Georgia 2016 General Election Poll 9/15/16. Fox 5 Atlanta

Transcription

1 Sponsor(s) Fox 5 Atlanta Target Population Likely 2016 General election voters; Georgia Sampling Method Blended sample; mixed mode: Likely voters were selected from a list of registered Georgia voters. Only voters determined likely to vote in the 2016 general election were included in the sample. Landline: registered voters were contacted on the evening of September 14 th, 2016 using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: registered voters were contacted on the evening of September 14 th, 2016 on their mobile devices. Respondents answered an identical survey in visual form. Weighting The survey was weighted for age, race, gender, party affiliation, and region using propensity scores. Weighting benchmarks were determined using historical turnout data and internal projections. Total Number of Respondents 568 Margin of Error ±4.1% (95% confidence)

2 1. How likely are you to vote in the General election on November 8, 2016 to determine the next President of the United States, as well as other statewide offices and issues? a. I will definitely vote b. I am considering voting c. I am unsure, or I do not plan on voting [EXCLUDED] likely Definitely Considering If the election to determine the next United States Senator from Georgia were held today and your choices were: Republican incumbent Johnny Isakson; Democratic nominee Jim Barksdale; and Libertarian nominee Allen Buckley, for whom would you vote? a. Johnny Isakson b. Jim Barksdale c. Allen Buckley d. I am undecided Senate_HR Isakson Barksdale Buckley Undecided If the election to determine the next President of the United States were held today and your choices were: Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton; Republican nominee Donald Trump; and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, for whom would you vote? a. Hillary Clinton b. Donald Trump c. Gary Johnson d. I am undecided Presidential_HR Clinton Trump Johnson Undecided

3 4. [AMONG TRUMP SUPPORTERS] In several media outlets across the country, Donald Trump has praised Russian President Vladimir Putin, recently calling him a strong leader. What is your opinion of Donald Trump s position? a. I strongly agree b. I somewhat agree c. I somewhat disagree d. I strongly disagree e. I am undecided Putin Strongly agree agree disagree Strongly disagree Undecided Total [AMONG CLINTON SUPPORTERS] It was recently reported that Hillary Clinton contracted pneumonia while on the campaign trail. In the unlikely event that Clinton were unable to continue campaigning, who do you believe the Democratic National Committee should select to replace Secretary Clinton? a. Vice President Joe Biden b. Senator Bernie Sanders c. Someone else d. I am undecided Clinton_Replacement Biden Sanders Other Undecided Total

4 6. What is your age? a b c d. 65+ Georgia 2016 General Election Poll Age What is your race or ethnicity? a. White b. African-American c. Hispanic/Latino d. Other Race White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other What is your gender? a. Male b. Female Gender Male Female

5 9. With which political party do you affiliate? a. Republican b. Democrat c. Independent or another party Party Republican Democrat Independent / Other In which region of Georgia do you live? a. Metro Atlanta b. North Georgia, such as Rome, Gainesville, or Athens c. Middle Georgia, such as Columbus, Macon, or Augusta d. South or Coastal Georgia, such as Albany, Valdosta, or Savannah Region Metro ATL North GA Middle GA South / Coastal GA

6 11. What is the highest level of education you have completed? a. Less than high school b. High school diploma c. Associate s degree/technical school d. Some college e. College degree f. Advanced degree Education < HS HS diploma Associates / technical Some college College degree Advanced degree Total Collection Mode a. Landline b. Mobile Mode Landline Mobile

7 Age % % % % Senate_HR Isakson 32.3% 25.6% 58.5% 63.7% Barksdale 29.4% 46.4% 30.9% 26.6% Buckley 8.2% 11.4% 2.8% 2.8% Undecided 30.1% 16.6% 7.8% 6.9% Presidential_HR Clinton 44.9% 52.7% 36.8% 35.6% Trump 30.4% 30.2% 56.8% 58.3% Johnson 24.7% 14.2% 4.8% 4.8% Undecided 0.0% 2.9% 1.6% 1.3% Putin Strongly agree 61.3% 44.1% 34.9% 36.2% agree 12.5% 43.2% 45.6% 39.0% disagree 5.4% 2.5% 10.1% 10.0% Strongly disagree 0.0% 1.4% 2.0% 4.2% Undecided 20.8% 8.8% 7.3% 10.6% Clinton_Replacement Biden 40.7% 41.5% 73.5% 78.2% Sanders 47.1% 42.3% 17.9% 4.6% Other 0.0% 5.3% 1.5% 10.5% Undecided 12.2% 10.9% 7.0% 6.7% Age % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% % 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% % 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% % 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Race White 72.6% 47.7% 71.2% 76.3% African - American 16.5% 47.3% 26.8% 21.9% Hispanic / Latino 9.1% 1.9%.5%.2% Other 1.9% 3.1% 1.5% 1.6% Gender Male 51.7% 45.2% 41.4% 48.1% Female 48.3% 54.8% 58.6% 51.9% Party Republican 37.8% 23.6% 52.5% 53.6% Democrat 36.0% 43.2% 34.1% 35.9% Independent / Other 26.2% 33.2% 13.4% 10.6% Region Metro ATL 51.1% 42.3% 50.9% 42.2% North GA 26.1% 22.6% 16.1% 25.8% Middle GA 9.8% 17.8% 21.4% 16.9% South / Coastal GA 13.1% 17.3% 11.6% 15.1% Education < HS 6.5%.4%.6% 3.0% HS diploma 13.6% 12.9% 14.9% 27.6% Associates / technical 12.0% 12.7% 21.3% 18.2% Some college 33.8% 15.0% 16.5% 17.8% College degree 24.8% 33.8% 26.7% 13.9% Advanced degree 9.2% 25.1% 20.0% 19.4% Mode Landline 18.8% 44.9% 95.1% 99.0% Mobile 81.2% 55.1% 4.9% 1.0%

8 Race White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other % % % % Senate_HR Isakson 58.5% 23.8% 18.8% 42.3% Barksdale 20.6% 62.7% 38.9% 45.7% Buckley 6.9% 3.2% 14.1% 2.6% Undecided 14.0% 10.3% 28.2% 9.4% Presidential_HR Clinton 25.6% 76.8% 52.0% 48.4% Trump 57.9% 21.7% 26.6% 51.6% Johnson 14.0% 1.5% 20.0% 0.0% Undecided 2.5% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% Putin Strongly agree 39.8% 35.2% 30.8% 48.3% agree 38.3% 57.4% 26.6% 29.7% disagree 9.5% 0.0% 9.8% 15.3% Strongly disagree 2.4% 0.0% 21.6% 0.0% Undecided 10.0% 7.4% 11.2% 6.7% Clinton_Replacement Biden 52.2% 65.3% 11.1% 58.1% Sanders 31.9% 23.9% 76.3% 26.4% Other 3.2% 4.6% 0.0% 5.7% Undecided 12.6% 6.2% 12.6% 9.9% Age % 7.6% 63.3% 13.1% % 42.4% 25.5% 41.5% % 36.8% 9.7% 31.0% % 13.2% 1.5% 14.5% Race White 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% African - American 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Hispanic / Latino 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Other 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Gender Male 49.3% 36.6% 29.1% 48.5% Female 50.7% 63.4% 70.9% 51.5% Party Republican 58.8% 9.2% 27.7% 36.8% Democrat 19.3% 75.9% 48.9% 33.5% Independent / Other 21.9% 14.9% 23.3% 29.7% Region Metro ATL 43.9% 53.9% 53.9% 42.4% North GA 23.9% 14.5% 23.7% 20.0% Middle GA 17.6% 20.0% 5.2% 12.6% South / Coastal GA 14.6% 11.7% 17.3% 25.0% Education < HS 2.1%.5% 14.9% 0.0% HS diploma 15.7% 18.3% 17.4% 11.1% Associates / technical 16.4% 19.3% 13.2% 9.5% Some college 22.5% 11.5% 20.3% 7.6% College degree 24.7% 28.2% 26.2% 36.6% Advanced degree 18.5% 22.2% 8.0% 35.2% Mode Landline 73.4% 72.1% 28.5% 54.1% Mobile 26.6% 27.9% 71.5% 45.9%

9 Male Gender Female % % Senate_HR Isakson 49.6% 44.8% Barksdale 34.6% 33.6% Buckley 6.0% 5.7% Undecided 9.7% 15.9% Presidential_HR Clinton 38.4% 44.9% Trump 47.4% 45.3% Johnson 13.0% 7.7% Undecided 1.2% 2.1% Putin Strongly agree 44.0% 35.1% agree 43.5% 38.2% disagree 6.3% 10.1% Strongly disagree 2.6% 1.9% Undecided 3.6% 14.7% Clinton_Replacement Biden 52.1% 63.0% Sanders 26.5% 29.9% Other 7.6% 1.4% Undecided 13.8% 5.7% Age % 12.2% % 26.8% % 43.9% % 17.1% Race White 72.2% 60.9% African - American 24.3% 34.7% Hispanic / Latino 1.3% 2.6% Other 2.2% 1.9% Gender Male 100.0% 0.0% Female 0.0% 100.0% Party Republican 51.0% 36.2% Democrat 27.2% 45.3% Independent / Other 21.8% 18.5% Region Metro ATL 48.5% 45.8% North GA 17.9% 23.6% Middle GA 18.2% 17.8% South / Coastal GA 15.5% 12.8% Education < HS 2.8% 1.1% HS diploma 14.3% 18.2% Associates / technical 12.4% 20.9% Some college 18.9% 18.8% College degree 30.6% 22.3% Advanced degree 21.1% 18.7% Mode Landline 66.2% 76.3% Mobile 33.8% 23.7%

10 Party Republican Democrat Independent / Other % % % Senate_HR Isakson 79.2% 16.5% 34.5% Barksdale 6.0% 71.6% 24.6% Buckley 3.8%.8% 19.7% Undecided 11.1% 11.1% 21.2% Presidential_HR Clinton 11.1% 85.1% 28.0% Trump 78.9% 12.5% 39.0% Johnson 8.8% 1.5% 28.8% Undecided 1.2%.9% 4.2% Putin Strongly agree 40.3% 28.2% 41.2% agree 38.5% 51.7% 43.2% disagree 10.1% 5.0% 2.7% Strongly disagree 2.3% 3.1% 1.5% Undecided 8.8% 11.9% 11.4% Clinton_Replacement Biden 46.1% 63.9% 38.9% Sanders 24.5% 25.8% 47.2% Other 17.9% 2.4% 1.0% Undecided 11.4% 8.0% 12.9% Age % 13.5% 18.2% % 31.3% 44.7% % 37.8% 27.6% % 17.4% 9.6% Race White 90.6% 34.2% 72.3% African - American 6.4% 61.3% 22.4% Hispanic / Latino 1.3% 2.6% 2.3% Other 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% Gender Male 53.7% 33.0% 49.1% Female 46.3% 67.0% 50.9% Party Republican 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Democrat 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Independent / Other 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Region Metro ATL 40.0% 52.4% 52.3% North GA 24.9% 16.9% 20.3% Middle GA 20.8% 18.6% 10.7% South / Coastal GA 14.3% 12.2% 16.6% Education < HS 2.9% 1.4%.4% HS diploma 18.3% 18.6% 8.6% Associates / technical 17.8% 18.7% 12.6% Some college 19.7% 16.4% 21.3% College degree 22.3% 26.0% 33.8% Advanced degree 18.9% 18.9% 23.2% Mode Landline 81.2% 70.0% 54.5% Mobile 18.8% 30.0% 45.5%

11 Region Metro ATL North GA Middle GA South / Coastal GA % % % % Senate_HR Isakson 45.7% 48.5% 49.2% 46.1% Barksdale 38.0% 24.5% 31.8% 38.4% Buckley 4.8% 7.3% 6.9% 6.1% Undecided 11.6% 19.7% 12.2% 9.4% Presidential_HR Clinton 49.6% 32.1% 36.3% 38.6% Trump 38.7% 54.0% 56.0% 47.6% Johnson 10.3% 10.7% 7.3% 12.0% Undecided 1.5% 3.2%.4% 1.8% Putin Strongly agree 38.4% 47.7% 31.8% 38.3% agree 39.7% 30.6% 56.2% 36.8% disagree 9.9% 10.6% 7.5% 1.6% Strongly disagree 3.7%.6% 0.0% 4.4% Undecided 8.3% 10.6% 4.5% 18.9% Clinton_Replacement Biden 58.9% 59.0% 51.8% 64.4% Sanders 32.2% 19.5% 38.1% 12.0% Other 2.0% 11.7% 6.4% 0.0% Undecided 6.9% 9.9% 3.7% 23.7% Age % 17.3% 7.6% 13.0% % 28.9% 26.6% 33.4% % 31.6% 48.8% 34.1% % 22.2% 17.0% 19.6% Race White 61.5% 75.2% 64.7% 68.8% African - American 34.4% 20.7% 33.3% 25.2% Hispanic / Latino 2.3% 2.3%.6% 2.5% Other 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 3.6% Gender Male 46.5% 38.3% 45.5% 49.8% Female 53.5% 61.7% 54.5% 50.2% Party Republican 36.4% 50.8% 49.7% 43.8% Democrat 41.3% 29.9% 38.4% 32.4% Independent / Other 22.2% 19.4% 11.9% 23.8% Region Metro ATL 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% North GA 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Middle GA 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% South / Coastal GA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Education < HS 2.1% 1.7%.4% 2.9% HS diploma 13.5% 25.7% 12.6% 17.6% Associates / technical 14.5% 13.3% 22.6% 24.4% Some college 20.4% 18.5% 13.3% 21.0% College degree 28.3% 24.4% 29.9% 16.0% Advanced degree 21.3% 16.4% 21.1% 18.1% Mode Landline 75.7% 62.8% 85.5% 53.7% Mobile 24.3% 37.2% 14.5% 46.3%

12 < HS HS diploma Associates / technical Education Some college College degree Advanced degree % % % % % % Senate_HR Isakson 67.5% 52.5% 53.2% 46.0% 40.1% 41.9% Barksdale 18.8% 24.5% 31.8% 28.1% 44.1% 39.3% Buckley 5.4% 7.4% 5.4% 4.1% 7.7% 4.8% Undecided 8.4% 15.5% 9.5% 21.8% 8.1% 14.0% Presidential_HR Clinton 69.0% 29.6% 37.4% 38.8% 43.4% 55.8% Trump 21.0% 61.9% 51.4% 44.6% 42.2% 36.0% Johnson 9.9% 8.5% 8.7% 14.8% 13.7% 4.4% Undecided 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 1.7%.7% 3.8% Putin Strongly agree 81.8% 29.8% 50.4% 38.1% 37.9% 34.2% agree 18.2% 49.7% 31.1% 38.5% 44.5% 39.7% disagree 0.0% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 6.5% 12.7% Strongly disagree 0.0% 1.3%.8% 3.6% 1.2% 5.7% Undecided 0.0% 11.5% 8.8% 11.0% 10.0% 7.7% Clinton_Replacement Biden 90.7% 81.6% 69.9% 49.6% 51.0% 51.9% Sanders 9.3% 5.9% 27.7% 36.2% 46.1% 17.1% Other 0.0% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 7.8% Undecided 0.0% 1.7% 2.4% 14.2% 0.0% 23.3% Age % 11.7% 10.0% 25.5% 13.5% 6.6% % 21.3% 20.2% 21.7% 35.3% 34.5% % 36.7% 50.5% 35.7% 41.6% 41.1% % 30.3% 19.3% 17.2% 9.7% 17.8% Race White 75.3% 62.6% 62.9% 78.3% 62.2% 61.4% African - American 8.4% 34.0% 34.4% 18.7% 33.0% 34.3% Hispanic / Latino 16.4% 2.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0%.8% Other 0.0% 1.3% 1.1%.8% 2.7% 3.5% Gender Male 67.5% 38.8% 32.3% 44.8% 52.6% 47.6% Female 32.5% 61.2% 67.7% 55.2% 47.4% 52.4% Party Republican 66.4% 47.0% 44.1% 44.3% 36.2% 40.4% Democrat 29.0% 42.3% 41.0% 32.7% 37.5% 35.8% Independent / Other 4.6% 10.6% 14.9% 22.9% 26.3% 23.8% Region Metro ATL 54.3% 38.7% 40.0% 51.1% 51.4% 50.8% North GA 19.1% 32.4% 16.1% 20.4% 19.4% 17.2% Middle GA 4.0% 13.7% 23.6% 12.6% 20.4% 19.0% South / Coastal GA 22.6% 15.2% 20.3% 15.9% 8.8% 13.0% Education < HS 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% HS diploma 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Associates / technical 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Some college 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% College degree 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Advanced degree 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Mode Landline 93.6% 83.5% 79.0% 54.4% 66.7% 74.3% Mobile 6.4% 16.5% 21.0% 45.6% 33.3% 25.7%

13 Landline Mode Mobile % % Senate_HR Isakson 56.8% 21.9% Barksdale 30.7% 42.5% Buckley 3.9% 10.7% Undecided 8.5% 24.9% Presidential_HR Clinton 37.2% 54.0% Trump 55.2% 23.6% Johnson 5.5% 21.7% Undecided 2.1%.6% Putin Strongly agree 36.8% 53.8% agree 43.7% 22.3% disagree 9.3% 2.7% Strongly disagree 2.6% 0.0% Undecided 7.6% 21.1% Clinton_Replacement Biden 73.4% 32.6% Sanders 20.0% 43.3% Other 3.4% 5.0% Undecided 3.2% 19.1% Age % 39.9% % 52.4% % 7.1% %.6% Race White 67.5% 62.1% African - American 30.2% 29.6% Hispanic / Latino.8% 5.0% Other 1.5% 3.3% Gender Male 41.6% 53.9% Female 58.4% 46.1% Party Republican 48.6% 28.5% Democrat 36.2% 39.4% Independent / Other 15.2% 32.1% Region Metro ATL 49.7% 40.3% North GA 18.4% 27.6% Middle GA 21.4% 9.2% South / Coastal GA 10.5% 22.8% Education < HS 2.4%.4% HS diploma 19.3% 9.5% Associates / technical 18.9% 12.5% Some college 14.4% 29.8% College degree 24.4% 30.1% Advanced degree 20.6% 17.7% Mode Landline 100.0% 0.0% Mobile 0.0% 100.0%