Preparing for CAF Phase II and Tribal Mobility Funding Opportunities
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1 Preparing for CAF Phase II and Tribal Mobility Funding Opportunities July 31, 2013 Doug Eidahl VP of Consulting, Vantage Point Solutions 2211 N. Minnesota St. Mitchell, SD (605) FAX: (605)
2 Future Revenue Opportunities Phase I Mobility Funding Phase I Tribal Mobility Funding CAF Phase I Funding (fixed) CAF Phase II Funding (fixed) Pursuing CAF Phase II
3 Hunting For New Revenues 3
4 Where ILECs Make Their Money Other Revenues 6% Intrastate Special Access 3% Intrastate Switched Access 9% Interstate Special Access 6% Non- Regulated Revenues 14% Interstate Switched Access 24% Local Revenues 14% Federal USF 24% Local Revenues Federal USF Interstate Switched Access Interstate Special Access Intrastate Switched Access Intrastate Special Access Non-Regulated Revenues Other Revenues Page 4
5 Tribal Mobility Fund 5
6 Mobility Fund Phase I Phase I $300M in one-time support Awarded through nationwide reverse auction Auction 901 was held September 27, 2012 Census blocks unserved by 3G were eligible Had until March 26, 2012 to challenge areas identified as unserved by 3G Unserved designations based on 1/1/12 American Roamer (now Mosaik Solutions) network service data Full $300M awarded to bidders Page 6
7 Mobility Fund Phase I Phase I (and proposed for Phase II) Recipient Requirements: Obtain ETC status in areas bid upon Must have access to licensed spectrum (own or lease) If win must offer collocation on towers and offer voice and data roaming to other mobile carriers Must obtain irrevocable letter of credit to support build out Phase I winners required to deploy 4G within 3 yrs -OR- 3G within 2 yrs Support just begin in July Page 7
8 Tribal Mobility - Phase I Phase I Tribal Mobility $50M in one-time support for Tribal Lands Awarded through nationwide reverse auction, similar to Mobility Phase I Auction 902 scheduled for October 24, 2013 Tribal lands include any federally recognized Indian tribe s reservation Census blocks unserved by 3G are eligible Had until May 10, 2013 to challenge areas identified as unserved by 3G Unserved designations based on 1/1/12 Mosaik Solutions network service data Page 8
9 Tribal Mobility Phase I Phase I Tribal Mobility Recipient Requirements: Generally the same as Mobility Phase I Tribal engagement obligations Bid units based on POPs not road miles within reservation Same build out requirements Bid Credits for Tribally Entities 25 percent bidding credit Page 9
10 ID Tribal Mobility Phase I Eligible Areas 10
11 UT Tribal Mobility Phase I Eligible Areas 11
12 WY Tribal Mobility Phase I Eligible Areas 12
13 Connect America Fund (CAF) Phase II 13
14 CAF Phase I PCs with fixed wireline service accepted $115M of $300M allocated in Round I Frontier ($71.9M) and CenturyLink ($35M) claimed the majority of funding Only 4 carriers accepted the entire amount offered 3 carriers (including AT&T & Verizon) declined the entire amount FCC says total funding would serve 400,000 homes But $115M at $775 a home = 148,000 Over half or $185M unclaimed Page 14
15 CAF Phase I - ID, UT, WY CAF Phase I Received: ID Number of Locations: 7,387 ID Support: $5.7M ($4.695M Frontier, $1.029M CL) ID Counties / Census Blocks Supported: 13 / 735 UT Number of Locations: 80 UT Support: $62k (CenturyLink) UT Counties / Census Blocks Supported: 1 / 12 WY Number of Locations: 96 WY Support: $74.4k (CenturyLink) WY Counties / Census Blocks Supported: 1 / 32 Page 15
16 CAF Support - Phase I After Round I PC carriers continued to press FCC for more Phase I funding CenturyLink, Frontier, & Windstream sent letter to FCC on April 19, stating commitment to match CAF Phase I support ($775 per location) with own capital Lots of debate on what to do with $185M unclaimed Phase I support Second round of Phase I Move funding to Phase II Move funding to Mobility Page 16
17 CAF Phase I Round Two FCC grants additional $485M in Round I by order on 5/22/13 $185M left over from Round I New $300M Same rules as Round I, except: $550 per home low speed < 3Mbps/768Kbps (underserved) $775 per home with dial up only (unserved) Unserved gets priority Several PCs (CL,WS, Frontier) will match funding Page 17
18 CAF Phase I Round II Challenge Process FCC Released Order on Reconsideration 7/16 PC s Phase I elections due 8/20/13 WCB will issue notice with updated deployment plans Challenges must be made within 45 days from FCC notice to PC recipient No sooner than 46 days from notice PC recipient must make its certifications to FCC for CAF build out requirements 18
19 CAF Support - Phase II Estimated start: 3/2013 (Delayed) Annual budget: $1.8 Billion for 5 Years HCM (High Cost Model) determines support for fixed BB to PCs (now called CACM) HCM is forward-looking to determine support levels for unserved blocks (zero service) Support provided to blocks determined by CACM to be below extremely high-cost threshold (remote area fund) but above the CACM threshold 1 st version (December 11, 2012) calculates support w variety of PC cost data inputs Page 19
20 CAF Phase II CACM Support Distribution - CACM 2 nd version released for comment January 17, 2013 Builds on version one, incorporating: 2010 census boundaries December 2011 National Broadband Map But 6/12 NBM to be used when final list comes out Latest GeoResults wire center boundaries Page 20
21 CAF Phase II CACM Version Released May 17, 2013 Version Released June 7, 2013 Version Released June 25, 2013 Average Support Per Location Nationally: range of $369 $398 annually (approx. $1,900 total over 5 year timeframe) Model Assumptions $52 Funding Threshold 80% Take Rate $65 Average Revenue Per User 8% - 9% Cost of Money July 24, 2013 FCC Notice closed CACM workshop CACM still not finalized getting closer Page 21
22 CAF Phase II CACM FTTP CACM is Greenfield Framework Adopted by FCC in April 22 Order Assumes a FTTP framework Estimates FTTP costs FCC states this creates appropriate incentives to invest Can be implemented in a straightforward and timely manner More forward-looking than the Brownfield Approach, which reflects lower costs up front, but likely will incur higher operating expenses and significant future investment to offer faster broadband Page 22
23 ID Locations Unserved by Fixed Broadband 23
24 UT Locations Unserved by Fixed Broadband 24
25 WY Locations Unserved by Fixed Broadband 25
26 CAF Phase II CACM ID, UT, and WY Version Estimates Released June 25 ID Unserved Locations: range of 43,555 45,921 ID Price Cap Support: range of $18.7M - $19.4M ID Avg Annual Support/Location: range of $417 - $446 UT Unserved Locations: range of 16,218 17,438 UT Price Cap Support: range of $6.7M $7.2M UT Avg Annual Support/Location: range of $402 - $446 WY Unserved Locations: range of 11,749 11,827 WY Price Cap Support: range of $5.7M - $6.4M WY Avg Annual Support/Location: range of $521 - $541 Page 26
27 CAF Phase II Census Block Challenges Unserved Census Blocks Challenge Process May 16, 2013 FCC Report and Order Now effective July 25 Procedures to challenge final list of eligible census blocks unserved by an unsubsidized competitor FCC developing list of eligible census blocks To be based on 6/12 National BB Map data Page 27
28 CAF Phase II Census Block Challenges Served by Unsubsidized Competitor Defined Fixed BB with speeds of at least 4Mbps/1Mbps Also residential terrestrial fixed voice Meeting FCC latency, capacity, and price requirements FCC unserved BB map does not take voice into consideration Both BB and voice must be provided by same carrier (or affiliate) obtaining service from unaffiliated 3 rd party not sufficient Page 28
29 CAF Phase II Census Block Challenges Challenges not permitted below census block level Challenges to add/remove census blocks List specific census blocks with supporting evidence demonstrating why blocks are inaccurately classified Challenger has 45 days to file challenge to FCC list PC has 45 days to submit rebuttal evidence WCB decides challenges by preponderance of evidence Page 29
30 CAF State-wide Commitment Per May 16, 2013 FCC Report and Order Within 120 days of release of CAF CACM-determined support, PCs must make state-wide commitment by state to serve all unserved areas in that state to receive funding AROFRforPC If not Reverse Auction held w competitive bidding Any ETC can bid PC that declined support can bid After 5 th year, all PC support awarded at auction every 5 years Page 30
31 CAF Service Requirements Meet speeds of at least 4Mbps down 1Mbps up Service after 3 rd year must be 4/1 BB to 85% of its high-cost locations (includes tribal) Latency low enough to offer VoIP Monthly usage minimum - 100G month proposed Rates comparable to urban services (FCC rate survey) 6M / 1.5M to specified number of locations (TBD) by end of 5 th year 6M / 1.5M will be benchmark in later years Must extend BB to supported locations No support to areas w unsubsidized competitor offering 4M/1M CATV w BB in PC areas assumed served not eligible Page 31
32 CAF II Transition PCs who accept state-wide commitment 1 st Year ½ of prior year CAF Phase I support (if any) + ½ of full support under CAF Phase II 2 nd Year full CAF Phase II support PCs who decline state-wide commitment Continue with CAF Phase I (or frozen support if did not accept Phase I support) until 1 st month the winner of Phase II competitive bidding receives support PC then ceases to receive further support Page 32
33 CAF II Reverse Auction No PC state-wide commitment - FCC will use reverse auction process to award CAF II FCC CAF II Rules NPRM not decided FCC Auction How to aggregate blocks for bid area Bidder eligibility Auction design Like Auction 901? Page 33
34 Opportunities to Receive CAF Phase II Funding Are there PC Carriers near your ILEC, CLEC, CATV or Wireless service area that serve high cost areas and may not make a statewide commitment? Rural PC areas likely to be high cost not town or town will have CATV provider, CLEC or BB service PCs have ROFR, then Reverse Auction if decline Will it be beneficial to bid on such unclaimed census blocks? Can you edge out from ILEC or expand? Page 34
35 Opportunities to Receive PC CAF Phase II Funding How will you serve how will you be the low cost bidder? Build with FTTH (25 year asset in 5 year support window)? Fixed Wireless (lowest incremental cost for shorter 5 year recovery window)? Partner with neighbors to go after more? Be ready, have a plan and grab the opportunity to replace other lost revenues
36 36
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