Using HIV Surveillance Data to Calculate Measures for the Continuum of HIV Care Anna Satcher Johnson, MPH Symposium on Measuring the HIV Care Continuum Center for AIDS Research University of Washington Seattle, Washington November 4, 2013 National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention
National HIV/AIDS Strategy Primary Goals Reduce the number of people who become infected with HIV Increase access to care and optimize health outcomes for people living with HIV Reduce HIV-related health disparities The White House Office of National AIDS Policy. Washington D.C.: White House, July 13, 2010 www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/uploads/nhas.pdf
Indicators Monitored: National Level Incidence Prevalence Includes diagnosed and undiagnosed Persons living with diagnosed infection Linkage to care Retention in care ART Viral suppression All the above may not be available locally
Data National HIV Surveillance System (NHSS) All states, District of Columbia, and U.S. dependent areas Mandatory reporting of HIV diagnoses (any stage) Evidence of care: CD4 and VL test results No data on ART use Medical Monitoring Project (MMP) Cross-sectional survey of patients in care Sample: 17 states and Puerto Rico, outpatient HIV care facilities, HIV-infected adults receiving medical care January-April Medical record abstraction and interview
Hall et.al. Continuum of HIV Care in the United States Based on data from NHSS and MMP Diagnosed based on 2009 prevalence estimate 46 states with HIV reporting Includes undiagnosed Linkage to care based on data from 14 jurisdictions Retention, ART, and viral suppression based on MMP (persons 18 years) Hall, et al. Continuum of HIV care: Differences in care and treatment by sex and race/ethnicity in the United States. AIDS 2012; Abstract # FRLBX05 Washington, DC
New Reports Continuum of HIV Care in the United States NHSS data Diagnosed based on 2010 prevalence estimate Linkage, retention, and viral suppression based on data from 19 jurisdictions Denominator - persons diagnosed through 2009, alive through 2010 CDC. HIV Surveillance Supplemental Report 2013;18(No. 5.) Gray KM, Cohen SM, Hu X, Li J, Mermin J, Hall HI. Juris-diction level differences in HIV diagnosis, retention in care, and viral suppression in the United States [pub-lished online October 10, 2013]. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr.
The Denominator Undiagnosed among all people living with HIV Linkage to care among people newly diagnosed in a particular year In care Among all people living with HIV Among people living with diagnosed HIV On ART Among all people living with HIV Among people living with diagnosed HIV Among people in care Viral suppression Among all people living with HIV Among people living with diagnosed HIV Among people in care Among people on ART
Diagnosed and Undiagnosed HIV Goal: Increase from 79 percent to 90 percent the percentage of people living with HIV who know their serostatus. 2010: 1,144,500 persons living with HIV infection 180,900 (15.8%) with undiagnosed HIV infection National HIV/AI AI DS Stratetegy CDC. HIV Surveillance Supplemental Report 2013;18(No. 5.)
Percentage of People Living with Diagnosed HIV, by Age, 2010 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 91 92 92 86 74 42 13 24 25 34 35 44 45 54 55 64 65
Percentage of People Living with Diagnosed HIV, by Race/ethnicity, 2010 100 90 80 70 79 77 83 83 73 87 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 AI/AN Asian Black Hispanic/ Latino NHOPI White AI/AN, American Indian/Alaska Native Black or African American NHOPI, Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander
Percentage of People Living with Diagnosed HIV, by Transmission Category, 2010 94 92 92 92 92 90 88 86 85 84 82 81 82 80 78 76 74 MSM IDU males IDU females MSM and IDU HC males HC females MSM, men who have sex with men IDU, injection drug use HC, heterosexual contact
Care and Viral Suppression Increase the proportion of newly diagnosed patients linked to clinical care within three months of their HIV diagnosis from 65 percent to 85 percent. Increase the proportion of Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program clients who are in continuous care (at least 2 visits for routine HIV medical care in 12 months at least 3 months apart) from 73 percent to 80 percent. Increase the proportion of HIV diagnosed gay and bisexual men, blacks, and Latinos with undetectable viral load by 20 percent. National HIV/AI AI DS Stratetegy
Percentage (%) Linkage to Care, Retention in Care, and Viral Suppression Total and by Sex 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 79.8 79.2 82.4 50.9 50.2 52.8 43.4 44.0 Total Male Female Sex 41.5 Linked to care* Retained in care** Viral Suppression** * Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection during 2011, 19 areas ** Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection by year-end 2009 and were alive at year-end 2010, 19 areas
Percentage (%) Linkage to Care, Retention in Care, and Viral Suppression by Age Group 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 82.9 84.3 84.5 78.3 73.4 48.2 46.7 52.5 52.6 50.0 46.2 48.5 42.3 35.8 29.7 13 24 25 34 35 44 45 54 55 Age at diagnosis (yr) Linked to care* Retained in care** Viral Suppression** * Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection during 2011, 19 areas ** Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection by year-end 2009 and were alive at year-end 2010, 19 areas
Percentage (%) Linkage to Care, Retention in Care, and Viral Suppression by Race/Ethnicity 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 85.2 84.6 41.9 36.5 American Indian/Alaska Native 53.7 52.7 Asian 75.9 48.0 37.0 Black/African American 81.8 54.4 45.4 Hispanic/Latino Race/ethnicity 90.5 39.6 39.1 Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander 85.1 51.5 50.5 White Linked to care* Retained in care** Viral Suppression** * Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection during 2011, 19 areas ** Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection by year-end 2009 and were alive at year-end 2010, 19 areas 86.7 67.2 53.5 Multiple races
Percentage (%) Linkage to Care, Retention in Care, and Viral Suppression by Transmission Category 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 79.2 78.8 50.9 46.3 Male-to-male sexual contact 46.0 36.0 Injection drug use - Males 81.4 52.7 52.6 40.1 Injection drug use - Females 78.9 79.0 42.5 Male-to-male sexual contact and injection drug use Transmission category 50.0 40.8 Heterosexual contact - Males Linked to care* Retained in care** Viral Suppression** * Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection during 2011, 19 areas ** Among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection by year-end 2009 and were alive at year-end 2010, 19 areas 82.6 52.6 42.3 Heterosexual contact - Females
Linkage to Care, by Area of Residence, 19 U.S. Jurisdictions 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CA DE DC GA HI IL IN IA LA MI MN MO NE NH NY ND SC WV WY Persons with a CD4 or VL test within 3 months after diagnosis among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection during 2009, and alive at the end of 2010, 19 areas -- National HIV/AIDS Strategy: increase the percentage of patients linked to care within three months of diagnosis to 85%
Retention in Continuous HIV Care, by Area of Residence, 19 U.S. Jurisdictions 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CA DE DC GA HI IL IN IA LA MI MN MO NE NH NY ND SC WV WY Persons with 2 or more CD4 or VL tests performed at least 3 months apart during 2010 among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection year-end 2009 and alive year-end 2010,19 areas. --- National HIV/AIDS Strategy: increase the percentage of Ryan White HIV/AIDS program clients in continuous HIV care to 80%
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Viral Suppression, by Area of Residence, 19 U.S. Jurisdictions CA DE DC GA HI IL IN IA LA MI MN MO NE NH NY ND SC WV WY Persons with VL 200 among persons aged 13 years who were diagnosed with HIV infection year-end 2009 and alive year-end 2010,19 areas. -- National HIV/AIDS Strategy: increase the proportion of HIV diagnosed gay and bisexual men, blacks, and Latinos with undetectable viral load by 20 percent.
Percentage (%) of persons living with diagnosed HIV (NHSS data) Persons Aged 18 years with Viral Suppression (MMP) among Persons Living with Diagnosed HIV Infection (NHSS) 2009 and 2010 United States and Puerto Rico 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 40.7 37.3 39.0 41.7 36.6 34.9 37.2 32.7 2009 2010 MMP data collection year Total Male-to-male sexual contact Black/African American Hispanic/Latino Numerator: Data source = MMP Estimated number of persons aged 18 years or older who received medical care in January to April 2009 (or 2010) whose most recent VL was undetectable or 200 copies/ml United States and Puerto Rico. Denominator: Data source = NHSS Estimated number of persons aged 18 years diagnosed with HIV infection by year-end 2008 (or 2009) and alive at year-end 2009 (or 2010) United States and Puerto Rico.
Viral Suppression, 19 U.S. Jurisdictions, 2010, and Goals of the National HIV/AIDS Strategy 60 50 40 37 35 35 45 46 40 37 42 48 30 20 10 0 Black Hispanic MSM NHSS MMP NHAS Goal CDC. HIV Surveillance Supplemental Report 2013;18(No. 5,.
ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY
Percentage of People in HIV Care who are Prescribed ART, by Age United States 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 88 91 92 92 76 78 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65y+ Hall et al. JAMA Intern Med. Doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.6841.
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Percentage of People in HIV Care who are Prescribed ART, by Race/ethnicity United States 86 Black/African American Hispanic/Latino White 89 92 Hall et al. JAMA Intern Med. Doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.6841
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Percentage of People in HIV Care who are Prescribed ART, by Transmission Category United States 90 92 89 89 91 MSM IDU male IDU female MSM & IDU HC male HC female 85 Hall et al. JAMA Intern Med. Doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.6841
Continuum of HIV Care: Challenges for National Analyses (1) Data from limited number of areas Unable to obtain nationally representative estimates Unable to examine trends Incomplete data Additional data available to local surveillance programs may not be entered into ehars and submitted for national analysis (ex: ADAP, Ryan White data) Time must be allowed for delays in reporting 18 months for prevalence denominator Limits number of areas that can be included in national analyses
Continuum of HIV Care: Challenges for National Analyses (2) Estimates based on residence at diagnosis Changes to indicator definitions Changes in treatment guidelines MMP data Retention in care may be underestimated (visit in January-April) Youth Care may differ for persons younger than 18 years Numbers are too small to present for other races
Continuum of HIV Care: Indicators Monitored Locally Persons living with diagnosed infection (all stages) Potential to monitor Linkage to care Retention in care Re-engagement in care ART use (MMP-funded sites only) Viral suppression HIV incidence (Incidence-funded sites only)
Continuum of HIV Care: Challenges for Local Analyses (1) The ability to create the continuum of care at the state/local level depends on data quality and availability Complete reporting of all CD4 and viral load test results is necessary to monitor key indicators of NHAS State laws must require the reporting of all values of CD4 and viral load test results Nucleotide sequences also indicator of care Health Department must receive data from all laboratories that conduct HIV testing Laboratory data received must be complete and of high quality Must have all CD4 and VL values for the analysis years
Continuum of HIV Care: Challenges for Local Analyses (2) Evaluation periods for analyses cannot be the immediate-past Time must be allowed for delays in reporting (recommend 12 months) Provider reporting Death reporting Chart reviews for cases reported by lab only Routine Interstate de-duplication Time must be allowed for assessing completeness of lab reporting Identify and correct issues
Continuum of HIV Care: Challenges for Local Analyses (3) Need for standard definitions Lack of incidence data (only available from areas funded for incidence) Lack of treatment data (only available from areas with MMP) Migration (in and out)
Summary Many people with HIV are not in regular care or have a suppressed viral load Disparities exist in diagnosis, care, treatment, and viral suppression by age and race/ethnicity Challenges exists on the national and state level for accurately calculating measures of the continuum of care Progress is needed in establishing complete lab reporting at the state/local level in order to improve representativeness of national continuum estimates Assessment of migration should be prioritized to improve the accuracy of local continuum estimates
Thank you Anna Satcher Johnson ats5@cdc.gov (404) 639-2050 For more information please contact Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 Telephone, 1-800-CDC-INFO (232-4636)/TTY: 1-888-232-6348 E-mail: cdcinfo@cdc.gov Web: www.cdc.gov The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD & TB Prevention Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention