EXCERPT Worldwide Workload Management Software 2013 Vendor Shares Mary Johnston Turner IN THIS EXCERPT The content for this paper is excerpted from the IDC Competitive Analysis Report, Worldwide Workload Management Software 2013 Vendor Shares, by Mary Johnston Turner, (Doc # 248775). All or parts of the following sections are included in this Excerpt: IDC Opinion, In This Study, Situation Overview, Future Outlook, and Methodology. Table 1 is also included. IDC OPINION In 2013, the worldwide workload management software market experienced negative growth as calculated in current U.S. currency, despite experiencing slow but real growth as calculated in local currencies in most regions. As a result: Worldwide revenue for the workload management software market totaled $2.1 billion in 2013, representing a reduction of 5.3% compared with 2012. The top 5 vendors in 2013 based on worldwide workload management software revenue were Hitachi, IBM, CA Technologies, BMC, and NEC. Together, they accounted for 72.5% of the market total. Currency headwinds had significant impact on share calculations given the fact that several major vendors have large workload management software businesses in Japan and Asia. Despite real growth for the workload management market showing real growth in local currency, these vendors saw negative growth rates when revenue was expressed in current U.S. currency. IN THIS STUDY This IDC study examines the workload management software market for the period from 2011 to 2013. Revenue and market shares of the leading vendors are provided for 2013 for the worldwide market. Workload Management Software Definition The workload management software market is one of two submarkets that make up the workload scheduling and automation functional market, as described in IDC's Software Taxonomy, 2013 (IDC #241527, June 2013). The shares and revenue in this document reflect the total for the workload management submarket only, as defined in the section that follows. Shares and revenue May 2014, IDC #248775e 1
for the full workload scheduling and automation functional market and the datacenter automation submarket are published in separate documents. Workload Management (Formerly Job Scheduling) Submarket Definition Workload management includes software tools that manage the execution flow of workloads and applications on systems using calendar or other fixed-schedule metrics as well as event-driven triggers such as file events or completion of jobs. It also includes process automation and selfservice tools specifically for job scheduling, workload management, and workload process orchestration. This market is limited to tools that work at the application level rather than the system level. It does not include workload-balancing applications that work at the system level (e.g., high-availability software). It encompasses both mainframe and distributed platforms. SITUATION OVERVIEW The Worldwide Workload Management Software Market in 2013 Table 1 displays 2011 2013 worldwide revenue and 2013 growth and market share for workload management software vendors. According to IDC's detailed market analysis as of May 9, 2014, worldwide workload management software revenue was $2.1 billion in 2013, a decrease of 5.3% from 2012 as measured in current U.S. currency. TABLE 1 Worldwide Workload Management Software Revenue by Vendor, 2011 2013 ($M) 2011 2012 2013 2013 Share (%) 2012 2013 Growth (%) Hitachi 463.3 484.0 408.3 19.9-15.6 IBM 285.7 297.1 308.1 15.0 3.7 CA Technologies 313.2 313.0 291.7 14.2-6.8 BMC 226.9 252.7 272.8 13.3 8.0 NEC 228.5 235.8 207.6 10.1-12.0 Fujitsu 174.2 186.0 164.1 8.0-11.8 Automic 64.7 69.7 73.6 3.6 5.6 Cisco 42.1 48.4 51.0 2.5 5.4 ASG 56.4 52.4 43.1 2.1-17.7 Redwood 33.7 35.7 39.6 1.9 10.9 ORSYP SA 28.8 32.4 30.3 1.5-6.3 Advanced Systems Concepts 20.4 24.7 30.1 1.5 21.7 Nomura Research Institute Ltd. 31.2 31.5 27.1 1.3-13.9 BSP 23.0 23.6 20.8 1.0-11.9 Adaptive Computing 11.8 14.5 15.3 0.7 5.2 2
TABLE 1 Worldwide Workload Management Software Revenue by Vendor, 2011 2013 ($M) 2011 2012 2013 2013 Share (%) 2012 2013 Growth (%) Beta Systems Software AG 13.4 14.0 9.9 0.5-29.2 Subtotal 2,017.3 2,115.5 1,993.3 97.1-5.8 Other 51.4 53.5 60.5 2.9 13.1 Total 2,068.7 2,169.0 2,053.9 100.0-5.3 Source: IDC, May 2014 FUTURE OUTLOOK Looking to the future, the worldwide workload management software market will be impacted by a number of forces, including: Continued slow but real growth as workload scheduling and management capabilities are applied to emerging workloads such as big data and analytics Increasing availability of self-service and intuitive scheduling and workflow design interfaces that make the products usable by a wider range of staff and analysts Global economic trends, especially the pace of economic recovery in various regions, and the impact of ongoing fluctuations in currency exchange rates ESSENTIAL GUIDANCE IDC expects the worldwide workload management software market to continue slow but real growth over the next several years (as measured in local currencies) even as market totals and worldwide vendor share calculations continue to be impacted by fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Nonetheless, given the torrid pace of growth in the datacenter automaton submarket, IDC expects 2013 is likely to be the last year that the workload management submarket is larger than the datacenter automation submarket. Vendors that hope to continue to grow their workload management software business will need to invest in the ongoing improvement of user interfaces and to extend the availability of out-of-the-box templates and best practices to help customers create, maintain, and implement complex routines across an increasing range of traditional and emerging workloads and systems. Methodology The IDC software market sizing and forecasts are presented in terms of commercial software revenue. IDC uses the term commercial software to distinguish commercially available software from custom software. Commercial software is programs or codesets of any type commercially 3
available through sale, lease, rental, or as a service. Commercial software revenue typically includes fees for initial and continued right-to-use commercial software licenses. These fees may include, as part of the license contract, access to product support and/or other services that are inseparable from the right-to-use license fee structure, or this support may be priced separately. Upgrades may be included in the continuing right of use or may be priced separately. All of these are counted by IDC as commercial software revenue. Commercial software revenue excludes service revenue derived from training, consulting, and systems integration that is separate (or unbundled) from the right-to-use license but does include the implicit value of software included in a service that offers software functionality by a different pricing scheme. It is the total commercial software revenue that is further allocated to markets, geographic areas, and operating environments. The worldwide software market includes all commercial software revenue across all functional markets or market aggregations. For further details, see IDC's Software Taxonomy, 2013 (IDC #241527, June 2013). The software revenue forecasts presented in this study represent IDC's best estimates and projections based on the following: Top-down forecast growth rates by IDC worldwide market analysts Current U.S. dollar exchange rates as of 4Q13 Bottom-up/company-level data collection for calendar year 2013 began in January 2014 with indepth vendor surveys and analysis to develop detailed 2013 company models by market, geographic region, and operating environment. This activity will form the basis of vendor share, updated forecast, and competitive analysis studies that will be published later in the year. Historical Market Values and Exchange Rates Historical market values presented here are as published in prior IDC documents based on the market taxonomies and current U.S. dollar exchange rates existing at the time the data was originally published. For markets other than the United States, these as-published values are therefore based on a different exchange rate each year. Please refer to IDC's regional research studies containing historical forecasts for multiple countries for more accurate regional growth in local currencies. Note that this discussion applies only to historical values prior to 2013. 2013 and all future years are forecast at a constant exchange rate. 4
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