Projecting climate change in Australia s marine environment Kathleen McInnes
|
|
- Lora Ellis
- 8 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Projecting climate change in Australia s marine environment Kathleen McInnes CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship Centre for Australian Climate and Weather Research
2 Framing of the problem IMPACTS EMISSIONS and Land-use Change Source: IPCC WG2 Summary for Policy Makers
3 Coastal Systems are particularly sensitive to: o Ocean Temperature Over 90% of the increase in energy in the climate system has warmed the oceans over recent decades o Ocean Acidification Coastal sea surface temperatures have been increasing at a faster About rate 30% than of the ocean anthropogenic temperatures CO 2 emitted over the last Climate 200 years zones has have been moved absorbed polewards by the oceans Ocean ph has fallen 0.1 units representing a 26% increase in the hydrogen ion concentration in seawater Acidification impedes the ability of calcifying organisms to form Sea levels their have skeletons risen about 20 cm since 1900 o Sea Level Rise Relative rates may be higher due to land subsidence Impacts will be most profound during extreme events o Other factors include: Storms, winds and waves Freshwater input
4 New climate projections for Australia The NRM (natural resource management) project Technical Report The underpinning science behind all projections 8 x Cluster Reports Focus on regional areas with distinct future climates 8 x Cluster Brochures Easy to understand key messages about regional climate change Data Delivery Brochure Info on climate model data availability
5 Marine Projections 1. Regional projections of mean sea level rise 2. Allowances for extreme sea levels 3. Projections of changes in SSTs, acidification and salinity
6 Marine Projections 1. Regional projections of mean sea level rise 2. Allowances for extreme sea levels 3. Projections of changes in SSTs, acidification and salinity
7 Plausible Futures (RCPs) Taylor et al, 2010 RCP8.5 High emissions RCP4.5 Intermediate emissions RCP2.6 Low emissions
8 Global sea level reflects the state of the Earth s climate system Figure 13.1 Warming/cooling of the ocean (thermal expansion/contraction) Change in mass of glaciers and ice sheets Changes in terrestrial storage Relative sea level is also affected by ocean density, circulation, land movement, and distribution of mass on the Earth
9 Projections of Global mean sea level rise (GMSLR) Sea level rise by 2100 compared with RCP [ ] m RCP [ ] m Scenario Likely range for sea level rise relative to RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP6.0 RCP m m m m Collapse of marine-based sectors of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, if initiated, would add no more than several tenths of a meter by Figure 13.27
10 Trends around Australia Altimeter and tide gauges (dots) Spatial patterns show large regional departures from global mean sea level rise because of other influences such as El Nino/Southern Oscillation SOI included SOI removed Source: White et al, Earth-Science Reviews, 2014
11 21 st century GMSLR projections Medium confidence in likely ranges. Very likely that the 21 st century mean rate of GMSLR will exceed that of under all RCPs. RCP m by mm yr -1 during RCP m by 2100 SPM Figure 8
12 Contributing processes lead to non-uniform SLR Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Ocean dynamical response Glacier mass loss Ice sheet mass loss SLR Sum For RCP 8.5 in relative to About 70% of the global coastlines are projected to experience a sea level change within 20% of the global mean sea level change.
13 Marine Projections 1. Regional projections of mean sea level rise 2. Allowances for extreme sea levels 3. Projections of changes in SSTs, acidification and salinity
14 Extreme Sea Levels: Many factors can contribute Impacts are felt during extreme events!! Wave Runup Wave Setup Storm Surge Astronomical Tides Variability (Seasonal / Interannual) Climate change can affect extreme sea levels by: 1. Increased Mean Sea Level 2. Changes to Storminess Mean Sea Level
15 Factoring in the nature of extremes Planning Benchmark SLR Presentation title Presenter name Page 15
16 So how do we prepare for Sea Level Rise? Given: 1. Uncertain Sea Level Rise 2. Characteristics of extreme sea level rise?
17 Sea level allowances - based on Hunter (2012) 1. Consider raising an asset (or its protection) by an amount that ensures future level of protection is unchanged from todays 2. Takes into account (1) mean sea level rise - z (2) sea level rise uncertainty - derived from 5-95% uncertainty (3) extreme sea level characteristics the slope of the extreme sea level return period curve 3. Allowance: A= z+ (Assuming a normal distribution for SLR) z
18 Exceedance probabilities and expected number of exceedances
19 1-in-100 year storm tide height (source: Haigh et al, 2014) Estimated from modelled sea levels over 66 year period Includes tides and surge but not wave effects
20 Marine Projections 1. Regional projections of mean sea level rise 2. Allowances for extreme sea levels 3. Projections of changes in SSTs, acidification and salinity
21 Observed Historical Changes Verges et al 2014 & Booth et al 2007 Porities growth rates GBR Poloczanska, et al, 2014 De ath et al 2009
22 Historical Changes Australian Region Lenton et al Reconstructed ph SST annual mean 2013 (C) Mauna Loa Lenton et al Reconstructed Arag (Ω AR ) HadiSST Atmospheric CO2 conc (ppm) Reconstructed SST (C)
23 Mean State SST (C) CARS 2009 Aragonite Saturation State (Ω AR ) Observed Modelled Lenton et al
24 Nov_10 Feb_11 May_11 Aug_11 Nov_11 Feb_12 May_12 Aug_12 Nov_12 Feb_13 May_13 Apr_09 Aug_09 Dec_09 Apr_10 Aug_10 Dec_10 Apr_11 Aug_11 Dec_11 Apr_12 Aug_12 Dec_12 Apr_13 Apr_09 Aug_09 Dec_09 Apr_10 Aug_10 Dec_10 Apr_11 Aug_11 Dec_11 Apr_12 Aug_12 Dec_12 Apr_13 NRS Assessment Maria Island Ω AR Maria Island SST (C) Ningaloo Ω AR Ningaloo SST (C)
25 Projected Impacts Together these changes are expected to have significant impacts on the long-term health, diversity and viability of many marine species, and are likely to impact key sectors such as fin and shellfish fisheries, aquaculture, tourism and coastal protection. Hoegh-Guldberg et al, 2007
26 Summary New climate projections will soon be available for the 8 NRM regions of Australia to help underpin adaptation planning These show that in response to rising atmospheric CO 2 levels: sea levels will be higher, marine environment will be warmer and more acidic under all emissions scenarios The magnitude of the change will be proportional to the level of emissions Large heterogeneity around Australia with very large changes in some regions
27 Thank you For more information
28 APPROACH USED FOR NRM Process understanding Observed trends Climate model results Model evaluation Downscaling Five key considerations used to produce qualitative and quantitative change information with confidence ratings. More traditional approach than UKCP09 - No PPE produced, primary tool is CMIP5 global climate models and offline calculations - Projections are not labelled as probabilistic No overall scenario structure produced like KNMI14 - Results presented for time slices and for different RCPs (similar to IPCC 2013 and others) - However a tailored scenario generator, the Australian Climate Futures tool is available GCM-RCM matrix not the primary tool like NARCCAP -GCMs are the primary data source, complemented by regional insights from downscaling
Projections of sea level rise
Projections of sea level rise Jonathan Gregory Lead author, Chapter 13, Sea level change Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Causes of global mean sea level rise (GMSLR) Global mean sea level rise is caused
More informationHow To Predict Climate Change In Tonga
Niuatoputapu Niuafo'ou Late Island Vava u Group South Pacific Ocean Tofua Island Kotu Group Nomuka Group Ha apai Group NUKU ALOFA Eua Island Tongatapu Group Current and future climate of Tonga > Tonga
More informationData Sets of Climate Science
The 5 Most Important Data Sets of Climate Science Photo: S. Rahmstorf This presentation was prepared on the occasion of the Arctic Expedition for Climate Action, July 2008. Author: Stefan Rahmstorf, Professor
More informationClimate Ready Tools & Resources
August 2, 2013 Mission Statement To provide the water sector (drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater utilities) with the practical tools, training, and technical assistance needed to adapt to climate
More informationChanges in past, present and future sea level, focusing on the Norwegian west coast. J. E. Ø. Nilsen, K. Richter og H. Drange
Changes in past, present and future sea level, focusing on the Norwegian west coast J. E. Ø. Nilsen, K. Richter og H. Drange Assessing sea level during the last 50 years Status for today s sea level Estimate
More informationclimate science A SHORT GUIDE TO This is a short summary of a detailed discussion of climate change science.
A SHORT GUIDE TO climate science This is a short summary of a detailed discussion of climate change science. For more information and to view the full report, visit royalsociety.org/policy/climate-change
More informationCARBON THROUGH THE SEASONS
DESCRIPTION In this lesson plan, students learn about the carbon cycle and understand how concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in the Earth s atmosphere vary as the seasons change. Students also learn
More informationAtmospheric Processes
Atmospheric Processes Steven Sherwood Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Where do atmospheric processes come into AR5 WGI? 1. The main feedbacks that control equilibrium
More informationClimate Futures for the Southeast Australian Coast
Climate Futures for the Southeast Australian Coast Supporting information for the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) Coastal Settlements projects: What would a climate-adapted
More informationRegional Climate Science for the Pacific John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Geoff Gooley & Kevin Hennessy
Regional Climate Science for the Pacific John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Geoff Gooley & Kevin Hennessy...on behalf of PACCSAP Science Program (CSIRO & Bureau of Meteorology), incl. collaborative partners in Australia
More informationHow To Use The Climate Ready Utilities Program
Introduction to the Climate Resilience Evaluation & Awareness Tool Climate Ready Water Utilities Webinar Series Curt Baranowski, US EPA Jim Hawhee, Albemarle-Pamlico NEP February 27, 2013 Use your mouse
More informationAP ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 2010 SCORING GUIDELINES
AP ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE 2010 SCORING GUIDELINES Question 4 (a) Based on the rate cited above, calculate the expected increase in sea level, in meters, during the next 50 years. One point can be earned
More informationHow To Predict Climate Change
A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events the focus of Chapter 3 Presented by: David R. Easterling Chapter 3:Changes in Climate Extremes & their Impacts on the Natural Physical
More informationClimate Change 2014 Synthesis Report Chapter Summary for Policymakers
Climate Change 214 Synthesis Report Chapter Summary for Policymakers Introduction This Synthesis Report is based on the reports of the three Working Groups of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
More informationPMEL Press Releases and NOAA News Stories FY09- FY14
PMEL Press Releases and NOAA News Stories FY09- FY14 PMEL WIDE Oceanographer named to head NOAA s Seattle research laboratory http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/20111018_pmel.html CLIMATE THEME most
More informationSelecting members of the QUMP perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS
Selecting members of the QUMP perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS Isn t one model enough? Carol McSweeney and Richard Jones Met Office Hadley Centre, September 2010 Downscaling a single GCM
More informationJessica Blunden, Ph.D., Scientist, ERT Inc., Climate Monitoring Branch, NOAA s National Climatic Data Center
Kathryn Sullivan, Ph.D, Acting Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and NOAA Administrator Thomas R. Karl, L.H.D., Director,, and Chair of the Subcommittee on Global Change Research Jessica
More informationTHE CURIOUS CASE OF THE PLIOCENE CLIMATE. Chris Brierley, Alexey Fedorov and Zhonghui Lui
THE CURIOUS CASE OF THE PLIOCENE CLIMATE Chris Brierley, Alexey Fedorov and Zhonghui Lui Outline Introduce the warm early Pliocene Recent Discoveries in the Tropics Reconstructing the early Pliocene SSTs
More informationCOUNTING THE COSTS: CLIMATE CHANGE AND COASTAL FLOODING
COUNTING THE COSTS: CLIMATE CHANGE AND COASTAL FLOODING The Climate Council is an independent, crowd-funded organisation providing quality information on climate change to the Australian public. Authorship:
More informationObserved Cloud Cover Trends and Global Climate Change. Joel Norris Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Observed Cloud Cover Trends and Global Climate Change Joel Norris Scripps Institution of Oceanography Increasing Global Temperature from www.giss.nasa.gov Increasing Greenhouse Gases from ess.geology.ufl.edu
More informationClimate Change. Evidence & Causes. An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences
Climate Change Evidence & Causes An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences n summary Foreword CLIMATE CHANGE IS ONE OF THE DEFINING ISSUES OF OUR TIME. It is now more certain
More informationImpacts of Global Warming on Hurricane-related Flooding in Corpus Christi,Texas
Impacts of Global Warming on Hurricane-related Flooding in Corpus Christi,Texas Sea-level Rise and Flood Elevation A one-foot rise in flood elevation due to both sea-level rise and hurricane intensification
More informationAdaptation Planning Scenarios in Western Australia
Annex 1: Projections for Change in Climate and Climate Scenarios Climate Change Adaptation Plan: Preparing for and responding to climate risks in the City of Stirling Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...
More informationReal-time Ocean Forecasting Needs at NCEP National Weather Service
Real-time Ocean Forecasting Needs at NCEP National Weather Service D.B. Rao NCEP Environmental Modeling Center December, 2005 HYCOM Annual Meeting, Miami, FL COMMERCE ENVIRONMENT STATE/LOCAL PLANNING HEALTH
More informationClimate Projections for Transportation Infrastructure Planning, Operations & Maintenance, and Design
Climate Projections for Transportation Infrastructure Planning, Operations & Maintenance, and Design KATHARINE HAYHOE, ANNE STONER, JO DANIEL, JENNIFER JACOBS and PAUL KIRSHEN THE INFRASTRUCTURE CLIMATE
More informationNew York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 Report Executive Summary
Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci. ISSN 0077-8923 ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Issue: Building the Knowledge Base for Climate Resiliency New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 Report Executive Summary
More informationHow to Generate Project Data For emission Rate Analysis
19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12 16 December 2011 http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2011 Providing application-specific climate projections datasets: CSIRO s Climate
More informationClimate Lingo Bingo. Climate Discovery: Climate Future. http://.eo.ucar.edu. Teacher s Guide. National Science Content Standards Addressed:
Climate Discovery: Climate Future Climate Lingo Bingo Teacher s Guide http://.eo.ucar.edu Subject Focus: Earth Science Environmental Science Political Science and Social Studies Materials & Preparations:
More informationCurrent climate change scenarios and risks of extreme events for Northern Europe
Current climate change scenarios and risks of extreme events for Northern Europe Kirsti Jylhä Climate Research Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) Network of Climate Change Risks on Forests (FoRisk)
More informationIEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate
IEAGHG Information Paper 2015-10; The Earth s Getting Hotter and So Does the Scientific Debate A recent study published in Nature Climate Change 1 suggests that the rate of climate change we're experiencing
More informationREGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING
REGIONAL CLIMATE AND DOWNSCALING Regional Climate Modelling at the Hungarian Meteorological Service ANDRÁS HORÁNYI (horanyi( horanyi.a@.a@met.hu) Special thanks: : Gabriella Csima,, Péter Szabó, Gabriella
More informationThe Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) Correlation to. EarthComm, Second Edition. Project-Based Space and Earth System Science
The Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) Achieve, Inc. on behalf of the twenty-six states and partners that collaborated on the NGSS Copyright 2013 Achieve, Inc. All rights reserved. Correlation to,
More informationEmissions de CO 2 et objectifs climatiques
Emissions de CO 2 et objectifs climatiques Pierre Friedlingstein University of Exeter, UK Plus many IPCC WG1 authors and GCP colleagues Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Recent trends in anthropogenic CO
More informationSea Water Heat Pump Project
Sea Water Heat Pump Project Alaska SeaLife Center, Seward, AK Presenter: Andy Baker, PE, YourCleanEnergy LLC Also Present is ASLC Operations Manager: Darryl Schaefermeyer ACEP Rural Energy Conference Forum
More informationSea level scenarios and extreme weather events
Extreme weather and nuclear power plants (EXWE) Sea level scenarios and extreme weather events Milla Johansson, Kimmo Kahma, Hilkka Pellikka, Hanna Tietäväinen, Seppo Saku and Kirsti Jylhä Finnish Meteorological
More informationAtmospheric Dynamics of Venus and Earth. Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics UCLA 2 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Atmospheric Dynamics of Venus and Earth G. Schubert 1 and C. Covey 2 1 Department of Earth and Space Sciences Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics UCLA 2 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
More informationFACTS ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE
FACTS ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE 1. What is climate change? Climate change is a long-term shift in the climate of a specific location, region or planet. The shift is measured by changes in features associated
More informationSECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios
SECTION 3 Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios The speed with which the climate will change and the total amount of change projected depend on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions and the
More informationWangari Maathai Memorial Lecture Micro Business College, Ambo
Wangari Maathai Memorial Lecture Micro Business College, Ambo Challenge of the Balance: A 21 st Century narrative on Environment and Development Chandra Bhushan, Deputy Director General India Anthropocene
More informationThe IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events 2 How do changes
More informationClimate Change Adaptation Good Practice - Case Study. Climate Futures for Tasmania
Climate Change Adaptation Good Practice - Case Study Climate Futures for Tasmania About Adaptation Good Practice Adapting to climate change is a relatively new concept to many. It is important to learn
More informationASSESSING CLIMATE FUTURES: A CASE STUDY
ASSESSING CLIMATE FUTURES: A CASE STUDY Andrew Wilkins 1, Leon van der Linden 1, 1. SA Water Corporation, Adelaide, SA, Australia ABSTRACT This paper examines two techniques for quantifying GCM derived
More informationCalifornia Standards Grades 9 12 Boardworks 2009 Science Contents Standards Mapping
California Standards Grades 912 Boardworks 2009 Science Contents Standards Mapping Earth Sciences Earth s Place in the Universe 1. Astronomy and planetary exploration reveal the solar system s structure,
More informationTools from the US EPA s Climate Ready Water Utilities Initiative (CRWU) EPA Region 3 Conference Extreme Weather Events: Adapt, Mitigate, and Survive
Tools from the US EPA s Climate Ready Water Utilities Initiative (CRWU) EPA Region 3 Conference Extreme Weather Events: Adapt, Mitigate, and Survive May 9, 2013 1 Presentation Overview Background on EPA
More informationDevelopment of Australian Climate Futures
Development of Australian Climate Futures John Clarke, Tim Erwin, Leanne Webb, Kevin Hennessy, David Kent and Penny Whetton GREENHOUSE 2013 Adelaide, October 8-11 Summary The Climate Futures framework
More informationsample The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
sample The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events 2 Impacts
More informationThe Oceans Role in Climate
The Oceans Role in Climate Martin H. Visbeck A Numerical Portrait of the Oceans The oceans of the world cover nearly seventy percent of its surface. The largest is the Pacific, which contains fifty percent
More informationThe Science and Ethics of Global warming. Global warming has become one of the central political and scientific issues of
The Science and Ethics of Global warming Global warming has become one of the central political and scientific issues of our time. It holds a fascination for scientists because of the tremendous complexity
More informationDriving Earth Systems Collaboration across the Pacific
Driving Earth Systems Collaboration across the Pacific Tim F. Pugh Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research Australian Bureau of Meteorology What s our business? Earth System Science Study of
More informationClimate Change. Evidence & Causes. An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences
Climate Change Evidence & Causes An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences n summary Foreword CLIMATE CHANGE IS ONE OF THE DEFINING ISSUES OF OUR TIME. It is now more certain
More informationCity of Cambridge Climate Protection Action Committee. Recommendations for Adaptation to Climate Change. Purpose
City of Cambridge Climate Protection Action Committee Recommendations for Adaptation to Climate Change Purpose The Climate Protection Action Committee (CPAC) is an advisory body to the City Manager on
More informationClimate Science for Health Professionals. A Presentation and Discussion of the IPCC Working Group 1 Report
Climate Science for Health Professionals A Presentation and Discussion of the IPCC Working Group 1 Report Medact Conflict, violence, poverty and injustice are the fundamental and most important causes
More informationARI: The water-mass signature and pathways of Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater in the Arctic and North Atlantic as inferred by an inverse method
Final Report ARI: The water-mass signature and pathways of Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater in the Arctic and North Atlantic as inferred by an inverse method Geoffrey Gebbie Department of Physical Oceanography
More informationHow do abiotic factors and physical processes impact life in the ocean?
This website would like to remind you: Your browser (Apple Safari 7) is out of date. Update your browser for more security, comfort and the best experience on this site. Activitydevelop Ocean Abiotic Factors
More informationFundamentals of Climate Change (PCC 587): Water Vapor
Fundamentals of Climate Change (PCC 587): Water Vapor DARGAN M. W. FRIERSON UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, DEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES DAY 2: 9/30/13 Water Water is a remarkable molecule Water vapor
More informationOcean and climate research at KNMI. Andreas Sterl KNMI
Ocean and climate research at KNMI Andreas Sterl KNMI Ocean and climate research at KNMI global and regional modelling EC-Earth RACMO Harmonie ocean observations/monitoring Argo sea level rise climate
More informationFigure 1. The circular flow of global warming science, impacts, and policy. From "Climate Casino" Copyright 2013 by William Nordhaus
Figure 1. The circular flow of global warming science, impacts, and policy. Figure 2. Global CO2 emissions, 1900-2010. Figure 3. Carbon intensity of U.S. economy, 1900-2010. Figure 4. A comparison of a
More informationESA Climate Change Initiative contributing to the Global Space-based Architecture for Climate Monitoring
ESA Climate Change Initiative contributing to the Global Space-based Architecture for Climate Monitoring Pascal Lecomte Head of the ESA Climate Office ESA/ECSAT Global Space-based Architecture for Climate
More informationEvolving a new Geodetic Positioning Framework: An Australian Perspective
Evolving a new Geodetic Positioning Framework: An Australian Perspective G. Johnston, J. Dawson Outline Introduction Precise Positioning National Geospatial Reference Systems Asia Pacific Reference Frame
More informationCosts of Global Warming for Alaska s Public Infrastructure
Costs of Global Warming for Alaska s Public Infrastructure CONTEXT A warming climate results in: Thawing ground Undermining foundations of buildings, roads and runways Retreating sea ice Increasing coastal
More informationNorconsult AS Trekanten, Vestre Rosten 81, NO-7075 Tiller Memo no.: 1 Tel: +47 72 89 37 50 Fax: +47 72 88 91 09
Norconsult AS Trekanten, Vestre Rosten 81, NO-7075 Tiller Memo no.: 1 To: Norconsult/ T Isaksen From: Arne E Lothe Date: 2014-06-25 MetOcean data at Gamnes, Kirkenes, Norway Table of Contents Versions
More informationAddendum to the CMIP5 Experiment Design Document: A compendium of relevant emails sent to the modeling groups
Addendum to the CMIP5 Experiment Design Document: A compendium of relevant emails sent to the modeling groups CMIP5 Update 13 November 2010: Dear all, Here are some items that should be of interest to
More informationEstimates of Future Sea-Level Changes for Norway
Estimates of Future Sea-Level Changes for Norway March 26, 2012 Matthew Simpson, Kristian Breili, Halfdan Pascal Kierulf, Dagny Lysaker, Mohammed Ouassou and Even Haug Please reference this report as Simpson,
More informationClimate Change Long Term Trends and their Implications for Emergency Management August 2011
Climate Change Long Term Trends and their Implications for Emergency Management August 2011 Overview A significant amount of existing research indicates that the world s climate is changing. Emergency
More informationNRM Climate Projections
NRM Climate Projections Penny Whetton Acknowledgments to the NRM projections team! CLIMATE ADAPTATION FLAGSHIP ANDS Workshop, Brisbane, 16 April 2013 New projections in 2014 New climate model simulations
More informationCoastal Risk Management Guide. Incorporating sea level rise benchmarks in coastal risk assessments
Coastal Risk Management Guide Incorporating sea level rise benchmarks in coastal risk assessments Published by: Department of Environment, Climate Change and Water NSW 59 61 Goulburn Street PO Box A290
More informationEC-Earth: new global earth system model
EC-Earth: new global earth system model Wilco Hazeleger Vincent v Gogh Global Climate Division/EC-Earth program KNMI, The Netherlands Amsterdam, December 2008 1 Amsterdam, December 2008 2 Observed climate
More informationSECTION 3.2 CLIMATE AND PRECIPITATION
SECTION 3.2 CLIMATE AND PRECIPITATION Ulster County Climate Data A preliminary analysis of the Preserve s weather data shows that the average temperature has risen about two degrees over the past 114 years.
More informationTide - rhythmic oscillation of the ocean surface due to gravitational & centrifugal forces ( inertia ) between the Earth, Moon and Sun.
Chapter 4: The Changing Level of the Sea Tides Longer Scale Variations Influence on Beaches Tide - rhythmic oscillation of the ocean surface due to gravitational & centrifugal forces ( inertia ) between
More informationSECTOR ASSESSMENT (SUMMARY): CLIMATE CHANGE. 1. Sector Performance, Problems, and Opportunities
Climate Resilience Sector Project (RRP TON 46351) Sector Road Map SECTOR ASSESSMENT (SUMMARY): CLIMATE CHANGE 1. Sector Performance, Problems, and Opportunities 1. Tonga is being affected by climate change,
More informationOcean acidification due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
Ocean acidification due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide Policy document 12/05 June 2005 ISBN 0 85403 617 2 This report can be found at www.royalsoc.ac.uk ISBN 0 85403 617 2 The Royal Society 2005
More informationTemporal variation in snow cover over sea ice in Antarctica using AMSR-E data product
Temporal variation in snow cover over sea ice in Antarctica using AMSR-E data product Michael J. Lewis Ph.D. Student, Department of Earth and Environmental Science University of Texas at San Antonio ABSTRACT
More informationMunich Re RISKS AND CHANCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY WHAT ARE THE CURRENT QUESTIONS TO CLIMATE RESEARCH?
RISKS AND CHANCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY WHAT ARE THE CURRENT QUESTIONS TO CLIMATE RESEARCH? Prof. Dr. Peter Höppe Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre NCCR Climate,
More informationClimate Change: A Local Focus on a Global Issue Newfoundland and Labrador Curriculum Links 2010-2011
Climate Change: A Local Focus on a Global Issue Newfoundland and Labrador Curriculum Links 2010-2011 HEALTH Kindergarten: Grade 1: Grade 2: Know that litter can spoil the environment. Grade 3: Grade 4:
More informationNew Zealand s changing climate and oceans: The impact of human activity and implications for the future
OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER S SCIENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE New Zealand s changing climate and oceans: The impact of human activity and implications for the future An assessment of the current state of scientific
More informationImpacts of Global Warming on North Carolina s Coastal Economy
Impacts of Global Warming on North Carolina s Coastal Economy IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON NORTH CAROLINA S COASTAL ECONOMY Key Findings Global warming is projected to have significant impacts on North
More informationClimate change and water (food) security
Climate change and water (food) security By Prof Tore Furevik (tore@gfi.uib.no) Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research University of Bergen @ToreFurevik BSRS on water, climate & society, 14 June 2016 Earth
More informationII. Related Activities
(1) Global Cloud Resolving Model Simulations toward Numerical Weather Forecasting in the Tropics (FY2005-2010) (2) Scale Interaction and Large-Scale Variation of the Ocean Circulation (FY2006-2011) (3)
More informationSimulated Global-Mean Sea Level Changes over the Last Half-Millennium
4576 J O U R N A L O F C L I M A T E VOLUME 19 Simulated Global-Mean Sea Level Changes over the Last Half-Millennium J. M. GREGORY Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, and Hadley
More informationExamining the Recent Pause in Global Warming
Examining the Recent Pause in Global Warming Global surface temperatures have warmed more slowly over the past decade than previously expected. The media has seized this warming pause in recent weeks,
More informationGREAT BARRIER REEF. Climate Change Action Plan
GREAT BARRIER REEF Climate Change Action Plan 2007 2011 Climate change is now recognised as the greatest long-term threat to the Great Barrier Reef. The Great Barrier Reef is internationally renowned as
More informationDevelopment of an Integrated Data Product for Hawaii Climate
Development of an Integrated Data Product for Hawaii Climate Jan Hafner, Shang-Ping Xie (PI)(IPRC/SOEST U. of Hawaii) Yi-Leng Chen (Co-I) (Meteorology Dept. Univ. of Hawaii) contribution Georgette Holmes
More informationFisheries and Aquaculture in our Changing Climate
Fisheries and Aquaculture in our Changing Climate Coastal communities, fishers and fish farmers are already profoundly affected by climate change. Rising sea levels, acid oceans, droughts and floods are
More informationKNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands
WR 2006-01: KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands 1 KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands KNMI Scientific Report WR 2006-01 Bart van den Hurk, Albert Klein Tank, Geert
More informationGRAND MINIMUM OF THE TOTAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE LEADS TO THE LITTLE ICE AGE. by Habibullo Abdussamatov
GRAND MINIMUM OF THE TOTAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE LEADS TO THE LITTLE ICE AGE by Habibullo Abdussamatov SPPI ORIGINAL PAPER November 25, 2013 GRAND MINIMUM OF THE TOTAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE LEADS TO THE LITTLE ICE
More informationDecadal predictions using the higher resolution HiGEM climate model Len Shaffrey, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading
Decadal predictions using the higher resolution HiGEM climate model Len Shaffrey, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading Dave Stevens, Ian Stevens, Dan Hodson, Jon Robson, Ed Hawkins,
More informationFRENCH ARCTIC INITIATIVE SCIENTIFIC PRIORITIES
FRENCH ARCTIC INITIATIVE SCIENTIFIC PRIORITIES J.J. Pangrazi / Biosphoto J.J. Pangrazi / Biosphoto Conference audience Edouard Bard introductory lecture Dr. Denis-Didier Rousseau (CNRS Senior Research
More informationWhat the Heck are Low-Cloud Feedbacks? Takanobu Yamaguchi Rachel R. McCrary Anna B. Harper
What the Heck are Low-Cloud Feedbacks? Takanobu Yamaguchi Rachel R. McCrary Anna B. Harper IPCC Cloud feedbacks remain the largest source of uncertainty. Roadmap 1. Low cloud primer 2. Radiation and low
More informationCIESIN Columbia University
Conference on Climate Change and Official Statistics Oslo, Norway, 14-16 April 2008 The Role of Spatial Data Infrastructure in Integrating Climate Change Information with a Focus on Monitoring Observed
More informationEnergy Pathways in Earth s Atmosphere
BRSP - 10 Page 1 Solar radiation reaching Earth s atmosphere includes a wide spectrum of wavelengths. In addition to visible light there is radiation of higher energy and shorter wavelength called ultraviolet
More informationClimate Change in North Carolina
Climate Change in North Carolina Dr. Chip Konrad Director of the The Southeast Regional Climate Center Associate Professor Department of Geography University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill The Southeast
More informationLOGARITHMS AND THE ph SCALE
NAME: DATE: LOGARITHMS AND THE ph SCALE A scientific application of Logarithms is the ph scale which is used to measure the concentration of H + ions in an acidic or basic solution. ph is equal to the
More informationG3-Giornate Giovani GNRAC Quartiere Fieristico di Ferrara, 21 Settembre 2012
3 SALONE SULLA TUTELA DELLA COSTA COAST PROTECTION EXHIBITION 2 ND EDITION G3-Giornate Giovani GNRAC Quartiere Fieristico di Coastal vulnerability assessment to climate change. CVI Index application to
More informationOrbital-Scale Climate Change
Orbital-Scale Climate Change Climate Needed for Ice Age Warm winter and non-frozen oceans so lots of evaporation and snowfall Cool summer so that ice does not melt Ice Age Model When ice growing ocean
More informationClimate Change on the Prairie:
Climate Change on the Prairie: A Basic Guide to Climate Change in the High Plains Region - UPDATE Global Climate Change Why does the climate change? The Earth s climate has changed throughout history and
More informationSubmission by the United States of America to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Communication of U.S. Adaptation Priorities May 29, 2015
Submission by the United States of America to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Communication of U.S. Adaptation Priorities May 29, 2015 Adaptation is a challenge for all Parties. In addition
More informationClimate, water and renewable energy in the Nordic countries
102 Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change Hydroclimatic Variability (Proceedings of symposium S6 held during the Seventh IAHS Scientific Assembly at Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 2005). IAHS
More informationKlimaatverandering. IPCC (2013) & KNMI klimaatscenario s (2014) Rob van Dorland. GroenLinks, Utrecht 4 november 2014
Klimaatverandering IPCC (2013) & KNMI klimaatscenario s (2014) Rob van Dorland KNMI GroenLinks, Utrecht 4 november 2014 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013 Detection observation Attribution
More informationClimate modelling. Dr. Heike Huebener Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology Hessian Centre on Climate Change
Hessisches Landesamt für Umwelt und Geologie Climate modelling Dr. Heike Huebener Hessian Agency for Environment and Geology Hessian Centre on Climate Change Climate: Definition Weather: momentary state
More information