Central Government Budget 2015

Transcription

1 Central Government Budget 2015 September, 30th

2 Spain Macroeconomic Scenario Year on year % change (ESA 2010) F 2015F Real GDP Nominal GDP GDP National Consensus Private Consumption Public Consumption Gross Capital Formation Domestic Demand(*) Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services External Demand(*) Employment (**) Employees affiliated to the Social Security Jan-Sep Unemployment rate Net lending (+)/ borrowing (-) with the RoW(***) (*) Contribution to GDP growth; (**) full -time equivalent; (***) % of GDP. 2

3 Economic Growth Differential Real GDP (y-o-y %) Euro area 18 Major advanced economies G7 Spain p p Source: INE, IMF, Eurostat, 2015 Budget. 3

4 Net lending (+) or net borrowing (-) by institutional sector (% GDP) Financing capacity Not including one-off financial assisstance. Source: INE and IGAE Net lending (+)/ borrowing (-) vis-àvis RoW(*) (*) % of GDP F 2015F

5 Budgetary outcomes and Targets Net lending (+)/borrowing (-) General Government (as % of GDP) ESA 2010 Targets 2011(D) 2012 (D) 2013 (P) Central Government Regional Governments Local Entities Social Security General Government Not including one-off to the financial sector. Excluding 2009 regional financing system settlements in favor of the Central Government (2011) 5

6 Government balance 2013 Net lending (+)/borrowing (-) General Government (as % of GDP) ESA 95 ESA revision 2012 (D) 2013 (A) 2012 (D) 2013 (P) GDP Effect Numerator Effect Central Government Regional Governments Local Entities Social Security General Government Not including one-offs to the financial sector: pp ESA 95 and 3.70 pp ESA ,47pp 2013 (A) and 2013 (P). 6

7 Fiscal balances and Public Debt % GDP General Government Balance General Government Primary Balance Structural Primary Balance Public Gross Debt Source: MINHAP Not including financial assisstance one-offs. 7 7

8 Revenue National Accounts 8

9 Revenues Budget 2014 Collection Budget 2015 % change billion (1) (2) (3) (3)/(1) (3)/(2) 1. TAX REVENUE (before transfers to Territorial Entities) PERSONAL INCOME TAX CORPORATE INCOME TAX VAT EXCISE TAXES OTHER TAX REVENUE (after transfers to Territorial Entities) NON-TAX REVENUES TOTAL NON FINANCIAL REVENUE (2+3) (after transfers to Territorial Entities)

10 Total Tax revenues Difference Evolution of Tax revenues % 12/11 Final 2013 Difference billion % 13/12 PERSONAL INCOME TAX % % CORPORATE INCOME TAX % % Payments on account Big corporations and groups % 14, % SMEs % % Other Total % % OTHER % % CHAPTER I.- DIRECT TAXES % % VAT % % EXCISE TAXES % % OTHER % % CHAPTER II.- INDIRECT TAXES % % CHAPTER III.- OTHER TAX REVENUES % % TOTAL TAX REVENUES % % Source: AEAT 10

11 Expenditure National Accounts Expenditure not including one-off financial assisstance 11

12 Distribution of Central Government Expenditure Available expenditure for the Ministries billion 2015 /2014 % 1. Non-financial expenditure limit Interests Other Ministerial Expenditure NON FINANCIAL EXPENDITURE OF THE MINISTRIES (1-2-3) Transfers to Social Security and to the Public Employment Service and others Plan CRECE AVAILABLE EXPENDITURE FOR THE MINISTRIES (4-5-6)

13 Plan CRECE Plan of measures to drive growth, competitiveness and efficiency million Target 2015 Investment on Energy Saving and Reducing CO2 emissions* 250 Investment on sanitation and water treatment* 200 Boost corporate R&D&i** 100 Ensuring digital connectivity** 100 Action Plan against Youth Unemployment *** 470 SME Initiative. Financial instruments 1,067 TOTAL PLAN CRECE ,187 * Non finacial budget of the Central Government ** Financial Budget of the Central Governmet *** Budget of the State Public Employment Service 13

14 Non financial expenditure of the Ministries Summary by ministries Million Sections Dif % 2014/ Dif % 2015/14 12: MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND COOPERATION 1, , : M. OF JUSTICE 1,496 1, , : M. OF DEFENCE 5,931 5, , : M. OF FINANCE AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONS 2,161 2, , : M. OF THE INTERIOR 7,211 7, , : M. OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT (FOMENTO) 5,790 5, , : M. of infrastructure development excluding obligations of previous financial years 5,310 4, , : M. OF EDUCATION, CULTURE AND SPORTS 2,490 2, , : M. OF EMPLOYMENT AND SOCIAL SECURITY 23,794 26,540 2, ,421-4, : M. OF INDUSTRY, ENERGY AND TOURISM 3,918 5,157 1, , : M. AGRICULTURE, FOOD AND ENVIRONMENT 1,566 1, , : M. OF THE PRESIDENCY : M. OF PUBLIC HEALTH SOCIAL SERVICES AND EQUALITY 2,962 1,907-1, , : M. Of Public Health, Social Services and Equality (1) 1,879 1, , : M. OF ECONOMY AND COMPETITIVENESS 1,957 2, , M. of Economy and competitiveness excluding obligations of previous financial years and contributions to Greece 1,957 2, , : MISCELLANEOUS EXPENDITURE 2,012 2, , TOTAL MINISTRIES EXPENDITURE 62,813 66,336 3, ,947-3, Ministries excluding contributions to the Social Security, Public Employment Service, Plan CRECE and other (1) Excluding Sanitary Cohesion Fund 36,302 34,584-1, ,

15 Central Government Budget Economic classification Sections 2014* (% of total) 2015 (% of total) % 2015/14 I. Personnel expenditure II. Current expenditure on goods and services III. Financial expenditure IV. Current transfers Current Operations V. Contingency Fund and other unforeseen VI. Real Investments Real Investment excluding Plan CRECE VII. Capital Transfers Capital Transfers excluding Plan CRECE Capital Operations NON FINANCIAL BUDGET VIII. Financial assets VIII. Financial assets excluding Plan CRECE IX. Financial liabilities FINANCIAL BUDGET TOTAL BUDGET * Budget 2014 standardized the effect of the centralization of contracts and FNMT Economic classification of expenditure billion 15

16 Territorial distribution of real investment State Public Sector (Administrative with limited budget, Corporate and Foundational budget) million % 2015/2014 REGIONAL GOVERNMENTS 2014 % of Total regional 2015 % of Total regional País Vasco Cataluña , Galicia 1, , Andalucía 1, , Asturias Cantabria La Rioja Murcia Valencia Aragón Castilla-La Mancha Canarias Navarra Extremadura Baleares Madrid Castilla y León 1, , Ceuta Ceuta without prison centre Melilla TOTAL REGIONAL 9, , Non regional and several regions 2,205 1,809-18,0 Foreign ,5 TOTAL 12,091 13,

17 Spending Policies Consolidated Budget billion Policies 2014 % of total 2015 % of total % 2015/14 Basic Public Services Social Expenditure Social Expenditure excluding unemployment Economic Affairs General public services (excluding EFSF contribution and Suppliers Fund) CHAPTERS 1 to

18 Distribution of Consolidated public expenditure 8.7% Economic Affairs 4.7% Basic public services 53.9% Social Expenditure 32.7% General Public services 18

19 Territorial funding billion 2014* 2015** % 2015/14 Territorial funding % Regional Governments funding % Local Entities funding % * 2014 final settlement ** 2015 considering extending the repayment period of negative settlements