Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Call July 22, 2015

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Transcription:

Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Call July 22, 2015

Forward-Looking Statements This presentation may contain statements, estimates or projections that constitute forward-looking statements as defined under U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, the words believe, expect, intend, estimate, anticipate, project, will and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in nature. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from The Coca-Cola Company s historical experience and our present expectations or projections. These risks include, but are not limited to, obesity concerns; water scarcity and poor quality; evolving consumer preferences; increased competition and capabilities in the marketplace; product safety and quality concerns; perceived negative health consequences of certain ingredients, such as non-nutritive sweeteners and biotechnology-derived substances, and of other substances present in our beverage products or packaging materials; increased demand for food products and decreased agricultural productivity; changes in the retail landscape or the loss of key retail or foodservice customers; an inability to expand operations in emerging and developing markets; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; interest rate increases; an inability to maintain good relationships with our bottling partners; a deterioration in our bottling partners' financial condition; increases in income tax rates, changes in income tax laws or unfavorable resolution of tax matters; increased or new indirect taxes in the United States or in other major markets; increased cost, disruption of supply or shortage of energy or fuels; increased cost, disruption of supply or shortage of ingredients, other raw materials or packaging materials; changes in laws and regulations relating to beverage containers and packaging; significant additional labeling or warning requirements or limitations on the availability of our products; an inability to protect our information systems against service interruption, misappropriation of data or breaches of security; unfavorable general economic conditions in the United States; unfavorable economic and political conditions in international markets; litigation or legal proceedings; adverse weather conditions; climate change; damage to our brand image and corporate reputation from negative publicity, even if unwarranted, related to product safety or quality, human and workplace rights, obesity or other issues; changes in, or failure to comply with, the laws and regulations applicable to our products or our business operations; changes in accounting standards; an inability to achieve our overall long-term growth objectives; deterioration of global credit market conditions; default by or failure of one or more of our counterparty financial institutions; an inability to timely implement our previously announced actions to reinvigorate growth, or to realize the economic benefits we anticipate from these actions; failure to realize a significant portion of the anticipated benefits of our strategic relationships with Keurig Green Mountain, Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation; an inability to renew collective bargaining agreements on satisfactory terms, or we or our bottling partners experience strikes, work stoppages or labor unrest; future impairment charges; multi-employer plan withdrawal liabilities in the future; an inability to successfully integrate and manage our Company-owned or -controlled bottling operations; an inability to successfully manage the possible negative consequences of our productivity initiatives; global or regional catastrophic events; and other risks discussed in our Company s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and our subsequently filed Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, which filings are available from the SEC. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. The Coca-Cola Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Reconciliation to U.S. GAAP Financial Information The following presentation includes certain "non-gaap financial measures" as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. A schedule is posted on the Company's website at www.coca-colacompany.com (in the Investors section) which reconciles our results as reported under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles and the non-gaap financial measures included in the following presentation. 2

Topics Q2 2015 Review Strategic Actions and Progress Financial Review Summary 3 3

Our second quarter results are broadly in line with our expectations Winning Metrics: Q2 vs PY Value Share - Sparkling - Still - NARTD Growth/Profit Metrics: Q2 vs PY YTD vs PY Unit Cases (calculated on average daily sales basis) Organic Revenue* - Volume (Concentrate Sales / Reported Volume) - Price/Mix Income Before Taxes** 3% 7% Cash/Returns Metrics: Absolute Change Free Cash Flow*** (YTD) $4.0B 16% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6% 4% 2% 4 * Organic revenue is a non-gaap financial measure that excludes or otherwise adjusts for the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates and acquisitions and divestitures, as applicable. For details on these adjustments, refer to the Reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP Financial Measures schedule **Comparable Currency Neutral, Structurally Adjusted ***Free Cash Flow = Cash from Operations less Purchases of Property, Plant & Equipment

We are making progress against our five strategic actions 1 2 3 4 Drive revenue and profit growth Make disciplined brand and growth investments Aggressively expand our productivity program Streamline and simplify our operating model 5 Refocus on our core business model 5

Driving revenue and profit growth North America Focus on revenue is delivering value share gains ahead of volume share gains +5% organic revenue +4% price/mix +8% comparable income before taxes NARTD Sparkling Still Value Share Sparkling portfolio Volume Share Sparkling revenue growth driven by 4% price/mix Raising prices on traditional packages Strong growth in smaller pack sizes, such as mini-cans which grew volume double digits Sparkling transactions (+2%) outpaced volume (+1%) 6

Disciplined brand and growth investments are driving results China Strong performance of brand Coca-Cola Argentina Gaining value share ahead of volume share North America Driving strong sparkling price realization +11% Brand Coca-Cola Volume Growth Value Share Volume Share +4% Sparkling Price/Mix 7

Productivity efforts and operating model are on track YTD 2015 On Track On track across all spend areas to hit key milestones this year and deliver $3 billion in annualized savings by 2019 Consolidated three distribution centers and closed one plant in North America Began the process of installing in-line blow molding equipment Launched zero-based work in our international markets Began implementing headcount reductions in Europe 8

North America refranchising proceeding as planned Actions Map Transitioned over 5% of U.S. bottle/can volume in Q2 Signed Letters of Intent for close to another 10% of U.S. bottle/can volume in Q2 In total, territories transitioned todate or covered by agreements represent ~25% of total U.S. bottle/can volume Coca-Cola Refreshments Territories Independent Bottlers (Legacy Territories) CCR Transitioned Territories CCR Territories under DA/LOI 9 Territory boundaries are approximate/illustrative. All transactions subject to both parties reaching Definitive Agreement. Total U.S. Bottler Delivered Business for Coca-Cola brands, bottle/can distribution only (Excludes FoodService). Volume in unit cases.

We are maintaining our full-year underlying currency neutral growth expectations We are broadly where we expected to be But there is still much work ahead of us We are confident in our strategies and execution However, global consumer environment remains volatile 10

Our second quarter results are broadly in line with our expectations Q2 EPS considerations 4% organic revenue growth driven by 3% growth in concentrate shipments and 1% price/mix Positive pricing and product mix across many markets, partially offset by negative geographic mix Comparable gross margin declined due to structural changes and currency headwinds 6% growth in comparable currency neutral operating income 3% growth in comparable currency neutral income before taxes Healthy cash flow generation year to date Generated $4.0 billion in free cash flow Returned $3.8 billion to shareowners in the form of dividends and net share repurchases Working Capital initiative Improved cash conversion cycle $400 million of incremental cash flow for the first six months of 2015 versus the prior year 11

Full Year 2015 Outlook Structural Items Now expected to be a 1% headwind on both net revenues and income before taxes Currency Now expected to be ~6% headwind on net revenues, ~11% headwind on operating income and 7 to 8% headwind on income before taxes Net Share Repurchases EPS Now expected to be $2.0 to $2.5 billion Maintain comparable currency neutral growth outlook 12

Third Quarter 2015 Considerations Organic Topline July 4 th holiday sales benefited Q2 this year as compared to Q3 last year Structural Items Slight headwind on net revenues and 1 to 2% headwind on income before taxes Currency ~7% headwind on net revenues, ~13% headwind on operating income and ~10% headwind on income before taxes 13

Financial summary We are seeing initial progress based on our plan to reinvigorate topline growth We continue to operate in a challenging macro environment Therefore, while currency headwinds are increasing, we see no change to our full year comparable currency neutral growth expectations 14

Q&A

Summary We are broadly where we expected to be halfway through our transition year While there is more work to do, we remain confident that we have the right plans in place to restore momentum The long-term dynamics of our industry remain promising The Coca-Cola Company is best positioned to capture the growth in nonalcoholic beverages and to deliver long-term value to our shareowners 16