,5 6,0 8,0 Capital Conservation Buffer Minimum Plus Capital Conservation Buffer 2,5 7,0 8,5 10,5 Countercyclical Capital Buffer 0 2,5 10

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions Geçiş Süreci 11

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions Turkey s BCBS Membership: 25 May 2009 BDDK s Comments During Consultation Process Credit Ratings of ECAI and Basel-III FX denominated treasury securities liquidity Minority interests 12

Outstanding Issues and Pending Decisions BRSA Implementation Plan: Revisions to the Basel II market risk framework : Regulations will be prepared by the end of 2011. Have minimum effect on Turkish Banks Basel-III: Currently a Comprehensive - QIS Study is being implemented Additional impact studies have been undertaken The schedule that is announced by the BCBS will be followed. 13

The roadmap from Basel I to III Outstanding issues and pending decisions Turkish Banks and Basel-III Strategies to increase both the quality and quantity of bank capital 14

Turkish Banks and Basel-III Banks need to alter their business plans following Basel-III Capital Constraint Liquidity Constraint Leverage Constraint Additional regulations by the FSB: i.e. G-SIFI and SIFI 15

(%) Turkish Banks and Basel-III CAR of the Turkish Banking Sector is at very high levels. CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIO (CAR) 32,00 30,90 28,00 24,00 20,00 16,00 25,10 28,00 24,20 21,90 18,80 18,00 18,46 19,23 20,03 20,62 20,37 20,12 19,95 19,97 19,47 19,20 19,33 19,34 19,35 19,33 19,57 18,94 12,00 8,00 4,00 0,00 CAR (Banking Sector) Target CAR (12%) Ragulatory CAR (8%) 16

Turkish Banks and Basel-III Effect of Basel-III Groups 1 banks (BCBS s definition) should raise important amount of capital in order to comply with the common equity ratios. Strong Capital Structure of the Turkish Banking Sector: Within own funds the percentage of subordinated debt and hybrid instruments is low, paid-in capital and profit reserves and undistributed profits are high (which are taken into account in common equity) 17 As of June 2010 Amount (*1000 TL) Percentage Tier I Capital 113.055.045 91,2% Paid in Capital 46.297.649 37,3% Retained Earnings 62.430.683 50,4% Other 4.326.713 3,5% Tier II Capital 12.320.900 9,9% Tier III Capital 0 0,0% Deductions 1.392.234 1,1% Total Own Funds 123.983.711 100,0%

Turkish Banks and Basel-III 18

Turkish Banks and Basel-III 19

Turkish Banks and Basel-III 20

Turkish Banks and Basel-III Requirements for the liquidity in the existing regulation (since 2006) First term (Maturity between 0-7 days) Second term (Maturity between 0-31 days) 1) Total liquidity adequacy ratio 2) Foreign currency liquidity adequacy ratio 3) Stock liquidity adequacy ratio 21

Turkish Banks and Basel-III The Liquidity ratio (0-31 days) reported by all banks in the Turkish Banking Sector is parallel to (even more conservative in some items) the Liquidity Coverage Ratio of the Basel-III Framework. Basel-III LCR Ratio: BRSA s Assessment : 131%* as of End-2010 22 *Calculated based on highly conservative assumptions

Turkish Banks and Basel-III Projections -Leverage Ratio Leverage Ratio 1/Leverage 2011 8,3% 12,1 2012 7,3% 13,7 2013 6,9% 14,5 23

Turkish Banks and Basel-III Turkey is one of the few countries in which no defaults were observed in its banking sector during global the financial crisis. (Even there were no banks in need for government support). Strong capital base and CAR ratios of the Turkish Banking Sector will differentiate it from the banking sectors of other countries in the long run after the implementation of Basel-III rules. It is expected that the liquidity ratios of Basel-III will not have significant effect on the credit growth and profitability of the Turkish Banking Sector. Deposit oriented banking will come back to the centre of banking business in the near future. 24 Leverage will not be a constraint for Turkish banks which brings an important advantage over the EU banks. Therefore; Corporates will not be negatively affected by the implementation of the Basel-III rules by the banks in Türkiye.

The roadmap from Basel I to III Outstanding issues and pending decisions Turkish banks and Basel-III Strategies to increase both the quality and quantity of bank capital 25

Strategies to Increase Both the Quality and Quantity of Bank Capital Existing Strategies Permissions for dividend payments. CAR>18% 16%<CAR<18% 13%<CAR<16% Max Distribution 20% 15% 10% Max Allowable Decrease in CAR After Distribution Existance of General Reserves for Potential Risks 100 bp 70 bp 40 bp Additional 15% of General Reserves Additional 10% of General Reserves 26 Target CAR - %12

Strategies to Increase Both the Quality and Quantity of Bank Capital Future Strategies Home-host relations Proactive actions when considered necessary. Ownership structure 27

Strategies to Increase Both the Quality and Quantity of Bank Capital 28

THANK YOU Dr. İhsan Uğur DELİKANLI idelikanli@bddk.org.tr 29