Texas Department of Public Safety Texas Division of Emergency Management. Texas State Operations Center

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1 Texas Department of Public Safety Texas Division of Emergency Management Texas State Operations Center Situation Awareness Brief Saturday, October 26 th 2013 As of 0900 CDT

2 Tropical Weather Outlook

3 Incidents Reported to the State Operations Center (last 24 hours) DATE EVENT / INCIDENT LOCATION (City/County) Final Report: Y/N 10/25/13 Report of a Wildfire Jefferson County N 10/25/13 Report of a Fatality Accident/Road Closure Henderson County Y 10/25/13 Report of a Downed Aircraft Hutchinson County N 10/25/13 Report of Aircraft Emergency Landing Willacy County N 10/25/13 Report of a Road Closure Anderson County Y 10/26/13 Report of a Phone Outage, Ferris PD Ellis County Y 10/26/13 Report of a Phone Outage, Wilmer PD Dallas County N 10/26/13 ELT CAP Mission 13M0593 Dallas County N

4 Informational Products Distributed by the State Operations Center DATE SUBJECT 10/24/13 NWS Lake Charles Weather Update: 230 PM Thursday, /24/13 Nueces River Flooding SITREP 5 10/25/13 NWS Houston/Galveston Public Information Statement concerning the Jefferson County Wildfire 10/26/13 Daily NWS Threat Brief for Saturday, 26 October, 2013 for FEMA Region 6

5 Weather Forecast Highs Lows

6 Precipitation Totals Forecast (Sunday - Saturday)

7 Hazardous Weather

8 Hazardous Weather

9 Hazardous Weather

10 Hazardous Weather Isolated showers are possible across the region. A coastal flood statement has been issued for coastal Cameron, coastal Willacy and Kenedy counties. Water will be running close to the dunes today as minor tidal over wash and minor coastal flooding is possible; driving on the beach is not recommended. There is a high risk for dangerous rip currents along gulf facing beaches today and tonight. Both the strength and frequency of these rip currents will result in surf that is dangerous for all levels of swimmers.

11 Hazardous Weather There will be a chance of severe weather across North and Central Texas midweek. The big question right now is exactly when this will occur. Our two main computer models indicate a difference in the timing and track of an upper level storm that is currently over northwestern Washington. One computer model, the GFS, indicates that we'll have the best chance of strong to severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening. The other computer model, the EXMWF, indicates that we'll have the greatest chance of strong to severe storms on Thursday. We will be watching over the next few days to see how this system evolves.

12 Hazardous Weather Showers and thunderstorms are expected this weekend, mainly this afternoon into the early Sunday morning. The best rain chances will be Saturday afternoon and evening as an upper-level disturbance moves into Texas. Brief heavy rainfall will be possible with the showers and thunderstorms. However, a few storms may become strong, approaching severe levels Saturday afternoon and evening. The primary hazards are strong gusty winds, hail (mainly less than 1 inch in diameter), and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. Rain chances will increase today as a low pressure system approaches from the west and swings across the region. Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected across the area. Severe storms are unlikely.

13 Hazardous Weather If you enjoyed the sprinkles early this morning then get ready because more is on the way! From Monday afternoon through Wednesday night the entire Texas and Oklahoma Panhandle will have a chance for showers and thunderstorms. These chances will be thanks to a strong upper-level low pressure system approaching from the western United States. The best chances are expected to be Tuesday night and generally across the eastern panhandles. While it looks like severe storm chances will be low, strong storms will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms today and tonight, generally along and east of an Artesia, to Carlsbad, to Fort Stockton, to Sanderson line. Any thunderstorms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, and gusty winds.

14 Fire Activity (Last 24 Hours) Reports 3,526 (no change) fires and 24,853 (no change) acres destroyed this year. There are 38 (no change) counties with burn bans. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index lists 63 (no change) counties with an average over 400.

15 Fire Danger Forecast

16 Training DATES TITLE COURSE LOCATION Instructor Training Certification Process 10/20/13 10/26/13 (ITC) Hazardous Materials Technician for 10/20/13 10/26/13 CBRNE Incidents (HT) ICS-300: Intermediate Incident Command 10/25/13 10/27/13 System for Expanding Incidents PER-266 PER-261 Anniston, AL Anniston, AL G-300 Navasota

17 Statewide Significant Events DATE(S) LOCATION EVENT 10/25/13 10/27/13 San Antonio Sea World 10/25/13 10/27/13 San Antonio Six Flags Fiesta Texas 10/26/13 10/26/13 Fort Worth TCU Football Game 10/26/13 10/26/13 University Park SMU Football Game 10/26/13 10/26/13 Baytown October Truck Madness Racing 10/26/13 10/26/13 College Station Texas A&M Football Game 10/26/13 10/26/13 Houston Switch foot 2013 Tour Concert 10/26/213 10/26/13 Houston Rice University Football Game 10/26/13 10/27/13 Houston Wings Over Houston Air Show 10/26/13 10/26/13 San Antonio UTSA vs. Univ. Alabama Birmingham Football 10/26/13 10/26/13 San Marcos Texas State vs. South Alabama DATE(S) AGENCY/LOCATION EXERCISE 10/25/13 10/25/13 Exercises City of Denton Agencies / Denton Seminar: Denton EOC Standard Operating Guidelines Seminar

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