Roche: Defining priorities for a high tech healthcare company



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Transcription:

Roche: Defining priorities for a high tech healthcare company Erich Hunziker, Deputy Head of the Corporate Executive Committee and CFO January 2008 1 This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as believes, expects, anticipates, projects, intends, should, seeks, estimates, future or similar expressions or by discussion of, among other things, strategy, goals, plans or intentions. Various factors may cause actual results to differ materially in the future from those reflected in forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, among others: 1 pricing and product initiatives of competitors; 2 legislative and regulatory developments and economic conditions; 3 delay or inability in obtaining regulatory approvals or bringing products to market; 4 fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions; 5 uncertainties in the discovery, development or marketing of new products or new uses of existing products, including without limitation negative results of clinical trials or research projects, unexpected side-effects of pipeline or marketed products; 6 increased government pricing pressures; 7 interruptions in production 8 loss of or inability to obtain adequate protection for intellectual property rights; 9 litigation; 10 loss of key executives or other employees; and 11 adverse publicity and news coverage. Any statements regarding earnings per share growth is not a profit forecast and should not be interpreted to mean that Roche s earnings or earnings per share for this year or any subsequent period will necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings or earnings per share of Roche. For marketed products discussed in this presentation, please see full prescribing information on our website www.roche.com All mentioned trademarks are legally protected 2 1

Additional information in relation to the offer for Ventana shares and where to find it These materials are for informational purposes only and do not constitute an offer to purchase or a solicitation of an offer to sell Ventana s common stock. The tender offer is being made pursuant to a tender offer statement on schedule TO (including the offer to purchase, letter of transmittal and other related tender offer materials) filed by Roche with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on June 27, 2007. These materials, as they may be amended from time to time, contain important information, including the terms and conditions of the offer, that should be read carefully before any decision is made with respect to the tender offer. Investors and stockholders can obtain a free copy of these materials and other documents filed by Roche with the SEC at the website maintained by the SEC at www.sec.gov. The tender offer materials may also be obtained for free by contacting the information agent for the tender offer, Mackenzie Partners, at (212) 929-5500 or (800) 322-2885 (toll-free). Additional information can also be found on www.roche.com. 3 Performance up-date Our priorities 4 2

Continuing excellent growth Over CHF 3.5 billion organic sales added CHF bn 2006 2007 % change in USD YTD Sept YTD Sept CHF local growth Pharmaceuticals 23.9 27.1 13 14 17 Diagnostics 6.4 6.8 6 5 10 Roche Group 30.3 33.9 12 12 16 5 Oncology: Annualised sales of over CHF 18 billion and growing strongly CHF bn YTD Sept 07 vs. YTD 06 local growth 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 5 % 45 % 50 % 2004 2005 2006 2007 Europe/RoW US Japan +10 % +15 % +28 % 6 3

Strong rise in Group sales and Core EPS Sales (CHF billions) 30 25 20 15 10 5 +38 % Sales +13 % +24 % +14 % +29 % +19 % Core EPS +21 % +15 % 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Core EPS (CHF) 0 H1 2003 H1 2004 H1 2005 H1 2006 H1 2007 0 Historical Core EPS data 2003 to 2004 restated 7 Strategic acquisitions and portfolio enhancements Committed to technology leadership Leader in Pharma Driving personalised healthcare Leader in Diagnostics THP (therapeutic antibody technology) Alnylam (RNA interference technology) Transgene (therapeutic HPV vaccine) BioVeris (electrochemiluminescence technology) 454 Life Sciences (ultra fast gene sequencing) NimbleGen (high-density DNA microarrays) Ventana (tissue-based diagnostics) 1 Tanox (acquired by Genentech) Early detection Diagnosis Patient stratification Treatment Monitoring 1 Tender offer pending 8 4

Growth objectives for 2007 Reconfirming improved outlook of Q1 Sales Double-digit sales growth 1 for Roche Group and Pharmaceuticals Division Above-market sales growth in both divisions Core EPS target Core earnings per share growth above sales growth 1 in local currencies barring unforeseen events 9 Performance up-date Our priorities 10 5

Roche Challenge # 1 Achieve above peer level sales growth for both divisions 1 Can we constantly gain market share in both divisions? 2006 2011 2016 11 YTD Sept 07: Sales growth two-to-three times market Growing share of key growth drivers Local sales growth Key products as % of pharma sales Division Europe North America Latin America Japan 6% 7% 6% 7% 4% 14% 12% 14% 12% 16% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Roche 0% IMS YTD July '07 2004 2005 2006 2007 Bonviva/Boniva Tarceva Xeloda Pegasys CellCept NeoRecormon/ Epogin/Mircera Herceptin / Rituxan 12 6

Key products on growth path New indications provide fresh growth opportunities Herceptin MAT sales (CHF bn) 4 3 2 1 5 4 3 2 1 0 Q1-05 Q3-05 Q1-06 Q3-06 Q1-07 Q3-07 Tarceva 1.5 0 Q1-02 Q3-02 Q1-03 Q3-03 Q1-04 Q3-04 Q1-05 Q3-05 Q1-06 Q3-06 Q1-07 Q3-07 6 MAT sales (CHF bn) 1 0.5 29% 4 2 50% 0 Q1-05 Q3-05 Q1-06 Q3-06 Q1-07 Q3-07 Pharma Division sales Roche Pharma sales 0 Q1-02 Q3-02 Q1-03 Q3-03 Q1-04 Q3-04 Q1-05 Q3-05 Q1-06 Q3-06 Q1-07 Q3-07 MAT = Rolling 4 quarter sales at avg. YTD Sept. '07 exchange rates 13 Our oncology strategy: Setting new standards of care New tumor types, new combinations, new lines of intervention Clinically differentiated product Example target all tumor types target all possible combinations target earlier (adjuvant) intervention Superior outcome for patients 3 rd line 3 rd line 2 nd line 3 rd line 2 nd line 1 st line 2 nd line 1 st line Adjuvant 1 st line GIST Pancreatic Ovarian Prostate RCC Adjuvant BC Adjuvant Completed NSCLC Ongoing CRC In preparation 14 7

Oncology Many market opportunities on the horizon and addressed CRC NSCLC BC HER2+ BC HER2- RCC Adjuvant Approval Trials Xeloda (mono) P3, Xeloda (combo) P3 ; Tarceva Herceptin P3 Herceptin+ (in planning) P3 ; Xeloda Metastatic 1st line Approval Trials, Xeloda (mono) Filed (EU), Xeloda (EU,US) line ext with oxaliplatin P3 + Tarceva, Tarceva maint. Herceptin, (EU) P3 Herceptin+ ; Herceptin+ pertuzumab (EU), Xeloda P3 line ext. Roferon A Filed (EU) Metastatic 2nd line Approval Trials (US)+ filed (EU) Tarceva P3 Tarceva+ Herceptin Xeloda Xeloda P3 Approved Filed New market opportunities addressed 15 Funding Roche oncology products are cost-effective GBP in (000) Cost per QALY for selected drugs (UK data NICE/SMC) We aim to expand use of our products to earlierstage cancers, providing full benefit to patients 59-111 22-28 29-38 36-38 8 8-11 2-18 5-23 1st Line Follicular NHL Stage III/IV Aggressive NHL Herceptin early BC Tarceva 2nd line NSCLC Statins high risk Herceptin mbc Glivec CML Statins Elderly low risk 16 8

Oncology is still dramatically under funded Compared to other disease areas Mental disease 25.3% Total disease burden in DALYs Other 26.3% Cardiovascular 17.1% Cancer 16.7% Injuries 8.7% Resp. 5.9% Total healthcare costs Cancer 6.4% Cost breakdown in oncology (example: Germany) Inpatient hospital care 67% Drugs 8% Ambulatory 16% Other 9% Source: A pan-european comparison regarding patient access to cancer drugs, Karolinska Institute DALY: Disability-Adjusted Life Years, figures from 2002/3; Commonly used measure of the burden of disease 17 Roche has a low exposure to generics Long-term sustainable business Sales erosion due to generisation (% of 2004 sales) 100% 80% 60% Average European peers 40% 20% Roche 0% 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 18 9

Roche has a unique investment case Roche: Unique geographic risk diversification USA (Greater) Europe Japan Asia China Latin America in CRC Roche: Unique pillars of value risk diversification in NSCL in BC Xeloda adjuvant CRC adjuvant NSCLC Herceptin Tarceva Actemra in RA adjuvant in BC Pegasys Neo Recormon Mircera Diabetes Care CETP i GLP - 1 Immuno- Diagnostics Boniva CellCept Molecular Diagnostics Pertuzumab Ocrelizumab (AI) FUTURE PILLARS 19 The short/medium term sales perspective Challenge # 1: Achieve above industry-standard sales growth Conclusion # 1: Roche wants to maximize assets on hand and to translate value opportunities into reality 20 10

Challenge # 2 Turn attractive top line into attractive bottom line 2 Can we achieve an attractive top-line and still deliver strong EPS growth? 2006 2011 2016 21 Doing the right things right Three focus areas People are key! Activate potential and constantly educate: to learn faster than our competitors is the only sustainable factor of success! The right quantum size for Roche? Fixed cost versus variable cost Operational productivity 22 11

Activate our employees potential Constant education to overcome fear of change Number of employees To achieve our ambitions we have to activate the potential of our 72,000 employees! Our leadership and communications efforts have to concentrate here low Readiness for change high 23 What is the right quantum size for a sustainable Roche? Even if costs grow considerably slower than sales, there is risk that we build up too much infrastructure / fixed costs! Sales 24 12

Constantly improving operational productivity Operational productivity is an important key enabler for the Roche Group We must become better and cheaper in whatever we do! 25 Focus on differentiated products paying off Sales doubling, operating profits tripling Group sales 1 (CHF bn) Group operating profit 2 (CHF bn) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 16.3% 20.2% 21.3% 22.9% 27.9% 25.9% 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1 Pharmaceuticals and Diagnostics 2 before exceptional items 26 13

Core EPS rising steadily Core EPS CAGR 1 ('02 '06): 23 % CHF 12.0 10.0 9.86 8.0 7.84 6.0 4.0 4.34 4.71 5.87 2.0 0.0 1 Compound Annual Growth Rate 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 27 Economic success translated into shareholder returns Again a substantial increase in 2006 Dividend CAGR 1 ( 91-06): 18 % CHF 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 1 Compound Annual Growth Rate 1995 including centenary bonus 2006 Dividend: Proposed by the Board of Directors 1 compound annual growth rate 28 14

Short/medium term bottom-line perspective Challenge # 2: Achieve above industry-standard value creation Conclusion # 2: Roche has many programs running to ensure above industry standard EPS-growth 29 Challenge # 3 Filling the strategic gap 1 3 2 Can we produce enough internal and external innovation to maintain the Roche Group s Leadership position? 2006 2011 2016 30 15

Sustainable leadership How can we constantly provide benefit to customers? Innovation Research Development Production Marketing & Distribution Customer benefit Which degree of innovation (= medical differentiation) is necessary to jump regulatory and reimbursement hurdles? 31 Innovation and Change Management Performance improvements are not linear Performance Major obstacles are overcome; innovation reaches certain adoption level Innovation widely adopted; further pushing the performance with this innovation becomes increasingly difficult Time 32 16

Large-Scale Transformation Requires multiple S-Curves building on each other Performance Critical for large scale transformation is that major innovations build on each other Quantum change Continuous improvement; preparation of next quantum change Time Combination of quantum-leap progress and continuous improvement Organisation needs a major step change every few years followed by a period of stability to digest, optimize and continuous improvements 33 The Roche hub & spoke -model: Roche controls the global value chain, but is open for Research partnerships Roche core Innovation partners Research Development Production Marketing + Distribution 34 17

Access to Innovation is key - competition growing Costs of third party innovation is raising steeply! Average cost of in-licensing (Rx), $m 500 400 300 200 100 Early-stage Late-stage Average cost of in-licensing deals rose 40% (CAGR) since 2000 By 2010, 40% of Pharma peers revenues expected to come from external sources of innovation 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 35 Roche 2015: Disease Biology Areas (DBAs) Alignment and focus Disease Biology Areas Idea DBA Oncology DBLT DBA Metabolic DBLT DBA CNS DBLT Market Focus on five DBAs Decisions made by Disease Biology Leadership Teams (DBLTs) against measurable metrics Up to Proof of Concept: DBLTs manage compound progression within respective DBA After Proof of Concept: DBLTs responsible for conducting scientific/ medical reviews and providing options to Pharma Leadership Team DBA Inflammatory DBLT Clear focus More independent and flexible disease areas DBA Viral DBLT Faster and simpler decision processes 36 18

Key drivers in place for sustainable growth Current and projected sources of value creation (phase IIb and III) mcrc, NSCLC NHL Herceptin adjuvant BC mbc extensions Actemra RA RA Tarceva 1st line maint. Xeloda adj. BC CLL Tarceva+ combo 2nd line adjuvant Colon cancer GLP-1 T2 diabetes HPV16 therapeutic vaccine adjuvant Lung cancer Pertuzumab mbc Ocrelizumab RA, lupus adjuvant Breast cancer CETP inhibitor HCV Polymerase Inhibitor Ocrelizumab MS Illustrative 2007 2011 2016 37 Roche key therapeutic areas Current and future pillars of growth Oncology Xeloda Herceptin Tarceva Pertuzumab Apomab Apo2L/TRAIL ARQ 15 phase I compounds On Hand RA/Autoimmune Actemra R1594 ocrelizumab PNP inhibitor 5 phase I compounds Metabolic R1583 GLP-1 R1658 CETP Inh. R1439 dual PPAR R1579 DPP-IV 3 phase I compounds Promising Late Stage Virology Tamiflu Pegasys R1626 Polym. Inh. R7227 Protease Inh. R7128 Polym. Inh. R3484 HPV16 Emerging Mid-Term CNS 6 phase I compounds Early Stage 38 19

YTD Sep 2007: Autoimmune portfolio Ocrelizumab additionally developed for MS and lupus RA Phase I Phase II Phase III R7277 (RA) Toyama Ocrelizumab (RA) (RA) DMARD IR Actemra (RA) Approved (RA TNF IR) All Autoimmune R7277 (RA) Toyama R3477 (MS) Actelion R1295 (MS) IFN-alpha Ab (SLE) GNE Ocrelizumab (SLE) Ocrelizumab (LN) Ocrelizumab (RRMS) (RRMS) GNE moving to ph. 3 moving to ph. 3 Ocrelizumab (RA) (PPMS) GNE ANCA avasc. GNE (SLE) GNE (RA) DMARD IR Actemra (RA) Actemra (sjia) CellCept (LN) (RA TNF IR) R3421 (AI) Biocryst (LN) GNE CellCept (PV) 39 YTD Sep 2007 Metabolism/Diabetes pipeline making good progress- major new area for Roche emerging CETP Inhibitor Phase IIb data available internally: very encouraging Torcetrapib side effects (elevated blood pressure) appear compound-specific GLP-1 phase II data available soon First phase II data (sustained release formulation) before year end Decision for phase III to be taken in early 2008 DDP-IV (3) moves into phase II Good safety profile Potential for weight reduction? 40 20

Long-term perspective Roche 2015 is a crucial platform Challenge # 3: Filling the value gap Conclusion 3: With Roche 2015 we have the right platform in place to identify the right priorities 41 We Innovate Healthcare 21