Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along TEN-T Corridor III



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Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along TEN-T Corridor III Responsible body: Biuro Rozwoju Wrocławia ul. Świdnicka 53 PL 50-030 Wrocław Elaboration: ETC Transport Consultants GmbH Martin-Hoffmann-Str. 18 D 12435 Berlin This project is implemented through the CENTRAL EUROPE Programme co-financed by the ERDF. Via Regia Final Conference, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 www.viaregiaplus.eu

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 2

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 3

Daily number of pairs of trains Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 4

Number of tracks and electrification Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 5

Travel times - the Status Quo Route Length Travel time Speed Berlin - Wrocław 330 05:30 65 Dresden - Wrocław 268 03:15 82 Wrocław - Katowice 180 02:30 72 Katowice - Kraków 78 01:40 47 Kraków - Rzeszów 158 02:15 70 Rzeszów - Lviv 185 04:10 44 Kraków - Košice 319 06:30 49 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 6

Average daily number of travelers along TEN-T Corridor III by car by train Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 7

Planned connections offer PL/DE Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 8

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 9

Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results 12.000 35.000 10.000 30.000 8.000 25.000 20.000 6.000 15.000 4.000 10.000 2.000 5.000 0 Dresden - Bischofswerda Bischofswerda - Bautzen Bautzen - Görlitz Görlitz - Zgorzelec Zgorzelec - Bolesławiec Bolesławiec - Legnica Legnica - Wrocław 0 Wrocław - Brzeg Brzeg - Opole Opole - Gliwice (suma) Gliwice - Katowice Katowice - Kraków Kraków - Bochnia Bochnia - Tarnów Tarnów - Rzeszów Rzeszów - Przemyśl Przemyśl - M edyka 2010 2020 2025 2030 2010 2020 2025 2030 Projected number of passengers on the Dresden Wrocław Kraków Przemyśl line in the medium scenario Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 10

Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Projected changes in the number of passengers on the lines in the medium scenario over the period 2010-2030 (For Slovakia and Ukraine only the cross-border flows included) Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 11

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 12

Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer ) The largest Polish cities connected by a network by 2050 (Source: PKP PLK S.A.: Aktualny stan prac w zakresie budowy sieci KDP w Polsce, zamierzenia w zakresie połączeń z siecią zachodnioeuropejską, Poznań, 25.05. 2011 r. Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 13

Integrated regular interval timetable Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 14

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 15

Infrastructure and rolling stock - 2020 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 16

Route planning, trains frequency - 2020 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 17

Infrastructure and rolling stock - 2030 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 18

Route planning, trains frequency - 2030 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 19

Content Analysis of the Status Quo - demand, infrastructure, transportation offer, development concepts Forecast Precondition for the socio-economic development and the forecast results Basis for the construction of the future transportation offer Route planning, trains frequency Effects of the conceptual transportation offer Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 20

Effects of the conceptual transportation offer along the TEN-T Corridor III - 2020 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 21

Effects of the conceptual transportation offer along the TEN-T Corridor III - 2030 Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 22

Socio-economic effects of the conceptual transportation offer Significant reduction of travel times and increase in the number of connections will contribute to better accessibility of agglomerations on the domestic and cross-border destinations The new offer will improve significantly the competitiveness of rail as an energy-efficient and environmentally friendly mode of transport Increase in share of the rail transport in the Modal Split of passenger transport Competitive transportation offer connecting agglomerations provides a basis for closer cooperation and economic and social integration The characteristic destinations (max 600 km, max travel time 4-5 h) between the agglomerations along TEN-T Corridor III represent a new quality of travel (travel time from door to door, frequency, comfort and safety), which other transport modes (car, plane) are not able to provide. The development of rail transport offer concerns especially the groups traveling for business or pleasure (city tourism) generating new passenger flows integration of the agglomerations and regions along TEN-T Corridor III Study on development potentials for long-distance passenger rail transport along the Pan-European transport corridor III, Wrocław, 04-05.10..2011 23