IMAGINE NEW JERSEY WITHOUT MOUNT LAUREL

Transcription

1 IMAGINE NEW JERSEY WITHOUT MOUNT LAUREL David N. Kinsey, PhD, FAICP, PP Kinsey & Hand, Planning Princeton, NJ VisiIng Lecturer Woodrow Wilson School of Public and InternaIonal Affairs Princeton University 1

2 AREAS OF CHANGE Agencies PopulaIon Housing MigraIon Planning 2

3 Inputs Needed to Develop Housing Sites Developers with capacity $ 3

4 PoliIcal Context of Early 1970s President Richard Nixon Opposed forced integraion local communiies must live with their success or failure in providing fair open, and adequate housing Quoted in Danielson, The PoliIcs of Exclusion, 1975 Governor William Cahill housing crisis local zoning was one of the great deterrents to housing in New Jersey Quoted in Danielson, The PoliIcs of Exclusion, 1975 this is purely a voluntary plan; no municipality is mandated or forced to comply 4

5 N.J.S.A. 52:27D-301 et seq. Amended July 2008 AGENCIES ESTABLISHED New Jersey Council on Affordable Housing State Planning Commission N.J. Council on Affordable Housing 101 South Broad Street PO Box 813 Trenton, NJ (609) State of New Jersey Jon Corzine Governor Department of Commu Joseph V. Doria Commissione 5

6 POPULATION 1970 = 7.2 million, state rank = 8.8 million, state rank 11 Without Mount Laurel? growth rate = +1.22% rank 36 6

7 POPULATION 1977 State ProjecIon for 2000 = 9 million 2000 (actual)= 8.4 million, state rank 9 Why shornall of 400,000 people? 7

8 HOUSING TYPES Housing0Units0in0New0Jersey0by0Type type Increase detached ,240,532 54% ,915,906 54% 54% attached ,936 4% ,457 9% 248% 2140units ,780 22% ,881 16% 10% ,020 19% ,355 20% 61% mobile ,025 1% ,418 1% 136% total ,305, ,555,017 Source: 1970 and 2010 Census 8

9 2014 New Jersey Planning Conference HOUSING NEED, 1970 Physical need 337,678 units (deteriorated, dilapidated, lacking plumbing) Financial need 290,415 units based on >25% (LMI) Net need of 518,387 units Note: 2.3 million total housing units in NJ in 1970 January 23,

10 HOUSING NEED, New affordable units, (for new low and moderate income households) = 115,666 units Housing in need of rehabilitaion, 2000 = 51,891 units Source: COAH Severely cost- burdened (>50% of income) working households, 2010 = 32% Source: NaIonal Housing Conference Note: 3.6 million total housing units in NJ in

11 2014 New Jersey 32% Planning Conference Total New Affordable Housing Units Built in New Jersey, Assisted Living SupporIve and FaciliIes Accessory Special Needs 2% Other Apartments Housing 1% 0% (bedrooms) 12% Total(New(Affordable(Housing(Units(Built(in(New(Jersey,( Housing(Type units % 100%(Affordable8Municipally(Sponsored(Units (((((((( 34,408 57% Affordable(Units(in(Inclusionary(Developments (((((((( 17,080 28% Supportive(and(Special(Needs(Housing((bedrooms) ((((((((((( 7,285 12% Accessory(Apartments (((((((((((((( 111 0% Assisted(Living(Facilities ((((((((((( 1,146 2% Other (((((((((((((( 716 1% Total (((((((( 60, % Source:(Data(recorded(by(municipalities(in(an(electronic(tracking(and(monitoring(system(and(reported(to(NJ( DCA,(by( (from(NJ(DCA,(Local(Planning(Services,(March(29,(2012. Note:(NJ(DCA(reports(an(additional(3,806(new(affordable(housing(units(were(built(with(funding(under(regional( contribution(agreements Prepared(by(David(N.(Kinsey,(FAICP,(April(23,(2012 Affordable Units in Inclusionary Developments 28% 100% Affordable- Municipally Sponsored Units 57% Notes: Low Income Housing Tax Credit producion of 27,000 affordable rental units, most 100% affordable, in 500+ projects since 1986 Some overlap with 34,408 affordable units in 100% affordable developments counted by COAH Total housing built = 766,553 (est.) 11

12 FUNDS GENERATED Funds(Generated(for(Affordable(Housing(in(New(Jersey(((((((( under(mount(laurel,(1983i2013 Source Development(Fees(and(In(Lieu(Payments(to( Municipal(Housing(Trust(Funds $(millions $389 Regional(Contribution(Agreements $216 Realty(Transfer(Taxes(I(NJ(Affordable(Housing( Trust(Fund((former(Balaanced(Housing( Neighborhood(Preservation(Fund) $325 TOTAL $930 Source:(NJ(COAH 12

13 2014 New Jersey Planning Conference Total Affordable Units Produced Under The Fair Housing Act SUSSEX PASSAIC BERGEN MORRIS WARREN ESSEX HUDSON UNION Completed Units By Municipality HUNTERDON SOMERSET More than 750 MIDDLESEX MERCER MONMOUTH Less than 25 0 BURLINGTON OCEAN CAMDEN GLOUCESTER SALEM ATLANTIC CUMBERLAND CAPE MAY µ New Jersey Department of Community Affairs January 23, South Broad Street Trenton, New Jersey Date: Jaunary 6, 2012 Graphic Scale Miles Data Sources: NJDEP, NJDCA 13

14 NEW JERSEY OUT- MIGRATION Net domesic out- migraion at boqom of income distribuion: 26% of out- migrants below state family median income Source: Young, Varner & Massey, Princeton University, 2008 NegaIve and acceleraing net migraion with Pennsylvania out- migrants have been either pushed out or pulled to elsewhere in the country pushed by high costs of living (especially housing), high taxes, and congesion, or pulled by greater private- sector job opportuniies and lower housing and living costs in other states. Source: Hughes, Seneca & Irving, Rutgers,

15 2014 New Jersey Planning Conference STATE PLANNING Prepared 1977 by NJ DCA, Division of State and Regional Planning (abolished by Governor Kean in 1983) January 23,

16 State Development and Redevelopment Plan, 1992 & % of growth in PA 4 (Rural) and PA 5 (Environmentally SensiIve) 40% of growth in PA 4 (Rural) and PA 5 (Environmentally SensiIve) Source: Hasse and Lathrop, Rowan and Rutgers, 2001 &

17 2014 New Jersey Planning Conference Local Planning Housing Plan Element required in municipal master plan!!"#$%&'()*)+)&,( -&.( /0/*)(%%%(1-%2($!-2)(/"+3*%-&/)( 3*-&( 45666(78(569:;(!"#$%&'()"*)#+,,) ) -"$-".!&)/".$!01)$2#)324%20) ( ( ( ( (.)/)+<)2(566= Municipal Land Use Law, as amended 1985 by Fair Housing Act HOUSING ELEMENT & FAIR SHARE PLAN TOWNSHIP OF MIDDLE CAPE MAY COUNTY, NEW JERSEY December 2008 Adopted by the Middle Township Planning Board on: December 9, 2008 Prepared by: Marcia R. Shiffman, PP, AICP, CLA NJ Professional Planner s License #02428 The original of this document has been signed and sealed in accordance with New Jersey Law. January 23, 2014

18 Ethel R. Lawrence Homes, Mount Laurel, NJ (Philadelphia in background),

19 2014 New Jersey Planning Conference