Development of Consumer Credit Bureaus in Singapore: Based on Strategic Management



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Development of Consumer Credit Bureaus in Singapore: Based on Strategic Management Mingyue Wen Contents Introduction The proposition of strategic management view The state of art of consumer credit reporting industry of Singapore Strategies of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore Discussion 1. Introduction Consumer credit bureaus are organizations that compile and disseminate reports on the creditworthiness of consumers. Firms that lend to consumers provide the underlying data to the bureaus. Consumer credit bureaus are not new and have been established in most developed countries for some time: Europe in the '60s, US in the '70s, Hong Kong and Australia in the '80s and '90s. They are generally private sector-led initiatives encompassing both positive and negative information. In many countries, lenders routinely share information on the creditworthiness of their borrowers. This can happen either on a voluntary basis through credit bureaus that are set up by the lenders themselves or operated independently by a third party, or on a mandatory basis though public credit registers (PCRs) operated by central banks. The key difference is that participation in a PCR is compulsory, and its rules are not contracted but imposed by regulation. The credit information market and infrastructure in Singapore are relatively new. In 2002, three credit bureaus were established in Singapore. These credit bureaus are all private companies and are relatively freer from the government policy than those in other Asian countries. They are competitors for each other and operate for profit through their strategy. This makes it possible that we can analyse their management by the framework of -25-

strategic management. These credit bureaus are based on the principle of reciprocity, which is generally stated in the contractual agreement between the consumer credit bureaus and the credit grantors. In this paper a review of existing literature about consumer credit bureau will be first tackled. Next, a view of strategic management will be provided after integrating arguments on consumer credit bureau and identifying the inconsistent evidences generated by empirical studies. By focusing on the viewpoint of strategic management theories, a theoretical framework for the analysis of consumer credit bureaus will then be introduced. Third, the state of art of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore will be discussed after the introduction of the background-the consumer credit market development. Lastly, an analysis of the strategies of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore will be provided within the theoretical framework of strategic management. 2. The proposition of strategic management view Literature review The academic literature of consumer credit bureau has provided analyses based upon the economics concepts such as asymmetric information, adverse selection, moral hazard, and the theory of property right or a historical perspective. Using these theoretical frameworks and perspectives, the existing empirical literatures on consumer credit bureaus have developed in five categories. First, the theoretical rationality of the establishment and existment of consumer credit bureau has been identified (Stiglitz and Weiss, 1981; Pagano and Jappelli, 1993; Padilla and Pagano, 1997). A second stream of research is about the economic effects of information sharing on credit market performance (Pagano and Jappelli, 1993; Vercammen, 1995; Padilla and Pagano, 1997; Padilla and Pagano, 2000; Hiruma, Sakano and Higuchi, 2002; Jappelli and Pagano, 2002; Miller, 2003; Gehrig and Stenbacka, 2005). The third stream of the existing literature is about the different effects of different ways of information sharing (Chandler and Parker, 1989; Chandler and Johnson, 1992; Barron and Staten, 2000; Jeong, 2006). Another approach is to indentify the significance of the accuracy of credit bureau information (WilliamÈ™ 1989; Avery el al., 2003; Avery, Calem and Canner, 2004; CFA, 2002; Connelly 1992). Finally, several researchers have investigated the influence of regulations on credit bureaus (Boyes, Hoffman and Low, 1989; Vercammen, 1995; Jentzsch, 2006). -26-

Theoretical framework based on strategic management point From the existing theoretical research on consumer credit bureau, the following are identified. As shown by the microeconomic (models) and empirical evidence, it's clear that consumer credit bureaus can contribute to the efficiency of consumer credit market. In addition, the existing theoretical literature shows that exchanging information about borrowers can have three effects. First, ease adverse selection problem and make it possible to lend with appropriate rate. Second, reduce the "information rent" that lender could otherwise extract from their customers. Third, act as a borrower discipline device, eliminate or reduce the borrowers' incentive to become "overindebted" by drawing credit simultaneously from many lenders without any of them realizing. However, among the empirical researches, the results show inconsistent according to what the dependent variables are. They show consist positive effect when price (lending rate) was a dependent variable and positive or no effect when a dependent variable was adverse effect (default rate). On the other hand, in the case of having the growth of credit market (aggregate lending) as a dependent variable, they show both of positive and negative effects. From these results, we can conclude that consumer credit bureau is necessary for the development of credit market, whereas it is not a predictor for lending (the growth of consumer credit market). Rather, it is possible that according to the different economic conditions, different roles are expected on the consumer credit bureaus. In fact, many other factors are important for the extent of consumer credit market, which include the demand side factors such as the expectation of future employment in company with economic growth or the stability of income, and the supply side factors such as the product development, the improvement of channels by lenders. Further, the improvement of infrastructure such as technologies and safety networks are indispensible. Moreover, different regulation environments result in different effects. Therefore, studies on the proper style of consumer credit bureaus researches. under different economic conditions become a hopeful subject in the future In that case, research based on the strategic management theory and focuses on the very private consumer credit bureaus should be an important field. Furthermore, in the information age, globalization becomes ordinary. Like most of the other industries, the private credit bureaus are also seeking growth opportunities by diversifications and developing abroad. Under this background, it is necessary of seeing consumer credit bureaus as enterprises and analyzing them by strategic management concepts and variables. -27-

"This research is a trial of analyzing the consumer credit bureaus with the strate gic management concepts such as ownership structure, products, services, channels, diversification, and regulations. The analysis is focused on the consumer credit bureaus in Singapore, because the feature of these credit bureaus which are private enterprises makes it possible to discuss them from the strategic management point, and the credit report industry of Singapore is relatively unique in Asia by a higher population cover rate and less regulations from the government. On the analysis, the following theoretical framework was used: Arenas, including product categories, market segments, geographic areas, core technologies, and value-creation stages; Vehicles, including internal development, joint venture, licensing, and acquisitions; Differentiators, including price, customization, product reliability, image; Staging, including speed of expansion, speed of initiatives; Economic logic, including scale advantages, scope advantages, premium prices 3. The state of art of consumer credit reporting industry of Singapore Economic change Consumer credit bureaus emerged in Singapore in 2002, along with the change of finance environment and consumer credit market. Entering the end of last century, the frequency of financial crisis has increased. Financial crises spread rapidly and give very little time for financial market participants to react. The rapidity with which the Asian crisis spread across East Asia in '97 - '98 and sharp downturn in us If' demand in 2001 are good examples. While all this was taking place, and partly as a consequence of this, growing levels of household debt and a growing number of defaults and bankruptcies were observed in Singapore. And yet, consumer credit is still a very attractive and growing business to many lenders. The total household liabilities, in the form of mortgages and personal loans, grew from 118 % of annual personal disposable income in 1995 to 174 % of personal disposable income in 2001' In the case of credit and charge cards, the card approval rate rose by 14.4 % over the same period. In 2001, total card billings in Singapore were S$11 billion and bad debt written off -28-

by financial institutions was S$ 79.5 million. In 2000, the personal bankruptcy rate rose by 19 9a` With the rising popularity of consumer credit across Asia and the likely increase in credit risks due to the difficult economic conditions, financial institutions were increasingly faced with the challenge of improving the quality of their consumer increasing their market share in the face of global competition. credit portfolios while In the mid-1990s, to curb aggressive spending on consumer credit, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) imposed rules requiring that credit cards be issued only to individuals with incomes above S$ 30,000 and with a credit limit no greater than twice the cardholder's monthly income. Similar rules were imposed on unsecured personal loans. However, government intervention alone cannot fully address the issue, It is possible that an enterprising borrower could find ways to get around the regulations. For example, in the case of credit limit, credit card borrowers could' easily overcome the twice month income borrowing limit by having multiple credit cards, Therefore, more efficient and quick assessment facilities became necessary. Within the banking industry, the Association of Banks (ASS) looked into the formation of a consumer credit bureau which would help the banking community identify risky candidates for credit. Almost at the same time, the formation of a consumer credit bureau also appeared in nonfinancial sectors. The industry structure of consumer credit reporting system in Singapore Ownership structures of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore are unregulated, and the partnership with a foreign company is allowed, which makes it possible to draw upon global experiences. The consumer credit reporting system of Singapore consists of three players, which are all in the private sector. These players take membership systems under supervise of Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). They are Credit Bureau Singapore (CBS), DP Credit Bureau (DPCB) and CreditScan Consumer. CBS is a joint venture between ABS, Dun & Bradstreet (an international leader of business credit information industry with wide experience in finance and marketing service), and Veda advantage (with wide experience in business information solutions in Australia and New Zealand). DPCB is an initiative by DP information Group, Singapore's leading provider of credit information and bureau services since 1978. CreditScan was developed by Dun & Bradstreet which helped launch CBS. CBS was established as a part of risk management program for the bank industry MAS takes into account use of CBS data when it scores the credit risk management practices of the 29 -

institutions it supervises. As the complement to CBS, DPCB and Creditscan Consumer provide information service to all of the institutions except the members of CBS. Tese three credit bureaus provide a population cover of 38.6 %, comparing with the area average of 10.1 %3 However, the current model splits financial and non-financial sector participation, thereby inherently limits cross-sector sharing (Figure 1). Figure 1: Industry structure of consumer credit reporting industry in Singapore - 4 Financial Institutions Bank's Credit Bureau (CBS) 0 Financial Institutions Non-Financial Institutions.. O^` t ditbur aus _ 0 Retailers, Hospitals, (flp `bb,creditscan), Others, Public Information Source: Information from MAS and company websites The contents of consumer credit reports Consumer credit reports provided by these credit bureaus typically include four kinds of informations. First, (here is identifying information, such as the person's name, gender, nationality, 11), occupation, date of birth, full address (only postal code in the case of CBS) and employment details (the case of DPCB and CreditScan). Next, there is a list of credit information that includes accounts at the credit bureau members, which include both positive and negative data. This consists of records of all credit checks made on the consumer, including payment details and default record. The positive payment history will be displayed in the bureau on a rolling 12-month basis with older history kept in the database. There may also be information gleaned from public records, including bankruptcy filings, and litigations. Lastly, in the case of DPCB and CreditScan, the file will typically include a count of the number of inquiries authorized by the consumer. The credit report will not contain any I information about applications for credit or insurance that was denied. Information framework The current information sharing model in Singapore is lenders-exchange. Information collected by these three credit bureaus are offered on the basis of reciprocity. This will ensure -30-

that credit providers are in a position to make fully informed decisions and that all current information on the consumer is available. However, the participation of these credit bureaus is splitted by financial and non-financial sector. Only banks and financial institutions gazetted by MAS in providing credit facilities to consumers can be members of CBS. These members are authorized by MAS to disclose credit-related information to, and obtain information from, CBS. This authorization is permitted for members to check the creditworthiness of existing and prospective customers. On the contrary, DPCB and CreditScan Consumer comprise of non-bank credit providers as well as companies in various industries that extend credit to individuals (excluding members of the Association of Banks), namely retailers, credit-related, hospitals, healthcare, utilities, non-bank card companies, fuel-card grantors, construction, services, etc. i Because of the limitation on cross-sector information sharing, some concerns appeared. For example, most SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprises) encounter difficulties in obtaining adequate financing from lending institutions. One critical determining factor is due to the lack of sufficient credit information for lenders to make credit decisions. As a solution of this kind of problems, DPCB are planning receiving financial institutions, e.g. banks in Singapore, as non-contributing DPCB members. By allowing banks to access information restricted on a need-to-know basis will help them identify well-run, honest businesses that deserve credit, increasing credit options for SMEs in the long run. In return, the contributing members (the existing members of DPCB) in the non-banking sector will benefit from a rebate fee if any financial institutions search thee record submitted. That is, those members whose contributed records are searched by the financial institutions will share 50% of the revenue equally. The rebate fee will be disbursed on a quarterly basis or when the amount exceeds a certain quantum (Figure 2). Figure 2: The cross-sector information sharing plan of DPCB Inquiry by paying the rebate fee, data contribution without data contribution i-- - - CBSdataltits Non-oontnbuting members ---- - DPCB database _ data contribution and inquiry DPCB Source: Information form company website Contributing members and inquiry CBS -31-

Development of Consumer Credit Bureaus in Singapore, Based on Strategic Management Regulations Banking Act provides a framework of use of consumer information for the banks in Singapore. Since 2002, the Banking Act has allowed CBS members, which include banks, credit card companies and other financial institutions, to disclose credit-related information to and obtain such information from CBS for the purpose of checking on their existing and prospective customers' creditworthiness. According to Banking Act, the bureau is gazetted by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to operate in a prudent manner to maintain its gazetted status, which means banks and CBS can not disclose information to any unauthorized under the Banking Secrecy Act. party due to regulations There is no specific law for information sharing in Singapore. Credit bureaus are selfregulated, having contractual agreements based on strict Code of Conducts in the handling of I consumer data, adhered to by members and credit bureaus themselves. There are also strict guidelines on personal privacy and the resolution of disputes from individuals. Members of credit bureaus are responsible for ensuring that the informations. provided are accurate, complete, correct and current. 4. Strategies of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore To analyze the strategies of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore, this sector collects data that are important in understanding the features of company activities of these bureaus. A comparison of management activities will be introduced following the theoretical framework provided above, and then a strategy analysis of consumer credit bureaus will be tackled as a conclusion. A comparison of management activities The feature of management activities of bureaus can be conducted in the categories such as ownership structure, source of information, product categories and value-creation stages, market segment, and vehicles (Table 1). -32-

Development of Consumer Crc dit Bureaus in Singapore: Based on Strategic Management Table 1 : Comparison of management activities among consumer credit bureaus in Singapore CBS DPCB CreditScan Ownership ABS, DP information Pte Ltd. Dun & Bradstreet Structure Dun & Bradstreet, Veda advantage, etc. Sources of members, members, members, information public available public available information public available information information, consumers, other database of D & B Product information information providing information providing, categories providing value-added services consumer inquire and (only to members) default management value- a. Cash flow projection historical report creation b. Payment profiling stage c. Payment monitoring function Market financial sector non-bank credit providers non-bank credit providers segment (all the members companies in various companies in various of the ABS) industries that extend credit industries that extend to individuals I credit to individuals planning extending to financial institutions (see figure 2)!.. Vehicles introduction of partnership with Fair Isaac Knowhow transition from international Corp on the development of the D & B business credit experience scoring and predictive model, information DP-FICO Score. Source: Information from company websites Conclusion - Analysis of strategies of consumer credit bureaus in Singapore From the analysis of this study, the following point can be summarized based on the view of strategic management. A. Competition domain The credit bureaus in Singapore, especially those of the non-financial sectors, are developing value-added services, such as cash flow projection, payment profiling, payment monitoring function, consumer inquiry, default management, on the base of traditional information providing. a. Cash flow projection Projects cash inflow for members based on past months' payment pattern of debtors, providing a comparison against member's actual cash flow. It allows members to better monitor credit control efficiencies. -33-

b. Payment profiling Assist members to detect any changes in payment behaviors for better understanding t and management of debtors. c. Payment monitoring function Allow members to monitor for any new or adverse payment information on their customers, based on criterion specified by each member (example, customer who have outstanding overdue of more than 60 days with other creditors). d. Default management A member can request that a monitor be placed on an individual for the various types of update to his/her current information. By doing so, the member can monitor the individual where any change in the requested aspect on him/her would result in a monitor hint. B. Differentiators The ability of providing values that corresponded to the prices of productions and services is important. Therefore, consumer credit bureaus attempt to pool more detailed data through the expansion of membership and to raise the service level through product innovation. C. Vehicles The consumer credit bureaus develop products, services and technologies through internal development and strategic joint ventures with the international experience, and acquire new clients through the expansion of membership. D. Timing and order of expansion: take the adverse feature of credit market as a chance of expansion Entering the end of last century, a growing number of defaults and bankruptcies were observed in Singapore, which made the negative feature of credit market come to the surface. Therefore, the need for developing consumer credit information system appeared. This kind of event makes it easy to urge the regulators to move in the construction of consumer credit reporting infrastructure. E. Economic logic The economic logic of revenues of credit bureaus can be explained by the concept of -34-

`economies of scale' and `economies of scope'. For example, expansion of market segmentation by including membership both in non-financial sector and the financial sector results in economies of scale. The founders of the three credit bureaus in Singapore, such as Dun & Bradstreet, DP information Pte Ltd., are key players in business credit information industry, synergy effect within the whole group are expected by diversification and transferring existing knowhow to the new business segment, which result in economies of scope. 5. Discussion In this study, the state of art of consumer credit reporting industry in Singapore was introduced and a trial of analyzing of consumer credit bureaus based on the strategic management was carried out. The feature of these credit bureaus being private enterprises and the structure of not being government-owned or government-directed make it possible. Through the analysis, the possibility of introducing of management view, as the complement of economics view, to the private consumer credit bureaus was proved. It is also clear that international company such as Dun & Bradstreet are active in countries with immature credit reporting systems in business sector or consumer sector. In the future studies, the analysis on the global and diversification strategy of credit bureaus is necessary. In the case of development of consumer credit reporting industry in Singapore, there has been a good start in the aspect of owner structure, production, and service domain. On the other hand, the cross-sector information sharing is still limited; the issue of incomprehensive information could be the bottleneck of the development of consumer credit reporting industry and the consumer credit industry. This issue is expected to be addressed by modification of the existing laws, and the formation such as mergers or contractions. [Notes] 1 MAS (2002), Opening address by Tharinan Shanmugaratnam, Senior Minister of State For Trade & Industry and Education at Suntec Singapore International Consumer Credit Counseling Conference. 2 MAS (2002), Opening Address by Koh Yong Guan, Managing Director at the first MAS Risk Conference on 31 Jan 2002. 3 IFC (2006), Doing business report 2007. -35-

[References] Avery, R. B., R. W. Bostic, E S. Calem, and G. B. Canner (2003), An Overview of Consumer Data and Credit Reporting, Federal Reserve Bulletin, 47-73. Avery, R. B., P. S. Calem, and G. B. Canner (2004), Credit Report Accuracy and Access to Credit, Federal Reserve Bulletin, 297-322. Barron, J. M. and M. Staten (2000), The Value of Comprehensive Credit Report: Lessons From the U.S. Experience, Credit Research Center, McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University. Boyes, W, D. Hoffman, and S. Low(1989), An Econometric Analysis of the Bank Credit Scoring Problem. Journal of Econometrics 40. Chandler, G. G. and L. E. Parker (1989), Predictive Value of Credit Bureau Reports, Journal of Retail Ranking, 11 (4), 47-54. Chandler, G. G. and R. W. Johnson (1992),1he Benefit to Consumers From Generic Scoring Models Based on Credit Reports, IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Business and Industry, Vol. 4, Oxford University Press, 1992, pp. 61-72. Connelly, D. B. (1992), Announcement of the Credit Report Reliability Study, Text of Speech Before the National Press Club, February 4. Consumer Federation of America (2002), Credit Score Accuracy and Implications for Consumers. Washington, D.C. Gehrig, T and R. Stenbacka (2005), Information Sharing and Lending Market Competition with Switching Cost and Poaching, University of Freiburg. Jappelli, T. and M. Pagano. (2002), Information Sharing, Lending and Defaults: Cross-Country Evidence, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26,2017-2045, Jentzsch, N (2006), The Economics and Regulation of Credit Reporting: The United States and Europe. PhD dissertation, Freie Universitat Berlin. Jeong Hyung-Kwon (2006), A study on the mechanism for sharing credit information, Economic papers, 9 (1), 1.86-205. Miller M. J., ed. (2003), Credit Reporting Systems and the International Economy. Cambridge, The MIT Press. Pagano, M. and T. Jappelli (1993), Information Sharing in Credit Markets, Journal of Finance, 48, 1693-1718. Padilla, A. J. and M. Pagano (1997), Endogenous Communication among Lenders and Entrepreneurial Incentivies, The Review of Financial Studies, 10 (1), 205-236. Padilla, A. J. and M. Pagano (2000), Sharing Default Information as a Borrower Discipline Device. University of Salerno: CSEF Working Paper no. 21, forthcoming in the European Economic Review. Stiglitz, J. E. and A. Weiss (1981), Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information, American Economics Review, 71, 393-410. Vercammen. J. A. (1995). Credit Bureau Policy and Sustainable Reputation Effect in Credit Markets. Economica 62,461-478 Williams, James R. (1989). Credit File Errors: A Report. Mimeo, Consolidated Information Service, August 7. i -36-