EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, July 1 at 6:00 a.m.

Transcription

1 Interviews with 1,017 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on June 26-28, The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Results in this document labeled All Americans or Total are based on this sample of 1,017 adults. The sample also includes 890 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). The full sample includes 611 interviews among landline respondents and 406 interviews among cell phone respondents. Additional interviews were conducted among African-Americans, and combined with the African-Americans contacted in the initial sample of 75 for a total of 303 African-American respondents. The margin of sampling error for results based on this sample of African-Americans is plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. Columns in this document labeled "Whites" show results only for the 727 respondents in the initial sample who described themselves as white in a question on racial background and did not describe themselves as Hispanic or Latino in a separate question on ethnicity. (Sampling error for non- Hispanic whites is +/-3.5 percentage points.) Columns in this document labeled "Blacks" refer to all respondents who described themselves as black or African-American and did not describe themselves as Hispanic or Latino in a separate question on ethnicity. Trend results for racial groups are shown only for polls which had enough African-American respondents to produce statistically valid results. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, July 1 at 6:00 a.m.

2 5. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion The economy June 26-28, % 41% 11% 2% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 48% 41% 10% 1% * Feb , % 47% 11% 1% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 58% 35% 6% 1% * June 28-July 1, % 41% 6% 2% * October 14-16, % 39% 6% 1% * June 3-7, % 41% 6% 2% * October 17-19, % 33% 5% 2% * June 26-29, % 35% 6% 1% * Jan , % 41% 12% 2% * Nov. 2-4, % 48% 16% 2% * May 4-6, % 46% 16% 4% * Foreign policy June 26-28, % 39% 22% 7% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 33% 40% 22% 5% 1% Feb , % 39% 25% 7% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 41% 31% 21% 6% 1% June 28-July 1, % 39% 26% 11% * October 14-16, % 33% 32% 11% 1% Health care June 26-28, % 39% 13% 4% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 44% 39% 13% 4% * Feb , % 40% 16% 5% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 49% 33% 14% 3% * June 28-July 1, % 40% 10% 3% * October 14-16, % 38% 16% 3% * June 3-7, % 41% 10% 3% * October 17-19, % 38% 13% 4% * June 26-29, % 36% 14% 3% * Jan , % 36% 19% 4% * Nov. 2-4, % 41% 19% 5% * May 4-6, % 35% 18% 4% * (RV) = Registered voter POLL 6-2- June 26-28, 2015

3 5. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion Illegal immigration June 26-28, % 32% 26% 12% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 30% 33% 26% 11% * Feb , % 35% 26% 10% * June 28 July 1, % 31% 26% 14% * October 14-16, % 28% 27% 19% * June 3-7, % 33% 26% 12% * October 17-19, % 31% 28% 12% * June 26-29, % 33% 24% 9% 1% Jan , % 34% 23% 11% * Nov. 2-4, % 38% 26% 13% * May 4-6, % 32% 26% 10% 1% Terrorism June 26-28, % 33% 14% 5% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 49% 32% 14% 5% * Feb , % 38% 14% 6% * June 28 July 1, % 30% 18% 10% * October 14-16, % 36% 19% 9% * June 3-7, % 33% 16% 8% 1% October 17-19, % 33% 14% 3% * June 26-29, % 32% 18% 4% * Jan , % 34% 19% 5% * Nov. 2-4, % 44% 18% 6% * May 4-6, % 35% 14% 6% * Race relations June 26-28, 2015 All Americans 28% 33% 27% 12% 1% Blacks 33% 48% 6% 11% 2% Whites 27% 33% 29% 11% * Same-sex marriage June 26-28, % 21% 21% 37% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 20% 21% 21% 37% 1% Feb , % 22% 22% 38% * June 28 July 1, 2012* 19% 16% 22% 42% * June 3-7, 2011* 17% 17% 21% 45% 2% *Prior to 2015 Gay marriage" (RV) = Registered voter POLL 6-3- June 26-28, 2015

4 BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 26. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) June May Apr Mar Feb Dec Nov Bush 19% 13% 17% 16% 14% 23% 14% Trump 12% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Huckabee 8% 10% 9% 10% 16% 6% 10% Carson 7% 7% 4% 9% 8% 7% 11% Paul 7% 8% 11% 12% 10% 6% 8% Rubio 6% 14% 11% 7% 5% 5% 3% Walker 6% 10% 12% 13% 11% 4% 5% Perry 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% Christie 3% 4% 4% 7% 7% 13% 9% Cruz 3% 8% 7% 4% 3% 4% 7% Santorum 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% Jindal 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% Kasich 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% Fiorina 1% 1% 2% * 1% N/A N/A Graham 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% N/A N/A Pataki * 3% * N/A N/A N/A N/A Pence N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * 1% Portman N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * * Ryan N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% 9% Someone else (vol.) 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% None/No one 6% 2% 5% 6% 7% 5% 2% No opinion 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% November, 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list. POLL 6-4- June 26-28, 2015

5 BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 26. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) June (RV) Bush 17% Trump 12% Carson 8% Paul 8% Rubio 7% Walker 6% Huckabee 5% Perry 4% Santorum 4% Christie 3% Cruz 3% Kasich 3% Jindal 2% Fiorina 1% Graham 1% Pataki * Someone else (vol.) 5% None/No one 6% No opinion 3% (RV) = Registered voter 27. Omitted POLL 6-5- June 26-28, 2015

6 BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: The economy All Registered voters Bush 20% 16% Trump 19% 20% Walker 7% 8% Paul 6% 7% Huckabee 5% 4% Rubio 5% 6% Carson 4% 3% Perry 4% 4% Santorum 3% 4% Christie 2% 3% Cruz 2% 2% Jindal 2% 1% Kasich 2% 2% Fiorina 1% 2% Graham 1% * Pataki 1% 1% Someone else (vol.) 1% 2% None/No one 6% 6% No opinion 9% 9% POLL 6-6- June 26-28, 2015

7 BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Illegal immigration All Registered voters Bush 21% 18% Trump 13% 14% Perry 9% 8% Rubio 8% 9% Cruz 5% 6% Huckabee 5% 5% Paul 5% 6% Carson 3% 3% Christie 3% 3% Walker 3% 3% Graham 2% 1% Santorum 2% 1% Fiorina 1% 1% Jindal 1% 1% Kasich 1% 1% Pataki * * Someone else (vol.) 2% 2% None/No one 6% 6% No opinion 10% 9% POLL 6-7- June 26-28, 2015

8 BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage All Registered voters Bush 17% 13% Huckabee 9% 9% Trump 8% 7% Carson 6% 8% Paul 6% 7% Christie 5% 5% Rubio 5% 6% Cruz 4% 5% Perry 4% 4% Santorum 4% 4% Walker 4% 5% Fiorina 3% 2% Graham 3% 2% Jindal 2% 2% Kasich 1% 1% Pataki * * Someone else (vol.) 2% 2% None/No one 7% 8% No opinion 12% 12% POLL 6-8- June 26-28, 2015

9 BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 29. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb or Lincoln Chafee. (RANDOM ORDER) June May Apr Mar Feb Dec Nov Clinton 57% 60% 69% 62% 61% 66% 65% Biden 16% 14% 11% 15% 14% 8% 9% Sanders 14% 10% 5% 3% 3% 3% 5% Webb 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% O'Malley 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * Chafee * * 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A Cuomo N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% Patrick N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * 1% Warren N/A N/A N/A 10% 10% 9% 10% Someone else (vol.) 4% 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4% None/No one 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% No opinion 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. June (RV) Clinton 58% Biden 17% Sanders 15% O'Malley 1% Webb 1% Chafee * Someone else (vol.) 2% None/No one 4% No opinion 1% (RV) = Registered voter POLL 6-9- June 26-28, 2015

10 BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 30. And who would be your second choice? FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE (Question 29) (Question 30) Clinton 57% 24% Biden 16% 35% Sanders 14% 14% Webb 2% 2% O Malley 1% 5% Chafee * 2% Someone else (vol.) 4% 5% None/No one 5% 9% No opinion 1% 3% BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. FIRST CHOICE (Question 29-RV) SECOND CHOICE (Question 30-RV) Clinton 58% 23% Biden 17% 35% Sanders 15% 16% O Malley 1% 5% Webb 1% 1% Chafee * 2% Someone else (vol.) 2% 5% None/No one 4% 9% No opinion 1% 3% (RV) = Registered voter POLL June 26-28, 2015

11 BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 31. Now I m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think? Cares the most about people like you All Registered voters Clinton 47% 46% Biden 20% 20% Sanders 20% 22% Chafee 2% 1% O'Malley 1% 1% Webb 1% * Someone else (vol.) 1% 2% None/No one 6% 6% No opinion 2% 2% Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November All Registered voters Clinton 72% 74% Biden 16% 15% Sanders 2% 2% Chafee 1% 1% O'Malley 1% 1% Webb 1% 1% Someone else (vol.) 1% 1% None/No one 2% 2% No opinion 3% 3% POLL June 26-28, 2015

12 BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 31. Now I m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think? Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself All Registered voters Clinton 47% 49% Biden 23% 22% Sanders 19% 20% Chafee 1% 1% O'Malley 1% 1% Webb 1% 1% Someone else (vol.) 2% 3% None/No one 3% 2% No opinion 3% 3% Would be the strongest leader All Registered voters Clinton 60% 64% Biden 21% 21% Sanders 8% 7% Chafee 3% 1% O'Malley 1% 2% Webb 1% * Someone else (vol.) 2% 2% None/No one 2% 1% No opinion 3% 3% POLL June 26-28, 2015

13 32. For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush Other Neither No Clinton Bush (vol.) (vol.) opinion June 26-28, % 41% 1% 3% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 54% 41% 1% 3% * May 29-31, % 43% * 5% 1% Apr , % 39% * 4% 1% Mar , % 40% * 4% 1% Dec , % 41% 1% 4% * Jan. 31-Feb. 2, % 36% * 3% 2% Dec , % 36% 1% 4% 1% Florida Senator Marco Rubio Other Neither No Clinton Rubio (vol.) (vol.) opinion June 26-28, % 39% * 4% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 56% 40% * 3% * May 29-31, % 46% * 4% 1% Apr , % 41% * 3% 1% Mar , % 42% * 3% * Dec , % 36% 1% 4% 2% New Jersey Governor Chris Christie Other Neither No Clinton Christie (vol.) (vol.) opinion June 26-28, % 37% * 5% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 55% 39% * 5% * Apr , % 39% * 3% 1% Mar , % 40% * 5% * Dec , % 39% 1% 3% 1% Jan. 31-Feb. 2, % 37% * 5% 2% Dec , % 47% * 5% 1% POLL June 26-28, 2015

14 32. For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Businessman Donald Trump Other Neither No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion June 26-28, % 34% * 6% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 59% 35% * 6% * Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker Other Neither No Clinton Walker (vol.) (vol.) opinion June 26-28, % 38% * 4% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 57% 40% * 3% * May 29-31, % 46% * 3% 2% Apr , % 37% * 3% 1% Mar , % 40% * 3% 1% POLL June 26-28, 2015

15 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,017 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 23% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described themselves as Independents or members of another party In addition 252 interviews were conducted with African-Americans drawn from a separate sample of landline telephone numbers in areas where at least 30% of households are African American. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL June 26-28, 2015

16 Question 5A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Total Sample Extremely important 47% 44% 49% 47% 46% 48% Very important 41% 41% 41% 40% 42% 41% Moderately important 11% 13% 9% 11% 10% 10% Not that important 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 47% 42% 56% 51% 38% 48% 46% Very important 41% 43% 34% 38% 48% 39% 42% Moderately important 11% 13% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% Not that important 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% No opinion * * * 1% * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 47% 45% 49% 47% 46% Very important 41% 40% 41% 38% 42% Moderately important 11% 13% 9% 11% 10% Not that important 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 47% 46% 47% 46% 45% 45% 50% Very important 41% 44% 40% 39% 42% 41% 39% Moderately important 11% 8% 10% 14% 12% 12% 9% Not that important 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 47% 57% 50% 46% 37% 43% 52% 44% Very important 41% 36% 34% 44% 46% 42% 38% 42% Moderately important 11% 5% 14% 9% 14% 14% 8% 11% Not that important 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% No opinion * * * * 1% * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

17 Question 5A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 48% 43% 52% 48% 47% 48% Very important 41% 43% 39% 41% 41% 41% Moderately important 10% 12% 8% 10% 10% 10% Not that important 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 48% 42% 59% 51% 38% 50% 45% Very important 41% 43% 33% 39% 48% 38% 43% Moderately important 10% 13% 7% 10% 11% 10% 10% Not that important 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 48% 47% 49% 47% 48% Very important 41% 39% 41% 39% 42% Moderately important 10% 13% 8% 11% 10% Not that important 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 48% 47% 48% 48% 46% 47% 50% Very important 41% 44% 40% 39% 41% 41% 40% Moderately important 10% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 8% Not that important 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 48% 56% 50% 48% 38% 41% 53% 47% Very important 41% 38% 34% 43% 47% 43% 38% 42% Moderately important 10% 5% 14% 9% 14% 14% 8% 9% Not that important 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% No opinion * * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

18 Question 5B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Foreign policy Base = Total Sample Extremely important 32% 32% 32% 33% 29% 33% Very important 39% 40% 38% 38% 41% 40% Moderately important 22% 19% 25% 22% 21% 22% Not that important 7% 9% 5% 6% 8% 5% No opinion 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 32% 25% 32% 38% 35% 28% 37% Very important 39% 34% 36% 41% 47% 35% 43% Moderately important 22% 31% 23% 16% 12% 27% 15% Not that important 7% 10% 8% 3% 5% 9% 4% No opinion 1% * * 2% 1% * 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 32% 32% 30% 29% 34% Very important 39% 36% 41% 37% 40% Moderately important 22% 20% 25% 25% 20% Not that important 7% 10% 4% 8% 6% No opinion 1% 1% * 2% * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 32% 30% 32% 34% 26% 32% 37% Very important 39% 40% 37% 41% 42% 38% 37% Moderately important 22% 25% 21% 19% 21% 23% 22% Not that important 7% 4% 9% 5% 11% 7% 3% No opinion 1% 2% 1% * * 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 32% 32% 34% 35% 25% 31% 33% 32% Very important 39% 36% 36% 40% 43% 38% 39% 40% Moderately important 22% 23% 25% 20% 20% 22% 21% 23% Not that important 7% 8% 5% 4% 11% 8% 6% 4% No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

19 Question 5B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Foreign policy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 33% 33% 32% 34% 30% 33% Very important 40% 40% 39% 40% 41% 40% Moderately important 22% 20% 23% 21% 22% 22% Not that important 5% 7% 4% 5% 6% 5% No opinion 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 33% 27% 31% 37% 35% 29% 36% Very important 40% 35% 37% 42% 48% 36% 44% Moderately important 22% 29% 25% 18% 13% 27% 16% Not that important 5% 9% 7% 1% 4% 8% 2% No opinion 1% * * 2% 1% * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 33% 33% 31% 28% 35% Very important 40% 38% 41% 37% 41% Moderately important 22% 20% 25% 28% 18% Not that important 5% 8% 4% 5% 6% No opinion 1% 1% * 2% * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 33% 29% 32% 37% 27% 32% 37% Very important 40% 41% 37% 43% 43% 39% 39% Moderately important 22% 24% 22% 18% 22% 23% 20% Not that important 5% 4% 8% 2% 8% 5% 4% No opinion 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 33% 35% 34% 35% 24% 33% 33% 32% Very important 40% 34% 36% 43% 44% 38% 40% 43% Moderately important 22% 25% 24% 17% 23% 22% 22% 21% Not that important 5% 5% 6% 4% 7% 6% 5% 3% No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

20 Question 5C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Health care Base = Total Sample Extremely important 44% 37% 50% 44% 42% 44% Very important 39% 41% 38% 38% 41% 39% Moderately important 13% 16% 10% 13% 12% 13% Not that important 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 4% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 44% 39% 49% 46% 38% 43% 43% Very important 39% 40% 34% 41% 44% 38% 42% Moderately important 13% 15% 12% 9% 14% 14% 11% Not that important 4% 6% 5% 3% 4% 5% 3% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 44% 43% 43% 43% 44% Very important 39% 42% 38% 41% 38% Moderately important 13% 11% 14% 11% 14% Not that important 4% 3% 6% 5% 4% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 44% 45% 44% 40% 48% 39% 45% Very important 39% 43% 36% 43% 39% 40% 40% Moderately important 13% 10% 14% 13% 10% 16% 11% Not that important 4% 2% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 44% 46% 44% 46% 37% 44% 43% 45% Very important 39% 36% 37% 37% 48% 38% 42% 37% Moderately important 13% 12% 15% 12% 12% 15% 11% 11% Not that important 4% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7% No opinion * * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

21 Question 5C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Health care Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 44% 37% 50% 44% 42% 44% Very important 39% 41% 37% 39% 40% 39% Moderately important 13% 15% 10% 13% 13% 13% Not that important 4% 6% 3% 4% 5% 4% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 44% 40% 49% 46% 39% 44% 43% Very important 39% 40% 33% 41% 43% 36% 42% Moderately important 13% 15% 14% 10% 14% 14% 11% Not that important 4% 6% 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 44% 45% 43% 43% 44% Very important 39% 40% 38% 42% 37% Moderately important 13% 12% 13% 11% 14% Not that important 4% 3% 6% 5% 4% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 44% 44% 45% 41% 49% 40% 44% Very important 39% 44% 35% 42% 37% 39% 40% Moderately important 13% 10% 14% 13% 9% 17% 11% Not that important 4% 2% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 44% 47% 46% 46% 37% 43% 44% 44% Very important 39% 35% 36% 38% 48% 39% 41% 38% Moderately important 13% 13% 16% 11% 11% 15% 12% 11% Not that important 4% 6% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 7% No opinion * * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

22 Question 5D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Illegal immigration Base = Total Sample Extremely important 30% 29% 31% 32% 25% 30% Very important 32% 31% 32% 33% 29% 33% Moderately important 26% 26% 27% 24% 31% 26% Not that important 12% 13% 10% 11% 14% 11% No opinion * 1% * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 30% 19% 36% 32% 35% 27% 33% Very important 32% 24% 30% 36% 39% 27% 37% Moderately important 26% 43% 19% 24% 14% 32% 20% Not that important 12% 13% 14% 9% 12% 14% 10% No opinion * 1% * * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 30% 32% 27% 29% 30% Very important 32% 32% 30% 33% 31% Moderately important 26% 25% 28% 26% 27% Not that important 12% 11% 15% 11% 12% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 30% 24% 31% 35% 26% 26% 36% Very important 32% 34% 29% 34% 28% 31% 36% Moderately important 26% 27% 27% 24% 26% 31% 22% Not that important 12% 15% 12% 8% 20% 12% 6% No opinion * * 1% * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 30% 29% 33% 34% 22% 28% 29% 34% Very important 32% 24% 34% 33% 35% 31% 30% 38% Moderately important 26% 33% 27% 22% 27% 26% 29% 21% Not that important 12% 14% 7% 10% 17% 15% 12% 6% No opinion * 1% * * * * * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

23 Question 5D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 30% 28% 32% 32% 26% 30% Very important 33% 34% 32% 34% 30% 33% Moderately important 26% 24% 27% 24% 29% 26% Not that important 11% 13% 9% 10% 13% 11% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 30% 20% 37% 31% 34% 28% 33% Very important 33% 26% 31% 37% 40% 28% 38% Moderately important 26% 41% 21% 24% 14% 31% 20% Not that important 11% 13% 11% 8% 11% 12% 9% No opinion * * * * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 30% 34% 26% 29% 31% Very important 33% 33% 31% 37% 31% Moderately important 26% 24% 29% 25% 26% Not that important 11% 9% 14% 9% 12% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 30% 22% 32% 36% 26% 25% 38% Very important 33% 35% 29% 39% 28% 33% 37% Moderately important 26% 27% 28% 19% 26% 32% 20% Not that important 11% 16% 10% 5% 19% 10% 6% No opinion * * * * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 30% 31% 32% 33% 23% 29% 29% 34% Very important 33% 23% 38% 34% 37% 33% 32% 39% Moderately important 26% 33% 24% 22% 27% 26% 27% 22% Not that important 11% 13% 7% 10% 13% 12% 12% 5% No opinion * * * * * * * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

24 Question 5E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Terrorism Base = Total Sample Extremely important 48% 43% 52% 47% 49% 49% Very important 33% 31% 35% 34% 32% 32% Moderately important 14% 18% 10% 14% 13% 14% Not that important 5% 8% 3% 5% 6% 5% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 48% 42% 50% 53% 47% 45% 50% Very important 33% 31% 29% 35% 40% 30% 37% Moderately important 14% 19% 17% 9% 9% 18% 9% Not that important 5% 9% 4% 4% 4% 7% 4% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 48% 49% 46% 48% 47% Very important 33% 34% 32% 37% 31% Moderately important 14% 12% 16% 12% 15% Not that important 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 48% 45% 47% 53% 41% 48% 52% Very important 33% 34% 32% 36% 31% 32% 37% Moderately important 14% 16% 14% 10% 17% 15% 10% Not that important 5% 5% 8% 1% 11% 5% 2% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 48% 49% 52% 51% 37% 49% 48% 47% Very important 33% 35% 29% 31% 39% 31% 35% 36% Moderately important 14% 10% 16% 15% 13% 14% 12% 11% Not that important 5% 6% 3% 3% 11% 7% 4% 5% No opinion * * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

25 Question 5E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Terrorism Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 49% 43% 55% 48% 51% 49% Very important 32% 31% 33% 33% 30% 32% Moderately important 14% 19% 9% 14% 13% 14% Not that important 5% 8% 3% 5% 6% 5% No opinion * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 49% 44% 51% 53% 48% 47% 51% Very important 32% 30% 24% 35% 41% 27% 37% Moderately important 14% 16% 20% 9% 9% 18% 9% Not that important 5% 10% 4% 3% 3% 7% 3% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 49% 53% 45% 51% 48% Very important 32% 32% 33% 35% 31% Moderately important 14% 11% 17% 12% 15% Not that important 5% 4% 6% 3% 6% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 49% 43% 50% 54% 44% 49% 53% Very important 32% 35% 28% 37% 28% 30% 37% Moderately important 14% 16% 15% 7% 18% 15% 8% Not that important 5% 6% 7% 1% 10% 5% 2% No opinion * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 49% 52% 53% 52% 38% 50% 49% 51% Very important 32% 33% 29% 30% 38% 30% 34% 33% Moderately important 14% 11% 14% 15% 14% 14% 13% 11% Not that important 5% 5% 3% 3% 10% 7% 4% 5% No opinion * * * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

26 Question 5F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Race relations Base = Total Sample Extremely important 28% 24% 31% 27% 29% 29% Very important 33% 31% 35% 33% 33% 31% Moderately important 27% 32% 23% 29% 23% 29% Not that important 12% 13% 10% 11% 13% 11% No opinion 1% * 1% * 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 28% 24% 27% 35% 26% 25% 31% Very important 33% 29% 31% 33% 41% 30% 37% Moderately important 27% 36% 23% 26% 22% 30% 24% Not that important 12% 11% 19% 6% 10% 15% 8% No opinion 1% * * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 28% 29% 28% 30% 27% Very important 33% 37% 28% 33% 33% Moderately important 27% 22% 32% 25% 29% Not that important 12% 11% 12% 13% 11% No opinion 1% * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 28% 35% 23% 28% 30% 25% 29% Very important 33% 36% 30% 36% 30% 34% 34% Moderately important 27% 20% 32% 26% 27% 28% 28% Not that important 12% 9% 14% 10% 13% 13% 9% No opinion 1% * 1% * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 28% 31% 31% 30% 19% 29% 29% 24% Very important 33% 29% 34% 36% 32% 35% 31% 33% Moderately important 27% 26% 24% 23% 38% 26% 27% 30% Not that important 12% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 12% 13% No opinion 1% * * 1% * * 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

27 Question 5F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Race relations Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 29% 25% 32% 26% 33% 29% Very important 31% 29% 32% 32% 30% 31% Moderately important 29% 33% 24% 31% 23% 29% Not that important 11% 13% 11% 10% 14% 11% No opinion * * * * 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 29% 23% 29% 36% 27% 26% 32% Very important 31% 27% 26% 32% 41% 27% 36% Moderately important 29% 41% 24% 25% 23% 33% 24% Not that important 11% 9% 21% 6% 9% 15% 7% No opinion * * * 1% * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 29% 31% 27% 31% 27% Very important 31% 34% 28% 30% 32% Moderately important 29% 25% 32% 26% 30% Not that important 11% 10% 13% 12% 10% No opinion * * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 29% 34% 26% 27% 32% 25% 30% Very important 31% 34% 27% 36% 26% 32% 34% Moderately important 29% 22% 34% 26% 27% 31% 27% Not that important 11% 10% 13% 10% 14% 12% 9% No opinion * 1% * * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 29% 33% 31% 31% 19% 30% 30% 22% Very important 31% 26% 31% 34% 30% 36% 27% 31% Moderately important 29% 26% 26% 24% 41% 23% 30% 35% Not that important 11% 14% 12% 10% 10% 10% 12% 12% No opinion * * * * * 1% * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

28 Question 5G How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? G. Same-sex marriage Base = Total Sample Extremely important 20% 17% 23% 20% 20% 20% Very important 21% 19% 22% 21% 19% 21% Moderately important 21% 19% 22% 19% 24% 21% Not that important 37% 44% 31% 38% 36% 37% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 Extremely important 20% 21% 17% 20% 23% 19% 22% Very important 21% 19% 19% 22% 23% 19% 23% Moderately important 21% 26% 23% 18% 15% 24% 17% Not that important 37% 33% 41% 38% 38% 36% 38% No opinion 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Extremely important 20% 21% 16% 19% 21% Very important 21% 22% 21% 20% 21% Moderately important 21% 20% 24% 20% 22% Not that important 37% 36% 38% 40% 35% No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 20% 21% 16% 27% 17% 17% 27% Very important 21% 26% 18% 20% 22% 20% 21% Moderately important 21% 21% 24% 14% 25% 22% 18% Not that important 37% 31% 42% 35% 36% 40% 33% No opinion 1% 1% * 3% * 1% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important 20% 20% 23% 19% 18% 20% 19% 25% Very important 21% 17% 16% 24% 23% 22% 19% 21% Moderately important 21% 27% 19% 19% 20% 22% 23% 16% Not that important 37% 35% 41% 36% 37% 34% 39% 37% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

29 Question 5G How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? G. Same-sex marriage Base = Registered Voters Extremely important 20% 16% 24% 21% 19% 20% Very important 21% 20% 22% 21% 20% 21% Moderately important 21% 19% 23% 19% 25% 21% Not that important 37% 45% 31% 39% 35% 37% No opinion 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important 20% 19% 18% 20% 23% 19% 22% Very important 21% 21% 16% 24% 23% 19% 24% Moderately important 21% 24% 24% 19% 15% 24% 17% Not that important 37% 35% 42% 36% 37% 38% 37% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 20% 22% 17% 19% 21% Very important 21% 22% 21% 21% 21% Moderately important 21% 21% 22% 21% 21% Not that important 37% 34% 39% 39% 36% No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 Extremely important 20% 20% 18% 24% 19% 16% 26% Very important 21% 25% 18% 22% 20% 21% 22% Moderately important 21% 22% 23% 14% 24% 24% 15% Not that important 37% 32% 41% 39% 37% 39% 35% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 2% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important 20% 21% 20% 20% 20% 21% 19% 23% Very important 21% 16% 19% 25% 21% 23% 19% 21% Moderately important 21% 24% 21% 18% 21% 20% 23% 17% Not that important 37% 38% 39% 36% 38% 35% 38% 38% No opinion 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

30 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush 19% 17% 20% 17% N/A 17% Ben Carson 7% 8% 6% 8% N/A 8% Chris Christie 3% 2% 4% 2% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 3% 1% 4% 3% N/A 3% Carly Fiorina 1% 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% Lindsey Graham 1% 1% 2% 1% N/A 1% Mike Huckabee 8% 8% 7% 7% N/A 5% Bobby Jindal 2% 1% 4% 3% N/A 2% John Kasich 2% 1% 3% 2% N/A 3% George Pataki * 1% * * N/A * Rand Paul 7% 10% 4% 7% N/A 8% Rick Perry 4% 4% 4% 3% N/A 4% Marco Rubio 6% 8% 5% 6% N/A 7% Rick Santorum 3% 5% 2% 4% N/A 4% Donald Trump 12% 12% 11% 13% N/A 12% Scott Walker 6% 6% 6% 7% N/A 6% Someone else 7% 6% 8% 6% N/A 5% None/no one 6% 5% 6% 6% N/A 6% No opinion 3% 2% 3% 3% N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush 19% N/A N/A N/A 13% 23% 14% Ben Carson 7% N/A N/A N/A 6% 7% 8% Chris Christie 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% 3% 3% Ted Cruz 3% N/A N/A N/A 3% 2% 3% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A N/A N/A 3% * 2% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% * Mike Huckabee 8% N/A N/A N/A 10% 3% 11% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A N/A N/A 2% 3% 2% John Kasich 2% N/A N/A N/A 6% 1% 3% George Pataki * N/A N/A N/A * * * Rand Paul 7% N/A N/A N/A 5% 8% 5% Rick Perry 4% N/A N/A N/A 3% 5% 4% Marco Rubio 6% N/A N/A N/A 8% 7% 6% Rick Santorum 3% N/A N/A N/A * 2% 5% Donald Trump 12% N/A N/A N/A 19% 9% 14% Scott Walker 6% N/A N/A N/A 10% 5% 7% Someone else 7% N/A N/A N/A 3% 11% 3% None/no one 6% N/A N/A N/A 4% 5% 5% No opinion 3% N/A N/A N/A 4% 2% 3% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-6.0 Jeb Bush 19% 22% 19% N/A 18% Ben Carson 7% 7% 8% N/A 9% Chris Christie 3% 3% 4% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 3% 1% 4% N/A 3% Carly Fiorina 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% Lindsey Graham 1% 3% * N/A 2% Mike Huckabee 8% 4% 7% N/A 6% Bobby Jindal 2% 4% 2% N/A 4% John Kasich 2% 3% 1% N/A 1% George Pataki * * 1% N/A * Rand Paul 7% 5% 6% N/A 7% Rick Perry 4% 6% 3% N/A 7% Marco Rubio 6% 4% 9% N/A 8% Rick Santorum 3% 2% 6% N/A 1% Donald Trump 12% 10% 11% N/A 11% Scott Walker 6% 7% 5% N/A 7% Someone else 7% 10% 7% N/A 6% None/no one 6% 6% 4% N/A 4% No opinion 3% 3% 3% N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

31 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush 19% N/A 13% 22% N/A N/A 12% Ben Carson 7% N/A 8% 7% N/A N/A 8% Chris Christie 3% N/A 3% 2% N/A N/A 2% Ted Cruz 3% N/A 5% 2% N/A N/A 4% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A 1% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A 3% 1% N/A N/A 1% Mike Huckabee 8% N/A 10% 6% N/A N/A 8% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A 5% 1% N/A N/A 1% John Kasich 2% N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A 3% George Pataki * N/A 1% * N/A N/A * Rand Paul 7% N/A 11% 4% N/A N/A 9% Rick Perry 4% N/A 4% 4% N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 6% N/A 4% 8% N/A N/A 10% Rick Santorum 3% N/A 1% 5% N/A N/A 4% Donald Trump 12% N/A 9% 13% N/A N/A 12% Scott Walker 6% N/A 5% 7% N/A N/A 8% Someone else 7% N/A 6% 8% N/A N/A 5% None/no one 6% N/A 9% 3% N/A N/A 5% No opinion 3% N/A 3% 3% N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 Jeb Bush 19% N/A N/A 21% N/A N/A 22% N/A Ben Carson 7% N/A N/A 10% N/A N/A 8% N/A Chris Christie 3% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 4% N/A Ted Cruz 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 3% N/A Carly Fiorina 1% N/A N/A * N/A N/A 2% N/A Lindsey Graham 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * N/A Mike Huckabee 8% N/A N/A 7% N/A N/A 6% N/A Bobby Jindal 2% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 1% N/A John Kasich 2% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A George Pataki * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * N/A Rand Paul 7% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 10% N/A Rick Perry 4% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 2% N/A Marco Rubio 6% N/A N/A 9% N/A N/A 7% N/A Rick Santorum 3% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 5% N/A Donald Trump 12% N/A N/A 11% N/A N/A 13% N/A Scott Walker 6% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 3% N/A Someone else 7% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 6% N/A None/no one 6% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 5% N/A No opinion 3% N/A N/A * N/A N/A 2% N/A Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

32 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans and Registered Voters Jeb Bush 17% 16% 18% 16% N/A 17% Ben Carson 8% 8% 7% 9% N/A 8% Chris Christie 3% 2% 4% 2% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 3% 2% 5% 4% N/A 3% Carly Fiorina 1% 2% 1% 1% N/A 1% Lindsey Graham 1% 1% 2% * N/A 1% Mike Huckabee 5% 5% 6% 5% N/A 5% Bobby Jindal 2% 1% 2% 2% N/A 2% John Kasich 3% 2% 3% 3% N/A 3% George Pataki * 1% * 1% N/A * Rand Paul 8% 12% 4% 8% N/A 8% Rick Perry 4% 5% 4% 3% N/A 4% Marco Rubio 7% 10% 5% 6% N/A 7% Rick Santorum 4% 6% 2% 5% N/A 4% Donald Trump 12% 11% 13% 13% N/A 12% Scott Walker 6% 7% 6% 7% N/A 6% Someone else 5% 3% 7% 5% N/A 5% None/no one 6% 5% 7% 7% N/A 6% No opinion 3% 3% 3% 3% N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush 17% N/A N/A N/A 14% N/A 13% Ben Carson 8% N/A N/A N/A 7% N/A 9% Chris Christie 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 3% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 3% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 3% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A N/A N/A * N/A * Mike Huckabee 5% N/A N/A N/A 10% N/A 9% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A N/A N/A 2% N/A 2% John Kasich 3% N/A N/A N/A 6% N/A 4% George Pataki * N/A N/A N/A * N/A * Rand Paul 8% N/A N/A N/A 5% N/A 6% Rick Perry 4% N/A N/A N/A 2% N/A 3% Marco Rubio 7% N/A N/A N/A 8% N/A 7% Rick Santorum 4% N/A N/A N/A * N/A 5% Donald Trump 12% N/A N/A N/A 18% N/A 14% Scott Walker 6% N/A N/A N/A 10% N/A 8% Someone else 5% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 2% None/no one 6% N/A N/A N/A 5% N/A 6% No opinion 3% N/A N/A N/A 4% N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-6.0 Jeb Bush 17% N/A 17% N/A 17% Ben Carson 8% N/A 9% N/A 10% Chris Christie 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A 2% N/A 2% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A * N/A 2% Mike Huckabee 5% N/A 5% N/A 4% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% John Kasich 3% N/A 1% N/A 1% George Pataki * N/A 1% N/A * Rand Paul 8% N/A 7% N/A 7% Rick Perry 4% N/A 3% N/A 7% Marco Rubio 7% N/A 9% N/A 8% Rick Santorum 4% N/A 6% N/A 1% Donald Trump 12% N/A 11% N/A 11% Scott Walker 6% N/A 5% N/A 7% Someone else 5% N/A 8% N/A 6% None/no one 6% N/A 3% N/A 4% No opinion 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 POLL June 26-28, 2015

33 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans and Registered Voters Jeb Bush 17% N/A 14% 19% N/A N/A 13% Ben Carson 8% N/A 9% 7% N/A N/A 9% Chris Christie 3% N/A 4% 3% N/A N/A 2% Ted Cruz 3% N/A 6% 2% N/A N/A 4% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A 2% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A 3% 1% N/A N/A 1% Mike Huckabee 5% N/A 6% 5% N/A N/A 7% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A 2% John Kasich 3% N/A 2% 3% N/A N/A 3% George Pataki * N/A 1% * N/A N/A * Rand Paul 8% N/A 12% 5% N/A N/A 9% Rick Perry 4% N/A 3% 5% N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 7% N/A 4% 9% N/A N/A 10% Rick Santorum 4% N/A 1% 6% N/A N/A 4% Donald Trump 12% N/A 9% 14% N/A N/A 13% Scott Walker 6% N/A 6% 7% N/A N/A 9% Someone else 5% N/A 6% 5% N/A N/A 3% None/no one 6% N/A 11% 3% N/A N/A 4% No opinion 3% N/A 2% 3% N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Jeb Bush 17% N/A N/A 21% N/A N/A 20% N/A Ben Carson 8% N/A N/A 9% N/A N/A 9% N/A Chris Christie 3% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 5% N/A Ted Cruz 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 3% N/A Carly Fiorina 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 2% N/A Lindsey Graham 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * N/A Mike Huckabee 5% N/A N/A 7% N/A N/A 6% N/A Bobby Jindal 2% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 1% N/A John Kasich 3% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 2% N/A George Pataki * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * N/A Rand Paul 8% N/A N/A 7% N/A N/A 11% N/A Rick Perry 4% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 2% N/A Marco Rubio 7% N/A N/A 10% N/A N/A 7% N/A Rick Santorum 4% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 6% N/A Donald Trump 12% N/A N/A 11% N/A N/A 13% N/A Scott Walker 6% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 3% N/A Someone else 5% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 6% N/A None/no one 6% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 5% N/A No opinion 3% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015

34 Question 28A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans Jeb Bush 20% 23% 17% 17% N/A 16% Ben Carson 4% 5% 2% 4% N/A 3% Chris Christie 2% 1% 3% 1% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 2% 1% 3% 2% N/A 2% Carly Fiorina 1% 1% 2% 1% N/A 2% Lindsey Graham 1% 2% * 1% N/A * Mike Huckabee 5% 5% 4% 5% N/A 4% Bobby Jindal 2% 2% 3% 2% N/A 1% John Kasich 2% 1% 3% 2% N/A 2% George Pataki 1% 1% * 1% N/A 1% Rand Paul 6% 9% 3% 6% N/A 7% Rick Perry 4% 4% 4% 3% N/A 4% Marco Rubio 5% 6% 5% 5% N/A 6% Rick Santorum 3% 4% 3% 4% N/A 4% Donald Trump 19% 19% 19% 21% N/A 20% Scott Walker 7% 8% 5% 7% N/A 8% Someone else 1% 2% 1% 2% N/A 2% None/no one 6% 5% 7% 6% N/A 6% No opinion 9% 2% 16% 9% N/A 9% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush 20% N/A N/A N/A 12% 25% 15% Ben Carson 4% N/A N/A N/A 4% 4% 3% Chris Christie 2% N/A N/A N/A * 3% 2% Ted Cruz 2% N/A N/A N/A 4% * 3% Carly Fiorina 1% N/A N/A N/A 3% * 3% Lindsey Graham 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% 1% Mike Huckabee 5% N/A N/A N/A 8% 1% 8% Bobby Jindal 2% N/A N/A N/A * 4% 1% John Kasich 2% N/A N/A N/A 5% * 4% George Pataki 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% * 1% Rand Paul 6% N/A N/A N/A 1% 8% 3% Rick Perry 4% N/A N/A N/A 4% 4% 4% Marco Rubio 5% N/A N/A N/A 5% 6% 5% Rick Santorum 3% N/A N/A N/A * 2% 4% Donald Trump 19% N/A N/A N/A 27% 17% 22% Scott Walker 7% N/A N/A N/A 10% 5% 9% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 1% None/no one 6% N/A N/A N/A 6% 6% 6% No opinion 9% N/A N/A N/A 7% 12% 6% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-6.0 Jeb Bush 20% 29% 16% N/A 18% Ben Carson 4% 4% 3% N/A 4% Chris Christie 2% 1% 4% N/A 3% Ted Cruz 2% 1% 2% N/A 2% Carly Fiorina 1% 1% 2% N/A 2% Lindsey Graham 1% 2% * N/A 1% Mike Huckabee 5% 3% 4% N/A 4% Bobby Jindal 2% 4% 1% N/A 4% John Kasich 2% 3% * N/A 1% George Pataki 1% * 1% N/A * Rand Paul 6% 3% 7% N/A 6% Rick Perry 4% 4% 4% N/A 5% Marco Rubio 5% 3% 8% N/A 6% Rick Santorum 3% 1% 6% N/A 2% Donald Trump 19% 17% 20% N/A 22% Scott Walker 7% 6% 8% N/A 8% Someone else 1% 2% 1% N/A 2% None/no one 6% 4% 6% N/A 6% No opinion 9% 13% 7% N/A 6% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 POLL June 26-28, 2015