Agenda. CEO s review Veli-Matti Mattila, CEO. Financial review Jari Kinnunen, CFO



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Transcription:

Agenda CEO s review Veli-Matti Mattila, CEO Financial review Jari Kinnunen, CFO

CEO s review Q1 2013 financial and operational highlights Segment review Strategy execution Outlook for 2013 3

Q1 2013 highlights Keen mobile competition continued Mobile subscription base continued to increase Macro environment still challenging Slight decrease in mobile usage Smartphone market continued to increase Elisa Viihde IPTV success continued Growth in fixed broadband subscription base Accelerated cost efficiency measures to secure good result in a more challenging environment 4

Q1 2013 financial highlights Increased campaigning continued Revenue 361m (382) Excluding MTR change 375m, 2% down EBITDA 109m (121), 30% of revenue (32) EBITDA excluding one-offs 111m, 31% of revenue EBIT 59m (68) EPS 0.26 (0.31) CAPEX 47m (42), 13% of revenue Net debt 807m (754) Cash flow 37m (37) Net debt / EBITDA 1.7 (1.5) 36 % 35 % 33 % 32 % 32 % 31 % 31 % 31 % 30 % 401 396 389 387 374 378 378 382 361 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Revenue, EURm EBITDA, % 5

Q1 2013 operational highlights Subscription growth continued 23,900 new mobile subscriptions Growth in corporate segment, consumer segment at the same level Growth in voice and mobile broadband subs 3898 3991 4094 4158 4244 4337 4427 4446 4470 Estonia +400 subscriptions Fixed broadband growth continued Net adds 3,600 Elisa Viihde IPTV customer base continued to grow 478 475 482 486 489 491 498 505 509 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Mobile subs ('000) Fixed broadband subs ('000) 6

Q1 2013 operational highlights Campaigns increased churn Strong growth in mobile data Outgoing minutes 1.7bn, slight decrease Data YoY growth 56% 496m SMS, slight YoY decrease 6% 1 739 1 768 1 754 1 790 1 804 1 797 1 755 1 747 1 707 Churn* 20.0% (15.3) 14,3 % 13,4 % 12,7 % 11,9 % 15,3 % 14,1 % 17,2 % 19,3 % 20,0 % Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Usage (outgoing minutes, million) Churn* * Annualised 7

Business Segments

Q1 2013 Consumer Customers MTR cuts and campaigns decreased revenue Revenue 220m (232) Smartphones and new services growth continued Decrease in traditional fixed network business, mobile usage and interconnection revenue 30 % 32 % 35 % 33 % 32 % 31 % 34 % 31 % 29 % EBITDA 63m (74), 29% of revenue (32) Decrease in revenue CAPEX 27m (24) 224 227 234 245 232 239 244 247 220 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Revenue, EURm EBITDA, % 9

Q1 2013 Corporate Customers ICT business is growing Revenue 142m (150) Growth in ICT services Decrease in mobile and fixed businesses, as well as in interconnection revenue 34 % 32 % 37 % 33 % 32 % 32 % 36 % 32 % 32 % EBITDA 46m (47), 32% of revenue (32) Decrease in revenue CAPEX 20m (18) 150 150 144 156 150 150 142 148 142 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Revenue, EURm EBITDA, % 10

Strategy execution New services and new markets Strengthening market position in core markets Integration of One Elisa 11

Smartphone market growth continues One in three customers uses a new type of smartphone Smartphones top the list of the most sold phones in March 1. Apple iphone 5 2. Nokia Lumia 620 3. Nokia Lumia 820 4. Samsung Galaxy S III 5. Nokia Lumia 920 80% of all models sold were smartphones in Q1 In some models demand was higher than supply Penetration in Elisa s network in Finland 28,0 % 24,5 % 35,5 % 32,0 % 9,5 % 8,0 % 6,5 % 3,5 % 39,5 % 46,0 % 43,5 % 20,5 % 17,5 % 14,0 % 55,0 % 52,5 % 50,0 % 32,5 % 30,0 % 27,0 % Q4/10 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Mobile broadband penetration1) Smartphone penetration2) 12 1) Dongles and mobile BB add-on services of the total subscription base excluding M2M and service operator subs 2) ios (iphone), Android,Symbian 3^ and Windows phones of the total phone base

Commercial launch for Elisa Lompakko First in the Nordic countries Multipurpose service NFC payment Virtual credit card for safe payment online Money transfers between users 13

Growth in Elisa Viihde IPTV VoD service Nearly 60% of customers have used the Video on Demand service More than one quarter use VoD on a weekly bases Most popular categories Action movies Animations for families Domestic movies 14 Source: Elisa customer survey 11/2012

Elisa Office 365 has been a success First operator to offer Office 365 cloud service One of the leading Office 365 service providers in Europe The number of customers is growing more than 10% monthly In the beginning SMEs, now also big corporations 15

Loan negotiations on the net Banks use Elisa s video service for personal banking and insurance contacts Well received by customers Natural banking contact with picture, voice and other material 16

Outlook for 2013 Macroeconomic environment still weak in 2013 Competition remains challenging Revenue at the same level as last year EBITDA excluding one-offs at the same level or slightly lower than last year CAPEX maximum 12% of revenue Estimates excluding pending PPO acquisition 17

Agenda CEO s review Veli-Matti Mattila, CEO Financial review Jari Kinnunen, CFO

Challenging market environment in Q1 EUR million Q1/13 Q1/12 Δ 2) Δ% 2012 Revenue 361 382-20 -5 % 1 553 Other operating income 0 1 5 Operating expenses -253-261 -1 057 EBITDA 109 121-12 -10 % 501 EBITDA excl. one-offs 111 121 501 EBITDA-% excl. one-offs 31 % 32 % 32 % Depreciation and amortisation -50-53 -202 EBIT 1) 59 68-9 -13 % 299 EBIT-% 16 % 18 % 19 % Profit before tax 53 61-8 -13 % 269 Income taxes -13-13 -60 Profit for the period 40 48-8 -16 % 209 EPS, EUR 0,26 0,31-0,05-17 % 1,33 1) Excluding non-recurring items: EBIT EUR 61m, profit before tax EUR 55m and EPS EUR 0.26 2) Difference is calculated using exact figures prior to rounding. 19

Accelerated profitability improvement In order to secure a good result Elisa has started new cost efficiency measures for example in the areas of: Streamlining product portfolio Increasing efficiency in customer service Improving sales efficiency Simplification of IT Decreasing costs in general administration 20

Revenue change Change Q1/13 vs Q1/12, EURm 382-15 2-3 -5 361 - MTR reduction + Smartphones + Online services + Fixed broadband - Estonia - Cable TV - Mobile - PSTN + ICT services - Estonia - Mobile - PSTN Q1/12 Interconnection and roaming Equipment sales Consumer Customers Corporate Customers Q1/13 21 Changes are rounded to millions

Total expenses decreased OPEX decreases in Q1/13 Interconnection and roaming Productivity improvements network management and maintenance costs general administration OPEX increases in Q1/13 Equipment sales New service development Personnel expenses Increased personnel in customer contact centres and new services Collective labour agreement salary increases 1.10.2012 EURm Materials and services Employee benefit expenses Other operating expenses Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 158 164 163 171 146 61 61 53 62 64 42 44 39 40 43 Total expenses 261 269 254 273 253 Depreciation 53 50 49 50 50 22

CAPEX in line with guidance Q1 CAPEX 47m (42) CAPEX/Sales 13% (11) Consumer 27m (24) Corporate 20m (18) Major CAPEX areas 3G and 4G coverage and upgrade Fixed access and backbone networks IT systems Customer equipment Sulake acquisition Ownership from 24% to 100% Acquisition price 6m Consolidated as of 1 March 2013, revenue impact for 2013 > 10m, EBITDA neutral Potential tax losses to be used ca. 25m 14% 12% 11% 12% 11% 13% 13% 13% 13% 21 6 21 21 21 19 17 18 18 20 37 28 27 30 30 23 24 29 27 Consumer Corporate Shares Capex/Sales 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% 23

Cash flow at the same level EURm Q1/13 Q1/12 Δ 1) 2012 EBITDA 109 121-12 501 Change in receivables 8 2 6-14 Change in inventories 1-7 9-19 Change in payables 0-9 9-16 Change in NWC 9-14 24-50 Financials (net) -11-19 7-30 Taxes for the year -15-11 -4-62 Taxes for the previous year -10 Taxes -15-11 -4-72 CAPEX -49-40 -9-189 Investments in shares -6 0-6 -1 Sale of assets and adjustments 0-1 0-5 Cash flow after investments 37 37 0 155 1) Difference is calculated using exact figures prior to rounding 24

MTR cuts effected Estonian revenue Revenue 21m (25) Revenue decrease 14% MTR decrease 80% Growth in mobile subs: +400 QoQ Mobile broadband growing EBITDA 5m (7) MTR decrease CAPEX 3m (2) 3G Coverage 30 % 30 % 27 % 27 % 27 % 26 % 26 27 28 26 25 21 25 % 25,51 % 23% 30 29 21 Estonian MTRs 1 Jan 2012 1 Jul 2012 1 Jan 2013 1 July 2013 All operators, euro cents 7.02 6.32 1.47 1.29 MTR change, YoY 79% 80% Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Revenue * EBITDA, % * Elisa Eesti AS including group items 25

Liquidity position remains good Bond and bank loan maturities Cash and undrawn committed facilities 383m (364) Revolving Credit Facilities 300m Fully undrawn 31 March 130 Commercial Paper Program 179.5m in use as 31 March 10 170 300 Solid credit ratings since 2003 S&P BBB Moody s Baa2 162 130 60 10 10 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Bonds Loans RCF 26

Capital structure in line with targets Capital structure Net debt / EBITDA 1.7 Gearing 118% Equity ratio 33% 1,5 1,7 1,6 1,6 1,5 1,8 1,7 1,7 1,7 Target setting Net debt / EBITDA 1.5 2x Equity ratio > 35% 752 845 793 788 754 909 874 839 807 38% 40% 43% 42% 45% 38% 41% 43% 33% Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Net Debt, EURm Net Debt/EBITDA Equity ratio % 27

Competitive remuneration continues EUR 1.30 per share paid in April Total amount 204m Pay-out ratio 98% Strong commitment to competitive shareholder remuneration 80 100% of the net profit Dividend yield 8-12% during last 7 years 39% 9 302% 86 149% 43 126% 135% 110% 101% 88% 98% 77% 402 79 285 123 156 221 202 203 204 116 Dividend * Buy-back Pay-out ratio % * Includes capital repayment. Dividend yield 15 % 10 % 5 % 0 % 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 28

APPENDIX SLIDE Consolidated cash flow statement Q1 2013 EURm Cash flow from operating activities Profit before tax 53 64 78 66 61 72 74 61 58 Adjustments to profit before tax 55 58 54 55 59 58 61 61 59 Change in working capital 9-17 -24 6-14 4-10 -11-13 Cash flow from operating activities 118 104 108 126 106 134 125 111 103 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2011 Received dividends and interests and interest paid 1) -11-7 -2-2 -19-1 -12-1 -17 Taxes paid -15-15 -20-26 -11-13 -13-11 -15 Net cash flow from operating activities 92 82 86 98 77 120 100 99 71 Cash flow in investments Capital expenditure -49-49 -49-51 -40-58 -45-45 -41 Investments in shares and other investments -6 0 0-1 0 0 0 0-5 Proceeds from asset disposal 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 5 2 Net cash used in investment -55-49 -49-50 -40-55 -44-40 -44 Cash flow after investments 37 34 37 47 37 65 56 59 27 Cash flow in financing Change in long-term debt -75 151 0 0 0 50-106 0 0 Change in short-term debt 83-163 -54 129-31 -15 30 80-14 Repayment of financing leases -1-2 -1-2 -2-1 -1-2 -1 Increase in reserve for invested non-restricted equity 0 2 1 1 3 Dividends paid 0 0-1 -203 0-62 -1-140 0 Cash flow in financing 7-11 -56-74 -32-25 -78-62 -15 Change in cash and cash equivalents 44 22-19 -27 5 39-22 -2 12 30

APPENDIX SLIDE Financial situation EURm 31 Mar 13 31 Dec 12 30 Sep 12 30 Jun 12 31 Mar 12 31 Dec 11 30 Sep 11 30 Jun 11 31 Mar 11 Interest-bearing debt Bonds and notes 450 525 375 375 375 375 375 600 600 Commercial Papers 179 96 170 198 184 189 160 160 120 Loans from financial institutions 225 221 221 221 221 222 171 51 52 Financial leases 37 37 38 38 38 36 36 35 24 Committed credit lines 1) 0 0 89 115 0 25 70 40 0 Interest-bearing debt, total 891 878 892 946 818 847 812 887 795 Cash and cash equivalents 83 40 18 37 64 59 19 42 44 Net debt 2) 807 839 874 909 754 788 793 845 752 1) The committed credit lines are EUR 130 million and EUR 170 million revolving credit facilities with five banks, which Elisa Corporation may use flexibly on agreed pricing. The loan arrangements are valid until 21 November 2014 and 3 June 2016. 2) Net debt is interest-bearing debt less cash and interest-bearing receivables. 31