2014 FULL YEAR RESULTS



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Transcription:

2014 FULL YEAR RESULTS

-3% -8% Financial and Operational Highlights Operational Revenue mntl (1) Ancillary Revenue/Pax Load Factor 29% 16% 13% 22% TRY mn 2.38 4,7 TRY mn 3.08 1,7 TRYm n 569,3 TRYm n 661,9 8,23 9,32 8,56 10,40 80,2% 79,9% 79,0% 77,8% FY13 FY14 Q413 Q414 FY13 FY14 Q413 Q414 FY13 FY14 Q413 Q414 ASK(mn) CASK YEAR END FLEET 21% 18% 0.2% 12% 4,36 20.162 24.378 4,13 4,02 4,02 49 55 5.086 5.981 FY13 FY14 Q413 Q414 FY13 FY14 Q413 Q414 FY13/Q4 FY14/Q4 1. Revenue excluding revenue derived from the AirBerlin Turkey Project for FY13 25

Route and Frequency Update Nice Oslo Lyon London-Gatwick Milan-Malpensa Turkmenbashi Dammam New destinations Sharm el-sheikh, Hurghada as of October 2014 Major Frequency increase Basel weekly 10 (additional 3 frequencies) Dusseldorf Daily 2 (additional 4 frequencies) Kuwait Daily 2 (additional 7 frequencies) Tel Aviv Daily 4 / (additional 7 frequencies) Moscow Weekly 7 (additional 4 frequencies) Domestic growth in frequencies Pegasus Today Fleet of 58 aircraft with average age of 4.9 years as of March 2015 Second biggest airline in domestic market with market share of 28% Operates 88 routes to 36 countries 26

EBITDAR Analysis 2014 2013-2014 EBITDAR Bridge (TRYmn) 22.4% EBITDAR Margin 19.5% 131,7 533,5 79,6 40,0-24,4-36,5-23,1-35,0 600,9-64,8 13 EBITDAR Sch.Flight RASK* Ancillary Per Pax* Fuel Cost Per ton* Volume* SAW* Handling Escalation(*) On TL Cost Mix(*) (**) FX 14 EBITDAR (*) Excluding fx impact (**) Mix includes Fleet ownership structure and İzAir&Air Manas fixed costs Comments EBITDAR increased by 13%. Key drivers of change; Increase in volume, Ancillary per pax, FX Contraction in margin mainly driven by yield decreases due to competition 27

CASK Seasonality Analysis CASK non-fuel Seasonality Relationship 2014 rebased to Q1 2013 rebased to Q1 2012 rebased to Q1 2013 rebased to Q1 2014 rebased to Q1 2012 rebased to Q1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Nominal CASK non-fuel values 2014 2013 2012 2013FY - c2.43 2014FY - c2,36 2012FY - c2,35 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 28

Currency exposure Fig. 1: Foreign Currency Profile of Income Statement (%) 41% Revenue Currency Breakdown 2013 2014 44% 41% 39% Expense Currency Breakdown 2013 2014 57% 56% 11% 15% 27% 23% 16% 19% 4% 5% 1% 2% EURO USD TRY OTHER Pegasus manages its FX exposure by Hedging Hedging volumes: Fuel 2014: 59%; 2015: 46% Dollar 2014: 78%; 2015: 12% EURO USD TRY OTHER Fig. 2: Sensitivity Table (TLm) 2014 FY EUR/TL USD/TL Jet Fuel /tonn Δ +0.01 +0.01 +$10 EUR/TL USD/TL Fuel Revenues 4.2 2.1 - Opex 2.3 7.3 11.6 EBIT 1.9-5.1-11.6 EBITDAR 2.5-4.3-11.6 29

EBITDAR Analysis Q4 2014 2013-2014 EBITDAR Bridge 9% EBITDAR Margin 12.1% 51,4 20,2 32,0 17,7-10,3 80,1-30,9 Q4 13 EBITDAR Sch.Flight RASK* Ancillary Per Pax* Fuel Cost Per ton* Increase in volume* FX and other Q4 14 EBITDAR Comments TL 80.1mn EBITDAR recorded in the Q4 period Nominally up by 56% Positive drivers of change; lower fuel cost, increase ancillary revenue per pax, overall volume growth, (*) Excluding fx impact 30

CASK Analysis CASK c (non- fuel) Bridge Q4 2014 2,69-0,04-0,23-0,04-0,03-0,02 2,34 Total Cask c.4.36 Total Cask c.4.02 2013 Q4 Cask Non-Fuel FX and Escalation on TL bases Structural Changes & Adjustments* Growth Impact* On Fixed Costs ASL increase* Direct Op. Costs Other* 2014 Q4 Cask Non-Fuel CASK c (non fuel) Bridge 2014FY 2,43-0,08 0,06-0,04-0,02-0,002 2,36 Total Cask c.4.13 Total Cask c.4.02 2013 Cask Non-Fuel FX and Escalation on TL bases Structural* Changes & Adjustments Growth Impact* On Fixed Costs ASL increase * Direct Op. Costs Other* 2014 Cask Non Fuel (*) Excluding fx impact 31

Balance Sheet Update Cash & equivalents currency breakdown Balance Sheet Structure (31 December 2014) (TL m) 3.534,7 3.534,7 2014 Cash & equivalents: 856,9 Equity:1.161,1 TL 17.9% USD 63.2% Other assets: 647,2 EUR 14.8% PDPs: 87,7 GBP 2.9% Other liabilities Other 1.2% 1.019,3 Cash Financial lease maturity breakdown Fixed assets: 1.942,9 Financial debt: 4,5 Finance leases: 1.349,7 < 1 year 12.1% 1 5 years 49.2% > 5 years 38.8% Assets Equity & Liabilities 32

Pegasus Fleet Update Fleet Overview Fleet at Dec. 2014 Owned Leased Total Boeing 737-800 27 23 50 Boeing 737-400 1 0 1 Airbus A320 CEO 0 4 4 Total Fleet 28 27 55 Fleet Expansion (Under Contract) Fleet FY 2014 FY 2015 FY2016 Owned 3 3 3 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Ownership Profile 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Owned Leased Anticipated financing of Airbus order book We envisage to finance the first half of Airbus Neo s Financial Lease Operational Lease 25 25 32 27 37 37 by using ECA backed financing, EETC and JOLCO structures and keep them on our balance sheet Total 55 65 72 Source: Pegasus information. 33

Outlook & Trends Traffic Market Growth Capacity Increase We expect another double digit PAX growth in international and domestic aviation market DHMI forecasts a passenger growth of 12% in Turkey in 2015 We target a total PAX growth of c.16-18 % in 2015 In total, we expect to add c. 18-20% of additional ASKs in 2015 Aircraft utilization will remain at comparable levels in 2015 Load Factors and Yields Domestic & International Stable yield in TL and Euro terms and flat load factor will be the outlook for FY15 Ancillary Revenues/Pax 10 per pax revenue expectation for the FY15 10-12 per PAX range within the two years Operating Costs (CASK) in 2015 we expect total CASK will go up c.5-6 %. mainly stemming from FX and fleet mix change 2015 EBITDAR margin Between 18-20% $mn50 aircraft pre delivery payment and two spare engines Capex and Cash Approximately mn20 for potential ramp handling capex Flow Other marginal non aircraft capex, 1. These trends and targets involve a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. See disclaimer at the end of the presentation. 34

Disclaimer The information in this presentation has been prepared by Pegasus Hava Taşımacılığı A.Ş. (the "Company" or "Pegasus") solely for informing the investors of the Company's operational background and its operational and financial performance for the year 2013. To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While Pegasus believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, Pegasus has not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the markets in which the Company operates. While Pegasus believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, any undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, alone, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any commitment or investment decision. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided only as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. This presentation and any materials distributed in connection with this presentation are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. No representation, warranty or undertaking, expressed or implied, is or will be made by Pegasus or its shareholders, affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained in this presentation (or whether any information has been omitted from this presentation). Pegasus, to the extent permitted by law, and each of its respective directors, officers, employees, affiliates, advisors or representatives disclaims all liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. This presentation includes "forward-looking statements". These statements contain the words "anticipate", will, "believe", "intend", "estimate", "expect" and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding the Company s financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including statements relating to new routes, number of aircraft, availability of financing, customer offerings, passenger and utilization statistics and objectives relating to the Company's products and services) are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation. Pegasus cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company's financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in any future period. Pegasus does not undertake and expressly disclaims any obligation to review or confirm or to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any events that occur or conditions or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation. 44