SSA NEO Segment. Overview and approach for Phase 2. Detlef Koschny, Gerhard Drolshagen
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1 SSA NEO Segment Overview and approach for Phase 2 Detlef Koschny, Gerhard Drolshagen Detlef.Koschny@esa.int SSA NEO ESA HO 0140/1.0, Industry Day ESOC Image credit: ESA 1 Publ ESA Unclassified Releasable to the
2 Tasks of the NEO segment NEO = near-earth object = asteroid or comet which comes closer than 0.3 Astronomical Units to our planet Be aware of positions of NEOs in space, in particular those which may threaten our assets Produce warnings in case of a close approach of an NEO Make databases related to NEOs available Understand the effects of an impact Prepare possible mitigation strategies 2 Smoke trail of the Chelyabinsk fireball -
3 NEOs Minor Planet Center (US) System overview National Cooperating telescopes SSA sensors SSA tasking centre SSA-NEO Coordination Centre - Risk assessment - Phys. Properties - Databases - Light curves - Shape models Political entities General users Space missions National research expertise Space mission studies NEO image credit: JAXA 3
4 Achievements in precursor phase where do we stand now? 4
5 SSA-NEO achievements during the Preparatory Phase NEO precursor system has been developed, based on existing assets NEODyS (Univ. Pisa, SpaceDyS) computation and prediction of NEO orbits EARN (DLR) database with physical properties of NEOs Priority List (INAF) list with objects in need of follow-up observations An SSA-NEO web portal was developed A NEO Coordination Centre was established at ESRIN Inauguration 22 May
6 NEO Precursor Services Web Portal 6
7 SSA-NEO achievements during the Preparatory Phase, cont. Top-Down activities: Production of Requirements documents The Architectural Design for a complete SSA-NEO system was started Preparatory activities in the area of NEO impact effects and mitigation (SN-VII) International coordination (Action Team 14 of UN COPUOS) GSTP activities: Test-bed telescope Orbit propagator NEO model population Observations 5 NEOs were discovered with the OGS telescope Public Relations activities 7
8 Approach for Phase
9 SSA-NEO approach for phase 2 Following the Declaration of the SSA Programme for Period 2 the NEO activities will focus on 3 main areas: NEO Coordination Centre, web portal Observations and Telescope Development Technology Development and Mitigation NEODyS servers in Pisa 9
10 SSA-NEO approach for phase 2 Main points NEO Coordination Centre and web portal at ESRIN Continue precursor operations Train new personnel Enhance NEO Coordination Centre Assure availability New capabilities (storage, search, back-up, foreign data ingestion, fireball database) Establish redundancy Migrate capabilities to SSA- NEO Coordination Centre Mainly from NEODyS 10
11 SSA-NEO approach for phase 2 Main points, continued Observations Continue observations with OGS Use/test automatic robotic telescope from GSTP contract Test Bed Telescope Establish automatic tasking function Establish automatic image processing and data handling Develop new 1-m fly-eye NEO survey telescope Deploy, test and operate NEO survey telescope Establish agreements with cooperating telescopes and make use of them 2010A2 an asteroid collision imaged with the OGS telescope 06 Feb
12 Technology, mitigation Don Quijote concept (ESA) Technology Develop missing technologies - Impact effect tools - Improved orbit propagator - Ground corridor of impact locations - Space-based IR camera for fireball observation Mitigation strategies, mission design Workshop on impact effects and mitigation on 7/8 May 2013 (development of roadmap) Use of space mission data (Gaia, star trackers, and more) International coordination of mitigation issues Participate in work of Action Team 14 of UN- COPUOS 12
13 Planned procurements in detail as structured in Work Plan 13
14 SSA-NEO approach for phase 2 Planned procurements to start 2013 Procurement ID P2-NEO-I P2-NEO-II P2-NEO-III P2-NEO-IV P2-NEO-V Title NEO Precursor Services Operation, Maintenance and Enhancement (500 keuro) Improved Data Processing Capabilities (250 keuro) NEO Service Level Agreements (200 keuro) NEO Observations with Cooperating Sensors (100 keuro) NEO Survey Telescope detailed design (800 keuro) Additional common activities: ICT and Technical Support, architecture consolidation ( grey means: covered elsewhere in today s presentations) 14
15 P2-NEO-I Precursor services operation, maintenance, and enhancement P2-NEO-101 Precursor services operations and maintenance (350 keuro) Continued operations of precursor services at NEO Coordination Centre two people Creation of priority list Maintenance of web portal, news releases, help functions P2-NEO-201 Precursor services enhancements (150 keuro) Enhancement of web portal Enhancement of search capabilities Add functionality to issue news releases and warnings to registered users Educational tools 15
16 P2-NEO-II Improved data processing capabilities P2-NEO-401 (250 keuro) Initial developments in the data processing chain, as a minimum: Inclusion of non-gravitational perturbing forces for orbital evolution Determination of impact corridor on ground 16
17 P2-NEO-III Service-Level Agreements P2-NEO-501 (25 keuro) Provision of data from the physical properties database (EARN = European Asteroid Research Node) P2-NEO-502 (125 keuro) Provision of data from NEODyS2 P2-NEO-503 (50 keuro) Continuation of observations with the Optical Ground Station on Tenerife 17
18 P2-NEO-IV Observations w/ cooperating sensors P2-NEO-504 (100 keuro) NEO observations with external sensors Test the use of large telescopes for follow-up observations and physical characterisation Support the demonstration of NEO observation capabilities of new participating member states 18
19 P2-NEO-V 19
20 Part of common procurements P2-NEO-102 ICT support Procure the necessary support to administration and operations of ICT infrastructure at the NEO Coordination Centre P2-NEO-601 Technical support Technical support to prepare and monitor the NEO segment industrial activities 20
21 Space Situational Awareness SSA-NEO will focus in Phase 2 on the operations and enhancement of Bonus slidessupport the precursor services; observational activities; and start the development of a new fly-eye telescope.
22 22
23 Estimated Number of Asterooids and NEOs (Data from NEODyS or JPL NEO site, March 2013) > 600,000 known Asteroids Almost known NEOs > 400 NEOs in risk list (NEOs with small but non-zero impact probability within next 100 years) Estimated number of known NEOs: 90 % of NEOs with diameter larger than 1 km (861 NEAs + 93 near- Earth comets of a total of 1050) % of NEOs larger than 140 m (total ) < 2.0 % of NEOs larger than 30 m (total ) Most NEOs are still unknown!
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