2007 Interim Results. 09 May 2007



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Transcription:

2007 Interim Results 09 May 2007 1

Highlights Margin improved by 4.0pp as loss before tax reduced from 40m to 17m Total revenue grew by 14% to 719m Passenger revenues up 0.8% or 0.26 to 31.70 per seat Ancillary revenues up 18% or 0.58 to 3.81 per seat Costs ex-fuel down 2.1% or 0.57 to 27.18 per seat 12 month rolling return on equity at 11.9% for March 2007, up from 5.6% for 12m to March 2006 Strong balance sheet with 905m cash and gearing at 21% Guidance maintained: full year pre-tax profit up 40% to 50% 2

Highlights 11% increase in passenger numbers to 16.4 million Madrid base opened February 2007 with 4 A319 aircraft 16 new routes launched - network on sale is now 292 routes serving 75 airports across 20 countries 100th Airbus delivered in April 2007 1 new A319 taken every 12 days since September 2003 Speedy boarding implemented throughout network Network development: More focus on time sensitive passengers Extending our market footprint 3

Profit and loss account m H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Total revenue 719 630 + 14% Operating costs (679) (603) + 13% EBITDAR 40 27 + 45% Finance and ownership (57) (67) - 16% Pre-tax loss (17) (40) - 58% Margin (2.4%) (6.4%) +4.0pp Loss per seat (pence) (85p) (222p) + 137p Margin improved by 4.0pp with seasonal loss reduced to 17m 4

Return on equity and profit per seat progression 16% 3.72 4 3.32 14% 4 PBT per seat 12% 2.16 10% 2.38 10.1% 11.9% 3 3 8% 2 6% 7.1% 2 Return 4% on equity 2% 5.3% 1 1 0% Sep-04 Sep 04 Sep-05 Sep 05 Sep-06 Sep 06 Mar-07 12 month rolling 5 0

Passenger revenue H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Passengers (m) 16.4 14.9 + 11% Load factor 81.2% 81.8% -0.6pp Seats (m) 20.2 18.2 + 12% Pax revenue ( m) 642 571 + 12% Per seat 31.70 31.44 + 0.8% 6

Ancillary revenues H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Ancillary revenue ( m) 77 59 +32% Per seat 3.81 3.23 +18% Change per seat H1 2007 Card fees + 2% Change / Rescue / Speedy boarding fees + 15% Partner + 56% Excess baggage / Sporting goods + 40% In-flight - 8% Ancillary revenue per seat in order of revenue contribution 7

Cost per seat Cost/seat H1 2007 Change vs H1 2006 Change vs H1 2006 Better Worse Ownership 2.81-25% - 0.91 Maintenance 2.31-18% - 0.52 Airports / handling 10.25-0% - 0.05 Navigation 3.05 + 1% + 0.04 Fuel 9.18 + 1% + 0.05 Overheads 4.06 + 8% + 0.30 Crew 4.71 + 14% + 0.57 Total 36.36-1.4% - 0.52 Total (ex fuel) 27.18-2.1% - 0.57 8

Aircraft ownership Change in aircraft ownership cost per seat 1.50 0.75 - - 0.75-1.50-91p 2003 2004 2005 2006 H1 2007 Improved fleet mix and financing A319s represent 76% of fleet up from 60% in March 2006 Owned aircraft increased from 23% to 41% of fleet Benefit from weaker USD (effective rate $1.87 from $1.78) Continued reduction in lease return costs Ongoing savings through leveraging Airbus deal 9

Maintenance Change in maintenance cost per seat 1.50 0.75 - - 0.75-1.50-52p 2003 2004 2005 2006 H1 2007 Benefit from the elimination of B737-300s from fleet and mix change to owned A319s Benefit from weaker USD Reduction in unscheduled one-off maintenance Tender for engine maintenance nearing completion 10

Airports and ground handling Change in airport / handling cost per seat 1.50 0.75 - - 0.75-5p - 1.50 2003 2004 2005 2006 H1 2007 Reduction in Spanish ground handling costs with benefits from Madrid and Barcelona still to come Weaker Euro and Swiss franc offsetting mix effect Reduction in winter de-icing costs Continued pressure in H2 with Stansted rates changing 11

Overheads Change in overhead cost per seat 1.50 0.75 + 30p - - 0.75-1.50 2003 2004 2005 2006 H1 2007 Increase in legal and IT related costs Increased share based payments & timing of bonus provisions Full year forecast in line with expectations of reduced unit overhead costs Options for call centre under review 12

Crew Change in crew / training cost per seat 1.50 0.75 - - 0.75-1.50 + 57p 2003 2004 2005 2006 H1 2007 Effect of salary inflation circa 17 pence per seat Successful winter recruitment programme has impacted average efficiency (+400 pilots and +900 cabin crew recruited) Higher retention rates for both pilots and cabin crew Crew requirements in place for summer 2007 13

Net income, EPS and ROE m H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Pre-tax loss (17) (40) - 58% Tax 4 11-60% Net loss (13) (29) - 56% EPS (fully diluted) (3.0p) (7.2p) - 57% Return on Equity (rolling 12 month) 11.9% 5.6% + 6.3pp Full year effective tax rate around 26% 14

Strong balance sheet m Mar 07 Sep 06 Aircraft (incl. deposits) 795 699 Cash 905 861 Goodwill 310 310 Other assets 333 254 Total assets 2,343 2,124 Debt 493 480 Other liabilities 859 661 Shareholders funds 991 983 Total equity and liabilities 2,343 2,124 Gearing* 21% 31% *Gearing defined as (debt + 7 x annual lease payments cash incl. restricted cash) divided by (shareholders funds + debt + 7 x annual lease payments cash incl. restricted cash) 15

Cash 3/07 Good cash generation 1100 1000 900 800 700 16 Net capex Financing Tax / net int. m 861m 17m ( 25m) 162m 4m 14m ( 128m) 905m Cash 9/06 EBIT Depn / amort Wk capital

US$ forward hedging US$: 2.00 1.90 1.80 weighted average values 20% fwd @ $1.91 $1.88 60% collars $1.77 1.70 H2 80% 1.60 Sep 05 Dec 05 Mar 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dec 06 Mar 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 80% exposure hedged for H2 FY07 17

Fuel forward hedging Jet A1 price per tonne (US$) 800 750 700 weighted average values $776 22% collars $699 650 36% fwd @ $659 600 550 H2 58% 500 Sep 05 Dec 05 Mar 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dec 06 Mar 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 58% exposure hedged for H2 FY07 18

Business Review 19

Business review Priorities and focus Fleet and growth Network development Business product Competitive landscape Revenue Costs Environmental issues People People Network 20

Focus, growth and margin improvement Continued focus on our targets 15% growth 15% ROE Yield improvement Network development Yield mix (e.g. business traveller) Ancillary revenue Car hire, hotels, In-flight Operational efficiency Aircraft ownership Fleet mix 21

Fleet and order book 31 March fleet of 127 Aircraft 97 Airbus A319s 30 Boeing 737-700s Order book: 95 Airbus A319s on order for delivery 2007 2010 123 further Airbus A320 family options available through 2015 Rapid growth of Airbus fleet 100 th A319 April 2007 1 new A319 added every 12 days since Sep 2003 22

15% annual capacity growth planned Committed aircraft owned / leased at end of financial year 122 137 149 174 Planned seat growth + 15% + 15% + 15% Actual Expected Expected Expected FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 23

Base expansion concentrated in Europe Base 9/06 9/07 Base 9/06 9/07 Gatwick 18 +2 Madrid +4 Luton 17 Belfast 5 Stansted 13 +1 Paris Orly 5 +1 Bristol 9 +1 Basel 4 Berlin 8 Dortmund 4 Liverpool 8 Glasgow 4 Geneva 6 +2 Edinburgh 3 +1 Newcastle 6 +1 E Midlands 3 Malpensa 3 +4 Tactical 6-2 Total 122 137 24

Revenue growth greatest in continental Europe % of total revenue Growth in revenue by location of route versus prior year Europe H1 FY 06 + 41m Europe 30% H1 FY 07 + 62m UK + 17m Europe 55% + 10m UK Domestic 15% - 1m - 1m - 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 25

Madrid base launch & network Madrid base launched Feb 2007 4 aircraft 18 routes total 9 new routes 3 domestics 6 countries Load factor to date over 80% Complements existing Spanish network 72 routes 11 airports 8m pax last 12m 26

Strategic network development Primary Secondary Tertiary Increased Frequency Heartland London - Madrid Geneva - Lisbon Newcastle - Faro Join the Dots London - Glasgow London - Pisa Bristol - Krakow New Airports London - Zurich Madrid - Casablanca New Frontier Bristol La Rochelle Balanced network development focusing on each area 27

Network development in the winter schedule 16 new routes 14 routes culled Frequency increases on 35 routes* Timing improvements on 18 routes * Capacity increases over 15% year on year 28

Improving product attractiveness Product improvements through network development Frequency increases e.g. Newcastle - Belfast Timing improvements e.g. Berlin - Bristol Speedy boarding introduction High brand awareness 60% - 99% brand awareness in core countries Strong customer satisfaction 92% of passengers would recommend easyjet* Best Low Cost Airline Business Traveller Awards 8 th consecutive year * Source: Dec 2006 Customer Satisfaction Survey, Jan 2007 European Brand Monitor 29

Competitive landscape: competition overlap analysis 70% Monarch Airlines - 12 (# of market pairs overlapping) 60% British Airways - 48 50% 40% Swiss - 20 bmibaby - 20 bmi british midland - 11 How important we are to them 30% flyglobespan - 4 Jet2.com - 15 Air Berlin - 22 Air France - 18 20% Wizz - 5 KLM - 7 Alitalia - 16 Iberia - 17 flybe. - 17 Vueling Airlines - 5 Clickair - 4 germanwings / Eurowings - 9 Ryanair - 35 How important they are to us 10% Spanair - 5 Air One - 6 Lufthansa - 16 (market pair overlap, weighted by seats) 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 30

Revenue environment Tough comparatives from summer 2006 Passenger rev / seat up over 11% year on year in summer 2006 H2 growth rate (seats) approximately 18% versus 11% in H2 FY06 Competition some shift in emphasis but generally remains intense 1+ competing airline on 170 / 217 market pairs 1+ low-cost competitor on 117 / 217 market pairs European capacity growing despite tight aircraft supply UK Air Passenger Duty ( APD ) doubled from 5 to 10 Impacting ~45% of easyjet flights Particularly significant for UK domestic routes 31

Ancillary Revenue Growth +18% to 3.81 per seat Partner revenues continue to drive unit growth New contracts with hotel and car partners In-flight challenges Speedy boarding in place across network Dynamic packaging roll out on more languages and products Continuing opportunity for improved execution and innovation 32

The environment The easyjet Environmental Code Efficient in the air Efficient on the ground Leading the way in developing a greener future easyjet s Environmental Credentials: Modern fleet: average age 2.3 years High load factors averaging >80% Point to point direct services Reduced our unit CO2 emissions* by 18% since 2000 A traditional airline would burn 27% more fuel per passenger km easyjet supports inclusion of aviation into the European Emissions Trading Scheme ( ETS ) * CO2 per passenger km 33

People Recruiting for growth Recruitment for summer 07 complete Over 400 pilots recruited since Sept Over 900 cabin crew recruited Increasing crew retention European expansion Madrid base opened, crew on local contracts Ground handling employees in Spain Hangar 89 move March 2007 Cor Vrieswijk joined as Operations Director January 2007 Crew levels in place for summer 2007 34

Outlook Growth measured in available seats will accelerate during the summer months leading to approximately 15% growth for the full year to September 2007. As we stated last winter, we continue to see pressure on yields in the summer against high comparatives from last year and due to continued competition. Low fares underpin our growth and in the 2nd half we have reduced many of our lead-in fares and increased our promotional activity to sustain high load factors in weaker market conditions. Our low fares are supported by maintaining focus on ancillary revenues and our cost base. We anticipate further progress on unit cost reductions, excluding fuel, in the second half and for the full year we anticipate unit fuel costs to be slightly down year on year. Our guidance remains unchanged, for the full year to September 2007 we expect pre-tax profit growth of 40% to 50%. 35

Focus, growth and margin improvement Continued focus on our targets 15% growth 15% ROE Yield improvement Network development Yield mix (e.g. business traveller) Ancillary revenue Car hire, hotels, In-flight Operational efficiency Aircraft ownership Fleet mix 36

Appendix

Operating statistics H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Seats (m) 20.2 18.2 + 12% Load Factor (%) 81.2 81.8-0.6pp Passengers (m) 16.4 14.9 + 11% ASKs (m) 19,108 16,672 + 15% RPKs (m) 15,790 13,642 + 16% Stage Length (km) 944 918 + 3% Sectors 131,167 118,782 + 10% 38

Calculated amounts H1 2007 H1 2006 Change Average Fare ( ) 39.03 38.45 + 2% Total Revenue per pax ( ) 43.73 42.39 + 3% Cost / ASK (p) 3.85 4.02-4% Cost / ASK (ex fuel) (p) 2.88 3.02-5% RASK 3.76 3.78-0% 39

Fuel H1 2007 0-10 -20-30 -40-50 -60 40 Ownership Overhead Profit per seat build up m ( 40m) (222p) 5m 26p ( 5m) 12m 58p ( 1m) (3p) ( 6m) (30p) 19m 91p ( 1m) (5p) ( 17m) (85p) H1 2006 Volume Pax rev Ancil rev Ops cost

This communication is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of investment professionals in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001; or (ii) high net worth bodies corporate, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. Persons within the United Kingdom who receive this communication (other than those falling within (i) and (ii) above) should not rely on or act upon the contents of this communication. Nothing in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotion contained in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This presentation has been furnished to you solely for information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person, nor may it be published in whole or in part, for any other purpose. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities of easyjet plc ( easyjet ) in any jurisdiction nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of easyjet. Without limitation to the foregoing, these materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold into the United States absent registration under the US Securities Act of 1933 or an exemption therefrom. easyjet has not verified any of the information set out in this presentation. Without prejudice to the foregoing, neither easyjet nor its associates nor any officer, director, employee or representative of any of them accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any reliance on this presentation or its contents. This presentation is not being issued, and is not for distribution in, the United States (with certain limited exceptions in accordance with the US Securities Act of 1933) or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful and is not for distribution to publications with a general circulation in the United States. By attending or reading this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. 41