IoT World Forum Research & Innovation Symposium
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1 IoT World Forum Research & Innovation Symposium Kristina M. Johnson Cisco Board Member Founder & CEO, Enduring Hydro, Former Undersecretary of the US Department of Energy Douglas Comer Professor Purdue University Balaji Prabhakar Professor Stanford University Thomas Lee Professor Stanford University Shomik Raj Mehndiratta Lead Urban Transport Specialist The World Bank
2 The Internet of Everything: Energy and Urban Mobility Kristina M. Johnson Internet of Things World Forum October 14, 2014 Chicago, Illinois 2
3 Electricity market trends World electricity demands are projected to double between 2000 and A major driver: All things electronic, digital, internet of things. Source: International Atomic Energy Agency
4 The data explosion from IT innovation Every two days, we create more data than in all of human history up until 2003 Every 60 seconds of every day, we generate 550 new websites 276,667 tweets 41,666 Facebook shares, 82,722 wireless app downloads $1,902,587 in online transactions 600 hours of YouTube videos, mostly about cats * Source Hewlett Packard May
5 Cloud and IoT growth over next 3 years require: Spending ~ $20 Bn on new data centers Occupying 200 football fields Building 10 new power plants. Cloud today: Burns more energy than 191 countries Costs $6.6 Bn per month Generates C02 emissions from SPAM ~ 3 million cars * Source Hewlett Packard May
6 31% from energy efficiency ~1.3 Gt 6
7 A STEP: 80% clean electricity by 2035 The All the Above Strategy Is Critical To US Economy 7
8 How can The All-of-the-Above Energy Strategy benefit from IoE? Support economic growth and job creation. Enhance energy security - geopolitical need to diversify power beyond petroleum. Lay the foundation for a low-carbon, clean-energy future. 8
9 STEP built around five key levers: Five key levers 1. Decarbonize electrical generation 2. Electrify personal transportation. 3. Increase energy efficiency/ conservation. 4. Modernize transmission and distribution. 5. Substituting biofuels for petroleum in freight transportation. Description 1. Balance of Renewable, Fossil and Nuclear Energy. 2. Electrify LDV transport 50% penetration by Quad reduction by Supply and demand side mgt. 5. Focus biomass resources on biofuels for HDV and freight /air transport. 9
10 #1 Challenge: IT Innovation scales much faster than energy adoption. 10
11 11
12 Expand Renewable Energy Use 12
13 #1: Consistent policy. Installed US photovoltaic capacity grew 208% Year Additional MW Total , ,915 4, ,364 7, * 4,400 12,219 *4,400MW is projected by years end there is currently 1,557 MW installed as of 2013Q2 Source: Solar Energy Industries Association ; SEIA/GTM Research US Solar Market Insight 2013
14 Installed wind power capacity grew 49%. Year MW Total ,404 40, ,649 46, ,091 60,007 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 Wind MW 2013* 2,398 62,405 6,000 Wind MW 4,000 2, *Projected from projects 2,327 MW under construction and 71 MW installed by the end of Q3 Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory ; AWEA U.S. Wind Industry Third Quarter 2013 Market Report
15 Federal Government: potential hydropower Increases from existing dams Type USACE Improvements Hydropower Potential at Federal Facilities Capacity (MW) Generation (MWh) Potential Capacity Increase to Current Federal Hydro Fleet Potential Generation Increase to Current Federal Hydro Fleet US Homes Powered Annually by Improvements 12,998 45,944,463 32% 38% 4,073,091 USBR Improvements 268 1,168,248 1% 1% 103,568 Total Improvements 13,266 47,112,711 33% 39% 4,176,659 Total Current Federal Hydropower Fleet Current Federal Fleet + Improvements 40, ,200,000 10,744,681 54, ,312,711 14,921,340 15
16 16
17 17
18 #2 Challenge: STEP total cost - BAU ~ $1Tr Cash flow savings of STEP compared to BAU Cumulative Cash Cost ($B, 2009) Present value of STEP savings compared to BAU Discounted Cost ($B, 2009) 3,000 2,000 Non-discounted value of ~$2.5T by 2050, not including significant residual value 3,000 2,000 1,000 Up-front investments in energy efficiency and decarbonizing generation 1, (210) -1,000-2,000 Peak funding of approximately $1T STEP becomes cash breakeven in the late 2030's -1,000-2,000 3% 5% 7% Note: Present value discounted to 2010 using a 3, 5, or 7% real discount rate, as shown Real discount rate 18
19 What can the IoE do for the All of the Above Energy Strategy? Reduce energy use through: demand response (DR) network sensors data analytics for smart buildings apps to speed collective action Incentives for behavior change Create a marketplace for clean energy adoption
20 Rapid technology growth will enable prosumers to diversify their interaction with utilities The Internet of Things will drive even more innovation More than 30 billion devices could be connected to the internet by 2020 Courtesy of Andy Vesey, AES 20
21 21
22 Automated demand response Electric load profile for PG&E participants on 8/30/
23 Peak reduction is paramount Hourly Loads as Fraction of Peak, Sorted from Highest to Lowest <90% 75% generation Generation 5% = ~440 hrs/yr distribution Distribution (8,760 hrs) 25% of distribution and > 10% of generation assets are needed less than 5% of the time ($100 s of bns of investments) 23
24 Ecorithm s platform enables fault detection & optimization at a component and system level Ecorithm Platform Incoherent Data Optimization
25 Application to commercial real estate industry Large commercial buildings (50,000 sq. ft. and above) represent just 5% of the total number of commercial buildings, but comprise 50% of all commercial square footage and are responsible for significant of CO 2 emissions: United States: 255,000 large commercial buildings = 35.2 billion sq. ft. emit 740 million metric tons of CO 2. HVAC equipment within large commercial buildings is typically network enabled.
26 Ex: App for reducing energy use Paperkarma 26
27
28 #3: Average Age of the Energy Worker is > 50 yrs 28
29 Summary of challenges/solutions Time - Policy Money Investment People Collective Action 29
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