Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

Transcription

1 Honolulu MSA, Maui County, Hawaii County & Kauai County Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations September 11 State of Hawaii Department of Labor and Industrial Relations

2 Table of Contents Introduction... 1 Methodology... 2 Assumptions and Limitations... 3 Industry Employment Trends, Honolulu MSA, Occupational Employment Trends, Honolulu MSA Industry Employment Trends, Maui County, Occupational Employment Trends, Maui County, Industry Employment Trends, Hawaii County, Occupational Employment Trends, Hawaii County, Industry Employment Trends, Kauai County, Occupational Employment Trends, Kauai County, Appendix A: Definition of Education and Training Codes Neil Abercrombie, Governor State of Hawaii Dwight Takamine, Director Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Francisco Corpuz, Chief Research and Statistics Office Phyllis Dayao, Staff Supervisor Labor Market Information Staff Vicki Lau, Section Supervisor Jeri Arucan, Research Statistician Melonie Ogata, Research Statistician Labor Market Research Section 830 Punchbowl Street, Room 304 Honolulu, HI Phone: dlir.rs.hiwi@hawaii.gov Website: Appendix B: Industry Definitions Appendix C: Occupational Classifications September 11

3 Introduction Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations, provides long term industry and occupational projections for Honolulu MSA, Maui County, Hawaii County, and Kauai County from 08 to 18. This report presents a summary of employment projections by industry as well as by occupations for each county. There are also tables and graphs that further illustrate what is anticipated to happen over the ten year projected period. Industries are classified by the North American Industry Classification System NAICS, while occupations fall under the Standard Occupational Classification SOC codes. Data on the average annual job openings are also included in this report. Job openings are either due to growth or replacement. The higher the replacements openings, the higher the turnover is for that occupation. It is recommended that both growth and replacement openings be used, therefore we also have total average annual openings. This report includes the education and training level requirements for each occupation. These requirements were determined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics BLS and recognized the educational attainment achieved by most people in a particular occupation. Some businesses, however, may require a higher level of training before they will hire. Some jobs may also have multiple grades or levels that require varying amounts of training, but they will not be reflected in this report. The information contained within can be used by students and jobseekers who are making career decisions; education and training program planners who develop specific occupational training programs; job placement specialists who help people find employment; counselors who assist individuals in choosing careers; managers who design, evaluate, and direct employment and training programs; policy decision makers who develop short to long range personnel policies; and employers who need information to help them plan the expansion or relocation of their businesses. Prior to using the employment projections in this publication, it is important to understand the methodology used and assumptions made in developing these projections, and note the limitations of the data. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

4 Methodology These are the general steps used to produce long term employment projections in Hawaii: Industry employment is obtained from the Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages QCEW and Current Employment Statistics CES. Average annual employment for each of the industries in the State of Hawaii was compiled from 1990 through the base year of the projection period. Industry employment projections were produced using the Long Term Industry Projections software system. The system allows the analyst to choose from a variety of predefined, generally accepted projection models including shift share, simple time series extrapolation, and linear regression models. Some of the independent variables that may be used in the regression models were time, resident population, gross state product, total personal income, average visitor census, visitor occupancy rates, and the number of unemployed persons. After the initial projections were developed, they were reviewed for reasonableness. Adjustments to the projections were made based on current knowledge of the industries and the economy. Industry staffing patterns were obtained from the Occupational Employment Statistics OES survey, using Standard Occupational Classification SOC codes. The staffing patterns for the agricultural industries were calculated by using census data. Staffing patterns for the self employed and unpaid family workers were obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational employment projections were produced using the MicroMatrix Occupational Projections System software. The system used the staffing patterns to transform industry projections into occupational projections. The staffing pattern divides each industry s employment into different occupations, forming a matrix. The system then applies national change factors developed by BLS to adjust the projected pattern of each industry to account for changes brought about by new technology and changing business practices. Next, the system applies the national ratios for self employed and unpaid family workers to each occupation s base and projected year employment to get self employed figures. These figures are then added to the appropriate occupation total to obtain occupational employment totals that include the self employed. Job openings are divided into two categories: job openings due to growth and job openings due to replacement needs. Job openings due to growth are created by industry employment expansion. It is the difference between projected year employment and base year employment. For occupations where employment is projected to decline, a zero is used for openings due to growth, instead of posting a negative job opening. Job openings due to replacement needs reflect net replacement needs and estimates the number of workers leaving jobs that need to be replaced by other workers. Generally, this counts openings that occur when workers leave their jobs to work in another occupation, retire or permanently leave the job for other reasons, or die. The total job openings count is equal to the sum of job openings due to growth and job openings due to replacements. This number estimates the number of openings for workers entering an occupation for the first time. It also may be used to assess the number of workers who will need to receive training for a particular occupation. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

5 Assumptions and Limitations The following conditions are assumed to prevail during the projection period: 1. The institutional framework of the national and local economy will not change radically. 2. Current social, technological, and scientific trends will continue, including values placed on work, education, income, and leisure. 3. No major event, such as widespread or long lasting energy shortages or wars, will significantly alter the industrial structure of the economy or the rate of economic growth. 4. Changes in relative wages, technological changes, or other factors will not radically alter trends in the occupational pattern of the industries. The data in this report has the following limitations: 1. The employment outlook for the various industries and occupations are based solely on an assessment of their projected demand. The supply of workers was not presented since a viable method for determining it has not yet been developed. 2. The employment projections were based on past trends and do not take into account any economic developments that may have occurred after the projections were completed. Projections should be viewed as indicators of relative magnitude and probable direction rather than as predictions of absolute occupational demand. Therefore, it is more important to look at the growth rate and projected total openings rather than the projected employment estimate itself. 3. Cyclical, seasonal, and other factors, such as large plant openings or closings were considered only if the information was available. 4. Employment projections and the estimation of job openings were rounded to the nearest ten. Therefore, the data may not sum to the totals. 5. The net replacement rates used in developing job openings estimates did not count workers who changed jobs but remained in the same occupation. In addition, because the number of openings due to net replacements was limited to those created by older workers leaving the job permanently, it may have underestimated the openings for new entrants, especially in jobs where many people permanently leave at younger ages. 6. Adjustments were not made for persons who held two or more jobs in different establishments. In the OES survey, a worker was counted in each job held at different places of work. Furthermore, no distinction was made if a worker did several jobs within one company. That employee was counted in only one occupation the one with the highest skill level. If the worker did several jobs at the same skill level, the person was reported in the occupation that he/she spent the most time doing. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

6 Honolulu MSA Industry Employment Trends Total All Industries From 08 to 18, employment growth in Honolulu MSA will advance by 29,070 jobs, to 523,990. Since this will account for 62 percent of the employment gains throughout the state, many of its trends are reflected in the statewide movements. Employment will grow modestly, averaging 0.6 percent, slightly lower than the statewide rate of 0.7 percent. Service Providing Industries The service providing industries trade, transportation, and utilities; information; financial activities; professional and business services; education and health services; leisure and hospitality; other services; and government will dominate job creation for Honolulu MSA, providing approximately 91 percent of the total job increase. Three industry sectors education and health services; professional and business services; and trade, transportation, and utilities will account for almost three fourths of the total jobs added between the years 08 to 18. Education and health services, the largest industry group, will generate the most number of jobs and will be the fastest growing among all industry groups. This constitutes nearly 43 percent of the total jobs added in Honolulu MSA and as a result, the percentage of workers employed in this industry group will increase from percent in 08 to 21 percent in 18. Within the sector, advances in health care and social assistance will contribute a major portion to the total industry count. Gains in professional and business services will amount to 16 percent of the county total, mainly arising from job opportunities within the administrative and support and waste management and remediation services sector. Trade, transportation, and utilities, the second largest industry group, will create 14 percent of the new jobs added during 08 to 18. However, the average annual growth rate will fall below the average growth rate projected for all industries in Honolulu MSA. Although other services will grow by 0.8 percent annually, the total slots gained will only be 5 percent of the total increase for Honolulu MSA. Approximately 4 percent of the workforce will be employed in this industry throughout the projected period. Leisure and hospitality will expand by 2,300 jobs but will grow more slowly than the projected rate for Honolulu MSA. Accommodation and food services will be responsible for most of the job gains. Financial activities and government will experience the slowest growth, not only among the service providing industries but of all the industries. Information, the smallest of the service providing industries, will incur a slight loss, mainly due to cutbacks in telecommunications jobs. Goods Producing Industries Employment growth in the goods producing industries natural resources and mining; construction; and manufacturing will trail the service providing industries and will account for 6 percent of the total jobs created. This sector will provide employment for 8 percent of the workforce during the ten year period. Construction, the largest of the goods producing industries, will register an annual growth rate of 0.7 percent which is above the average for all industries. All sectors within this industry will contribute to the advance in jobs. Growth in natural resources and mining is forecasted to outpace the county average and will post the second fastest growth rate among all industries. However since this industry accounts for less than one percent of the workforce, this translates to a gain of only 0 positions. Manufacturing will incur the largest loss of all the industries. Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Self employed and unpaid family workers will expand by 2.4 percent and will retain an 8 percent share of the workforce. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

7 NAICS Table 1: Long-term Industry Projections, Honolulu MSA, Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Code Industry Title Net Percent Growth Total Employment, All Jobs 494,9 523,990 29, % 0.6% Goods-Producing 39,360 41,070 1, % 0.4% Natural Resources and Mining 1,890 2, % 1.1% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 1,630 1, % 1.0% Crop Production 1,270 1, % 1.5% 1100 Animal Production % -2.3% Fishing, Hunting and Trapping % 0.7% Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry % 1.1% Mining % 1.2% 1010 Construction 25,760 27,530 1, % 0.7% Construction 25,760 27,530 1, % 0.7% Construction of Buildings 7,570 8, % 1.0% Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 3,490 3, % 1.3% Specialty Trade Contractors 14,710 15, % 0.4% Manufacturing 11,710 11, % -0.2% Manufacturing 11,710 11, % -0.2% Food Manufacturing 4,440 4, % 0.0% 3100 Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing % 0.4% Textile Mills % 2.0% Textile Product Mills % 0.0% Apparel Manufacturing % -4.2% 3200 Paper Manufacturing % -0.7% Printing and Related Support Activities % -3.0% Chemical Manufacturing % -1.0% Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing % -0.7% 3300 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing % 0.5% Transportation Equipment Manufacturing % 1.6% Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing % 0.2% Miscellaneous Manufacturing 960 1, % 1.5% 1000 Services-Providing 415, ,9 26, % 0.6% Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 83,450 87,630 4, % 0.5% 4000 Wholesale Trade 15,040 15, % 0.5% Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 5,960 5, % -0.3% Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 7,3 8, % 1.2% Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 1,760 1, % 0.8% Retail Trade 46,460 48,300 1, % 0.4% Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 4,9 4, % -0.1% 4400 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 1,100 1, % 0.4% Electronics and Appliance Stores 1,4 1, % 0.0% Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers 2,440 2, % 0.7% Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

8 NAICS Table 1: Long-term Industry Projections, Honolulu MSA, Employment Avg. Ann. Code Industry Title Net Percent Growth Food and Beverage Stores 8,150 8, % 0.6% Health and Personal Care Stores 3,800 3, % 0.4% Gasoline Stations 1,260 1, % -1.4% Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 8,0 8, % 0.2% Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores 2,210 2, % 0.4% 4500 General Merchandise Stores 8,660 9,800 1, % 1.3% Miscellaneous Store Retailers 4,030 3, % -0.4% Nonstore Retailers % 0.0% Transportation and Warehousing,060 21,340 1, % 0.6% Air Transportation 6,640 7, % 0.7% Water Transportation 2,690 2, % 0.3% Truck Transportation 2,300 2, % 0.1% Transit and Ground Passenger Transport 1,340 1, % 0.7% Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation 1,490 1, % 1.0% Support Activities for Transportation 3,740 4, % 1.0% 4900 Couriers and Messengers 1,160 1, % 0.2% Warehousing and Storage % 1.3% 2000 Utilities 1,890 2, % 1.3% Utilities 1,890 2, % 1.3% 1020 Information 8,270 8, % -0.2% Information 8,270 8, % -0.2% Publishing Industries 1,810 1, % -0.4% 5100 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries 1,540 1, % 2.2% Broadcasting (except Internet) 1, % -0.3% Telecommunications 3,240 2, % -1.5% Internet Service Providers, Web Search Portals, and Data Processing Services % 1.0% Other Information Services % 3.2% Financial Activities 22,630 22, % 0.0% 5000 Finance and Insurance 14,160 14, % 0.0% 5200 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 6,780 6, % -0.1% Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investments and Related Activities 1,070 1, % 0.2% Insurance Carriers and Related Activities 6,280 6, % -0.1% Funds, Trusts, and Other Financial Vehicles % 0.0% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 8,470 8, % 0.2% Real Estate 5,700 5, % 0.1% 5300 Rental and Leasing Services 2,760 2, % 0.2% Professional and Business Services 60,330 64,870 4, % 0.8% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 21,210 22, % 0.4% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 21,210 22, % 0.4% Management of Companies and Enterprises 6,570 6, % 0.5% Growth Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

9 NAICS Table 1: Long-term Industry Projections, Honolulu MSA, Employment Avg. Ann. Code Industry Title Net Percent Growth Management of Companies and Enterprises 6,570 6, % 0.5% Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 32,550 35,9 3, % 1.0% Administrative and Support Services 31,260 34,360 3, % 1.0% 5600 Waste Management and Remediation Service 1,290 1, % 2.1% Education and Health Services 98,8 111,260 12, % 1.3% Educational Services 51,390 55,500 4, % 0.8% Educational Services 51,390 55,500 4, % 0.8% 6000 Health Care and Social Assistance 47,430 55,770 8, % 1.8% Ambulatory Health Care Services 17,7,190 2, % 1.4% 6200 Hospitals 14,390 15,940 1, % 1.1% Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 5,170 6,990 1,8 35.2% 3.5% Social Assistance 10,150 12,650 2, % 2.5% Leisure and Hospitality 62,460 64,760 2, % 0.4% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 6,4 6, % 0.9% Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries % 0.4% 7100 Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institution 1,010 1, % 1.6% Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries 4,560 4, % 0.8% 7000 Accommodation and Food Services 56,040 57,790 1, % 0.3% Accommodation 15,460 15, % 0.3% 7200 Food Services and Drinking Places 40,570 41,910 1, % 0.3% Other Services (Except Government) 19,130,710 1, % 0.8% Other Services (Except Government) 19,130,710 1, % 0.8% Repair and Maintenance 3,070 3, % 0.5% 8100 Personal and Laundry Services 6,0 6, % 1.0% Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations 9,5 10, % 0.8% Private Households % 0.6% Government 60,430 61,850 1,4 2.3% 0.2% Government 60,430 61,850 1,4 2.3% 0.2% Federal Government 29,460 29, % 0.2% Federal Government, Excluding Post Office 27,290 28, % 0.3% Postal Service 2,170 1, % -1.3% 9990 State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 18,890 19, % 0.3% Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 12,080 12, % 0.4% Total Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, Primary Job 40,050 41, % 0.2% Self-Employed Workers, Primary Job 39,470 40, % 0.2% Unpaid Family Workers, Primary Job % 0.0% Growth Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

10 Honolulu MSA Occupational Employment Trends Total All Occupations The two largest occupational groups services, and professional, which covers a broad range of occupations with varying wages and educational requirements, will generate the most jobs from 08 to 18. Almost two thirds of the total projected job growth will originate from one of these two groups. Professional and related occupations will post the biggest numerical gain and will be the second fastest growing occupational division. Education, training, and library occupations together with advances in healthcare practitioners and technical occupations will fuel demand within this division. By 18, almost one quarter of all jobs will be classified under the service occupational group. Services will continue to be the largest division and will post the second highest job gain among all major occupational divisions. The expansion in business and financial operations occupations will surpass the county rate with most of these employment opportunities recorded by business operations specialists. The fastest growth rate among all major occupational groups will be derived from the smallest sized occupational group farming, fishing, and forestry occupations, with an annual expansion rate of 1.0 percent. However, this occupational group constitutes less than one percent of the workforce. Although office and administrative occupations will rank third in size, this sector will be the slowest growing occupational division. The total number of job openings generated by replacement needs will vastly outnumber openings created by growth for all occupational groups. Not surprisingly, services and professional, the two largest occupational groups will post the highest number of openings. Together these two groups will account for more than half of the total openings created. Fastest Growing Occupations All but three of the top fastest growing occupations with 300 or more employment will fall under two occupational groups professional and services. Figure 1 Reflecting the demand for health services, jobs related to healthcare will provide a sizable amount of the growth. The following will be among the fastest growing: personal and home care aides; medical scientists; respiratory therapists; medical and public health social workers; pharmacy technicians; nursing aides, orderlies and attendants; and physical therapists. In addition, another area that will offer job opportunities is technology. These jobs include network systems and data communications analysts, and computer software engineers for applications and systems software. Occupations with the Largest Number of Openings The 22 occupations listed in Figure 2 represent about 37 percent of the total average annual openings projected for Honolulu MSA. Two occupational groups service and sales and related will account for 61 percent of the total annual openings listed on Figure 2. Many of these occupations reflect the significance of the tourist industry to the economy and include: waiters and waitresses; retail salespersons; cashiers; various food preparation and serving workers; food counter attendants; janitors and cleaners; and first line supervisors of retail sales workers. Although more than half of the occupations will require a high school diploma or less, opportunities for college educated persons will also exist. These include elementary and secondary school teachers, registered nurses, general and operations managers, and accountants and auditors. Declining Occupations The top three declining occupations in Honolulu MSA office and administrative support workers, general and operations managers, and word processors and typists are also the same for the State. Office and administrative support occupations, which will experience the slowest growth rate among the major occupational divisions, will account for 53 percent of the total decline in all of the occupations. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

11 Fig. 1: Honolulu MSA s Top Fastest Growing Occupations* *Includes only occupations with 300 or more employment Average Annual Growth Rates Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

12 Fig. 2: Honolulu MSA s Top 22 Occupations with the Most Annual Openings* Waiters & Waitresses Retail Salespersons Cashiers Combine Food Prep. & Srvng Wrkrs, Inc Fast Food Security Guards Elementary School Teachers, Exc Special Educ Customer Service Representatives Registered Nurses General & Operations Managers 2 2 Secondry Schl Tchrs, Exc Special & Voc. Educ Food Preparation Workers Office Clerks, General Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers, Hand Counter Attend., Cafeteria, Food Concess., & Coffee Shop Personal & Home Care Aides Janitors & Cleaners, Exc Maids & Hskpng Cleanrs Average Annual Openings Due to: Growth Average Annual Openings Due to: Separations Stock Clerks & Order Fillers First Line Supervsrs/Mgrs of Retail Sales Wkrs First Line Suprvsrs/Mgrs of Office & Admin Suppt Wkrs Accountants & Auditors Sales Reps, Whlsle & Manuf, Exc Techncl & Scientific Prod Carpenters *Includes only occupations with 300 or more employment Total Average Annual Openings Totals may not add due to rounding to the nearest 10. Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

13 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Total, All Occupations 494,9 523,990 29, % 0.6% 3,360 11,470 14, Management Occupations 29,610 30, % 0.2% Top Executives 8,950 8, % -0.4% Chief Executives 1,400 1, % -0.4% General and Operations Managers 7,430 7, % -0.3% Legislators % 0.0% 0 ** ** Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers 2,330 2, % 0.9% Advertising and Promotions Managers % -1.0% Marketing Managers % 0.6% ** Sales Managers 1,390 1, % 1.2% Public Relations Managers % 1.0% ** Operations Specialties Managers 4,190 4, % 0.4% Administrative Services Managers % 0.8% Computer and Information Systems Managers % 0.8% ** Financial Managers 1,750 1, % 0.3% Compensation and Benefits Managers % 1.0% ** ** ** Training and Development Managers % 1.0% ** ** ** Human Resources Managers, All Other % 0.5% ** ** Industrial Production Managers % 0.0% ** Purchasing Managers % 0.0% ** ** Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers % -0.5% Other Management Occupations 14,140 14, % 0.5% Farmers and Ranchers 1,2 1, % 0.4% Construction Managers 1,8 1, % 0.9% Education Administrators, Preschool and Child Care Center/Program % 0.7% ** ** ** Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School % 0.4% ** Education Administrators, Postsecondary % -0.4% Education Administrators, All Other % 3.3% ** ** ** Engineering Managers % 0.4% ** Food Service Managers 1,510 1, % 0.2% ** Lodging Managers % 0.3% ** Medical and Health Services Managers % 1.0% Natural Sciences Managers % 0.7% ** ** Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers 2,990 3, % 0.2% Social and Community Service Managers % 0.9% ** Managers, All Other 2,930 3, % 0.4% Business and Financial Operations Occupations 24,580 26,760 2, % 0.9% Business Operations Specialists 15,800 17,0 1, % 0.9% Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products % -0.1% Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products 940 1, % 1.4% Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

14 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators 1,050 1, % 0.3% ** Insurance Appraisers, Auto Damage % -1.4% 0 ** ** Compliance Officers, Exc Agriculture, Construction, Health & Safety, & Transp 2,150 2, % 2.5% Cost Estimators % 1.9% Emergency Management Specialists % 1.3% ** ** ** Employment, Recruitment, and Placement Specialists % 1.4% Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists % 2.1% Training and Development Specialists % 1.6% Human Resources, Training, and Labor Relations Specialists, All Other % 1.3% Logisticians % 1.5% Management Analysts 1,980 1, % 0.0% Meeting and Convention Planners % 0.7% ** ** ** Business Operations Specialists, All Other 5,280 5, % 0.4% Financial Specialists 8,780 9, % 0.9% Accountants and Auditors 4,800 5, % 1.1% Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate % -0.4% Budget Analysts % 1.2% Credit Analysts % 1.7% ** ** ** Financial Analysts % 1.1% Personal Financial Advisors % 2.1% Insurance Underwriters % -0.7% Financial Examiners % 3.3% ** ** Loan Officers % 0.7% Tax Preparers % -1.9% 0 ** ** Financial Specialists, All Other % 0.3% ** Computer and Mathematical Occupations 8,230 9,230 1, % 1.2% Computer Specialists 7,9 8, % 1.2% Computer and Information Scientists, Research % 1.7% ** ** ** Computer Programmers % -1.3% Computer Software Engineers, Applications % 2.2% Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software % 2.0% 10 ** Computer Support Specialists 1,210 1, % 0.2% ** Computer Systems Analysts 980 1, % 0.7% Database Administrators % 1.4% ** ** Network and Computer Systems Administrators % 1.3% Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 1,400 1, % 3.9% Computer Specialists, All Other 1,290 1, % 0.2% ** Mathematical Scientists % 1.0% ** Actuaries % 2.5% ** ** ** Operations Research Analysts % 1.5% ** ** Statisticians % 0.0% ** ** 10 3 Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

15 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Architecture and Engineering Occupations 8,500 8, % 0.1% Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers 1,090 1, % -0.3% ** Architects, Except Landscape and Naval % -0.4% Cartographers and Photogrammetrists % 0.0% ** ** ** Surveyors % -0.4% Engineers 4,960 5, % 0.4% Civil Engineers 1,760 1, % 0.6% Computer Hardware Engineers % 0.0% ** ** ** Electrical Engineers % 0.4% ** Electronics Engineers, Except Computer % 0.0% Environmental Engineers % 0.9% ** Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Safety Engineers and Inspectors % 0.8% ** ** ** Industrial Engineers % 1.3% ** ** ** Marine Engineers and Naval Architects % 0.0% 0 ** ** Mechanical Engineers % 0.0% Engineers, All Other % 0.2% ** Drafters, Engineering, and Mapping Technicians 2,450 2, % -0.3% ** Architectural and Civil Drafters % -1.2% Electrical and Electronics Drafters % -0.7% 0 ** ** Drafters, All Other % 0.0% 0 ** ** Civil Engineering Technicians % 0.0% ** ** ** Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians % -0.2% Electro-Mechanical Technicians % 0.0% 0 ** ** Environmental Engineering Technicians 0 0.0% 0.0% ** Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other % 0.2% ** Surveying and Mapping Technicians % 0.0% ** ** ** Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 6,250 6, % 0.8% Life Scientists 1,240 1, % 1.5% Soil and Plant Scientists % 0.0% ** ** ** Microbiologists % 0.0% ** ** ** Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists % 0.0% ** ** ** Biological Scientists, All Other % 1.5% ** Conservation Scientists % 2.0% ** ** ** Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists % 2.7% Physical Scientists 1,390 1, % 0.5% Physicists % 0.0% ** ** ** Chemists % 0.0% Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health % 0.8% Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers % 1.0% ** Hydrologists % 0.0% 0 ** ** 3 Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

16 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Physical Scientists, All Other % 1.3% ** ** ** Social Scientists and Related Workers 2,380 2, % 0.7% Market Research Analysts % 1.6% Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists % 0.3% ** Urban and Regional Planners % 0.7% ** Anthropologists and Archeologists % 1.1% ** Social Scientists and Related Workers, All Other % 1.1% Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 1,240 1, % 0.4% Agricultural and Food Science Technicians % 0.6% ** Biological Technicians % 0.3% ** Chemical Technicians % 0.0% 0 ** ** Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health % 1.7% ** Forest and Conservation Technicians % 1.4% ** ** ** Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other % 0.3% ** Community and Social Services Occupations 9,0 10,0 1, % 1.3% Counselors, Social Workers, & Other Community & Social Service Specialists 8,230 9,350 1,1 13.6% 1.4% Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors % 1.5% ** Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors 1,250 1, % 0.7% Mental Health Counselors % 3.1% 10 ** Rehabilitation Counselors % 1.7% ** Counselors, All Other % 1.7% ** ** ** Child, Family, and School Social Workers 1,110 1, % 0.5% Medical and Public Health Social Workers % 2.4% Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers % 1.4% Social Workers, All Other % 0.3% ** Health Educators % 1.1% ** Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists % 1.2% ** Social and Human Service Assistants 2,3 2, % 2.2% Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 960 1, % 0.8% Religious Workers % 0.8% Clergy % 0.7% ** Legal Occupations 4,580 4, % 0.0% Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers 2,810 2, % 0.0% ** Lawyers 2,6 2, % 0.0% Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators % 0.0% ** ** ** Legal Support Workers 1,770 1, % 0.1% Paralegals and Legal Assistants % 0.7% Court Reporters % 0.0% 0 ** ** Law Clerks % 0.0% 0 ** ** Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers % -1.0% Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

17 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Legal Support Workers, All Other % 0.3% ** Education, Training, and Library Occupations 37,950 41,400 3, % 0.9% , Postsecondary Teachers 7,510 8, % 1.0% Business Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.2% ** Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.1% ** ** ** Mathematical Science Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.3% ** ** Biological Science Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.9% Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.6% ** ** Chemistry Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.0% ** ** ** Anthropology and Archeology Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.0% ** ** ** Geography Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.0% ** ** ** Political Science Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.0% ** ** ** Psychology Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.0% ** Sociology Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.9% ** ** ** Education Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.0% Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.6% ** ** Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.0% ** Communications Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.8% ** ** ** English Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.9% ** Foreign Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.9% ** History Teachers, Postsecondary % 0.6% ** ** Philosophy and Religion Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.3% ** ** Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary % 1.0% Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers 19,310,910 1, % 0.8% Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 1,530 1, % 1.1% Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education % 1.0% ** ** ** Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 7,630 8, % 1.0% Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 1,100 1, % 1.0% Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 6,8 7, % 0.4% Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School 1,130 1, % 1.3% Special Education Teachers, Middle School % 1.4% Special Education Teachers, Secondary School % 0.7% ** Other Teachers and Instructors 4,380 5, % 1.6% Adult Literacy, Remedial Education, and GED Teachers and Instructors % 1.0% Self-Enrichment Education Teachers 1,510 1, % 2.8% Teachers and Instructors, All Other 2,070 2, % 0.9% Librarians, Curators, and Archivists % 0.3% ** Archivists 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 ** ** Curators % 3.3% ** ** ** Museum Technicians and Conservators % 3.3% ** ** ** Librarians % 0.2% ** 3 Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

18 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Library Technicians % 0.0% ** Other Education, Training, and Library Occupations 5,830 6, % 0.7% Instructional Coordinators % 2.0% Teacher Assistants 4,5 4, % 0.5% Education, Training, and Library Workers, All Other % 0.8% Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 11,740 12, % 0.7% Art and Design Workers 2,960 3, % 0.7% Art Directors % 0.6% ** ** Craft Artists % 0.0% 0 ** ** Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators % 0.0% 0 ** ** Commercial and Industrial Designers % 0.0% ** ** ** Floral Designers % -0.6% Graphic Designers % 0.5% ** Interior Designers % 0.0% ** ** ** Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers % 0.6% Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers 3,330 3, % 0.9% Actors % 1.7% Producers and Directors % 1.0% ** Coaches and Scouts % 1.9% Dancers % 0.2% ** Music Directors and Composers % 0.0% ** ** ** Musicians and Singers % 0.5% ** Media and Communication Workers 3,310 3, % 0.9% Radio and Television Announcers % -1.5% Public Address System and Other Announcers % 0.0% 0 ** ** Reporters and Correspondents % 0.0% ** ** ** Public Relations Specialists 1,2 1, % 1.6% Editors % 0.0% ** Writers and Authors % 1.4% Interpreters and Translators % 2.4% Media and Communication Workers, All Other % 0.3% ** Media and Communication Equipment Workers 2,150 2, % -0.1% ** Audio and Video Equipment Technicians % 0.3% ** Sound Engineering Technicians % 0.0% ** ** ** Photographers 1, % -0.5% Camera Operators, Television, Video, and Motion Picture % 0.8% ** ** ** Film and Video Editors % 0.8% ** ** ** Media and Communication Equipment Workers, All Other % 0.4% ** Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations,750 23,470 2,7 13.1% 1.3% Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 14,170 16,080 1, % 1.3% Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations

19 Table 2: Long-term Occupational Projections, Honolulu MSA, SOC Employment Growth Avg. Ann. Average Annual Openings Trng. Code Occupation Title Net Percent Growth Growth Replacement Total Code* Chiropractors % 0.0% ** ** ** Dentists, General % -0.2% Dentists, All Other Specialists % 0.0% ** ** ** Dietitians and Nutritionists % 0.6% ** Optometrists % 0.7% ** Pharmacists % 1.1% Anesthesiologists % 0.6% ** Family and General Practitioners % 0.8% Internists, General % 0.6% ** Obstetricians and Gynecologists % 0.5% ** ** Pediatricians, General % 1.0% ** ** ** Psychiatrists % 0.8% ** ** ** Surgeons % 0.9% ** Physicians and Surgeons, All Other % 0.6% Physician Assistants % 2.5% 10 ** Registered Nurses 6,790 7,970 1, % 1.7% Occupational Therapists % 1.0% ** ** Physical Therapists 9 1, % 2.0% Recreational Therapists % 3.3% ** ** ** Respiratory Therapists % 2.7% Speech-Language Pathologists % 0.3% ** Therapists, All Other % 0.0% ** ** ** Veterinarians % 0.8% ** ** ** Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners, All Other % 0.8% ** ** ** Health Technologists and Technicians 6,060 6, % 1.3% Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists % 1.3% Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians % 1.1% Dental Hygienists % 1.4% Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians % 2.2% ** ** ** Diagnostic Medical Sonographers % 0.7% ** ** ** Nuclear Medicine Technologists % 0.0% ** ** ** Radiologic Technologists and Technicians % 0.9% Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics % -0.2% Dietetic Technicians % 0.0% ** ** ** Pharmacy Technicians % 2.4% Surgical Technologists % 1.6% ** Veterinary Technologists and Technicians % 0.6% ** ** Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 990 1, % 1.7% Medical Records and Health Information Technicians % 1.1% Opticians, Dispensing % 1.3% ** ** ** Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other % 1.2% ** Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations % 1.0% 10 Hawaii State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations Research and Statistics Office Employment Projections for Industries and Occupations