Calculating financial position and cash flow indicators

Transcription

1 Calculating financial position and cash flow indicators Introduction When a business is deciding whether to grant credit to a potential customer, or whether to continue to grant credit terms to an existing customer, it can analyse the customer s current and past financial statements. This analysis should calculate key performance indicators for three key areas: liquidity profitability financial position and cash flow. In this worksheet we will focus on calculating and interpreting financial position and cash flow performance indicators. Similar worksheets have also been prepared for liquidity indicators and profitability indicators. You may also want to look at Calculating liquidity indicators and Calculating profitability indicators. Financial Position indicators measure the extent to which a business is financed by debt. In the Credit management and control unit we focus on the ability of a customer to pay its suppliers when the invoices fall due. In the short term, the liquidity of a business is particularly relevant to its ability to pay its debts. Over the longer term, the way in which a business is financed will be relevant as the higher the long-term debt the more interest payable the business will incur. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation () is the key measure of the cash earnings of a business. This will provide a good cash flow indicator and can be used to assess the cash available for a business to pay the interest on its long-term liabilities. It can also be used to assess the length of time it would take to pay back outstanding liabilities. As part of the decision to grant credit to a customer, a business should obtain copies of the customer s recent financial statements; ideally for the past three years; and calculate financial position and cash flow indicators from these figures. These performance indicators can then be compared with the same measures for previous years; acceptable industry standards; or used as part of a credit scoring system. On the next screen we will look at the formulae for calculating the key performance indicators for financial position and cash flow of a business. We will then calculate these performance indictors to assess the financial position and cash flow standing of a potential customer.

2 Key profitability performance indicators The two key performance indicators normally calculated to assess financial position are as follows. Gearing ratio (%) x 100 plus equity or x 100 total equity There are two ways of calculating the gearing ratio, which are shown above. In each method the total debt is the total of both long-term and short-term debt. Either of these methods of calculating gearing is acceptable, and will be marked correctly in the assessments for this unit. Short-term debt ratio short-term debt x 100 The short-term debt ratio shows what proportion of the of the business is repayable within 12 months (that is, short term). The key performance indicators normally calculated to assess cash flow are as follows. to ratio interest payable To explain the calculation of these performance indicators and analyse the financial position and cash flow of a business we are going use some financial information for a business called Delrex Limited. Delrex Limited has approached our business to buy from us on credit. Access the extracts from the financial statements of Delrex Limited for the past three years. Gearing ratio (%) The gearing ratio shows the extent to which the business is funded by debt. To calculate gearing we can use two different calculations. One is divided by plus equity and then multiplied by 100 to turn it into a percentage. The other is divided by total equity and then multiplied by 100. How is the formula stated? Gearing ratio (%) = x 100 plus equity or x 100 total equity

3 The 2010 figures that we need for this calculation for Delrex Limited are shown in the table below with the gearing for 2010 already calculated. You should now complete the figures for 2011 and 2012 and calculate the gearing for each of these years. Your calculations should be rounded to the nearest whole percentage. Complete the table and then click to display/hide the solution. Non-current liabilities 2,000 2,000 2,000 Short-term debt Total equity 3,900 3,300 2,400 Gearing ( / + equity) 34% 38% 48% Gearing ( / total equity) 51% 61% 94% To avoid confusion we will concentrate on the more commonly used gearing calculation of / ( + equity). Gearing shows to what extent a business is financed by debt. A business that requires additional finance has a choice of how to raise it. One option is to increase the equity in the business, often by issuing further share capital. Alternatively it can rely on long-term loans. If it chooses to take out longterm loans this may result in a high level of gearing (that is heavy reliance on debt). This means that the business will need to pay interest on these loans. This is not a problem when the economic environment is good, however if there is a downturn in the market the business will continue to have to service these loans, which will directly affect its profitability. What do the gearing ratios that you have calculated for tell us about the financial position of Delrex Limited over the three year period? Write your answer down, and then click to reveal our suggested analysis. In 2010 Delrex Limited has a gearing percentage of 48%. This means the business is financed approximately half by equity and half by debt. Gearing of less than 40% is generally considered to be acceptable so in % was quite high. Moving on to 2011 and then to 2012 the gearing has improved to 38% and 34% respectively. The reasons for this are that the business no longer has an overdraft after 2011 and also the increase in retained earnings each year has increased the equity in the business. The gearing calculation for each of the three years for which we have financial statements indicates that Delrex Limited is financially stable and does not rely heavily on interest bearing debt to finance the business. Short-term debt ratio (%) The short-term debt ratio shows the proportion of the of the business that is short term (that is, due in less than one year). To calculate the short-term debt ratio we divide short-term debt by total debt and then multiply by 100 to turn it into a percentage.

4 How is the formula stated? Short-term debt ratio (%) = short-term debt x 100 When we calculate the short-term debt ratio we use interest bearing short-term current liabilities (usually an overdraft). Delrex Limited only has an overdraft in 2010 so this performance indicator can only be calculated for that year. Calculate the short-term debt ratio for 2010 and then click to display/hide the solution. Short-term debt ratio = 250 x 100 = 9% ( ) Ideally the short-term debt ratio should be as low as possible as a reliance on short-term debt, such as overdrafts, could adversely affect the liquidity of the business. For Delrex Limited the short-term debt ratio for 2010 is low and after that the business has no short-term debt. The key performance indicators that can be calculated to assess cash flow are: to ratio interest payable The gives us an idea of the cash earnings of a business and can be used to calculate the. The gives an indication of a business s ability to pay interest on its borrowings, the higher the the lower the risk. To calculate the interest cover we divide for the period by interest payable. This gives us a figure for the amount of times the of the business could cover the interest payable. This calculation is very similar to the interest cover that is used to assess the cash flow of the business. How is the formula stated? = interest payable

5 The 2010 figures that we need for this calculation for Delrex Limited are shown in the table below with the for 2010 already calculated. You should now complete the figures for 2011 and 2012 and calculate the for each of these years. Your figures should be rounded to one decimal place. Complete the table and then click to display/hide the solution. Operating profit 1,200 1,650 1,500 Depreciation included in cost of sales ,600 2,020 1,820 Interest payable times 6.7 times 7.3 times From your calculations of the for Delrex Limited what do they tell us about the cash flow of the business over the three year period? Write your answer down, and then click to reveal our suggested analysis. In 2010 Delrex Limited has that covers interest payable over seven times. This reduces to 6.7 in 2011 and then reduces more significantly to 5.3 times by Despite this Delrex Limited is currently still generating more than sufficient cash to comfortably cover its interest payments. The fact that the interest cover has fallen over the last three years is due to the decrease in profit. This decline should be monitored as if it continues to fall this could indicate that Delrex Limited may struggle to meet its liabilities in the future. to ratio The gives us an idea of the cash earnings of a business. We can use this figure to calculate the to ratio. The to ratio gives an indication of a business s ability to pay back its long-term borrowings, the lower the to ratio the lower the risk. To calculate this performance indicator we divide for the period by the of the business. How is the formula stated? =

6 The 2010 figures that we need for this calculation for Delrex Limited are shown in the table below with the for 2010 already calculated. You should now complete the figures for 2011 and 2012 and calculate the for each of these years. Your figures should be rounded to one decimal place. Complete the table and then click to display/hide the solution. Operating profit 1,200 1,650 1,500 Depreciation included in cost of sales ,600 2,020 1,820 Interest payable 2,000 2,000 2, From your calculations of the to ratio for Delrex Limited what do they tell us about the cash flow of the business over the three year period? Write your answer down, and then click to reveal our suggested analysis. In 2010 Delrex Limited has to ratio of 0.8. This increases to 1.0 in 2011 and then reduces again in 2012 to 0.8. The lower the to ratio the lower the risk and hence the better cash flow position of the business. This ratio indicates that the cash flow position of Delrex Ltd is relatively stable and at this stage should not be cause for concern. Gearing ( / + equity) 34% 38% 48% Gearing ( / total equity) 51% 61% 94% Short-term debt ratio - - 9% Assessment of financial position of Delrex Limited to ratio In this worksheet we have looked at performance indicators to assess the financial position and cash flow of Delrex Limited. The gearing ratios for Delrex Limited decrease over the three years for which we have financial information, with debt forming less than 50% of the total financing of the business. For this business

7 the short-term debt ratio is no longer a relevant indictor as Delrex Limited no longer has an overdraft in This indicates that the business is in a relatively strong financial position and does not over rely on debt to finance its operations. The for Delrex Ltd has been used to calculate the interest cover. Although this has fallen over the three years, the business can still comfortably cover its interest payable out of its cash earnings. The ratio between and is consistent for the three years at between 0.8 and 1.0. At this low level we can see that the risk of the business being unable to repay its debts as they become due is low. Summary As part of the assessment of creditworthiness for a new or existing customer performance indicators can be calculated on the financial statements of the business. Part of this analysis should assess the financial position and cash flow of the business. Financial position performance indicators measure the financial position of a business and the extent to which it is financed by debt. The key profitability financial position indictors that can be calculated are: Gearing % Short-term debt ratio Cash flow performance indicators measure the cash earnings of the business () and how this covers the interest payable and of the business. These performance indicators should be calculated for the most recent financial information and compared with previous years figures. The performance indicators can also be compared with industry averages. This will help a business to decide whether to grant credit to a customer. In addition to calculating financial position indicators and cash flow indicators, performance indicators that assess liquidity and profitability of a potential customer should also be calculated. Access worksheets for Calculating liquidity indicators and Calculating profitability indicators.