Colorado Mortgage Lende. s Association



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Colorado Mortgage Lende. s Association 4380 S. Syracuse Street.. Suite 315 Denver. Colorado 80237 Phone: (303) 773 9565 Fax: (303) 773 8746 wwiv.cmla.com August 1,2011 Office of the Comptroller of the Currency 250 E Street, SW., Mail Stop 2-3 Washington, DC 20219 Docket Number OCC-20 1 0-0002 Jennifer J. Johnson Secretary Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 20,h Street & Constitution Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20551 Docket No. R-1411 Robert E. Feldman Executive Secretary Attention: Comments, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 550 17'h Street, NW Washington, DC 20429 Elizabeth M. Murphy Secretary Securities and Exchange Commission 100 F Street NE Washington, DC 20549-1090 File Number S7-14-11 Alfred M. Pollard General Counsel Attention: CommentslRIN 2590-AA43 Federal Housing Finance Agency Fomih Floor, 1700 G Street, NW Washington, DC 20552 1

Regulations Division Office of General Counsel Department of Housing and Urban Development 451 7th Street, SW Room 10276 Washington, DC 20410 0500 Dear Sirs: Re: Cl'edit Risk Retention Proposed Rule; IV. Qnalified Residential Mortgages This comment letter replaces our previous comment letter regarding the referenced topic submitted on June 10, 20 II, Please disregard our previous comment letter. Further review of our previous comment letter revealed a misinterpretation of the data referred to in the first paragraph on page three of our letter. We have therefore made the appropriate corrections in this, our final comment letter in the matter. The Colorado Mortgage Lenders Association is a 56 year old organization made up of over 140 companies employing in excess of 3000 individuals involved in the Mortgage Lending Industry in Colorado. Our membership is made up of Mortgage Bankers, Mortgage Brokers, Banks and Credit Unions located throughout the State. Our members originate the majority of residential real estate loans made in the State of Colorado. We appreciate the 0ppOliunity to comment on the Credit Risk Retention Proposed Rule ("Proposed Rule") issued jointly by your agency and the other federal banking, housing and securities regulatory agencies. Our comments focus specifically on Section IV ofthe Proposed Rule concerning Qualified Residential Mortgages. Housing is a critical component of our nation's economy, and home ownership is an impoliant pmi of the American Dream. The definition of a Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM) in the Proposed Rule could have a dramatic negative impact on homeownership because the QRM definition determines which mortgages will be exempt from risk retention requirements. Much of the current debate suitounding the QRM definition deals with the appropriate level of down payment. We would therefore like to share with you a recent analysis of data from CoreLogic Inc. conducted by Vertical Capital Solutions.! When an observation is repeated 1 Vertical Capital Solutions, an independent valuation and advisory firm in New York, utilized loan performance data maintained by First American Core Logic, Inc. to conduct the analysis covering loans originated from 2002 to 2008 and using sample QRM criteria that reflect sound underwriting. Analysis is referenced in detail in "White Paper" titled "Proposed Qualified Residential Mortgage Definition Harms Creditworthy Borrowers While Frustrating Housing Recovery", dated August 1, 2011 by The Coalition for Sensible Housing Policy. 2

over and over again, many will start to believe that it is true, even when the facts lead to a different conclusion. An example of this is the common belief that a higher moligage down payment will significantly reduce the likelihood of default. However, years of data show that the principal detenninant in the rate of default is the quality of underwriting standards, not the down payment level. The historical data also shows the danger of arbitrarily raising the down payment requirement for a QRM loan. As outlined in the Vertical Capital Solutions analysis, an increase in the minimum down payment from 5% to 10% would likely have only a negligible impact on default rates (reducing them by less than 1 percent), but would significantly reduce the number of eligible borrowers (anywhere from a 4% to 7% reduction), and increasing the minimum down payment to 20% would reduce eligible borrowers by 15% to 20%, again with a negligible reduction in default rates. Creating an arbitrary down payment requirement in regulation will in fact exclude many creditworthy borrowers from home ownership. Underwriting a residential mortgage is a process requiring solid data analysis, accurate and true verification ofthe borrower's financial situation, coupled with good objective underwriting judgment. Part of sound underwriting judgment is the ability to analyze many compensating factors that detemline the borrower's ability to pay. There are many factors in the loan process that need to be weighed and evaluated, down payment is only one consideration when underwriting a loan and it is important not to overemphasize its contribution to the final likelihood of loan perfomlance. More compelling factors for successful home ownership and avoidance of default are the demonstrated ability to meet financial obligations, stable employment and a commitment to home ownership. According to the FHA Handbook section 1633 (3) "the quality of the real estate security, or a low ratio of loan-to-value cannot compensate for an unacceptable mortgagor." A case in point is the home loan guaranty program of the Veterans Administration. These loans require no down payment and a small investment in closing costs by the veteran borrower. Analysis shows that over time VA guaranteed loans perfoml as well or better than FHA or other low down payment programs. While it's important to note that the V A loan has a very select demographic, in this case it is clear that solid, well thought out underwriting compensates for the lack of down payment. It is worth noting in the broadest sense, that global and national economic forces along with personal and family issues are goveming factors in loan perfonnance. In the 1980's the mortgage insurance companies deleted the section of their claim fonns dealing with the reasons for default; recognizing the fact that unforeseen events such as loss ofjob, death, divorce and health reasons are factors that cannot be foreseen in the underwriting process. It is also worth noting that with the emergence of strategic defaults in many areas plagued by collapsing real estate values, the amount of down payment has not stopped some homeowners from defaulting when the value oftheir home has fallen below the amount owed on their mortgage. Many of 3

these borrowers have the income and assets to continue to meet their mortgage obligations, yet nevertheless, elect to default. A recent study from Moody's Analytics prepared by Mark Zandi and Cristian deritis, shows that foreclosure rates through the recent recession have remained relatively low on mortgages that were underwritten well. In particular, the authors reference a study offoreclosure rates on loans that had mortgage insurance provided through MGIC and were originated in 2006 and 2007. The loans had strong underwriting criteria, in particular credit scores above 660 FICO. The study tracked the foreclosure rates on these loans through 2010. While the foreclosure rate was lower for higher down payment loans, the foreclosure rate did not significantly increase even with low down payments. For example, loans with a 10 percent down payment had a foreclosure rate of3.3 percent, while those with a 5 percent down payment had a foreclosure rate of4 percent. While the foreclosure rate for loans with a 20 percent down payment did drop to 1.3 percent, this must be weighed against the significant impact on bon'ower eligibility from a high down payment. 2 There are additional likely consequences from a high down payment requirement in the QRM definition. It would increase mortgage costs, and further delay the housing recovery. This is due to the fact that risk retention is not cost free, and would result in higher interest rates on non-qrm mortgages. The effect of the high down payment reqnirements combined with the strict 28/36 debt to income standards also set folih in the proposed rules will effectively force many more borrowers into non QRM loans where higher rates (perhaps as much as 300 basis points higher based on a JP Morgan study of December 1,2009 3 ) would similarly limit their ability to qualify for a mortgage. In addition, a high down payment QRM would lead to fuliher consolidation in the mmigage market since large banks will be the only lenders with sufficient capital to comply with the risk retention requirements that sponsors of securities transactions may pass on to originators ofnon-qrm mortgages. A further potential consequence is that more borrowers would be driven to FHA, VA, USDA and while Ullder conservatorship, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government programs that are exempt from the risk retention requirements. This would occur at the very time that many national policymakers are recommending a reduction in the federal government's role in the housing market. A narrowly constructed QRM will have very serious negative consequences for borrowers seeking to own a home, and adversely impact an already weak housing market. The data shows that the best approach to reduce mortgage defaults is to focus on quality underwriting standards. We recognize the concem that generated the risk retention requirements in the Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act ("Dodd-Frank"). Congress clearly, Mark Zandi & Christian deritis, "Special Report: The Skinny on Skin in the Game," Moody's Anolytics (March 8, 2011). 3 J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. "Securitization Outlook" (December 11, 2009) 4

wanted to address weaknesses in the mortgage securitization process. However, Congress also wanted to ensure that borrowers would not be punished by changes that could increase the cost of traditional mortgages. Congress therefore specifically provided for an exemption from the credit risk retention requirements through the QRM. Unfortunately, the QRM definition in the Proposed Rule differs significantly from the Dodd-Frank QRM established by Congress. Dodd-Frank requires the QRM definition to be based on "underwriting and product features that historical loan perfornlance data indicate result in lower risk of default". It is clear that the Act requires that the financial resources relied upon to qualify for the mortgage must be documented and verified. Further, the Act specifies that the agencies are to promulgate rules that establish standards to set forth the following: "The residual income of the mortgagor after all monthly obligations" "The ratio of the housing payments ofthe mortgagor to the monthly income ofthe mortgagor" "The ratio of total monthly installment payments of the mortgagor to the income ofthe mortgagor" "Mitigating the potential for payment shock on adjustable rate mortgages through product features and underwriting standards" "Mortgage guarantee insurance or other types of insurance or credit enhancement obtained at the time of origination, to the extent such insurance or credit enhancement reduces the risk of default" "Prohibiting or restricting the use of balloon payments, negative amortization, prepayment penalties, interest-only payments, and other features that have been demonstrated to exhibit a higher risk of borrower default." As you can see, Congress was quite specific in the definition of a QRM, and that definition does not include either a maximum loan to value ratio or a minimum down payment. Congress debated and rejected including a down payment requirement as one of the enumerated requirements of the statute. In fact, the three United States Senators who were instrumental in the creation of the QRM exemption have recently stated their intention. Senators Mary Landlieu (D-LA), Johnny Isakson (R-GA) and Kay Hagen (D-NC) recently wrote to regulators and stated: "We are concerned that efforts to impose a high down payment requirement for any mortgage to meet the QRM exemption standard would be inconsistent with our legislative intent. As the authors of the QRM provision, we can assure you that, although there was discussion about whether the QRM should have a minimum down payment, in negotiations during the drafting of our provisions we intentionally omitted such a reqnirement.,,4 CMLA believes that it is inappropriate for regulators to expand beyond what is clearly the congressional intent in drafting Dodd Frank, especially considering that little if any consideration 4 Letter from Senators Mary Landrieu, Kay Hagen, Johnny Isakson to the QRM Regulators (February 16, 2011). 5

seems to be given to the economic impact of such onerous down payment requirements as set forth in the proposed rule. Further, in addition to disregarding Congressional intent regarding the down payment requirements, the regulators have apparently concluded that private mortgage insurance does not reduce the risk of default. We at CMLA would dispute that conclusion. The use ofprivate mortgage insurance provides a second set of eyes in reviewing a borrower's credit worthiness. By pooling the risk on high ratio loans across a large population ofb01towers and a wide geographic area with an appropriate premium, a mortgage insurance policy provides a safe and prudent substitute for a 20% down payment. The mortgage insurance industry has provided a first line of private capital to absorb the losses of the current foreclosure crisis. Notwithstanding the troubled state of the capital markets several of the fim1s have been able to raise additional capital, a new firm has been founded, and a second new one is currently in the process of being fonned. The private mortgage insurance industry provides competition and choice for both mortgage lenders and borrowers as well as the GSE's. The role of the private mortgage insurance industry in the QRM market segment provides a meaningful altemative to FHA at a time when the govemment is attempting to reduce its role in the housing market. It's important to note that a competitive mortgage insurance industry would not cause the FHA to be adversely selected. A number of studies have shown that properly underwritten, documented and verified loans have historically perfonned well. The Colorado Mortgage Lenders Association encourages the regulators to pay heed to those studies and remove the minimum down payment requirement as a condition of a loan qualifying for the QRM safe harbor and instead focus on rule making in the areas set f011h in the statute. Those standards, properly implemented, will result in loans where "underwriting and product features based on historical loan performance data will result in lower risk of default" as intended by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Refom1 and Consumer Protection Act. Sincerely, ~ // ') colorad/~o,1gag~/~~dersass~ciation (CI\1~A) \/./' / /'.,/ ---~. ~~.-'/~',... ",,," ' '5'-. / /' ///j"" -/~~~~~ By: T. K,.Jones, Chaim1an Legislative and Regulatory Affairs Committee. Colorado M011gage Lenders Association o ~ 6