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Southeastern Actuaries Club Pinehurst, NC June 21, 2012 Paula Hines, ASA, MAAA Director, Government Products Pricing BlueCross BlueShield of Tennessee, Inc., an Independent Licensee of the BlueCross BlueShield Association. This document has been classified as public Information.

History Regulations PPACA Impact Current Discussions on Cost Sharing Modifications NAIC Recommendations Future Viability 2

History Medicare created in 1965 Contains significant cost sharing IP deductible - $1,156 Part B (OP & Professional) deductible - $140 20% cost sharing on most non-ip/snf services Limited number of IP days covered No OOP (Out-of-Pocket) Limit Medicare supplement (aka, Medigap) covers cost sharing Varies by benefit plan Minimum MLR requirements 65% Individual 75% Group 3

OBRA 90 Legislation Standardized plans developed by NAIC 10 benefit plans developed A J (see Appendix A) Variations Part B (OP & Professional) cost sharing 3 plans included Rx benefits (until PDP introduced in 2006) All carriers must offer Basic plan (A) 4

Underwriting/Guaranteed Issue Guaranteed Issue 6 month open enrollment at age 65 AND enrollment in Part B No Pre-Ex exclusions No premium loads Same open enrollment after losing creditable coverage Underwriting Available to those applying for coverage outside of above open enrollment periods Renewable 5

Types of Supplemental Coverage, 2001 Source: MedPac Report to Congress: Medicare Payment Policy, March 2004 Excerpted from Brian Webb, NAIC, Medicare Supplement (Medigap) Coverage for Medicare Beneficiaries, 2/6/09 6

MMA (Medicare Modernization Act) 2003 Eliminated duplicative plans Created 2 new plans with cost sharing Added 2 high deductible options Created Hospice benefit Eliminated At-Home Recovery and Preventive Care benefit Game-changer => creation of Medicare Advantage and PDP options MIPPA (Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act) Added 2 new Plans M and N OV and ER Copays included (Plan N) Cost sharing 50% and 75% Part B deductible not covered Carriers must offer Plan A and Plan C or Plan F ESRD/Disabled Beneficiaries 7

Types of Supplemental Coverage, 2008 Source: Mark Merlis, Kaiser Family Foundation Program on Medicare Policy, July 2011 Excerpted in National Health Policy Forum, 12/9/11; 8

Current Proposals to Limit First Dollar Coverage in Med Supp plans Source Proposal Savings (over 10 Years) The President s Plan for Economic Growth and Deficit Reduction National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (Simpson-Bowles) CBO Option 1 CBO Option 2 30% Part B premium surcharge on new enrollees with Med Supp first dollar coverage No coverage for first $500 Maximum 50% coverage of next $5,000 Replace current Medicare structure with $550 single deductible; 20% coinsurance and OOP $5,500 Bar Med Supp policies from paying first $550; limit coverage to 50% of next $4,950 CBO Option 3 Bar Med Supp policies from paying first $550; require 10% coinsurance up to $5,500 OOP $2.5 B $38 B $32 B $53 B $93 B Sources: National Health Policy Forum; Medicare Supplemental Coverage Background, 12/9/11 NAIC Senior Issues Task Force, Medigap PPACA Subgroup Medicare Supplement Insurance First Dollar Coverage and Cost Shares Discussion Paper, 10/31/11 9

PPACA Directives Section 3210 NAIC requested to review and revise benefit packages C and F Update to include nominal cost sharing for physician services Consult published evidence from peer-reviewed journals Consult current examples used by integrated delivery systems Revised benefit plans implemented by January 1, 2015 to extent practicable National Health Policy Forum; Medicare Supplemental Coverage: Weighing the Consequences and Trade-offs for Medicare Spending and Beneficiaries, 12/9/11 10

AAA Letter to NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup Individuals Most Affected Issue-age rated policies (rate equity concerns) Impact of Cost Sharing Delay in medical care => may have larger impact on need and cost of medical care Issue: whether a member considers supplemental coverage when seeking medical care Repeated charge from ACA Cost sharing changes must be based on appropriate evidence or examples from integrated delivery systems Evidence should: incorporate the senior population demonstrate that unnecessary services decline no significant delay of necessary care or increased future costs results Encourages NAIC to reach out to other insurers with integrated delivery systems AAA Letter to Guenther Ruch, Chair, NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup, 10/4/11 11

AAA Letter to NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup Questions specific to CBO report assumptions Reduced utilization of necessary and unnecessary services? Applies to all in-force policies or just new policies? Projected Medicare Supplement sales along with shifts to other coverage? Cost shifting to higher-intensity services? AAA Letter to Guenther Ruch, Chair, NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup, 10/4/11 12

NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup Discussion Paper Issues Raised Focus on overutilization by beneficiaries Medicare, itself, determines which services are reimbursed Potential negative consequences Vulnerable populations Impact of changes on existing Med Supp policyholders Other types of supplemental coverage is not touched Conclusions from multiple studies: Agreement that those with supplemental coverage incur higher costs No consensus on cause of higher costs NAIC Senior Issues Task Force, Medigap PPACA Subgroup, Medicare Supplement First Dollar Coverage and Cost Shares 10/31/12 13

NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup Discussion Paper Recommendations CBO underlying data and assumptions be made public Any changes applied prospectively Consider potential adverse impact on vulnerable populations Improper utilization of services addressed by reviewing, adjusting and implementing Medicare program s policies and procedures (medical necessity) Use existing process for developing and implementing changes to Medicare Supplement policies NAIC Senior Issues Task Force, Medigap PPACA Subgroup, Medicare Supplement First Dollar Coverage and Cost Shares 10/31/12 14

NAIC Medigap PPACA Subgroup Preliminary Determinations Disagrees with premise that first-dollar coverage drives unnecessary utilization Overutilized services are candidates for new cost sharing Fixed copays vs. coinsurance Cost Sharing for physician office visits ER visits, therapy cost sharing appropriate Changes would not apply to high deductible plans CMS is being consulted for additional cost, utilization and coding information to assist with proposed recommendations. BCBSA Medigap Workgroup memo, 3/26/12 15

Future Viability ******************************************* Appendix slides Benefit summaries NAIC Subgroup Timeline 16

Benefit Summaries Eliminated ---- Eliminated ---- NEW BENEFIT A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Part A Coinsurance X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Part B Coinsurance X X X X X X X X X X 50% 75% X Copays SNF Coinsurance X X X X X X X X 50% 75% X X Part A Deductible X X X X X X X X X 50% 75% 50% X Part B Deductible X X X Part B Excess X X X X Foreign Travel ER X X X X X X X X X X At Home Recovery X X X Rx Coverage Limited Limited Limited Preventive Care X X 2012 Out-of-Pocket (OOP) High Deductible Option Included X X $ 4,660 $ 2,330 Copays on OV and ER Appendix A 17

http://www.naic.org/documents/committees_b_senior_issues_medigap_ppaca_sg_timeline.pdf Appendix B 18