GUIDING AT-RISK STUDENTS TO SUCCESS GEORGIA STATE UNIVERSITY GPS POLICY INSTITUTE ATLANTA JUNE 25, 2014

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1 GPS POLICY INSTITUTE ATLANTA JUNE 25, 2014 GUIDING AT-RISK STUDENTS TO SUCCESS AT GEORGIA STATE UNIVERSITY Timothy M. Renick, Ph.D. Vice President for Enrollment Management & Student Success Vice Provost

2 Bachelor's Degree Attainment Rate (moving 3-yer average) THE CHALLENGE IN FRONT OF US 0.90 Baccalaureate Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartile 1970 to Present % Top Income Quartile % Third Income Quartile 36.1% % 16.5% Second Income Quartile 10.9% 6.2% 8.3% Bottom Income Quartile Source: New York Times, The Reproduction of Privilege, March 12,

3 CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS 60% 55% 50% Pell 48% 51% 56% 58% 45% 40% 40% 35% 31% 32% 30% 25% 20% Fall 2007 Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 New Freshmen 3

4 THE CHALLENGE IN FRONT OF US Impact Of Unmet Financial Need On Academic Performance 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% Neg. Need - 0 Need Percent of Students with a 3.0 GPA or Above by Financial Need >0-3K 3K - 6K 6K-9K 9K-12K 12K-15K 15K+ (Fall 2008, Undergraduate Students) Georgia State has been awarded a $600,000 NSF grant to pilot a program which fills unmet need for science majors and tracks the resulting impact on academic performance. 4 4

5 TARGETED PROGRAMS PROACTIVE INTERVENTIONS Use Data to Identify Problems Pilot Revise Pitch Scale 5

6 TARGETED PROGRAMS SUMMER SUCCESS ACADEMY 350 Highest At-Risk Freshmen: 7-credit hours summer session before freshman fall Intensive advisement, academic skills & financial literacy training GPA Summer Last year s Academy: GPA All other freshmen

7 THE FIRST YEAR Freshmen Learning Communities 70% of all Freshmen (Opt out model) 7 Meta Majors: STEM, business, arts and humanities, health, education, policy and social science, exploratory st -Year GPA 90% Retention 60% Graduation Rate % 80% 81% 85% 53% 45% 50% 54% % 38% No FLC FLC No FLC FLC No FLC FLC % 30% 7 7

8 MAXIMIZING EXISTING RESOURCES Supplemental Instruction (SI) BIOL POLS PHIL CHEM ACCT PHYS CRJU Average course GPA Non SI: 2.41 SI: 2.91 One-Year Retention No SI: 83.5% SI: 91.2% 1 No SI SI No SI SI No SI SI No SI SI No SI SI No SI SI No SI SI Students Benefitted : 9,700 8

9 COURSE REDESIGN 9 College Algebra Prior to Change: DFW rates were 43% Fall 2012: DFW rate of 21% Number of Students enrolled in courses taught through the MILE, : 7,500+ Additional passing grades: 1,650

10 Redesigning Majors: Nursing

11 TARGETED FINANCIAL HELP Panther Retention Grants Provide emergency funds to students who are registered for classes but who are dropped for non-payment As little as $300 has meant the difference between a student dropping out and being able to continue on the path to a college degree Grants Awarded: Fall 2011: 41 Spring 2011: AY: 2,600 11

12 THE CRITICAL ROLE OF SCHOLARSHIPS Panther Retention Grants: Impact Retention Rate of Freshman PRG Recipients: 91% Graduation Rate of Senior PRG Recipients: 70% Return on Investment: 300% 12

13 MAJOR MAPS: CHEMISTRY Chemistry (B.S.) Semester 1 Semester 2 Complete 1 of ENGL 1101, ENGL 1102 or ENGL 1103 (C or Better) Complete MATH 1113 or Higher (B- or Better) Complete CHEM 1211K (B- or Better) Complete ENGL 1102 or 1103 (C or Better) Complete MATH 2211 or Higher (B- or Better) Complete CHEM 1212K (B- or Better) Maintain a cumulative GPA of 2.25 or Better Semester 3 Semester 4 Complete CHEM 2400 (B- or Better) Complete MATH 2212 (C or better) Complete PHY 2211k (C or better) Complete CHEM 3410 (C or better) PHY 2212k ( B- or Better) (C or better) Maintain a cumulative GPA of 2.25 or Better Semester 5 Semester 6 Complete CHEM 4000 with a C or Better Complete CHEM 4110 with a C or Better Complete CHEM 4010 with a C or Better Complete CHEM 4120 with a C or Better Semester 7 Semester 8 Complete CHEM 4160 with a B- or better Complete CHEM 4190 with a C or Better

14 MAJOR MAPS: CHEMISTRY 14

15 THE ADVISEMENT CHALLENGE: THE MURKY MIDDLE 15

16 ALERTS BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA The Difference Between Satisfying a Requirement and Being on Track Graduation Rate in Major by Introductory Course Grade 16

17 ADVISEMENT Georgia State s Web-Based GPS Advising System A collaboration with the Education Advisory Board and four other schools Based on 10 years of RPG data at Georgia State and 2.5 million grades Live, nightly feeds from Banner and daily alerts to advisors if students have missed any of the markers Predictive analytics for each student s success in individual majors and courses Tracks 700+ alerts for risk factors 17

18 18 STUDENT HISTORIES

19 MAJOR MATCHING Predictive Analytics for Courses and Majors 19

20 PRELIMINARY RESULTS University Advisement Center student visits in first 12 months: 33,979 Pre-Term Registration Corrections: 2,000+ Required Advising for Major Changes: 6,536 20

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22 PRELIMINARY RESULTS: RETENTION Increased Average First Term Retention Fall to Spring Retention Fall % Fall % Fall % Fall % 22

23 PRELIMINARY RESULTS: LOWERED RISK 23

24 THE COST OF INACTION The Calculus of Student Success 1 point increase in : Retention = 321 Students Avg Student Tuition & Fees Annually = $9,800 ROI for each 1-point increase = $3.14 million/year 24

25 GROWING NATIONAL ATTENTION THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 25

26 MAKING A DIFFERENCE Georgia State Degree Conferrals Yr Change 5,857 6,188 6,419 6,901 7,365 7, % 26

27 Graduation Rate MAKING A DIFFERENCE GRADUATION AND PELL RATES OF URBAN RESEARCH UNIVERSITIES 60% 50% Georgia State 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Pell Rate 27

28 MAKING A DIFFERENCE Graduation + Retention + National Student Clearinghouse Data % 75.8% 50.8% 55.2% 31.6% 25.6% 22% 66.4% 95.2% 15 White African American Hispanic Ten Years Ago Today Today, with Clearinghouse Data Added 28

29 MAKING A DIFFERENCE Georgia State s Scorecard Largest number of degrees conferred in GSU history: 7,590 Most Latino students graduated in GA. Named One of the Top 100 Hispanic Serving Universities in the U.S. Most Asian American students graduated in Georgia Ranked #49 in the nation Second highest increase in graduation rates for underrepresented students in the nation Education Trust 29

30 MAKING A DIFFERENCE Top National Gainers in Hispanic Graduation Rates Undergrad FTE Fall 2009 Enrollment % Hispanic among Undergrad FTE Fall 2009 Enrollment Hispanic Six-Year Grad Rate 2004 Hispanic Six-Year Grad Rate 2010 Change in Hispanic Six-Year Grad Rates Eastern Connecticut State University (CT) 4, % 20.0% 57.8% 37.8% 2 Georgia State University (GA) 18, % 22.0% 59.4% 37.4% 3 East Stroudsburg University of Pennsylvania (PA) 6, % 25.8% 56.1% 30.3% 4 University of Utah (UT) 17, % 30.6% 59.6% 29.0% 5 Clemson University (SC) 14, % 40.6% 69.0% 28.4% 6 University of North Carolina at Charlotte (NC) 17, % 30.2% 55.2% 25.0% 7 Central Washington University (WA) 9, % 38.1% 62.6% 24.5% 8 University of GA (GA) 25, % 64.5% 87.3% 22.8% 9 Virginia Commonwealth University (VA) 20, % 25.9% 48.7% 22.8% 10 Millersville University of Pennsylvania (PA) 6, % 30.0% 52.0% 22.0% Source: The Education Trust, September

31 MAKING A DIFFERENCE Top 100 Degree Producers 2012 Bachelor's Degrees Conferred to African Americans Nationally Total % Grads %Chg Institutions State Georgia State University GA % 17% 2FAMU FL % 5% 3North Carolina A & T State University NC % -6% 4Jackson State University MS % 4% 5Howard University D.C % -10% 6University of Central Florida FL 939 9% 10% 7University of Memphis TN % 0% 8Troy University AL % 4% 9University of Florida FL % 11% 10University of South Florida-Main Campus FL % 6% 11University of North Texas TX % 11% 12Temple University PA % -5% 13University of Maryland-University College MD % 11% 14Florida Atlantic University FL % -3% 15Virginia Commonwealth University VA % 13% Source: Diverse Issues in Higher Education 31