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1 N o. 1 R A T E D B E T T N F L & I N G C o l l e g e F o o t b a l l Every Week: s t a t f o x. c o m b e s t B e t s t o p w e e k l y p i c k s e x c l u s i v e p o w e r r a t i n g s H a n d i c a p p i n g s y s t e m s s u p e r s i t u a t i o n s G U h e a d - t o - h e a d t r e n d s I D E P l at i n u m S h e e t! I s s u e 5 Sept Oct. 5, 2015

2 I s s u e # 5 S e p t e m b e r O C TO B E R 5, NOT YET A SUBSCRIBER to FOOTBALL BEST BETS FROM StatFox? After GOING 3-FOR-3 ON THEIR LOCKS OF THE WEEK on the first Sunday of the NFL season, THE star HANDICAPPERS have REMAINED red-hot: THEY RE A COMBINED ATS (61.4%) ON NFL BEST BETS IN click here to GET IN ON THE ACTION! StatFox NFL Power Rating Lines 2 NFL Best Bets / StatFox Staff Selections 3 StatFox NFL Outplay Factor Rating Lines 3 NFL Game-by-Game Breakdowns 4 NFL Top Statistical Edges 10 College Best Bets / StatFox Staff Selections 11 StatFox College Football Power Rating Lines 12 College Football Top Statistical Edges 13 StatFox College Outplay Factor Rating Lines 14 College Football Game-by-Game Breakdowns 16 StatFox NFL Power Rating Lines - Week 4 ** The StatFox Power Ratings are determined from a formula that is takes into account several key factors, including point margins, difficulty of schedule, team statistics and more. The ratings are typically not as reactive as those you will find elsewhere, and thus prove to be a great long term handicapping tool. Here are the StatFox Power Rating lines and edges for this week's games, with our exclusive home field advantage points built into each home team's rating and corresponding line. Note that the point edge between the Power Rating Line and the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the column to keep track of the winners and losers. Thu - 10/1,8:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge 101 BALTIMORE PITTSBURGH Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 255 HOUSTON ATLANTA Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 261 OAKLAND CHICAGO Sun - 10/4,4:05 PM OL PR PRL Edge 267 CLEVELAND SAN DIEGO Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge 273 ST LOUIS ARIZONA TOP STATFOX POWER RATING EDGES: Sun - 10/4,9:30 AM OL PR PRL Edge 251 NY JETS MIAMI 13 Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 257 CAROLINA TAMPA BAY 11 Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 263 PHILADELPHIA WASHINGTON 13 Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge 269 GREEN BAY SAN FRANCISCO 18 Sun - 10/4,8:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 275 DALLAS NEW ORLEANS SEATTLE (-9) over DETROIT CAROLINA (-3) over TAMPA BAY PITTSBURGH (+2.5) over BALTIMORE 9.5 ABBREVIATIONS: OL - Opening Line PR - StatFox Power Rating - adjusted for home field advantage. PRL - Calculated Power Rating Line Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 253 JACKSONVILLE INDIANAPOLIS Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 259 NY GIANTS BUFFALO Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 265 KANSAS CITY CINCINNATI 27-3 Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge 271 MINNESOTA DENVER Mon - 10/5,8:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 277 DETROIT SEATTLE Managing Editor Scott Gramling Executive Editor Jeff Makinen Contributing Editors Dave Bartman Gary Bennett Brian Graham Creative Director Ian Knowles Assistant Editor Zach Dutch Touch Cohen Editorial Direction 10Ten Media Daily Racing Form LLC Jim Kostas, President Todd Unger, President, SIG Digital Jacob Luft, Director, Digital Products The Platinum Sheet is published by Daily Racing Form LLC, 708 Third Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY All rights reserved. Daily Racing Form LLC reserves the right to deny any paid advertisements and is not responsible for any contracts entered in with such advertisers. S u b s c r i p t i o n s :

3 The Platinum Sheet presents the week s Staff Picks Week 4 NFL Matchups: OCTOber 1-5 StatFox dave StatFox GARY StatFox SCOTT StatFox BRIAN StatFox forecaster StatFox consensus (101) BALTIMORE at (102) PITTSBURGH +2½ BALTIMORE BALTIMORE PITTSBURGH BALTIMORE PITTSBURGH BALTIMORE (251) NEW YORK JETS. (252) MIAMI (in London) +2½ CLICK FOR BEST BET NEW YORK JETS MIAMI MIAMI MIAMI MIAMI (253) JACKSONVILLE at (254) INDIANAPOLIS -9 INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS (255) HOUSTON at (256) ATLANTA -6½ ATLANTA CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET HOUSTON HOUSTON (257) CAROLINA at (258) TAMPA BAY +3 CAROLINA CAROLINA CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET CAROLINA CAROLINA (259) NEW YORK GIANTS at (260) BUFFALO -6 BUFFALO NEW YORK GIANTS BUFFALO NEW YORK GIANTS BUFFALO BUFFALO (261) OAKLAND at (262) CHICAGO +3 CHICAGO OAKLAND CHICAGO CLICK FOR BEST BET CHICAGO CHICAGO (263) PHILADELPHIA at (264) WASHINGTON +3½ WASHINGTON WASHINGTON WASHINGTON PHILADELPHIA PHILADELPHIA (265) KANSAS CITY at (266) CINCINNATI -3½ CLICK FOR BEST BET KANSAS CITY CINCINNATI CLICK FOR BEST BET CINCINNATI (267) CLEVELAND at (268) SAN DIEGO -7½ CLICK FOR BEST BET SAN DIEGO CLEVELAND SAN DIEGO CLEVELAND (269) GREEN BAY at (270) SAN FRANCISCO +9½ SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO (271) MINNESOTA at (272) DENVER -6½ CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET MINNESOTA CLICK FOR BEST BET MINNESOTA (273) ST. LOUIS at (274) ARIZONA -6½ ST. LOUIS ARIZONA CLICK FOR BEST BET ARIZONA ST. LOUIS ARIZONA (275) DALLAS at (276) NEW ORLEANS -4 DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS (277) DETROIT at (278) SEATTLE -9½ SEATTLE DETROIT SEATTLE SEATTLE SEATTLE SEATTLE Statfox NFL Outplay Factor Rating Lines - Week 4 ** The Outplay Factor Ratings made famous by StatFox are a great Team Strength Indicator as they provide a quantitative measure of how teams are outplaying (+ value) or being outplayed by (- value) their opponents. They are determined by a complicated formula that takes into account a team's points for/against as compared to how their previous opponents have fared. Here are the StatFox Team Outplay Factor Ratings and the corresponding game lines derived from them. Note that the point edge between the Outplay Factor Rating Line and the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the column to keep track of the winners and losers. ABBREVIATIONS: OL - Opening Line OF - StatFox Outplay Factor Rating - adjusted for home field advantage. OFL - Calculated Outplay Factor Line Thu - 10/1,8:25 PM OL OF OFL Edge 101 BALTIMORE PITTSBURGH Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 255 HOUSTON ATLANTA Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 261 OAKLAND CHICAGO Sun - 10/4,4:05 PM OL OF OFL Edge 267 CLEVELAND SAN DIEGO Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL OF OFL Edge 273 ST LOUIS ARIZONA Sun - 10/4,9:30 AM OL OF OFL Edge 251 NY JETS MIAMI 11 Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 257 CAROLINA TAMPA BAY 8 Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 263 PHILADELPHIA WASHINGTON 15 Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL OF OFL Edge 269 GREEN BAY SAN FRANCISCO 21 Sun - 10/4,8:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 275 DALLAS NEW ORLEANS 24 Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 253 JACKSONVILLE INDIANAPOLIS Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 259 NY GIANTS BUFFALO Sun - 10/4,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 265 KANSAS CITY CINCINNATI 30-5 Sun - 10/4,4:25 PM OL OF OFL Edge 271 MINNESOTA DENVER Mon - 10/5,8:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 277 DETROIT SEATTLE TOP STATFOX OUTPLAY 1. ARIZONA (-6.5) over ST LOUIS 14 FACTOR 2015 RATING NFL STAFF EDGES: PICKs STANDINGS 2. NY JETS (-1) over THROUGH MIAMI WEEK PITTSBURGH (+2.5) over BALTIMORE 12 NFL ALL GAMES ATS NFL BEST BETS: ATS NFL BEST BETS: TOTALS All Games W L T Pct Last Wk StatFox Brian % 11-5 StatFox Scott % % 8-8 Consensus % 7-9 StatFox Dave % 8-8 StatFox Gary % 6-10 All Games W L T Pct Last Wk StatFox Scott % 2-1 StatFox Gary % 4-1 StatFox Dave % 3-1 StatFox Brian % 1-2 COMBINED % 10-5 All Games W L T Pct Last Wk StatFox Scott % 1-2 StatFox Brian % 1-1 StatFox Gary % 1-3 COMBINED % 3-6 All NFL Best BetS Combined: (58.8%) 3

4 AFC North Divisional Showdown Baltimore Pittsburgh Ravens Steelers Line: BALTIMORE BY 2½ (101) BALTIMORE (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-3) at (102) PITTSBURGH (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-0-1) - Thursday, 10/1/2015 8:25 PM BALTIMORE (3.3) (6.7) (5.5) (3.4) (7.4) (5.9) PITTSBURGH (3.9) (9.4) (7.0) (3.6) (7.2) (5.7) 0 0 EVEN PIT is 4-6 SU & ATS in its L10 games. BAL 1/3/15 PIT -3 BAL 30 at PIT 17 BAL P (47) 11/2/14 PIT -2 BAL 23 at PIT 43 PIT O (47) 9/11/14 BAL -2½ PIT 6 at BAL 26 BAL U (44½) 11/28/13 BAL -3 PIT 20 at BAL 22 PIT O (40½) 10/20/13 PIT -2½ BAL 16 at PIT 19 PIT U (41) 12/2/12 BAL -6½ PIT 23 at BAL 20 PIT O (37) 11/18/12 PIT +3 BAL 13 at PIT 10 PUSH U (41) 11/6/11 PIT -3½ BAL 23 at PIT 20 BAL O (41½) 9/11/11 BAL -1 PIT 7 at BAL 35 BAL O (36½) 1/15/11 PIT -3 BAL 24 at PIT 31 PIT O (38) betting system: All teams where the line is +3 to -3 - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. (8-30 ATS) Play = PITTSBURGH against the spread BALTIMORE is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite since BALTIMORE is 8-20 ATS away after allowing <=99 rush yards in 3 straight games since BALTIMORE is 8-1 OVER away off an upset loss to division rival as a home favorite since PITTSBURGH is ATS. teams allowing <= 7.5 yards per punt return since PITTSBURGH is ATS as an underdog since PITTSBURGH is ATS at home when playing with 6 or less days rest since Baltimore Ravens 22 Pittsburgh Steelers 27 AFC East Divisional Showdown in London, England New York Jets Line: New York BY 2½ (251) NY JETS (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1). (252) MIAMI (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 9:30 AM Miami Dolphins NY JETS (3.8) (6.0) (5.1) (3.5) (5.9) (4.8) MIAMI (4.0) (6.4) (5.8) (4.2) (7.9) (5.9) MIA is 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS in its L10 games. NYJ 12/28/14 MIA -7 NYJ 37 at MIA 24 NYJ O (41) 12/1/14 NYJ +7 MIA 16 at NYJ 13 NYJ U (41½) 12/29/13 MIA -7½ NYJ 20 at MIA 7 NYJ U (41) 12/1/13 NYJ +1 MIA 23 at NYJ 3 MIA U (40) 10/28/12 NYJ -1 MIA 30 at NYJ 9 MIA U (39½) 9/23/12 MIA +2½ NYJ 23 at MIA 20 NYJ O (40½) 1/1/12 MIA -1½ NYJ 17 at MIA 19 MIA U (38½) 10/17/11 NYJ -7 MIA 6 at NYJ 24 NYJ U (41½) 12/12/10 NYJ -5 MIA 10 at NYJ 6 MIA U (37½) 9/26/10 MIA -1 NYJ 31 at MIA 23 NYJ O (35½) 4 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games betting system: Underdogs or pick - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 35 points or more last game. (53-21 ATS) Play = MIAMI against the spread NY JETS are UNDER. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season since NY JETS are ATS away versus division opponents since NY JETS are ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 YPG since MIAMI is UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest since MIAMI is ATS versus division opponents since MIAMI is UNDER in games played on a grass field since New York Jets 23 Miami Dolphins 21

5 AFC South Divisional Showdown T h e P l at i n u m S h e e t JAcksonville Indianapolis Jaguars Colts Line: INDIANAPOLIS BY 9 (253) JACKSONVILLE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (254) INDIANAPOLIS (SU: 1-2, ATS: 0-3) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE (3.7) (6.4) (5.3) (3.3) (7.2) (5.6) INDIANAPOLIS (4.5) (6.3) (5.7) (3.7) (8.1) (6.0) IND is 6-4 SU & 6-4 ATS in its L10 games. JAC 11/23/14 IND -13 JAC 3 at IND 23 IND U (49) 9/21/14 JAC +6 IND 44 at JAC 17 IND O (45½) 12/29/13 IND -11½ JAC 10 at IND 30 IND U (45) 9/29/13 JAC +9 IND 37 at JAC 3 IND U (42½) 11/8/12 JAC +3 IND 27 at JAC 10 IND U (43½) 9/23/12 IND -3 JAC 22 at IND 17 JAC U (42) 1/1/12 JAC -3 IND 13 at JAC 19 JAC U (36½) 11/13/11 IND +3 JAC 17 at IND 3 JAC U (37½) 12/19/10 IND -4½ JAC 24 at IND 34 IND O (48) 10/3/10 JAC +7 IND 28 at JAC 31 JAC O (45½) betting system: Underdogs or pick - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 35 points or more last game. (53-21 ATS) Play = JACKSONVILLE against the spread JACKSONVILLE is 0-8 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L2 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 1-10 ATS in the first month of the season over the L3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 4-15 ATS in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS versus division opponents over the L3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the L2 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 24-7 UNDER at home versus DEFs allowing <=3.5 rushing YPC since Jacksonville Jaguars 15 Indianapolis Colts 25 NFC South Divisional Showdown Carolina Panthers Line: CAROLINA BY 3 (257) CAROLINA (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) at (258) TAMPA BAY (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers CAROLINA (4.0) (6.5) (5.3) (3.3) (5.3) (4.6) TAMPA BAY (3.6) (7.1) (5.4) (3.9) (6.8) (5.3) 1 1 EVEN TB is 4-6 SU & 5-5 ATS in its L10 games. CAR 12/14/14 CAR -3½ TB 17 at CAR 19 TB U (41) 9/7/14 TB -5 CAR 20 at TB 14 CAR U (38½) 12/1/13 CAR -7 TB 6 at CAR 27 CAR U (41) 10/24/13 TB +6½ CAR 31 at TB 13 CAR O (39½) 11/18/12 CAR -1 TB 27 at CAR 21 TB P (48) 9/9/12 TB +3 CAR 10 at TB 16 TB U (45½) 12/24/11 CAR -7½ TB 16 at CAR 48 CAR O (48) 12/4/11 TB +2½ CAR 38 at TB 19 CAR O (46) 11/14/10 TB -7 CAR 16 at TB 31 TB O (37) 9/19/10 CAR -4 TB 20 at CAR 7 TB U (37½) betting system: Road teams - off a win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season. (6-28 ATS) Play = TAMPA BAY against the spread CAROLINA is UNDER off a win against a division rival since CAROLINA is 8-0 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points over the L3 seasons. CAROLINA is ATS. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since TAMPA BAY is UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest since TAMPA BAY is ATS in October games since TAMPA BAY is 9-2 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons. Carolina Panthers 20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 5

6 NFC East Divisional Showdown Philadelphia Washington Eagles Redskins Line: PHILADELPHIA BY 3½ (263) PHILADELPHIA (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (264) WASHINGTON (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA (2.7) (5.7) (4.5) (3.2) (6.5) (5.1) WASHINGTON (4.6) (6.4) (5.6) (3.6) (6.2) (5.1) WAS is 4-6 SU & 5-5 ATS in its L10 games. PHI 12/20/14 WAS +7 PHI 24 at WAS 27 WAS P (51) 9/21/14 PHI -4 WAS 34 at PHI 37 WAS O (50) 11/17/13 PHI -4½ WAS 16 at PHI 24 PHI U (54½) 9/9/13 WAS -4 PHI 33 at WAS 27 PHI O (51½) 12/23/12 PHI +4½ WAS 27 at PHI 20 WAS O (46) 11/18/12 WAS -3½ PHI 6 at WAS 31 WAS U (45½) 1/1/12 PHI -7 WAS 10 at PHI 34 PHI U (44½) 10/16/11 WAS +2½ PHI 20 at WAS 13 PHI U (46½) 11/15/10 WAS +3½ PHI 59 at WAS 28 PHI O (43½) 10/3/10 PHI -5½ WAS 17 at PHI 12 WAS U (44½) betting system: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. ( Under) Play = Under the total PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS away after gaining <=4 less YPP in previous game since PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 under the 1H total as a favorite over the L3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is OVER off an upset win as a road underdog since WASHINGTON is ATS at home when playing a team with a losing record since WASHINGTON is 5-19 ATS at home when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS. poor passing DEF - allowing 235+ passing YPG over L2 seasons. Philadelphia Eagles 27 Washington Redskins 20 NFC West Divisional Showdown St. Louis Rams Line: ARIZONA BY 6½ (273) ST LOUIS (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (274) ARIZONA (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 4:25 PM Arizona Cardinals ST LOUIS (3.8) (6.9) (5.7) (4.0) (6.2) (5.2) ARIZONA (4.2) (9.1) (6.6) (3.5) (6.4) (5.1) ARI is 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in its L10 games. STL 12/11/14 STL -6 ARI 12 at STL 6 ARI U (40½) 11/9/14 ARI -7 STL 14 at ARI 31 ARI O (43½) 12/8/13 ARI -4 STL 10 at ARI 30 ARI U (40½) 9/8/13 STL -3½ ARI 24 at STL 27 ARI O (43) 11/25/12 ARI -1 STL 31 at ARI 17 STL O (36) 10/4/12 STL +1½ ARI 3 at STL 17 STL U (37½) 11/27/11 STL -2½ ARI 23 at STL 20 ARI O (40) 11/6/11 ARI -1 STL 13 at ARI 19 ARI U (42) 12/5/10 ARI +3 STL 19 at ARI 6 STL U (44) 9/12/10 STL +3 ARI 17 at STL 13 ARI U (39½) 6 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games betting system: Road teams against the total - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG), after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. (65-27 Over) Play = Over the total ST LOUIS is 0-10 ATS away. very good offensive teams - scoring 27+ PPG since ST LOUIS is 7-24 ATS away. good offensive teams - scoring 24+ points/game since ST LOUIS is 0-8 ATS away. incredible offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game since ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS after a win by 10 or more points over the L2 seasons. ARIZONA is 20-8 ATS against conference opponents over the L3 seasons. ARIZONA is 11-2 OVER after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games since St. Louis Rams 19 Arizona Cardinals 20

7 Kansas City Chiefs Cincinnati Bengals (-3½) (265) KANSAS CITY (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (266) CINCINNATI (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM K.C. (thru Week 2) EVEN (4.0) (6.9) (5.5) (3.7) (5.8) (5.1) CINCINNATI (4.0) (9.3) (6.5) (3.9) (6.5) (5.6) HEAD-TO-HEAD: CINCINNATI is 3 1 SU & 2 2 ATS. KANSAS CITY since 2007, which includes a 1 1 ATS mark (2 0 SU) at home. StatFox Power trends: KANSAS CITY is OVER. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse since KANSAS CITY is 15-4 UNDER away. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. since KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the L2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 14-2 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since CINCINNATI is ATS after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS at home in games played over the L3 seasons. KEY COACHING TREND: KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS versus awful passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 64% or worse - with Andy Reid as head coach. Kansas City Chiefs 19 Cincinnati Bengals 24 Cleveland Browns San Diego Chargers (-7½) (267) CLEVELAND (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (268) SAN DIEGO (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 4:05 PM CLEVELAND (3.6) (7.2) (5.6) (4.9) (7.7) (6.3) SAN DIEGO (3.8) (8.2) (6.3) (4.9) (7.1) (5.9) HEAD-TO-HEAD: SAN DIEGO is 1 1 SU & 0 2 ATS. CLEVELAND since 2007 (both games were played in Cleveland). StatFox Power trends: CLEVELAND is 7-0 ATS after a loss against the spread over the L2 seasons. CLEVELAND is UNDER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game since CLEVELAND is 8-1 UNDER. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the L2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 20-7 UNDER against conference opponents over the L3 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 1-8 ATS. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the L2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play since Betting System: Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - after a loss by 10 or more points against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. (20-54 ATS) Play = CLEVELAND against the spread Cleveland Browns 18 San Diego Chargers 25 Green Bay Packers (- 9½) San Francisco 49ers (269) GREEN BAY (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) at (270) SAN FRANCISCO (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 4:25 PM GREEN BAY (thru Week 2) (4.4) (7.6) (5.9) (5.3) (6.3) (5.9) SAN FRANCISCO (4.5) (5.7) (5.1) (3.7) (9.4) (6.8) HEAD-TO-HEAD: SAN FRANCISCO is 4 2 SU & ATS. GREEN BAY since 2007, which includes a 2 0 ATS mark (2 0 SU) at home. StatFox Power trends: GREEN BAY is 12-2 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 22-7 OVER away versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since GREEN BAY is OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS at home after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-16 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games since Betting System: Underdogs or pick - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/ game, after allowing 35 points or more last game. (53-21 ATS) Play = SAN FRANCISCO against the spread Green Bay Packers 27 San Francisco 49ers 19 s u p e r s i t u at i o n s Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.). Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - with a poor first half defense points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. The situation s record is 26-5 over the last 10 seasons (83.9%, units). R at i n g = * * * Play Against - Road teams (CAROLINA) - off a win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season. The situation s record is 28-6 over the last 5 seasons (82.4%, units). R at i n g = * * * Play On - Home favorites (CIN- CINNATI) - after beating spread by 21+ points total in their last three games. opponent after going over total by 21+ points total in their last three games. The situation s record is 24-5 over the last 5 seasons (82.8%, units). R at i n g = * * * Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 7

8 Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saints (- 4) (275) DALLAS (SU: 2-1, ATS: 1-2) at (276) NEW ORLEANS (SU: 0-3, ATS: 1-2) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 8:30 PM DALLAS EVEN (4.2) (7.9) (6.3) (3.6) (6.3) (5.3) NEW ORLEANS (3.2) (7.1) (5.7) (4.2) (9.7) (6.8) HEAD-TO-HEAD: NEW ORLEANS is 3 2 SU & 2 3 ATS. DALLAS since 2007, which includes a 1 1 ATS mark (1 1 SU) at home. StatFox Power trends: NEW ORLEANS is 7-26 ATS at home after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since NEW ORLEANS is OVER at home after a loss by 6 or less points since NEW ORLEANS is ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since DALLAS is 8-0 ATS away when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons. DALLAS is 7-0 ATS away after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons. DALLAS is 9-1 OVER away. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the L3 seasons. Betting System: Home underdogs or pick - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record. ( ATS) Play = NEW ORLEANS against the spread Dallas Cowboys 32 New Orleans Saints 25 Detroit Lions Seattle Seahawks (- 9½) (277) DETROIT (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-3) at (278) SEATTLE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Monday, 10/5/2015 8:30 PM DETROIT (2.6) (6.1) (5.1) (3.7) (8.4) (6.2) SEATTLE (4.7) (6.3) (5.5) (3.7) (7.2) (5.4) HEAD-TO-HEAD: SEATTLE is 1 1 SU & 1 1 ATS. DETROIT since 2007, which includes a 1 0 ATS mark (1 0 SU) at home. StatFox Power trends: DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER away against conference opponents over the L3 seasons. DETROIT is 4-18 ATS away against NFC West division opponents since DETROIT is 8-0 UNDER away in games played on turf over the L3 seasons. SEATTLE is 26-8 ATS. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS at home versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 yards/game since SEATTLE is ATS in October games since Betting System: Any team against the total - outrushed by their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. (63-29 Over) Play = Over the total Detroit Lions 14 Seattle Seahawks 25 Houston Texans Atlanta Falcons (- 6½) (255) HOUSTON (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) at (256) ATLANTA (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM HOUSTON (3.8) (5.3) (4.7) (3.8) (6.3) (5.3) ATLANTA (3.6) (7.9) (6.0) (4.8) (7.2) (6.4) StatFox Power trends: HOUSTON is 18-5 UNDER away after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since HOUSTON is 5-15 ATS in dome games since HOUSTON is UNDER after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since ATLANTA is 0-13 ATS at home after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since ATLANTA is 1-14 ATS at home after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since ATLANTA is 11-0 UNDER after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since Betting System: Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season. (51-20 Under) Play = Under the total Houston Texans 21 Atlanta Falcons 21 S I T U AT I O N A L t e a m p ow e r t r e n d s The StatFox Situational Team Power Trends uncover situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, etc.) ST LOUIS is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in road games. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game since The average score was ST LOUIS 13.5, OPPONENT PLAY ON ARIZONA R at i n g = * * * * ATLANTA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since The average score was ATLANTA 17.9, OPPONENT PLAY ON HOUSTON R at i n g = * * * * CHICAGO is ATS (-29.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play since The average score was CHICAGO 18.6, OPPONENT PLAY ON OAKLAND R at i n g = * * * 8 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

9 New York Giants Buffalo Bills (-6) (259) NY GIANTS (SU: 1-2, ATS: 2-1) at (260) BUFFALO (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM NY GIANTS (3.6) (7.0) (5.6) (3.4) (7.2) (6.0) BUFFALO (4.7) (8.5) (6.4) (4.3) (6.2) (5.8) StatFox Power trends: NY GIANTS are 12-2 ATS away against AFC East division opponents since NY GIANTS are UNDER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since NY GIANTS are UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since BUFFALO is 9-25 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER at home after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since BUFFALO is OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - in a game involving two teams with good turnover differentials (+0.75/game or better). (50-20 Over) Play = Over the total New York Giants 18 Buffalo Bills 26 Oakland Raiders (-3) Chicago Bears (261) OAKLAND (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) at (262) CHICAGO (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-3) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 1:00 PM OAKLAND (4.8) (7.0) (6.3) (3.9) (7.6) (6.3) 1 1 EVEN CHICAGO (4.5) (5.7) (5.2) (4.7) (7.6) (6.0) StatFox Power trends: CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS in home lined games over the L3 seasons. OAKLAND is ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since OAKLAND is ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 since CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS at home in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons. CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less over the L3 seasons. CHICAGO is ATS in all lined games over the L3 seasons. Betting System: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. (5-26 ATS) Play = OAKLAND against the spread Oakland Raiders 22 Chicago Bears 22 Minnesota Vikings Denver Broncos (- 6½) (271) MINNESOTA (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) at (272) DENVER (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) - Sunday, 10/4/2015 4:25 PM MINNESOTA (4.8) (6.1) (5.3) (4.3) (6.1) (5.3) DENVER (2.6) (5.5) (4.5) (3.5) (5.2) (4.5) StatFox Power trends: MINNESOTA is 20-7 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 25-9 OVER away. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season since MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons. DENVER is 25-6 OVER at home versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since DENVER is 8-0 OVER in October games over the L3 seasons. DENVER is 15-3 OVER after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since Betting System: Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. (35-10 ATS) Play = MINNESOTA against the spread Minnesota Vikings 19 Denver Broncos 24 StatFox.com Our popular FoxSheets are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. Log on to STATFOX.com and start winning today! Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 9

10 The Platinum Sheet Top NFL Statistical Edges - Week 4 Here is a listing of the top team statistical edges when compared head-to-head with their opponents. Keep track of the ATS wins and losses of the top teams for each of the various statistics to determine if any particular category stands out in terms of success. OFFENSIVE STATISTICS DEFENSIVE STATISTICS OFF/DEF DIFFERENTIALS Points Scored (PPG) Points Allowed (PPG) Scoring Differential (PPG) 1. ARIZONA ( STL): GREEN BAY ( SF): ARIZONA ( STL): GREEN BAY ( SF): NY JETS ( MIA): GREEN BAY ( SF): ATLANTA ( HOU): PITTSBURGH ( BAL): CAROLINA ( TB): OAKLAND ( CHI): CAROLINA ( TB): OAKLAND ( CHI): BUFFALO ( NYG): SEATTLE ( DET): NY JETS ( MIA): CAROLINA ( TB): CINCINNATI ( KC): SEATTLE ( DET): SEATTLE ( DET): OAKLAND ( CHI): PITTSBURGH ( BAL): Rushing Yards Gained (RYPG) 1. SEATTLE ( DET): MINNESOTA ( DEN): WASHINGTON ( PHI): BUFFALO ( NYG): ARIZONA ( STL): CAROLINA ( TB): DALLAS ( NO): Rushing Yards Allowed (RYPG) 1. CAROLINA ( TB): SAN FRANCISCO ( GB): OAKLAND ( CHI): NY JETS ( MIA): DALLAS ( NO): DENVER ( MIN): ARIZONA ( STL): Rushing Yds Differential (RYPG) 1. SEATTLE ( DET): CAROLINA ( TB): WASHINGTON ( PHI): ARIZONA ( STL): SAN FRANCISCO ( GB): DALLAS ( NO): NY JETS ( MIA): Yards Per Rush Gained (YPR) 1. MINNESOTA ( DEN): SEATTLE ( DET): WASHINGTON ( PHI): BUFFALO ( NYG): DALLAS ( NO): INDIANAPOLIS ( JAC): PITTSBURGH ( BAL): +0.6 Yards Per Rush Allowed (YPR) 1. SAN FRANCISCO ( GB): HOUSTON ( ATL): DENVER ( MIN): NY GIANTS ( BUF): OAKLAND ( CHI): NY JETS ( MIA): CAROLINA ( TB): +0.6 Yards Per Rush Differential (YPR) 1. SEATTLE ( DET): SAN FRANCISCO ( GB): DALLAS ( NO): WASHINGTON ( PHI): MINNESOTA ( DEN): HOUSTON ( ATL): OAKLAND ( CHI): +1.1 Passing Yards Gained (PYPG) 1. OAKLAND ( CHI): DENVER ( MIN): CINCINNATI ( KC): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): ARIZONA ( STL): ATLANTA ( HOU): DETROIT ( SEA): Passing Yards Allowed (PYPG) 1. CHICAGO ( OAK): SEATTLE ( DET): GREEN BAY ( SF): WASHINGTON ( PHI): DENVER ( MIN): HOUSTON ( ATL): NY JETS ( MIA): Passing Yds Differential (PYPG) 1. DENVER ( MIN): GREEN BAY ( SF): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): CINCINNATI ( KC): WASHINGTON ( PHI): ARIZONA ( STL): PITTSBURGH ( BAL): Yards Per Pass Attempted (PYA) 1. PITTSBURGH ( BAL): ATLANTA ( HOU): CINCINNATI ( KC): ARIZONA ( STL): GREEN BAY ( SF): BUFFALO ( NYG): OAKLAND ( CHI): +1.3 Yards Per Pass Allowed (PYA) 1. DALLAS ( NO): GREEN BAY ( SF): NY JETS ( MIA): CAROLINA ( TB): SEATTLE ( DET): BUFFALO ( NYG): DENVER ( MIN): +0.9 Yards Per Pass Differential (PYA) 1. GREEN BAY ( SF): DALLAS ( NO): PITTSBURGH ( BAL): BUFFALO ( NYG): ARIZONA ( STL): ATLANTA ( HOU): CINCINNATI ( KC): +1.7 Total Yards Gained (TYPG) 1. ARIZONA ( STL): OAKLAND ( CHI): CINCINNATI ( KC): WASHINGTON ( PHI): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): ATLANTA ( HOU): SEATTLE ( DET): Total Yards Allowed (TYPG) 1. SEATTLE ( DET): DENVER ( MIN): NY JETS ( MIA): CHICAGO ( OAK): WASHINGTON ( PHI): DALLAS ( NO): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): Total Yds Differential (TYPG) 1. WASHINGTON ( PHI): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): SEATTLE ( DET): ARIZONA ( STL): CINCINNATI ( KC): DENVER ( MIN): DALLAS ( NO): Yards Per Play Attempted (YPP) 1. PITTSBURGH ( BAL): ATLANTA ( HOU): OAKLAND ( CHI): CINCINNATI ( KC): WASHINGTON ( PHI): ARIZONA ( STL): GREEN BAY ( SF): +0.9 Yards Per Play Allowed (YPP) 1. DENVER ( MIN): SEATTLE ( DET): SAN DIEGO ( CLE): NY JETS ( MIA): ARIZONA ( STL): WASHINGTON ( PHI): CAROLINA ( TB): +1.3 Yards Per Play Differential (YPP) 1. SAN DIEGO ( CLE): WASHINGTON ( PHI): ARIZONA ( STL): SEATTLE ( DET): DENVER ( MIN): CINCINNATI ( KC): DALLAS ( NO): Turnovers Committed Per Game (TOPG) 1. JACKSONVILLE ( IND): SEATTLE ( DET): GREEN BAY ( SF): CINCINNATI ( KC): +1.2 Turnovers Forced Per Game (TOPG) 1. NY JETS ( MIA): PHILADELPHIA ( WAS): ARIZONA ( STL): DENVER ( MIN): +1.3 Turnover Differential (TODiff) 1. NY JETS ( MIA): PHILADELPHIA ( WAS): GREEN BAY ( SF): CINCINNATI ( KC): +1.7

11 The Platinum Sheet presents the week s Staff Picks Week 5 College Football Matchups: october 1-3 StatFox dave StatFox GARY StatFox SCOTT StatFox BRIAN StatFox forecaster StatFox consensus (103) MIAMI FLORIDA at (104) CINCINNATI +6 MIAMI FLORIDA CLICK FOR BEST BET MIAMI FLORIDA CINCINNATI CINCINNATI (105) MEMPHIS at (106) SOUTH FLORIDA +9½ SOUTH FLORIDA MEMPHIS CLICK FOR BEST BET SOUTH FLORIDA MEMPHIS (109) CONNECTICUT at (110) BYU -18½ CLICK FOR BEST BET BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU (135) WEST VIRGINIA at (136) OKLAHOMA -6½ WEST VIRGINIA OKLAHOMA CLICK FOR BEST BET WEST VIRGINIA WEST VIRGINIA WEST VIRGINIA (137) IOWA at (138) WISCONSIN -6½ CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET IOWA WISCONSIN WISCONSIN (139) PITTSBURGH at (140) VIRGINIA TECH -4½ CLICK FOR BEST BET PITTSBURGH VIRGINIA TECH CLICK FOR BEST BET PITTSBURGH (141) MISSISSIPPI STATE at (142) TEXAS A&M -7 TEXAS A&M TEXAS A&M MISSISSIPPI STATE CLICK FOR BEST BET MISSISSIPPI STATE (151) ARIZONA STATE at (152) UCLA -13 UCLA ARIZONA STATE UCLA ARIZONA STATE UCLA UCLA (153) ARIZONA at (154) STANFORD -17½ STANFORD ARIZONA STANFORD ARIZONA ARIZONA ARIZONA (155) TEXAS at (156) TCU -15 CLICK FOR BEST BET TCU TCU TEXAS TCU TCU (159) ALABAMA at (160) GEORGIA -2 ALABAMA ALABAMA CLICK FOR BEST BET ALABAMA GEORGIA ALABAMA (161) OLE MISS at (162) FLORIDA +7½ FLORIDA FLORIDA OLE MISS OLE MISS FLORIDA FLORIDA (171) TEXAS TECH. (172) BAYLOR -14½ BAYLOR TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH (187) SOUTH CAROLINA at (188) MISSOURI -4 MISSOURI SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH CAROLINA MISSOURI MISSOURI MISSOURI (193) ARKANSAS at (194) TENNESSEE -6 ARKANSAS CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET ARKANSAS ARKANSAS ARKANSAS (211) NOTRE DAME at (212) CLEMSON -1 CLEMSON CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET CLEMSON StatFox.com Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content Our popular FoxSheets are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. Log on to STATFOX.com and start winning today! 2015 college football STAFF PICKs STANDINGS All Games W L T Pct Last Week StatFox Gary % StatFox % StatFox Dave % StatFox Brian % CFB ATS Best Bets W L T Pct Last Week StatFox Gary % StatFox Brian % 1-4 StatFox Dave % 3-4 StatFox Scott % 1-5 StatFox Scott % StatFox Consensus %

12 The Platinum Sheet StatFox College Football Power Rating Lines - Week 5 ** The StatFox Power Ratings are determined from a formula that is takes into account several key factors, including point margins, difficulty of schedule, team statistics and more. The ratings are typically not as reactive as those you will find elsewhere, and thus prove to be a great long term handicapping tool. Here are the StatFox Power Rating lines and edges for this week's games, with our exclusive home field advantage points built into each home team's rating and corresponding line. Note that the point edge between the Power Rating Line and the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the column to keep track of the winners and losers. ABBREVIATIONS: OL - Opening Line PR - StatFox Power Rating - adjusted for home field advantage. PRL - Calculated Power Rating Line Thu - 10/1,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 103 MIAMI CINCINNATI 42 1 Fri - 10/2,10:15 PM OL PR PRL Edge 109 CONNECTICUT BYU Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 115 BOWLING GREEN BUFFALO Sat - 10/3,2:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 121 OHIO U AKRON Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 127 PURDUE MICHIGAN ST Sat - 10/3,12:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 133 LOUISVILLE NC STATE Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 139 PITTSBURGH VIRGINIA TECH Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 145 W KENTUCKY RICE Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 151 ARIZONA ST UCLA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 157 AIR FORCE NAVY Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 163 BOSTON COLLEGE DUKE Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 169 N ILLINOIS C MICHIGAN 31 Sat - 10/3,10:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 175 OREGON COLORADO 35 Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 181 IDAHO ARKANSAS ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 187 S CAROLINA MISSOURI Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 193 ARKANSAS TENNESSEE Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 199 S ALABAMA TROY Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 205 MICHIGAN MARYLAND 30 Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 211 NOTRE DAME CLEMSON Fri - 10/2,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 105 MEMPHIS S FLORIDA 29 Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 111 N CAROLINA GEORGIA TECH Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 117 TOLEDO BALL ST 31 0 Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 123 MIAMI OHIO KENT ST Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 129 FLA INTERNATION MASSACHUSETTS Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 135 W VIRGINIA OKLAHOMA Sat - 10/3,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 141 MISSISSIPPI ST TEXAS A&M Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 147 KANSAS ST OKLAHOMA ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 153 ARIZONA STANFORD Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 159 ALABAMA GEORGIA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 165 NEBRASKA ILLINOIS Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 171 TEXAS TECH BAYLOR Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 177 WASHINGTON ST CALIFORNIA Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 183 LA LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA TECH Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 189 E MICHIGAN LSU Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 195 E CAROLINA SMU 21 Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 201 GA SOUTHERN LA MONROE 28 5 Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 207 COLORADO ST UTAH ST Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 213 NEW MEXICO ST NEW MEXICO Fri - 10/2,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 107 TEMPLE CHARLOTTE 5 Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 113 ARMY PENN ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 119 WYOMING APPALACHIAN ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 125 KANSAS IOWA ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 131 MINNESOTA NORTHWESTERN Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 137 IOWA WISCONSIN Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 143 UCF TULANE 24 Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 149 HOUSTON TULSA 28 Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 155 TEXAS TCU Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 161 OLE MISS FLORIDA 49 0 Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 167 OHIO ST INDIANA 32 Sat - 10/3,10:15 PM OL PR PRL Edge 173 HAWAII BOISE ST Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 179 SAN JOSE ST AUBURN Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 185 VANDERBILT MIDDLE TENN ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 191 OLD DOMINION MARSHALL Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 197 NORTH TEXAS SOUTHERN MISS Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge 203 FLORIDA ST WAKE FOREST 31 Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 209 UTSA UTEP Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge 215 UNLV NEVADA

13 Top College Football Statistical Edges - Week 5 The Platinum Sheet Here is a listing of the top team statistical edges when compared head-to-head with their opponents. Keep track of the ATS wins and losses of the top teams for each of the various statistics to determine if any particular category stands out in terms of success. OFFENSIVE STATISTICS DEFENSIVE STATISTICS OFF/DEF DIFFERENTIALS Points Scored (PPG) Points Allowed (PPG) Scoring Differential (PPG) 1. MEMPHIS ( USF): COLORADO ( ORE): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): MIDDLE TENN ST ( VAN): MICHIGAN ( MD): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): TCU ( TEX): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): BOISE ST ( HAW): OLE MISS ( FLA): FLA INTERNATIONAL ( MAS): TCU ( TEX): COLORADO ST ( UTS): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): NC STATE ( LOU): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): OHIO ST ( IND): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): BOISE ST ( HAW): BUFFALO ( BG): MARSHALL ( ODU): Rushing Yards Gained (RYPG) 1. GA SOUTHERN ( LAM): BAYLOR ( TT): ARIZONA ( STA): RICE ( ): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): LSU ( EMU): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): Rushing Yards Allowed (RYPG) 1. LSU ( EMU): HOUSTON ( TLS): BOISE ST ( HAW): FLA INTERNATIONAL ( MAS): ARKANSAS ST ( IDA): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): NC STATE ( LOU): Rushing Yds Differential (RYPG) 1. LSU ( EMU): GA SOUTHERN ( LAM): BAYLOR ( TT): HOUSTON ( TLS): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): BOISE ST ( HAW): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): Yards Per Rush Gained (YPR) 1. GA SOUTHERN ( LAM): ARIZONA ( STA): NOTRE DAME ( CLM): S CAROLINA ( MIZ): FLORIDA ST ( WF): BAYLOR ( TT): N ILLINOIS ( CM): +1.6 Yards Per Rush Allowed (YPR) 1. LSU ( EMU): HOUSTON ( TLS): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): BOISE ST ( HAW): ARKANSAS ST ( IDA): FLA INTERNATIONAL ( MAS): MISSOURI ( SC): +2.5 Yards Per Rush Differential (YPR) 1. GA SOUTHERN ( LAM): LSU ( EMU): HOUSTON ( TLS): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): BAYLOR ( TT): BOISE ST ( HAW): NC STATE ( LOU): +3.1 Passing Yards Gained (PYPG) 1. TCU ( TEX): BOWLING GREEN ( BUF): MEMPHIS ( USF): W KENTUCKY ( RIC): LA MONROE ( ): NEW MEXICO ST ( NM): E MICHIGAN ( LSU): Passing Yards Allowed (PYPG) 1. OHIO ST ( IND): ILLINOIS ( NEB): KENT ST ( MOH): MICHIGAN ( MD): BAYLOR ( TT): E CAROLINA ( SMU): S FLORIDA ( MEM): Passing Yds Differential (PYPG) 1. TCU ( TEX): LA MONROE ( ): E MICHIGAN ( LSU): N CAROLINA ( GAT): OKLAHOMA ST ( KSU): E CAROLINA ( SMU): SAN JOSE ST ( AUB): Yards Per Pass Attempted (PYA) 1. MEMPHIS ( USF): GEORGIA ( ALA): ARMY ( PSU): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): BAYLOR ( TT): STANFORD ( ARI): W KENTUCKY ( RIC): +2.7 Yards Per Pass Allowed (PYA) 1. ARKANSAS ST ( IDA): IOWA ST ( KAN): OHIO ST ( IND): FLORIDA ST ( WF): MICHIGAN ( MD): W KENTUCKY ( RIC): ILLINOIS ( NEB): +2.8 Yards Per Pass Differential (PYA) 1. SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): W KENTUCKY ( RIC): IOWA ST ( KAN): ARKANSAS ST ( IDA): STANFORD ( ARI): GEORGIA ( ALA): BAYLOR ( TT): +4.2 Total Yards Gained (TYPG) 1. TCU ( TEX): BOWLING GREEN ( BUF): MEMPHIS ( USF): BAYLOR ( TT): COLORADO ST ( UTS): CINCINNATI ( MIA): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): Total Yards Allowed (TYPG) 1. MICHIGAN ( MD): KENT ST ( MOH): BAYLOR ( TT): OHIO ST ( IND): FLA INTERNATIONAL ( MAS): HOUSTON ( TLS): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): Total Yds Differential (TYPG) 1. BAYLOR ( TT): TCU ( TEX): BOISE ST ( HAW): MICHIGAN ( MD): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): KENT ST ( MOH): NC STATE ( LOU): Yards Per Play Attempted (YPP) 1. GEORGIA ( ALA): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): NEBRASKA ( ILL): GA SOUTHERN ( LAM): W KENTUCKY ( RIC): NOTRE DAME ( CLM): OLE MISS ( FLA): +1.7 Yards Per Play Allowed (YPP) 1. KENT ST ( MOH): MICHIGAN ( MD): TCU ( TEX): BAYLOR ( TT): NEW MEXICO ( NMS): BOISE ST ( HAW): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): +2.9 Yards Per Play Differential (YPP) 1. BAYLOR ( TT): TCU ( TEX): BOISE ST ( HAW): MICHIGAN ( MD): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): KENT ST ( MOH): LSU ( EMU): +2.7 Turnovers Committed Per Game (TOPG) 1. TEMPLE ( CHA): MIAMI ( CIN): NC STATE ( LOU): SOUTHERN MISS ( NTX): +2.1 Turnovers Forced Per Game (TOPG) 1. W VIRGINIA ( OKL): MIAMI ( CIN): APPALACHIAN ST ( WYO): VIRGINIA TECH ( PIT): +2.1 Turnover Differential (TODiff) MIAMI ( CIN): W VIRGINIA ( OKL): TEMPLE ( CHA): VIRGINIA TECH ( PIT): +2.8

14 The Platinum Sheet Statfox College Football Outplay Factor Rating Lines - Week 5 ** The Outplay Factor Ratings made famous by StatFox are a great Team Strength Indicator as they provide a quantitative measure of how teams are outplaying (+ value) or being outplayed by (- value) their opponents. They are determined by a complicated formula that takes into account a team's points for/against as compared to how their previous opponents have fared. Here are the StatFox Team Outplay Factor Ratings and the corresponding game lines derived from them. Note that the point edge between the Outplay Factor Rating Line and the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the column to keep track of the winners and losers. ABBREVIATIONS: OL - Opening Line OF - StatFox Outplay Factor Rating - adjusted for home field advantage. OFL - Calculated Outplay Factor Line Thu - 10/1,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 103 MIAMI CINCINNATI Fri - 10/2,10:15 PM OL OF OFL Edge 109 CONNECTICUT BYU Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 115 BOWLING GREEN BUFFALO Sat - 10/3,2:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 121 OHIO U AKRON 22 Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 127 PURDUE MICHIGAN ST Sat - 10/3,12:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 133 LOUISVILLE NC STATE Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 139 PITTSBURGH VIRGINIA TECH Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 145 W KENTUCKY RICE 20 Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 151 ARIZONA ST UCLA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 157 AIR FORCE NAVY Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 163 BOSTON COLLEGE DUKE Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 169 N ILLINOIS C MICHIGAN 30 Sat - 10/3,10:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 175 OREGON COLORADO Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 181 IDAHO ARKANSAS ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 187 S CAROLINA MISSOURI Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 193 ARKANSAS TENNESSEE Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 199 S ALABAMA TROY Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 205 MICHIGAN MARYLAND 26 Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 211 NOTRE DAME CLEMSON Fri - 10/2,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 105 MEMPHIS S FLORIDA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 111 N CAROLINA GEORGIA TECH Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 117 TOLEDO BALL ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 123 MIAMI OHIO KENT ST Sat - 10/3,3:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 129 FLA INTERNATIONA MASSACHUSETTS Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 135 W VIRGINIA OKLAHOMA Sat - 10/3,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 141 MISSISSIPPI ST TEXAS A&M Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 147 KANSAS ST OKLAHOMA ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 153 ARIZONA STANFORD Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 159 ALABAMA GEORGIA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 165 NEBRASKA ILLINOIS Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 171 TEXAS TECH BAYLOR Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 177 WASHINGTON ST CALIFORNIA Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 183 LA LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA TECH Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 189 E MICHIGAN LSU Sat - 10/3,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 195 E CAROLINA SMU Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 201 GA SOUTHERN LA MONROE 20 Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 207 COLORADO ST UTAH ST Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 213 NEW MEXICO ST NEW MEXICO Fri - 10/2,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 107 TEMPLE CHARLOTTE Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 113 ARMY PENN ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 119 WYOMING APPALACHIAN ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 125 KANSAS IOWA ST Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 131 MINNESOTA NORTHWESTERN Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 137 IOWA WISCONSIN Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 143 UCF TULANE 16-7 Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 149 HOUSTON TULSA Sat - 10/3,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 155 TEXAS TCU Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 161 OLE MISS FLORIDA Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 167 OHIO ST INDIANA Sat - 10/3,10:15 PM OL OF OFL Edge 173 HAWAII BOISE ST Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 179 SAN JOSE ST AUBURN Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 185 VANDERBILT MIDDLE TENN ST Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 191 OLD DOMINION MARSHALL Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 197 NORTH TEXAS SOUTHERN MISS Sat - 10/3,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge 203 FLORIDA ST WAKE FOREST 29 Sat - 10/3,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 209 UTSA UTEP 9 Sat - 10/3,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge 215 UNLV NEVADA

15 FIND THE RIGHT SHOPS... FROM THE RIGHT SOURCE!

16 Co l l eg e F o ot b a l l W e e k 5 : O C TO B E R 1-3 Miami FLorida (-6) Cincinnati (103) MIAMI (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-0-1) at (104) CINCINNATI (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-3) - Thursday, 10/1/2015 7:30 PM MIAMI (5.4) (8.1) (6.7) (4.3) (5.6) (4.9) CINCINNATI (4.9) (8.5) (6.8) (4.6) (7.5) (5.8) Miami 28 Cincinnati 37 Al Golden is 10-0 ATS away after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Al Golden is 11-2 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as coach of MIAMI. Tommy Tuberville is 1-9 ATS at home after game with 50 or more pass attempts. Memphis (-9½) South FloridA (105) MEMPHIS (SU: 4-0, ATS: 2-2) at (106) S FLORIDA (SU: 1-2, ATS: 2-1) - Friday, 10/2/2015 7:00 PM MEMPHIS (4.6) (11.0) (7.0) (3.4) (7.8) (5.8) S FLORIDA (5.0) (6.5) (5.5) (3.5) (6.4) (4.9) Memphis 33 South Florida 19 Willie Taggart is 8-0 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs as coach of S FLORIDA. Willie Taggart is 13-3 UNDER against conference opponents as coach of S FLORIDA. Willie Taggart is 7-0 UNDER versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game as coach of S FLORIDA. Connecticut BYU (-18½) (109) CONNECTICUT (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (110) BYU (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) - Friday, 10/2/ :15 PM CONNECTICUT (2.9) (8.1) (5.1) (4.2) (6.5) (4.9) 0 1 EVEN BYU (3.2) (6.6) (5.0) (4.7) (7.2) (5.8) Connecticut 13 BYU 35 Bronco Mendenhall is 13-4 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game as coach of BYU. CONNECTICUT is 4-12 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 3-10 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons. Notre Dame Clemson (-1) (211) NOTRE DAME (SU: 4-0, ATS: 3-1) at (212) CLEMSON (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 8:00 PM NOTRE DAME (6.7) (8.9) (7.6) (4.1) (6.1) (5.1) 0 0 EVEN CLEMSON (4.4) (7.8) (5.9) (2.9) (5.4) (4.0) 0 2 EVEN Notre Dame 21 Clemson 32 Brian Kelly is 13-2 UNDER versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry as coach of NOTRE DAME. CLEMSON is 10-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the L2 seasons. Brian Kelly is 14-3 UNDER away off a home win as coach of NOTRE DAME. Pittsburgh Virginia TEch (-4½) (139) PITTSBURGH (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) at (140) VIRGINIA TECH (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM PITTSBURGH (4.4) (7.3) (5.5) (3.4) (5.9) (4.7) VIRGINIA TECH (4.5) (8.5) (6.1) (5.5) (6.8) (6.0) Pittsburgh 27 Virginia Tech 24 Frank Beamer is 25-8 UNDER at home. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58%+ as coach of VIRGINIA TECH. Frank Beamer is 9-1 UNDER after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as coach of VIRGINIA TECH. PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons. 16 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

17 Co l l eg e F o ot b a l l W e e k 5 : O C TO B E R 3 r d B i g 1 2 S H OW D OW N S West Virginia Oklahoma Mountaineers Sooners Line: Oklahoma BY 6½ (135) W VIRGINIA (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) at (136) OKLAHOMA (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM W VIRGINIA (4.6) (10.2) (6.8) (4.0) (5.6) (4.7) OKLAHOMA (4.3) (9.4) (6.7) (3.4) (5.9) (4.6) Head-to-Head: Last Four meetings 9/20/14 WVA +8½ OU 45 at WVA 33 OU O (66) 9/7/13 OU -21 WVA 7 at OU 16 WVA U (54) 11/17/12 WVA +10½ OU 50 at WVA 49 WVA O (72½) 1/2/08 OU -6 WVA 48 at OU 28 WVA O (61) W VIRGINIA is 8-0 UNDER after the first month of the season over the L2 seasons. Bob Stoops is 14-2 OVER at home off a no-cover where team won as a favorite as coach of OKLAHOMA. W VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons. West Virginia Mountaineers 28 Oklahoma Sooners 29 TExas TCU Longhorns Horned Frogs Line: TCU BY 15 (155) TEXAS (SU: 1-3, ATS: 1-2) at (156) TCU (SU: 4-0, ATS: 1-3) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM TEXAS (4.4) (8.8) (5.9) (4.2) (8.3) (5.8) TCU (5.3) (9.7) (7.5) (4.4) (6.8) (5.5) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 11/27/14 TEX +4½ TCU 48 at TEX 10 TCU O (53½) 10/26/13 TCU -3 TEX 30 at TCU 7 TEX U (49) 11/22/12 TEX -7 TCU 20 at TEX 13 TCU U (55) 9/8/07 TEX -7½ TCU 13 at TEX 34 TEX O (43½) 11/18/95 TEX -18 TCU 19 at TEX 27 TCU N/A Patterson is 17-4 OVER after a dominating performance minutes TOP, 24+ First downs with TCU. Charlie Strong is 13-1 ATS away after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. TEXAS is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the L3 seasons. Texas Longhorns 18 TCU Horned Frogs 45 Texas tech Baylor red raiders bears Line: BAYLOR BY 14½ (171) TEXAS TECH (SU: 3-1, ATS: 3-0-1). (172) BAYLOR (SU: 3-0, ATS: 1-2) at Arlington, Texas - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM TEXAS TECH (6.2) (9.1) (7.8) (5.8) (7.5) (6.6) BAYLOR (7.8) (12.2) (9.5) (3.3) (6.5) (4.4) 1 1 EVEN Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 11/29/14 TT +26½ BAY 48 at TT 46 TT O (79½) 11/16/13 BAY -28 TT 34 at BAY 63 BAY O (84½) 11/24/12 BAY -3½ TT 45 at BAY 52 BAY O (80½) 11/26/11 BAY -12 TT 42 at BAY 66 BAY O (81½) 10/9/10 TT -1½ BAY 38 at TT 45 TT O (63) Art Briles is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as coach of BAYLOR. BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS after leading in their previous game by 17+ points at the half over the L3 seasons. Art Briles is OVER as a favorite as coach of BAYLOR. Texas Tech Red Raiders 46 Baylor Bears 53 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 17

18 College Football Week 5: OCTOBER 3 rd Big TEn SHOWDOWNS Michigan (-13) Maryland (205) MICHIGAN (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) at (206) MARYLAND (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 8:00 PM MICHIGAN (4.8) (6.5) (5.5) (2.6) (4.5) (3.4) MARYLAND (5.9) (6.2) (6.0) (4.3) (7.4) (5.7) Michigan 28 Maryland 19 MARYLAND is 11-2 OVER at home when playing on a Saturday over the L3 seasons. MARYLAND is 7-0 OVER at home in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons. Randy Edsall is ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. Nebraska (-6½) Illinois (165) NEBRASKA (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-2-1) at (166) ILLINOIS (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM NEBRASKA (5.4) (8.2) (6.8) (2.8) (8.7) (6.5) ILLINOIS (4.0) (5.7) (4.9) (3.1) (5.8) (4.4) Nebraska 31 Illinois 30 Mike Riley is 23-6 ATS away in weeks 5 through 9. NEBRASKA is 12-3 OVER in all lined games over the L2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 7-0 ATS away. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the L3 seasons. IOWA wisconsin Hawkeyes Badgers Line: WISCONSIN BY 6½ (137) IOWA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 3-1) at (138) WISCONSIN (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM IOWA (4.9) (8.7) (6.5) (2.6) (6.2) (4.5) WISCONSIN (4.9) (7.4) (5.9) (3.0) (6.3) (4.8) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 11/22/14 IOWA +9½ WIS 26 at IOWA 24 IOWA P (50) 11/2/13 IOWA +9½ WIS 28 at IOWA 9 WIS U (48) 10/23/10 IOWA -6½ WIS 31 at IOWA 30 WIS O (47½) 10/17/09 WIS -2 IOWA 20 at WIS 10 IOWA U (46½) 10/18/08 IOWA -5½ WIS 16 at IOWA 38 IOWA O (41) Kirk Ferentz is ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as coach of IOWA. IOWA is 7-0 OVER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons. Kirk Ferentz is 9-1 OVER after a playing a game where 70+ total points were scored as coach of IOWA. Iowa Hawkeyes 24 Wisconsin Badgers 33 s u p e r s i t u at i o n s Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.). Play On - Road favorites (N ILLINOIS) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with 5 offensive starters returning. The situation s record is 32-4 since 1992 (88.9%, units). R at i n g = * * * * * Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA, UTEP) - off a home win, after the first month of the season. The situation s record is over the last 5 seasons (76.8%, units). R at i n g = * * * * Play Against - Underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points (WYOMING) - after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The situation s record is since 1992 (76.7%, units). R at i n g = * * * * 18 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

19 Co l l eg e Foot ball Week 5: OCTO B E R 3 r d Pac-1 2 S H OW D OW N S Arizona Stanford Wildcats Cardinal Line: STANFORD BY 17½ (153) ARIZONA (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) at (154) STANFORD (SU: 3-1, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM ARIZONA (7.3) (6.6) (7.0) (3.6) (7.9) (5.4) STANFORD (4.5) (9.3) (6.3) (3.5) (6.2) (4.8) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 10/6/12 STAN -10 ARI 48 at STAN 54 ARI O (54½) 9/17/11 ARI +9½ STAN 37 at ARI 10 STAN U (56) 11/6/10 STAN -7½ ARI 17 at STAN 42 STAN O (57½) 10/17/09 ARI -4 STAN 38 at ARI 43 ARI O (53) 10/11/08 STAN +6½ ARI 23 at STAN 24 STAN U (53) STANFORD is 12-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the L3 seasons. Rich Rodriguez is 1-10 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as coach of ARIZONA. STANFORD is 11-2 UNDER. very good offensive teams - scoring 34+ points/game over the L3 seasons. Arizona Wildcats 22 Stanford Cardinal 38 Arizona State UCLA Sun Devils Bruins Line: UCLA BY 13 (151) ARIZONA STATE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 0-4) at (152) UCLA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 2-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM ARIZONA ST (4.3) (6.8) (5.6) (3.7) (7.4) (5.0) UCLA (5.6) (7.2) (6.3) (4.5) (4.9) (4.7) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 9/25/14 ASU +3½ UCLA 62 at ASU 27 UCLA O (64½) 11/23/13 UCLA +3 ASU 38 at UCLA 33 ASU O (61½) 10/27/12 ASU -6½ UCLA 45 at ASU 43 UCLA O (59½) 11/5/11 UCLA +8 ASU 28 at UCLA 29 UCLA O (56½) 11/26/10 ASU -13 UCLA 34 at ASU 55 ASU O (48½) UCLA is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 42 points or more last game over the L3 seasons. Todd Graham is ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. Todd Graham is 2-10 ATS away after a 2 game home stand. Arizona State Sun Devils 24 UCLA Bruins 39 Oregon Colorado Ducks Buffaloes Line: OREGON BY 8½ (175) OREGON (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-3) at (176) COLORADO (SU: 3-1, ATS: 1-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM OREGON (5.9) (7.7) (6.6) (4.8) (7.6) (6.2) 0 1 EVEN COLORADO (5.3) (6.6) (5.8) (4.0) (5.5) (4.8) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 11/22/14 ORE -33 COL 10 at ORE 44 ORE U (74) 10/5/13 COL +38 ORE 57 at COL 16 ORE O (69½) 10/27/12 ORE -47 COL 14 at ORE 70 ORE O (67½) 10/22/11 COL +30½ ORE 45 at COL 2 ORE U (64½) 1/2/02 COL -3 ORE 38 at COL 16 ORE U (61½) Mike MacIntyre is 11-2 OVER off a home win. Mark Helfrich is 10-2 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 YPG as coach of OREGON. OREGON is 6-0 ATS away after playing a conference game over the L2 seasons. Oregon Ducks 40 Colorado Buffaloes 26 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 19

20 Co l l eg e F o ot b a l l W e e k 5 : O C TO B E R 3 r d S EC S H OW D OW N S Alabama Georgia Crimson Tide Bulldogs Line: GEORGIA BY 2 (159) ALABAMA (SU: 3-1, ATS: 1-3) at (160) GEORGIA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM ALABAMA (5.3) (6.4) (5.9) (2.0) (5.3) (3.9) GEORGIA (6.9) (10.6) (8.2) (3.1) (5.4) (4.1) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 12/1/12 GA +9 ALA 32 at GA 28 GA O (48½) 9/27/08 GA -6½ ALA 41 at GA 30 ALA O (46) 9/22/07 ALA -3 GA 26 at ALA 23 GA O (46½) 10/4/03 GA -12½ ALA 23 at GA 37 GA O (42) 10/5/02 ALA -3½ GA 27 at ALA 25 GA O (46) GEORGIA is 10-1 OVER at home in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons. Mark Richt is OVER at home after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread with GEORGIA. Mark Richt is 2-12 ATS at home when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) with GEORGIA. Alabama Crimson Tide 25 Georgia Bulldogs 35 MISSISSIPPI STATE Texas A&M (-7) (141) MISSISSIPPI STATE (SU: 3-1, ATS: 3-1) at (142) TEXAS A&M (SU: 4-0, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:30 PM MISSISSIPPI ST (5.2) (8.0) (6.8) (3.9) (6.7) (4.8) TEXAS A&M (4.8) (8.9) (6.7) (4.3) (6.2) (5.1) 1 1 EVEN Mississippi State 33 Texas A&M 30 Kevin Sumlin is 8-0 ATS at home. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse. Dan Mullen is 26-9 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as coach of MISSISSIPPI ST. TEXAS A&M is 1-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the L3 seasons. SOUTH CAROLINA MISSOURI (-4) (187) S CAROLINA (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (188) MISSOURI (SU: 3-1, ATS: 0-4) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM S CAROLINA (5.1) (6.2) (5.6) (5.2) (7.8) (6.4) MISSOURI (3.2) (6.5) (4.8) (2.8) (5.5) (3.8) 0 1 EVEN South Carolina 19 Missouri 25 Steve Spurrier is 17-5 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry as coach of S CAROLINA. MISSOURI is 11-2 UNDER as a home favorite over the L3 seasons. MISSOURI is 8-1 UNDER in home games over the L2 seasons. The StatFox Situational Team Power Trends uncover certain situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. Unlike the StatFox Super Situations, all trend records listed apply to the team in question. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to certain situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, after a loss giving up a high number passing yards, etc.) AKRON is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The average score was AKRON 22.8, OPPONENT PLAY ON OHIO R at i n g = * * * * * S I T U AT I O N A L t e a m p ow e r t r e n d s RICE is 12-0 ATS (+12 Units) in home games. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since The average score was RICE 38.9, OPPONENT PLAY ON RICE R at i n g = * * * * * SAN JOSE STATE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as an underdog since the start of last season. The average score was SAN JOSE STATE 15.9, OPPONENT PLAY ON AUBURN R at i n g = * * * * 20 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

21 Co l l eg e F o ot b a l l W e e k 5 : O C TO B E R 3 r d S EC S H OW D OW N S MississippI Florida Rebels Gators Line: MISSISSIPPI BY 7½ (161) OLE MISS (SU: 4-0, ATS: 3-1) at (162) FLORIDA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 2-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM OLE MISS (5.5) (9.8) (7.6) (3.5) (5.3) (4.4) FLORIDA (4.3) (7.8) (5.9) (3.1) (5.9) (4.5) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 9/27/08 FLA -23 MISS 31 at FLA 30 MISS O (50) 9/22/07 MISS +24 FLA 30 at MISS 24 MISS U (57½) 10/4/03 FLA -12½ MISS 20 at FLA 17 MISS U (59) 10/5/02 MISS +13½ FLA 14 at MISS 17 MISS U (61) 9/30/95 FLA -28 MISS 10 at FLA 28 MISS N/A Hugh Freeze is 8-0 UNDER away. good offensive teams - scoring 31+ PPG as coach of OLE MISS. Hugh Freeze is 17-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play with OLE MISS. OLE MISS is 9-1 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons. Mississippi Rebels 26 Florida Gators 25 Arkansas Tennessee RAZORBACKS VOLUNTEERS Line: TENNESSEE BY 6 (193) ARKANSAS (SU: 1-3, ATS: 1-3) at (194) TENNESSEE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM ARKANSAS (5.0) (9.6) (6.9) (3.6) (9.1) (6.5) 0 1 EVEN TENNESSEE (4.7) (7.2) (5.5) (4.1) (6.4) (5.3) Head-to-Head: Last five meetings 11/12/11 ARK -17 TEN 7 at ARK 49 ARK O (53) 11/10/07 TEN +1½ ARK 13 at TEN 34 TEN U (64½) 11/11/06 ARK -5 TEN 14 at ARK 31 ARK U (47½) 10/5/02 TEN -10 ARK 38 at TEN 41 ARK O (47½) 9/8/01 ARK +13 TEN 13 at ARK 3 ARK U (38½) Butch Jones is 16-6 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Bret Bielema is OVER in road games. Bret Bielema is OVER when playing with 6 or less days rest. Arkansas Razorbacks 21 Tennessee Volunteers 24 San Jose State Auburn (-19½) (179) SAN JOSE STATE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (180) AUBURN (SU: 2-2, ATS: 0-4) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM SAN JOSE ST (5.0) (7.8) (6.2) (5.6) (4.0) (5.0) AUBURN (4.3) (6.6) (5.1) (5.3) (5.9) (5.5) AUBURN 37, SAN JOSE ST 21 KEY GAME TREND: SAN JOSE ST is 0-9 ATS as an underdog over the L2 seasons. Eastern Michigan LSU (-44½) (189) E MICHIGAN (SU: 1-3, ATS: 2-2) at (190) LSU (SU: 3-0, ATS: 1-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM E MICHIGAN (5.7) (7.2) (6.4) (6.7) (5.6) (6.3) LSU (6.9) (6.4) (6.7) (3.5) (5.3) (4.5) LSU 50, E MICHIGAN 15 KEY GAME TREND: E MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS after playing a game at home over the L3 seasons. Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 21

22 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : O c to b e r 2-3 Temple (-23½) Charlotte (107) TEMPLE (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) at (108) CHARLOTTE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-1) - Friday, 10/2/2015 7:00 PM TEMPLE (3.7) (7.1) (5.2) (3.1) (7.0) (5.5) CHARLOTTE (3.1) (5.6) (4.1) (3.4) (7.3) (5.0) TEMPLE 25, CHARLOTTE 11 KEY GAME TREND: TEMPLE is 4-1 UNDER in its past five games. North Carolina Georgia Tech (-7) (111) N CAROLINA (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) at (112) GEORGIA TECH (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM N CAROLINA (5.9) (9.2) (7.3) (5.0) (4.7) (4.9) 0 1 EVEN GEORGIA TECH (6.1) (7.8) (6.4) (4.4) (5.5) (4.9) GEORGIA TECH 49, N CAROLINA 26 KEY GAME TREND: Paul Johnson is 8-1 ATS at home off a road loss as coach of GEORGIA TECH. Boston College Duke (-6½) (163) BOSTON COLLEGE (SU: 3-1, ATS: 1-3) at (164) DUKE (SU: 3-1, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM BOSTON COLLEGE (4.7) (6.4) (5.2) (1.6) (3.2) (2.4) DUKE (4.7) (7.1) (5.7) (2.8) (5.1) (3.7) DUKE 21, BOSTON COLLEGE 19 KEY GAME TREND: DUKE is 9-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the L3 seasons. Florida State (-19) Wake Forest (203) FLORIDA STATE (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) at (204) WAKE FOREST (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-3) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM FLORIDA ST (5.4) (8.0) (6.4) (3.8) (4.3) (4.0) WAKE FOREST (3.7) (7.2) (5.6) (3.7) (7.3) (4.9) FLORIDA ST 29, WAKE FOREST 19 KEY GAME TREND: Dave Clawson is 11-2 UNDER at home in weeks 5 through 9. Louisville N.C. State (-5) (133) LOUISVILLE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 3-1) at (134) NC STATE (SU: 4-0, ATS: 4-0) - Saturday, 10/3/ :30 PM LOUISVILLE (4.2) (7.2) (5.7) (4.2) (6.1) (5.0) 0 2 EVEN NC STATE (5.2) (8.0) (6.1) (2.1) (6.2) (4.2) NC STATE 33, LOUISVILLE 25 KEY GAME TREND: NC STATE is 7-0 ATS after a win by 17 or more points over the L2 seasons. Washington State CAlifornia (-16½) (177) WASHINGTON STATE (SU: 2-1, ATS: 1-2) at (178) CALIFORNIA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 4:00 PM WASHINGTON ST (3.9) (7.0) (6.1) (4.4) (7.3) (5.4) CALIFORNIA (4.6) (9.2) (6.8) (4.3) (7.1) (5.6) CALIFORNIA 40, WASHINGTON ST 29 KEY GAME TREND: Mike Leach is ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. 22 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

23 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : SAT U R DAY, O c to b e r 3 Army PEnn State (113) ARMY (SU: 1-3, ATS: 3-1) at (114) PENN STATE (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM ARMY (5.9) (10.3) (6.5) (4.4) (8.7) (6.4) PENN ST (4.8) (6.5) (5.6) (2.6) (6.0) (4.2) PENN ST 28, ARMY 17 KEY GAME TREND: PENN ST is 0-6 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the L3 seasons. Kansas Iowa State (-16) (125) KANSAS (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-2-1) at (126) IOWA STATE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM KANSAS (4.3) (6.7) (5.4) (5.1) (10.2) (6.9) IOWA ST (3.2) (7.0) (5.1) (4.6) (6.1) (5.2) 1 1 EVEN IOWA ST 27, KANSAS 24 KEY GAME TREND: KANSAS is 9-1 UNDER away when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons. Kansas State Oklahoma State (-8½) (147) KANSAS STATE (SU: 3-0, ATS: 1-2) at (148) OKLAHOMA STATE (SU: 4-0, ATS: 1-2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 4:00 PM KANSAS ST (4.0) (8.7) (5.7) (2.4) (6.0) (4.4) OKLAHOMA ST (4.1) (9.7) (6.7) (3.2) (6.0) (4.4) OKLAHOMA ST 31, KANSAS ST 27 KEY GAME TREND: Bill Snyder is 20-4 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 as coach of KANSAS ST. Ohio State (-21) Indiana (167) OHIO STATE (SU: 4-0, ATS: 1-3) at (168) INDIANA (SU: 4-0, ATS: 2-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM OHIO ST (5.9) (6.9) (6.3) (3.0) (4.6) (3.6) INDIANA (4.6) (9.1) (6.3) (4.0) (8.3) (6.5) OHIO ST 44, INDIANA 22 KEY GAME TREND: OHIO ST is 9-1 OVER after the first month of the season over the L2 seasons. Purdue Michigan State (-22½) (127) PURDUE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 1-3) at (128) MICHIGAN STATE (SU: 4-0, ATS: 0-4) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM PURDUE (4.1) (6.5) (5.3) (4.4) (6.7) (5.5) MICHIGAN ST (4.2) (8.0) (5.7) (3.3) (8.1) (5.7) MICHIGAN ST 41, PURDUE 17 KEY GAME TREND: Mark Dantonio is 1-9 ATS at home. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse as coach of MICHIGAN ST. Air Force Navy (-5½) (157) AIR FORCE (SU: 2-1, ATS: 3-0) at (158) NAVY (SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM AIR FORCE (6.0) (10.8) (6.6) (2.9) (6.5) (4.6) 0 1 EVEN NAVY (6.0) (8.2) (6.1) (3.8) (6.2) (5.1) NAVY 27, AIR FORCE 25 KEY GAME TREND: Ken Niumatalolo is 0-8 ATS at home. mistake prone teams penalty yards per game as coach of NAVY. Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 23

24 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : SAT U R DAY, O c to b e r 3 Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana Tech (-19) (183) LA LAFAYETTE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 2-1) at (184) LOUISIANA TECH (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM LA LAFAYETTE (6.1) (6.8) (6.4) (5.1) (8.0) (6.3) LOUISIANA TECH (5.7) (7.9) (6.9) (3.5) (7.5) (5.6) LOUISIANA TECH 34, LA LAFAYETTE 24 KEY GAME TREND: Mark Hudspeth is 8-0 ATS away. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as coach of LA LAFAYETTE. Old Dominion Marshall (-19½) (191) OLD DOMINION (SU: 2-2, ATS: 0-4) at (192) MARSHALL (SU: 3-1, ATS: 1-2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM OLD DOMINION (4.3) (5.6) (4.8) (5.1) (6.3) (5.6) 1 0 EVEN MARSHALL (4.7) (5.5) (5.1) (4.0) (5.0) (4.5) MARSHALL 46, OLD DOMINION 19 KEY GAME TREND: Bobby Wilder is 0-9 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game as coach of OLD DOMINION. Vanderbilt Mid Tennessee State (-1) (185) VANDERBILT (SU: 1-3, ATS: 2-1-1) at (186) MIDDLE TENN STATE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 4-0) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM VANDERBILT (3.5) (6.7) (5.1) (3.7) (6.1) (4.9) MIDDLE TENN ST (4.0) (8.5) (6.0) (3.8) (5.6) (4.8) MIDDLE TENN STATE 31, VANDERBILT 17 KEY GAME TREND: Rick Stockstill is ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest as coach of MIDDLE TENN ST. East Carolina (-5½) SMU (195) E CAROLINA (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (196) SMU (SU: 1-3, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 4:00 PM E CAROLINA (3.8) (6.9) (5.6) (4.6) (7.6) (5.6) SMU (4.5) (8.5) (5.9) (6.9) (10.0) (8.3) E CAROLINA 40, SMU 26 KEY GAME TREND: E CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS away against conference opponents over the L3 seasons. CENTRAL FLORIDA Tulane (143) UCF (SU: 0-4, ATS: 0-4) at (144) TULANE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM UCF (2.2) (5.1) (3.8) (3.7) (8.3) (5.8) TULANE (3.1) (6.7) (5.0) (5.3) (7.2) (6.1) 1 1 EVEN CENTRAL FLORIDA 23, TULANE 14 KEY GAME TREND: Curtis Johnson is 10-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 as coach of TULANE. Houston (-6½) Tulsa (149) HOUSTON (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-1) at (150) TULSA (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/ :00 PM HOUSTON (5.6) (9.4) (7.1) (2.2) (7.8) (5.4) TULSA (4.3) (10.1) (6.8) (5.2) (9.7) (6.9) HOUSTON 40, TULSA 31 KEY GAME TREND: HOUSTON is 10-0 ATS in road games over the L3 seasons. 24 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

25 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : SAT U R DAY, O c to b e r 3 Western Kentucky (-8) Rice (145) W KENTUCKY (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-0-2) at (146) RICE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM W KENTUCKY (3.3) (10.2) (7.4) (4.7) (7.9) (6.2) RICE (4.4) (7.6) (5.5) (5.8) (10.8) (7.8) W KENTUCKY 41, RICE 33 KEY GAME TREND: David Bailiff is 8-0 ATS at home. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as coach of RICE. North Texas Southern Miss (-16) (197) NORTH TEXAS (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-3) at (198) SOUTHERN MISS (-15.5) (SU: 2-2, ATS: 4-0) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM NORTH TEXAS (4.5) (5.4) (5.0) (4.6) (9.7) (6.5) SOUTHERN MISS (4.7) (8.9) (6.9) (5.4) (7.4) (6.4) 1 0 EVEN SOUTHERN MISS 32, NORTH TEXAS 22 KEY GAME TREND: NORTH TEXAS is 0-8 ATS as a road underdog over the L2 seasons. UTSA (-3 ½) UTEP (209) UTSA (SU: 0-4, ATS: 2-2) at (210) UTEP (SU: 2-2, ATS: 0-3) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 8:00 PM UTSA (4.3) (6.5) (5.3) (4.3) (9.1) (6.3) UTEP (4.1) (7.9) (5.7) (6.2) (10.4) (8.3) UTEP 28, UTSA 23 KEY GAME TREND: Larry Coker is 0-7 ATS away after a game where they forced no turnovers as coach of UTSA. Florida International Massachusetts (-3 ½) (129) FLA INTERNATIONAL (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) at (130) MASSACHUSETTS (SU: 0-3, ATS: 1-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:00 PM FLA INTERNATIONAL (4.1) (6.4) (5.4) (3.6) (6.5) (5.0) MASSACHUSETTS (4.1) (6.5) (5.7) (6.2) (7.8) (6.8) FLA INTERNATIONAL 29, MASSACHUSETTS 24 KEY GAME TREND: MASSACHUSETTS is 6-0 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game over the L2 seasons. HAwaii Boise State (-24 ½) (173) HAWAII (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (174) BOISE STATE (SU: 3-1, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/ :15 PM HAWAII (3.3) (6.5) (5.0) (4.4) (6.1) (5.0) BOISE ST (3.9) (8.1) (5.7) (1.5) (6.1) (4.1) BOISE ST 38, HAWAII 17 KEY GAME TREND: HAWAII is 6-0 UNDER away after playing a non-conference game over the L3 seasons. Colorado State Utah State (-5½) (207) COLORADO STATE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-1-1) at (208) UTAH STATE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 1-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM COLORADO ST (4.6) (7.8) (6.1) (4.3) (6.1) (5.0) UTAH ST (3.5) (5.3) (4.4) (2.9) (7.0) (4.8) UTAH ST 25, COLORADO ST 24 KEY GAME TREND: Matt Wells is 10-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs as coach of UTAH ST. Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 25

26 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : SAT U R DAY, O c to b e r 3 Fresno State SAn Diego STate (-9) (217) FRESNO STATE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 0-3-1) at (218) SAN DIEGO STATE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 0-4) - Saturday, 10/3/ :30 PM FRESNO ST (4.0) (5.6) (4.8) (4.5) (7.8) (5.9) SAN DIEGO ST (3.7) (5.6) (4.5) (3.6) (8.3) (5.7) SAN DIEGO ST 29, FRESNO ST 22 POWER RATING LINE: SAN DIEGO ST 33, FRESNO ST 22 (EDGE: SAN DIEGO ST BY 2½) OUTPLAY FACTOR RATING LINE: SAN DIEGO ST 21, FRESNO ST 16 (EDGE: FRESNO ST BY 4) UNLV Nevada (-7) (215) UNLV (SU: 1-3, ATS: 3-1) at (216) NEVADA (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM UNLV (5.3) (6.1) (5.6) (5.1) (6.3) (5.6) NEVADA (5.1) (5.8) (5.4) (5.3) (7.0) (6.2) NEVADA 36, UNLV 27 KEY GAME TREND: UNLV is 8-1 ATS away after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons. New Mexico State New Mexico (-13) (213) NEW MEXICO STATE (SU: 0-3, ATS: 0-2-1) at (214) NEW MEXICO (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 8:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST (5.2) (7.7) (6.7) (5.3) (9.0) (7.0) NEW MEXICO (5.5) (7.0) (6.0) (3.0) (8.4) (5.4) NEW MEXICO 51, NEW MEXICO ST 25 KEY GAME TREND: Doug Martin is 0-9 ATS off a home loss as coach of NEW MEXICO ST. Wyoming Appalachian State (-25) (119) WYOMING (SU: 0-4, ATS: 1-3) at (120) APPALACHIAN STATE (SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM WYOMING (4.3) (7.3) (5.7) (5.2) (8.8) (6.6) APPALACHIAN ST (5.5) (8.1) (6.3) (2.3) (6.4) (4.2) APPALACHIAN ST 51, WYOMING 11 KEY GAME TREND: WYOMING is 0-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse over the L3 seasons. Northern Illinois (-2½) Central Michigan (169) N ILLINOIS (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) at (170) C MICHIGAN (SU: 1-3, ATS: 4-0) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:00 PM N ILLINOIS (3.9) (7.4) (5.4) (3.6) (6.3) (4.7) C MICHIGAN (2.3) (7.8) (5.4) (4.3) (6.8) (5.4) N ILLINOIS 27, C MICHIGAN 25 KEY GAME TREND: N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS away off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons. Ohio (-2½) Akron (121) OHIO U (SU: 3-1, ATS: 4-0) at (122) AKRON (SU: 2-2, ATS: 1-3) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 2:00 PM OHIO U (4.4) (8.6) (6.1) (4.7) (5.8) (5.3) AKRON (4.4) (6.6) (5.3) (2.9) (6.7) (4.8) OHIO U 22, AKRON 21 KEY GAME TREND: AKRON is 0-10 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons. 26 Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games

27 W e e k 5 s eco n d -t i e r co l l e g e g a m e s : SAT U R DAY, O c to b e r 3 Toledo (-6½) Ball State (117) TOLEDO (SU: 3-0, ATS: 2-0-1) at (118) BALL STATE (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:00 PM TOLEDO (4.0) (5.8) (5.0) (2.8) (6.9) (5.1) BALL ST (5.6) (5.6) (5.6) (5.0) (7.6) (6.3) TOLEDO 28, BALL ST 23 KEY GAME TREND: Pete Lembo is ATS when playing on a Saturday as coach of BALL ST. Bowling Green (-9½) Buffalo (115) BOWLING GREEN (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) at (116) BUFFALO (SU: 2-2, ATS: 3-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM BOWLING GREEN (4.1) (8.4) (6.7) (4.4) (8.3) (6.1) BUFFALO (4.0) (6.9) (5.4) (5.0) (5.7) (5.3) BUFFALO 39, BOWLING GREEN 22 KEY GAME TREND: BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 ATS away off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons. Miami Ohio Kent State (-10½) (123) MIAMI OHIO (SU: 1-3, ATS: 2-2) at (124) KENT STATE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 2-1-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 3:30 PM MIAMI OHIO (3.8) (6.9) (5.2) (4.2) (8.0) (5.9) KENT ST (3.5) (5.1) (4.1) (2.1) (5.4) (3.4) KENT ST 25, MIAMI OHIO 22 KEY GAME TREND: MIAMI (OHIO) is 5-1 OVER in its past six road games. Idaho Arkansas State (-20½) (181) IDAHO (SU: 1-3, ATS: 1-3) at (182) ARKANSAS STATE (SU: 1-3, ATS: 2-2) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM IDAHO (3.5) (7.1) (5.5) (7.3) (11.1) (8.6) ARKANSAS ST (3.8) (6.4) (5.0) (4.5) (6.1) (5.4) ARKANSAS ST 50, IDAHO 23 KEY GAME TREND: ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the L3 seasons. Georgia Southern (-6½) Louisiana-Monroe (201) GA SOUTHERN (SU: 3-1, ATS: 3-1) at (202) LA MONROE (SU: 1-2, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM GA SOUTHERN (6.8) (5.1) (6.5) (4.2) (8.6) (6.1) LA MONROE (2.7) (6.2) (4.5) (4.6) (7.1) (5.5) 1 0 EVEN LA MONROE 27, GA SOUTHERN 24 KEY GAME TREND: GA SOUTHERN is 9-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons. South Alabama Troy (-5½) (199) S ALABAMA (SU: 2-2, ATS: 2-2) at (200) TROY (SU: 1-2, ATS: 2-1) - Saturday, 10/3/2015 7:00 PM S ALABAMA (4.1) (7.0) (5.6) (5.4) (7.4) (6.2) TROY (3.8) (7.2) (5.5) (4.7) (7.1) (5.5) TROY 34, S ALABAMA 22 KEY GAME TREND: TROY is 9-0 OVER as a home favorite over the L3 seasons. Check out StatFox.com for breakdowns on all of this week s marquee games 27