Drillisch AG Company Presentation. August 2014



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Transcription:

Drillisch AG Company Presentation August 2014

Part 1: A Successful H1-2014 Part 2: Drillisch MBA MVNO Agreement Part 3: Guidance and Outlook Page 2

Agenda Highlights H1-2014 Trends in the Mobile Communications Market Financial Performance Page 3

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Highlights H1-2014 MVNO Subscriber ( 000) 1,593 1,815 936 792 657 1,023 H1-13 H1-14 Volume Budget General customer increase in MVNO business Strong customer growth in profitable budget subscriber segment Gross Profit EBITDA Margin 38.2% 48.0% m 56.1 68.0 H1-13 H1-14 Margin 23.2% 29.9% m 34.1 42.4 H1-13 H1-14 Sustainable increase of gross profit Strong margin growth of 9.8 percentage points Profitability continues to grow strongly with margin improvement of 6.7 percentage points Cash Flow m 13.1 36.9 Increase of cash flow from current business operations by 23.8m H1-13 H1-14 Positive Development in H1-2014 all Expectations Reached or Outperformed Page 4

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Drillisch Group at a Glance Business Model Customer Base Price, Innovation and Technology Leader Independent MVNO-business model: Drillisch distributes own innovative tariffs and products with focus on profitability Owner of the contract rights Addresses the whole market for mobile telecommunication services H1-14 Q1-14 vs. Q2-14 H1-13 vs. H1-14 Total Customers 1,977,000 +2.2% +42,000 +8.4% +154,000 thereof MVNO 1,815,000 +3.1% +55,000 +13.9% +222,000 thereof Budget 1,023,000 +8.1% +77,000 +55.7% +366,000 thereof Volume 792,000-2.7% -22,000-15.4% -144,000 Price / quality leadership, proved by TÜV seals Focus on cost-effective online distribution Multi-brand strategy with attractive product portfolio and proprietary IT platform Growth segment: mobile internet EBITDA, m Margin, % Profitability 34.1 42.4 23.2% 29.9% H1-13 H1-14 H1-13 H1-14 Business Model and Strategic Focus as Basis for Successful H1-2014 Page 5

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Trends in Telco Market 2010 to 2016 (1) Average Revenue per User (ARPU) Development 2010-2016 (e) In Euro 30 25 20 15 10 5 3.7 4.2 16.0 4.6 4.3 14.9 5.2 4.1 13.5 5.7 3.6 11.8 6.2 3.2 10.5 6.8 2.9 9.7 7.4 2.6 9.0 Within declining ARPU, mobile data shows a positive trend and absolute growth Market developments require a committed price and innovation strategy Drillisch is an innovative company with a clear strategy for price leadership and high quality management 0 2.8 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 e 2015 e 2016 e Mobile Termination Voice outgoing SMS Mobile Data Drillisch is in an Excellent Condition to be Successfully Positioned in the Future (1) Mobile service revenue per inhabitant Arthur D. Little - BNP Exane The long march March 2014, page 15 (pdf) Page 6

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Drillisch Brand Portfolio Successful With Innovative Rates and Transparent Products Drillisch Portfolio (Selection) Awards for Price and Quality (Selection) Highly Sustainable Quality Management Reconfirmed by External Audits High Customer Satisfaction and Client Willingness to Recommend (up to 89%) Page 7

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Drillisch Product Portfolio Price Leader in all Segments Successful From Basic to Full-Flat Tariffs... Voice Flat SMS Flat 1000 MB 14.4 Mbit/s Voice Flat SMS Flat 2000 MB 14.4 Mbit/s Flat XM 1000 19.95 Flat XM 2000 24.95 All-in 200 4.95 Price Leadership in all segments of the German Market Voice 50 min SMS 50 200 MB All-in 300 6.95 Voice 100 min SMS 100 300 MB All-in 500 9.95 Voice 250 min SMS 250 500 MB Price Leadership in all segments Speed From 4.95 for Basic tariff To 24.95 Full-Flat Up to 14.4 Mbit/s Data bundles as required LTE Rate Over all brands Voice Flat SMS Flat 500 MB Flat XS 500S 16.95 Flat XS 500 14.95 All-in 1000 12.95 Voice Flat 500 MB Voice 250 min SMS 250 1000 MB High speed as driver Data monetisation... With Excellent Quality and Transparent Products Page 8

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Drillisch Subscriber Development Subscriber Development* Subscriber Focus in MVNO Business ( 000) ( 000) 1,851 1,823 1,855 1,900 1,935 1,977 320 229 207 195 175 162 1,531 951 1,593 936 1,648 915 1,705 848 1,760 814 1,815 792 1,531 1,593 1,648 1,705 1,760 1,815 CAGR: 14.6% 580 657 733 856 946 1,023 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 MVNO MSP Volume Budget MVNO subscriber growth + 222k to 1,815k (prev. year: 1,593k) Total subscriber +154k to1,977k (prev. year: 1,823k) Budget subscriber + 366k to 1,023k (prev. year: 657k) Volume subscriber -144k to 792k (prev. year: 936k) Sustainable MVNO Subscriber Growth With Focus on Budget Subscriber Segment *Growth after adjustment of the former MSP business Page 9

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Average Gross Profit per User (AGPPU) H1-2013 H1-2014 Total Subscribers ( 000) 59% 1,593 41% 1,815 44% 56% Addressing the whole market leads to absolute subscriber growth Subscriber Mix MVNO Volume 59% 41% Budget Volume 44% 56% Budget Focus on profitable budget subscribers AGPPU Contribution 3.77 9.54 3.50 8.88 Significant growth in budget segment leads to slightly declining budget AGPPU Volume Budget Volume Budget Total AGPPU 5.98 6.43 Improved customer mix leads to increase in AGPPU for the whole customer base Improving Customer Mix and Addressing the Whole Market Lead to Increasing Profitability Page 10

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Revenue and Profitability Development Service Revenue Gross Profit EBITDA Growth Margin Margin +0.4% +0.6% 38.2% 48.0% 40.9% 49.8% 23.2% 29.9% 24.8% 31.0% m 139.0 139.6 68.0 42.4 56.1 34.1 69.1 69.5 29.6 35.1 17.9 21.8 H1-13 H1-14 Q2-13 Q2-14 H1-13 H1-14 Q2-13 Q2-14 H1-13 H1-14 Q2-13 Q2-14 Increased Profitability and Stable Revenues Lead to Higher Earnings Page 11

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Cash Flow Development m H1-14 H1-13 Cash flow from current business activities 36.9 13.1 Significant increase in accordance with profitability in operating business in H1-14 Cash flow from investment activities (1.7) 278.7 Mainly due to cash inflows of 275.5m from selling freenet shares in H1-13 Cash flow from financing activities (77.5) (325.4) H1-14 mainly relates to paid dividends of 76.8m H1-13 includes paid dividends of 62.4m, redemption of a bond of 108.7m as well as borrowing and repayment of loans with regards to the former freenet investment Free cash flow (1) 34.9 3.9 Clear Improvement of Cash Flow From Operating Business (1) Free Cashflow = Cash Flow from current business activites./. Capex Page 12

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials EBITDA to FCF Free Cash Flow Bridge January June 2014 in m 42.4 (1.6) (3.9) (2.0) 34.9 EBITDA Change NWC Tax Capex Free Cash Flow Page 13

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Balance Sheet in Million Euro 31 December 2013 30 June 2014 ASSETS EQUITY & LIABILITIES ASSETS EQUITY & LIABILITIES Other Current Assets 352.3m 55.0 352.3m 41.4 93.3 Short-Term Liabilities Long-Term Liabilities Other Current Assets 300.9m 51.9 300.9m 39.3 95.4 Short-Term Liabilities Long-Term Liabilities Cash & Cash Equivalents 187.0 Cash & Cash Equivalents 144.7 217.6 Equity 166.2 Equity Fixed Assets 110.3 Fixed Assets 104.3 Strong Balance Sheet With High Cash Position and Equity Ratio of 55% Page 14

Highlights H1-2014 Market Development Financials Awards and seals for quality and transparency of products Price leader in all segments Total flexibility No debt and high cash position Page 15

Part 1: A Successful H1-2014 Part 2: Drillisch MBA MVNO Agreement Part 3: Guidance and Outlook Page 16

Agenda Drillisch Transformational Success Story MBA MVNO Agreement with Telefónica Deutschland ( TEF DE ) New Strategic Opportunities Key Page 17

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Drillisch Transformational Success Story MSP - Model MVNO - Model MBA MVNO Model Business Model 1995-2005: Reselling original mobile tariffs created by the mobile network operators (MNO) 2005-2010: First mover with no-frills discount tariffs in German Market Marketing of own tariff structures based on standardised and unbundled mobile services from MNOs Combining the advantages of MSP (low Capex requirements) and MNO (high flexibility) Access to high network capacity secured Participation in future network developments Full long-term access to current and future technologies in ( 000) 1.777 Postpaid Subscribers 515 1.191 2005 2010 2013 Margin 9% 19% 13% 24% 24% 41% Financial Track Record Gross Profit EBITDA 27,8m 60,9m 46,1m 88,4m 70,8m 119,0m 2005 2010 2013 Drillisch Managed to Develop its Business Model Successfully and Profitably MBA MVNO Agreement with TEF DE is the Next Step Page 18

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Balance Sheet and Liquidity Balance Sheet as at 30 June 2014 Liquidity ASSETS 300.9m EQUITY & LIABILITIES 300.9m As at 30 June 2014 m Cash & Cash Equivalents 144.7 Current Assets 51.9 39.3 Current Liabilities Convertible Bond (1) (87.5) Cash & Cash Equivalents 144.7 95.4 Non-current Liabilities Leasing Liabilities (0.8) Net Cash 56.4 5.19m treasury shares (9.76% of share capital) (2) Non-current Assets 104.3 166.2 Shareholder's Equity Excellent access to debt capital markets 100m convertible bond issued December 2013 125m exchangeable bond issued April 2012 (repaid) Drillisch has Ample Financial Flexibility to Fund Future Growth (1) Current strike price of convertible bond at 22.85 vs. Drillisch share price of 29.10 as at 30 June 2014 (2) At current share price of 26.53 equivalent to c. 138m Page 19

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Key Elements of the Agreement with TEF DE (1/2) Opportunities for Drillisch Capacity Access to 20% of TEF DE network capacity for new customers via a glide path mechanism over a 5 year period Option to acquire access to another 10% of TEF DE network capacity Access to up to 30% of network capacity of TEF DE Unlimited 4G access 12 months ahead of other Non-MNOs Purchase of shops at very attractive economics Enlarged distribution power and access to new customer groups Distribution Acquisition of 50 shops Option to acquire up to 550 additional shops Existing best-in-class online distribution to market additional capacity MBA MVNO Agreement Allows Drillisch to Strengthen and Grow its Price, Technology and Innovation Leadership Position in the German Mobile Telecommunication Market Page 20

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Key Elements of the Agreement with TEF DE (2/2) Opportunities for Drillisch Technology and Networks Opportunity to take part in future network developments (e.g. prioritised access) Non-discrimination with respect to time and technological quality Unlimited access to all current and future technologies (e.g. 4G, 5G, etc.) Opportunity to become a network operator/ participate in future network developments General Terms and Conditions 5 years, plus two options to extend the agreement by additional terms of 5 years each (i.e. guaranteed term of agreement of at least 15 years) Upfront payment as consideration for upcoming investments into the TEF DE network for development of 4G and future technologies on the network Up to 15 years guaranteed access Contractual certainty and very attractive terms & conditions MBA MVNO Agreement Allows Drillisch to Strengthen and Grow its Price, Technology and Innovation Leadership Position in the German Mobile Telecommunication Market Page 21

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities New Strategic Opportunities for Drillisch Current Strategy Future Strategy Network capacity Utilisation of ~3% of the TEF DE network capacity Access to up to 30% of the TEF DE network capacity opens the door to significant growth in revenues Product portfolio Product portfolio focusing on 3G (no unlimited access to 4G) Unlimited access to 4G and new technologies as future growth drivers Price strategy Focus on price leadership and appealing product portfolio Expansion of price leadership to include the complete product portfolio (incl. 4G) Sales strategy Focus on cost-efficient online sales Opportunity to expand distribution network (e.g. acquisition of shops) Expanding of product portfolio and, hence, addressing additional customer groups (business, fixed line substitution, prepaid) Based on the MBA MVNO Agreement Drillisch will Expand its Profitable Business Model and will Continue to Offer Attractive Products to Grow its Customer Base Page 22

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Attractive MBA MVNO Model Comparison Material Costs (MVNO and MBA MVNO) (1) Advantages to Drillisch under MBA MVNO Material costs MVNO MBA MVNO Favourable procurement conditions under MBA MVNO contract enables future profitable growth Full utilisation of contracted capacity leads to significant profitability increase Due to enhanced flexibility profitability will be maintained at high levels and expanded Time MBA MVNO contract enables Drillisch to offer attractive terms to its customers as well as maintain and expand highly competitive pricing position in every segment of the market Assuming same volume and customer development under both models With MBA MVNO Agreement, Drillisch is Well Positioned for the Future (1) Illustrative Page 23

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities Drillisch Future Growth Drivers Enlarged Addressable Customer Base Existing postpaid subscribers plus additional premium postpaid customers (high value segment) Prepaid contracts: concluded an agreement with TEF DE under existing contract related to IN platform for prepaid and can now utilise it with MBA volumes Fixed line substitution Business customers: focus on SoHo and SME customers Branded Salespartner/ M2M: opportunity for MBA Branded salespartner (large customers e.g. regional LECs for bundled rates) and addressing smaller Branded Salespartner customers, plus M2M marketing Expanded Product Offering MBA allows for greater product offering flexibility Providing both low- and highend tariffs Access to all current and future technologies (4G, 5G etc.) ability to offer 4G products to customers 12- months ahead of other Non- MNO Offering group and package rates: data, voice and text message packages which are billed and used for a group of customers rather than for individuals Tablet and big screen Cloud, hosting and housing services Enhanced Distribution Platform Online: Existing leading online distribution platform - >80% of current turnover generated through the internet Indirect: co-operation with selected distribution partners as well as classic mobile phone retailers Direct: Now complemented by 50 own quality service shops with the option to acquire further up to 550 shops Future Growth by Enhanced Distribution Channels and Enlarged Addressable Market through Offering Expanded Product Portfolio Page 24

Drillisch Transformational Story MBA MVNO Agreement New Strategic Opportunities and Key Strategic Objectives MBA MVNO A decision for growth Pro-actively driving market dynamics, maintaining innovation leadership and highly competitive pricing will continue to be key pillars of growth strategy Future growth potential based on larger addressable customer base, enhanced distribution power and attractive product offering Page 25

Part 1: A Successful H1-2014 Part 2: Drillisch MBA MVNO Agreement Part 3: Guidance and Outlook Page 26

Guidance 2014 and 2015 2013 Outlook 2014 Outlook 2015 MVNO-Customers +235,000 Service Revenues 285.1m EBITDA m 70.8 82-85 95-100 per share 1.60 @ least 1.60 @ least 1.60 Dividend Further Profit Growth Expected for 2014 and 2015 2-year Dividend Guidance with at Least 1.60 per Share Page 27

Disclaimer and Contact This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the current views of the management of Drillisch AG with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond the control of Drillisch AG. Drillisch AG does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise information provided during this presentation. Drillisch AG Investor Relations Wilhelm-Röntgen-Straße 1-5 D - 63477 Maintal Telefon: + 49 (0) 61 81 / 412 218 Internet: www.drillisch.de E-Mail: ir@drillisch.de Page 28

Appendix Page 29

Drillisch Share Shareholder Structure as of 12 August 2014 Shareholder Structure in % in Shares Free Float 76.16% 40,518,522 Treasury Shares 9.76% 5,189,015 Fidelity FMR, Boston 5.45% 2,896,567 Union Investment Privatfonds 5.07% 2,694,500 M. Brucherseifer 2.03% 1,077,565 P. Choulidis 0.75% 400,000 V. Choulidis 0.75% 400,000 J. Weindl 0.02% 10,439 Dr. H. Lennertz 0.01% 2,407 Total 100.00% 53,189,015 Drillisch Position based on Index Membership (July) Market Cap Revenue TecDAX 30 9 6 Blue Chip Indices Germany 71 57 Source: Notifications acc 21 ff WpHG; Free Float acc. to Deutsche Boerse AG 90.24 per cent Page 30

EBITDA Guidance vs. Actual EBITDA EBITDA (adjusted) Guidance 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 FY Positive Development Positive Development 52m 58m 67-70m (old: 77-80m) 82-85m 95-100m Q1 41-42m 46m Q2 60-61m Upper end Q3 43m 48m 70m EBITDA (IFRS) 43.5m 49.3m 52.6m 61.9m 70.8m Growth (YoY) 7.1% 13.3% 6.7% 17.8% 14.4% ~ +16%-20% (e) ~ +17% Comparison with Guidance: Outperformed Outperformed Outperformed Outperformed Outperformed Increased Drillisch is Delivering Sustainable Profit Increase (EBITDA) With Continuously Outperforming Initial Guidance Source: Company Information Page 31