Software Management by Numbers



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Software Management by Numbers Towards an Engineering Discipline SE CURE AG (www.se cure.ch) Dr. Hans Sassenburg T +41 33 733 4682 M +41 79 231 6600 E hsassenburg@se cure.ch SE-CURE AG 1

Contents 1. Software Industry Today 2. Empirical Information 3. Key Performance Indicators 4. Products and Services 5. Case Study Examples 6. Conclusions SE-CURE AG 2

Questions... Did you ever go after the world s next model/standard or hype? If yes, how (much) did it help you? Are you able today to tell what targeted, actual and historical values of your main KPIs are? If not, would you be interested to know? SE-CURE AG 3

Software Industry Today The software industry still isn't doing a very good job at managing by the numbers Oftentimes, software projects are managed by just three metrics: schedule/effort and critical defects found during testing This is a flatland view for a multi-dimensional terrain problem: "flying a plane using only a watch and a fuel gauge Other metrics must be in the equation as well, representing what will be built (product scope/quality) and how it is built (process) SE-CURE AG 4

Biking (1/3) Summary: 32.67 km 2 h 18 min Question: Am I fit? My home SE-CURE AG 5

Mountain Biking (2/3) My home SE-CURE AG 6

Mountain Biking (3/3) Elevation: 14-16% Total ascent: 1 107 m Calories burnt: 1 697 SE-CURE AG 7

Problem Statement You can t fix what you refuse to measure When quantitative information is missing: Management is like an emperor without clothes: decisions are not based on facts Improvement initiatives result in satisfying standards/models instead of tangibly improving measured capability SE-CURE AG 8

What is Improvement? It is NOT about Satisfying a model/standard Implementing the next hype It is about becoming More predictable (performance) Faster (efficiency) More effective (scope) Better (quality) SE-CURE AG 9

Being Successful Knowing the (performance) capability of your organization through the collection and analysis of historical data Making credible commitments in terms of what will be delivered when against what cost Managing development once it starts; this requires earned value management, activity distribution management and effective scope and quality management Analyzing the impact of new initiatives by assessing how capability is affected in which areas; this prevents organizations from chasing hypes SE-CURE AG 10

2. Empirical Information Empirical Models Putnam SLIM COCOMO II Empirical Laws Minimal development time! Benchmarking Data Guru: Capers Jones Observation Availability hardly known, seldom used... SE-CURE AG 11

Empirical Models characteristics (product, platform, personnel, project) features size Empirical Models (Putnam SLIM, COCOMO II) + Benchmarking Data schedule effort capability SE-CURE AG 12

Empirical Laws effort Legend: E s T s, E s T n, E n T e, E e : fastest schedule : nominal schedule/effort : lowest effort > 100% -50% E n Impossible Region! E e Impractical Region T s T n T e schedule -25% +100% SE-CURE AG 13

Benchmark (Jones 2008) SE-CURE AG 14

Cost Categories Core Support Prevention Appraisal, rework Value-Added Non-Value-Added Essential Non-Essential = Quality Related SE-CURE AG 15

Benchmark - Process Efficiency (Jones/Sassenburg) SE-CURE AG 16

3. Key Performance Indicators Getting too little or too much data is easy, identifying and extracting the relevant data and converting it to meaningful information for everyone is the challenge SE-CURE AG 17

KPIs versus Metrics KPIs (= meaningful information) are meant to gauge progress toward or benchmark against vital, strategic objectives usually defined by upper management Metrics (= data) at a lower detail level are measured attributes of a process or a product The goal of KPIs is to foster greater visibility and faster reaction to opportunities and threats, hereby enabling informed decision-making SE-CURE AG 18

KPI Selection Criteria Must support project management in analysing, planning and monitoring projects Must inform management where a project stands and in what direction it is heading Must support business units in measuring their capability improvement over time Must support organisations in comparing/benchmarking business units SE-CURE AG 19

Questions to Answer Project Performance What is the prediction of the performance of the project? Process Efficiency How efficient is the development process? Product Scope How large and stable is the scope of the planned effort in terms of features and size? Product Quality What is the expected quality of the resulting product (reliability and maintainability)? SE-CURE AG 20

Derived KPI Categories Project Performance (= how predictable?) Cost, schedule, staffing rate, productivity Process Efficiency (= how fast?) Effort distribution (Cost of Quality model) Product Scope (= how much?) Features, deferral rate, size, re-use Product quality (= how well?) Complexity, test coverage, removal efficiency, defect density SE-CURE AG 21

Best Practice KPI Set Project Performance Schedule Budget Staffing rate Productivity Process Efficiency Core Support Prevention Appraisal/rework Feature size Deferred Size Re-use Complexity Test coverage Defect density Removal efficiency Product Scope Product Quality SE-CURE AG 22

Typical Maturization Effects Project Performance Schedule Budget Staffing rate Productivity Process Efficiency Core Support Prevention Appraisal/rework Feature size Deferred Size Re-use Product Scope Product Quality Complexity Test coverage Defect density Removal efficiency SE-CURE AG 23

Key Points to Remember 1. Assessing real software performance capability requires a multi-dimensional view 2. Compliance to process models and/or standards is no guarantee for high performance capability, although it may help (pragmatism versus bureacracy) 3. The set of Key Performance Indicators allows measuring real performance capability improvements over time and benchmarking SE-CURE AG 24

4. Products and Services See www.se-cure.ch/products.html See www.se-cure.ch/services.html SE-CURE AG 25

Project Reporting Cockpit The Project Reporting Cockpit will enable you to define and monitor a set of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for your project. Historical, target and actual values are displayed in overviews and charts, from which information can be consumed at a glance. SE-CURE AG 26

Project Support Toolkit The Project Support Toolkit provides powerful instruments to project managers and measurements specialists to plan, monitor and control their projects on a more detailed level, using the same set of KPIs as in the Project Reporting Cockpit. SE-CURE AG 27

1-Day Workshops SE-CURE AG 28

5. Case Study Examples Context 2 B2B manufacturers (Case A, case B) Product functionality highly determined by software Case A: applications are safety-critical Case B: security of information is crucial Current performance CMMI L2/3 (internal assessments) SE-CURE AG 29

Issues No benchmarking data for deferral rate and re-use level Context specific and lack of data Finding: deferral rate unknown No benchmarking data for test coverage and complexity Market...! Finding: test coverage unknown, complexity high Feature size (FP) = Product size (KLOC)? SE-CURE AG 30

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Defect Analysis (Example) Total number of injected defects = 5 000 = (5 000-375)/5 000 = 375/125 = (1*30 + 3*10 + 2*10)/(1 + 3 + 2) = 2.5*5 + 7.5*25 + 15*20 + 35*35 + 75*15 SE-CURE AG 36

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Weakest Areas 1. Inefficient process Sum of appraisal and internal failure costs is high (> 45%) Post-release distribution would even be worse! 2. Low code quality Code complexity is high (> 15) These are the primary causes SE-CURE AG 39

Measure 1 Increase prevention costs (training, reviews, inspections) Expected effects: Will increase removal efficiency and lower defect density Will decrease appraisal costs (testing) and rework costs (defect removal) Will lead to faster schedule, lower effort and higher productivity SE-CURE AG 40

Measure 2 Improve code quality Expected effects: Will increase test coverage Will (again) increase removal efficiency and lower defect density Will (again) decrease appraisal costs (testing) and rework costs (defect removal) Will (gain) lead to faster schedule, lower effort and higher productivity SE-CURE AG 41

6. Conclusions Process capability is not necessarily a good measure for high performance This does not mean that process improvement is bad To make it worth the investment, one should improve along a set of best practice KPIs instead of meeting the model/standard requirements only SE-CURE AG 42

KPIs as Improvement Drivers Once management starts actively using such KPIs, projects are forced to bring and keep not only their measurement process in place, but many other processes as well Requirements Management Project Planning Project Monitoring and Control SE-CURE AG 43

Another Capability Model... SE-CURE AG 44