Tokio Marine Group New Mid-Term Business Plan To Be a Good Company 2017
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1 Tokio Marine Group New Mid-Term Business Plan To Be a Good Company 2017 May 2015 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
2 Table of Contents 1 2 Review of the Previous Mid-Term Business Plan : Innovation and Execution 2014 New Mid-Term Business Plan : To Be a Good Company 2017 a b Corporate Strategy to Create Value - Objectives of the New Mid-Term Business Plan Enhance capital efficiency / Sustainable profit growth / Enhance shareholder returns - Promote strong ERM / Group asset management strategy Business Strategy for Sustainable Profit Growth - Domestic Non-Life / Domestic Life / International Insurance / Financial and General 3 Summary of the New Mid-Term Business Plan Abbreviations used in this material TMNF : Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. NF : Nisshin Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. TMNL : Tokio Marine & Nichido Life Insurance Co., Ltd. FL : Former Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life Insurance Co., Ltd. 1
3 1 Review of the Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Innovation and Execution
4 1-1. Review of the Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Accomplished our objectives of expanding profit and enhancing capital efficiency Expanding profit + Enhancing capital efficiency + Expanding shareholder returns Adjusted earnings Adjusted ROE DPS (Dividends per share) yen billion yen +10.0pt 95 yen % 7.6% 9.3% Initial target Plan International insurance 35% billion yen 30% 34% Domestic non-life - 0.7% Share repurchases Executed share repurchases of 50B in 2H FY % 34% Domestic life 3
5 1-2. Review of the Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Achieved all quantitative targets in both Group total and each business domain Targets Result Achievement Adjusted ROE Exceed our cost of capital 7% -0.7% 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% Domestic non-life Improve profitability mainly in auto C/R 95% Industry-leading premium growth 103.8% 99.6% 97.2% 90.6% * ** Domestic life Sustainable profit growth Aggregate EV increase of 180B (3 year total) B International insurance Sustainable profit growth Adjusted earnings of 100B B * TMNF E/I basis C/R ** Excluding capital transactions 4
6 1-3. Review of the Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Expanding profit Key strategies Improve combined ratio of domestic non-life Realize industry-leading premium growth by strengthening customer contact Achieve sustainable growth in domestic life and international insurance businesses Pursue new growth opportunities by investing in new businesses Review / Achievements Improved profitability of domestic non-life which was the priority issue, mainly in auto insurance. In addition, achieved industry-leading premium growth through effective implementation of growth strategies Domestic life realized stable profit growth by focusing on living-protection products International insurance also achieved significant profit growth by promoting growth strategies both in developed and emerging markets As a result, we constructed a well-balanced business portfolio which contributed to the stability and growth of profit Enhancing capital efficiency Continuously reduce the risks associated with business-related equities Invest in new businesses with high capital efficiency Enhance global risk diversification Adjust to an appropriate level of capital through dividends and flexible share repurchases Executed sales of business-related equities as planned ( 336B in three years total) Advanced our business and geographical diversification of underwriting risks on a Group basis through steady growth of domestic life and international insurance businesses Significantly increased dividends level in line with profit growth. Executed adjustment of capital through share repurchases As a result, ROE reached to a level exceeding our cost of capital 5
7 2 New Mid-Term Business Plan To Be a Good Company
8 2-1. Business Environment and Issues Acknowledged From profit recovery to sustainable profit growth Business environment - External - Changes in domestic market due to demographic changes in Japan Changes of customer needs and risks due to various technological innovations Changes in global economy and financial environment Climate change and more frequent natural disasters Strengthening of global regulation and supervision Reached ROE level exceeding our cost of capital Business environment - Internal - Recovery of profit base in the home market Constructed a well-balanced business portfolio which contributed to the stability and growth of profit Shifting to the stage of sustainable profit growth and higher ROE while maintaining financial soundness Refining business strategies to prepare for changing environments Advancing our business platform which sustains continuous value creation 7
9 2-2. Long-term Vision and New Mid-Term Business Plan "To Be a Good Company 2017" Long-term vision A global insurance group that delivers sustainable growth by providing safety and security to customers worldwide - Our timeless endeavor to be a Good Company - Aiming for globally competitive-level earnings growth and capital efficiency ~Drive ROE towards double-digit sphere~ New Mid-Term Business Plan To Be a Good Company 2017 ~Evolve business structure to realize sustainable profit growth and higher ROE~ "Innovation and Execution 2014" ~Achieve an ROE exceeding our cost of capital~ Unlocking our potential Structural reform to profitable business Innovative changes for wellbalanced business portfolio Capitalizing on changes Pursuing growth opportunities Advancing our business platform Profit recovery stage Sustainable profit growth stage 8
10 2-3. Initiatives for Sustainable Profit Growth Enhancement Unlocking our potential Domestic insurance: Enhancing the integrated business model for life and non-life, strengthening claims-service capabilities, and further utilizing our risk consulting service International insurance: Enhancing organic growth Evolution Capitalizing on changes Effectively forecasting and proactively meeting the emerging and evolving needs of the market and our customers Strengthening R&D to convert new risks into our business opportunities Expansion Pursuing growth opportunities Promoting disciplined business investment to capture growth opportunities globally Enhancing our diversified business portfolio based on risk appetite Excellence Advancing our business platform Advancing ERM and improving risk portfolio to sustainably and comprehensively enhance profit growth, capital efficiency, and financial soundness Strengthening our business platform to further reinforce our globalized business Developing a diverse workforce with a strong customer orientation to drive sustainable growth 9
11 2-4. Framework of the New Mid-Term Business Plan and Group Management Enhancing Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) to realize sustainable profit growth and higher capital efficiency even in a changing environment, while maintaining financial soundness Generate capital and cash Achieve sustainable profit growth and improve the risk portfolio in each business domain Achieve sustainable profit growth in each business domain Domestic non-life : Profit growth as the core business of the Group Domestic life : Profit growth while maintaining financial soundness as a growth driver of the Group International insurance: Profit growth while globally diversifying risks as a growth driver of the Group Improve the risk portfolio Reduce the risks associated with business-related equities Strengthen control of natural catastrophe risks Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Efficient deployment of capital and cash Invest for growth Invest in new businesses with high capital efficiency Invest today to build foundations for our growth tomorrow Return to shareholders Increase dividends through profit growth Achieve an appropriate level of capital via flexible repurchases of shares Improve capital efficiency by diversifying our business portfolio Maintain financial soundness + Enhance ROE + Sustainable profit growth 10
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13 a Corporate Strategy to Create Value 12
14 a-1. Objectives of the New Mid-Term Business Plan FY2017 Target *1 FY2014 Results 1 Enhance capital efficiency Adjusted ROE : approx. 9% 7.6% (Normalized basis *2 ) 2 Sustainable profit growth Adjusted net income : 350B ~ 400B 298.1B (Normalized basis *2 ) 3 Enhance shareholder returns Steady growth of dividends in line with profit growth FY2015 projections : 105 per share (YoY +10 yen) Dividends per share 95 *1 : Based on market environment as of the end of Mar *2 : Natural catastrophes losses in adjusted net income is normalized to an average annual level. In addition, adjusted net assets is normalized based on market environment (share price, FX rate) as of the end of Mar
15 a-2. KPI in the New Mid-Term Business Plan Adjusted Net Income (Group total) Enhancing transparency and comparability / Linking with shareholder returns For the Group total, Adjusted Net Income based on financial accounting is used from the perspective of enhancing transparency and comparability as well as linking with shareholder returns Profit indicator for the Group total as the base for calculating capital efficiency (adjusted ROE) and source of dividends Business Unit Profits Creating long-term corporate value For each business domain, Business Unit Profits is used from the perspective of accurately assessing corporate value including economic value, etc. for the purpose of longterm expansion Introduce MCEV (market-consistent embedded value) for domestic life, which reflects the economic value of the business more accurately <Main differences> New KPI Former KPI Adjusted Net Income Business Unit Profits Adjusted Earnings Domestic non-life Gains or losses on sales of business-related equities Included Excluded Excluded Provision for reserves of capital nature, etc. Excluded Excluded Excluded Domestic life Adjust the financial accounting basis net income Increase in MCEV during the current fiscal year Increase in TEV during the current fiscal year Other than the above Amortization of goodwill and other intangible fixed assets Excluded Excluded Excluded *Please refer to P.45, 47 for details regarding the definition 14
16 1 Enhancing Capital Efficiency (Roadmap to achieve ROE target) Adjusted ROE approx. 9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.8% Cost of capital 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 5.1% 1.3% Financial accounting basis ROE 3.2% Projections Previous Mid-Term Business Plan 0.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 6.6% 2017 Target New Mid-Term Business Plan Normalized basis* * Natural catastrophes losses in adjusted net income is normalized to an average annual level. In addition, adjusted net assets is normalized based on market environment (share price, FX rate) as of end of Mar Adjusted ROE approx. 9% Sustainable profit growth Disciplined capital management Growth of each business domain M&A which enhances corporate value Continue reducing business-related equities Flexible share repurchases Adjusted Promote initiatives Net Income for sustainable profit growth 350B~ 400B (CAGR approx. 6%) Investment in new in businesses new businesses to enhance to capital enhance/improve efficiency capital efficiency Continue to sell more than 100B per year Conduct share repurchases in a flexible manner based on a comprehensive assessment of market conditions, our capital levels, business investment opportunities, etc. 15
17 2 Sustainable Profit Growth (Profit growth of each business domain) 350B ~ 400B Adjusted net income Net income (Financial accounting) Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Projections Target New Mid-Term Business Plan Normalized basis* * Natural catastrophe losses is normalized to an average annual level Domestic non-life (TMNF) Domestic life (TMNL) International insurance (billions of yen) (billions of yen) (billions of yen) Business unit profits approx. 120 CAGR approx. +3% CAGR* approx. +8% MCEV increase of approx. 260B approx. 125 CAGR approx. +8% Plan Normalized basis* * FX effects are excluded and natural catastrophe losses is normalized to an average annual level ,037.3 Year-end MCEV 2017 Plan approx. 1,300.0 * CAGR of MCEV balance Plan Normalized basis* * FX rate is as of end of Mar. 2015, and natural catastrophe losses is normalized to an average annual level 16
18 3 Enhancing Shareholder Returns Steady growth of dividends + Flexible share repurchases Our primary means of shareholder return is dividends, which we plan to increase in line with profit growth We pursue steady growth of dividends, and payout ratio as a guide is above 35% of average adjusted net income* *Profit contribution from domestic life business and gains on sales of business-related equities will be newly included into the source of dividends We intend to conduct share repurchases in a flexible manner based on a comprehensive assessment of market conditions, our capital levels, business investment opportunities, and other relevant factors : Dividends per share 105(Projections) 95(Plan) Previous Mid-Term Business Plan New Mid-Term Business Plan 17
19 a-3. Promoting Strong ERM (Disciplined capital management ) Maintain financial soundness Economic Solvency Ratio (ESR) While maintaining AA credit rating standard (99.95%VaR), we sophisticated and advanced our capital model referring to the method in European Solvency Ⅱ, etc. (See p.44 for details) Impact of market changes on ESR Risk capital 2.8 trillion Yen Balance capital and risk to maintain AA credit ratings Advance natural catastrophe risk management Ensure our financial base can withstand catastrophic risks 140% *1 Mar. 31, 2015 Net asset value 3.9 trillion Yen Capital buffer Capital management framework Guideline for comfortable level ** Capital equivalent for AA ratings Capital equivalent for BBB ratings * ESR(99.5%VaR) : 171% ** Guideline for comfortable level is approx. +30% at present Utilization of capital buffer Invest in businesses for growth and additional risk-taking Share repurchases Prepare for regulation changes and significant changes in business environment Guideline for comfortable level of capital buffer ** Capital level which can maintain AA credit ratings withstanding once-in-a-decade risks Capital level which allows business continuity under stress scenario Enhance profitability Sustainable profit growth and enhance capital efficiency Invest in businesses which enhance capital efficiency Improve the profitability of existing businesses Continue to sell business-related equities Interest rates: Limited impact under ALM FX rates: Limited impact, as depreciation of the yen increases net asset value of overseas subsidiaries, whereas increases FX risks Share price: Impact on ESR due to the market value fluctuation of business-related equities Mar. 31, 2015 Share price : % -30% 135% 140% 145%
20 a-4. Group Asset Management Strategy Group asset management concept With asset and liability management (ALM) at the core, we aim to secure sufficient liquidity and profit Further promote global portfolio diversification, as the Group expands globally Aim to enhance profitability within the range of risk tolerance while taking the characteristics of insurance liabilities, etc. into consideration and continuously ensuring liquidity and risk controls through ALM Further strengthen investment capability by enhancing coordination among the Group companies both domestic and overseas Continue the sales of business-related equities from the perspective of enhancing capital efficiency Asset composition of TMHD (Consolidated) Investment policy for each asset as of end of FY2014 Others 2.7T Mainly tangible fixed assets and intangible fixed assets, etc. Loans 0.6T Other securities 1.4T Mainly assets in separate accounts held by Domestic Life Foreign securities 3.8T Domestic equities 2.8T 3.3% Mainly local country bonds held by overseas subsidiaries mainly in the U.S. and Europe Mainly business-related equities held by Domestic Non-Life (TMNF) 7.2% 18.2% 13.3% 2.6% Total assets 20.8T 13.7% 6.6% Cash and deposits 0.5T 35.1% Monetary receivables bought 1.3T Mainly absolute return investment & lending by Domestic Non-Life (TMNF) and overseas subsidiaries Domestic bonds 7.3T Domestic government bonds (JGB): Approx. 6.6T Mainly bonds for the purpose of ALM by Domestic Life and Non-Life Asset Domestic equities (Businessrelated equities) Domestic bonds Foreign securities (Mainly foreign bonds) Investment policy Continue to sell more than 100B per year (Previous Mid-Term Business Plan target was 300B, actually sold 336B) Hold for backing long-term insurance liabilities while closely watching the market trend Invest mainly in bonds, etc. in the U.S. and Europe (Increase in overseas assets due to the Group's overseas expansion, and global portfolio diversification of domestic Life and Non-Life) 19
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22 b Business Strategy for Sustainable Profit Growth 21
23 b Business Strategy for Sustainable Profit Growth 1. Domestic Non-Life 2. Domestic Life 3. International Insurance 4. Financial and General 22
24 1-1. Domestic Non-Life Insurance - Summary Tokio Marine & Nichido Aiming for sustainable profit growth as the core business of the Group Business unit profits Net premiums written Key strategies approx CAGR approx. +3% ,036.7 CAGR approx. +2% 2,100.0 Enhancement (Establish a solid business platform) Proactive measures (Strengthen R&D to meet future changes) Normalized* Projections Plan *: Effect of FX rate is excluded and natural catastrophes losses is normalized to an average annual level Nisshin Fire Projections Plan E.design Continuous enhancement of profit growth (Strengthen underwriting discipline and pursue business efficiency) Accelerate selection and concentration of business by focusing on personal and small-sized corporate market while maximizing Group synergy Enhance competitiveness (profit growth potential) through unique products and channel strategies in the personal insurance market Maintain top-line growth by enhancing customer experience and services in the growing direct market 23
25 1-2. Tokio Marine & Nichido - Continuous enhancement of profit growth Maintain combined ratio below 95% by continuously enhancing profit growth despite expected changes in the external business environment and investment for future growth FY2014 Results Changes in business environment Investment for future growth Initiatives for improvement Plan for FY2017 C/R* 90.6% C/R after normalizing natural catastrophes to average annual basis 91.4% Increase in unit-repair cost Plan for combined ratio (private insurance basis * ) 97.2% 94.4% + Consumption tax hike in FY2017 etc. C/R after normalizing natural catastrophes to average annual basis 91.4% 90.6% 92.4% + Strengthening R&D for future growth etc. Strengthening business platform 95% approx. 92~93% Consumption tax hike + Strengthening underwriting discipline Product and rate revisions in fire, etc. Measures to improve underwriting results + Controlling business expenses Reduction of IT and administrative costs Outlook for expense ratio 32.2% 32.2% 32.8% 32% level approx. 92~93% Consumption tax hike 31% level Projections Plan Copyright *: Loss (c) ratio 2015(private Tokio Marine insurance Holdings, E/I Inc. basis) + expense ratio (private insurance W/P basis) Projections Plan 24
26 1-3. Tokio Marine & Nichido - Measures to achieve sustainable growth (1) Increase sustainable growth potential by establishing a solid business platform as well as strengthening R&D for "Enhancement " and changes Sustainable growth Achieved industry-leading growth by strengthening customer contacts Net premiums written CAGR+4.5% Offering competitive products and services Enhancing quality and quantity of sales channels Innovation in sales force through "Business Renovation Project" Previous Mid-Term Business Plan Enhancement Innovation in work style Proactive measures Enhancing integrated business model for life and non-life Strengthening claims-service capabilities Advancing our risk consulting service + Enhancing productivity through utilizing IT and business process reform + Strengthen R&D by capitalizing on changes of business environment Offering products and services that meet future business environment and customer needs New Mid-Term Business Plan 25
27 1-4. Tokio Marine & Nichido - Measures to achieve sustainable growth (2) Significantly enhance the value delivered to customers through every opportunity to become "the best choice" by the customers Further integration of the business model for life and non-life Strengthening integrated multi line sales approach with enhanced consultation capability of agents by thoroughly utilizing "nextgeneration business model (tablets PCs)" Customer satisfaction of product offering process 94% 61% Before Tablets Further increase the attractiveness of our strategic product "Super Insurance" and deliver life and non-life coverage to our customers Ratio of Life-third sector attachments in "Super Insurance" approx. 16% FY % approx. 20% FY2020 Target Innovation in work style (Increasing productivity) Agents Strengthen customer contact through business process innovation mainly by utilizing our Next Generation Model (tablet PCs) Employees Generate time to service customers and agents through office work process innovation and promoting usage of mobile devices such as tablet PCs, etc. Enhancing our claims-services Strengthening claims-service capability of agents Accelerating / advancing service offerings by utilizing smart phone applications Strengthening capability for wide-area disasters Advancing risk consulting ability Providing solutions to fields with high demand(expanding service fields) Providing consulting service on business strategy, HR welfare, and overseas risk management by utilizing the Group s comprehensive capability 26
28 b Business Strategy for Sustainable Growth 1. Domestic Non-Life 2. Domestic Life 3. International Insurance 4. Financial and General 27
29 2-1. Domestic Life Insurance - Summary Business unit profits Aiming for 100B in FY2017 CAGR approx. +8% MCEV increase of approx. 260B (billions of yen) New policies annualized premiums CAGR approx. +5% CAGR excluding long-term savings products* is above +10% (billions of yen) Number of new policies - Individual insurance - 53 CAGR approx. +10% 62 (ten thousands of policies) Projections Year-end MCEV 1, , Plan approx. 1, Projections Plan * Individual annuity and whole life with long-term discount Projections Plan MCEV increase Promote Life Insurance Revolution to Protect One s Living Aiming for profit growth as a growth driver while controlling risks Expand our unique product line-up ( Premium Series ) which is a source of stable profit, mainly focusing on the increasing demand in the living-protection market Develop highly competitive products that accurately meet the customer needs and thus contribute to the increase in the number of customers Promote sales shift from saving-type products to protection-type products in low interest rate environment Strengthen growth potential Promote multi-channel strategies with the main focus of unlocking the potential of the integrated business model for life and non-life Strengthen sales channel support by substantially enhancing our sales force Establish infrastructure for future growth Renovate our new-policy management IT-system which will enable flexible product development as well as establish infrastructure to support the advancement of our insurance business 28
30 2-2. TMNL - Life Insurance Revolution to Protect One s Living Expand and strengthen our unique product line-up which meets the diverse customer needs and serves as a source of stable profit Business environment Changes of market needs Product strategy (Expanding proactively into the living-protection market) Progress of aging society Improvement of medical technology (Shorter hospital stay / decline in mortality) Decline of interest rate Intensifying price competition Revision of Insurance Business Act (Obligation to provide information when recommending products in comparison with others) Life Insurance Revolution to Protect One s Living Hospitalization / Surgery <medical insurance> Outpatient treatment (after discharge) Inability to work (home care) Nursing care requirement (permanent disability) Death <conventional life insurance> Cultivate potential market (Life insurance to protect one s living) Before FY11 FY12-14 FY15-17 New Mid-Term Business Plan 1 Household Income Term with inability-to-work benefit Medical Kit R Medical Kit Love R Continue product offering to satisfy diverse customer needs July 2015 : release new cancer insurance product ( Cancer Treatment Support Insurance NEO, Cancer Insurance R ) 2 Long-life Support Whole Life Medical Kit with inability-to-work support Continuously release highly unique products onwards Increase the sales proportion of protection-type products Promote living protection insurance and Premium Series Strengthen and enhance consulting skills of agents < Premium Series, New policy annualized premiums> 17.8 CAGR approx. +12% (billion yen) Plan Accelerate product development by renovating our IT system to achieve future growth 29
31 2-3. TMNL - Strengthening Growth Potential Promote multi-channel strategies with the main focus of unlocking the potential of the integrated business model for life and non-life Channel composition (FY2014 life insurance premiums on managerial accounting basis) Life partner approx. 10% Bancassurance approx. 10% Life professionals approx. 25% Non-life agents approx. 55% Achieve growth in the 4 major channels Non-life agents Life professionals Strengthen sales force ability of of life insurance products Strengthen training of for sales salespersons agent Develop products compatible with integrated sales approach of of life life and non-life Enhance Strengthen partnership partnership Strengthen parallel sales of life and Strengthen sales of Life and Non-Life non-life insurance products Further support including governance Support governance within the agent Promote sales channel mix Life professionals Non-life agent Business tie-up of life professionals with consultation expertise and non-life agents with a large customer base Life partner X X (Credit card and mail order companies, etc.) Non-life agent Life partner Bancassurance Channel expansion Expand the channel with quality while ensuring quality Increase the sales of protection-type products Nationwide roll-out of cultivating non-life agent market by life partners (Full-time support by life partners at nonlife insurance branches ) Strengthen support for channels by integrated approach of life and non-life Substantial increase of sales force at TMNL Generate +30% of sales personnel time for sales support activities by shifting administrative work and inquiries, etc to back office Utilize the extra time generated to strengthen support for agents by TMNL personnel Sales support to non-life agents through integrated approach of life and non-life Clarify role of sales personnel of life and nonlife and provide all-in-one support Establish infrastructure to support the advancement of our insurance business Utilize tablet PCs, etc. to grasp potential customer needs, complete a series of contract procedures including proposals, and promote training for sales agent 30
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33 b Business Strategy for Sustainable Profit Growth 1. Domestic Non-Life 2. Domestic Life 3. International Insurance 4. Financial and General 32
34 3-1. International Insurance Business - Overview Pursue growth opportunities globally and build geographically diversified business portfolio as the driver of the Tokio Marine Group s growth Business unit profits Net premiums written Business and geographical portfolio breakdown (billions of yen) CAGR approx. +7% (billions of yen) CAGR approx. +8% 1,302.6 approx. 1,250 1,269.0 Asia (Non-life) approx. 10% South & Central America approx. 10% Asia (Life) approx. 10% 2017 Net Premiums Written (plan) North America approx. 50% approx Reinsurance approx. 8% Europe, Middle East approx.12% Normalized* 1 Projections Plan Normalized* 2 Projections 2017 Plan Applied FX rate (USD/JPY) JPY Dec. 31, 2014 JPY120.1 Mar. 31, 2015 JPY120.1 Mar. 31, 2015 JPY120.1 Mar. 31, 2015 Applied FX rate (USD/JPY) JPY120.5 JPY120.1 JPY120.1 JPY120.1 Dec. 31, 2014 Mar. 31, 2015 Mar. 31, 2015 Mar. 31, 2015 *1: Applying foreign exchange rates as of the end of Mar and assuming an average level of natural catastrophe losses *2: Applying foreign exchange rates as of the end of Mar
35 3-2. International Insurance Business - Strategy Pursue growth opportunities globally and build geographically diversified business portfolio as the driver of the Tokio Marine Group s growth Pursue balanced growth in both developed and emerging markets through organic growth and M&A Growth Strategy 1 : Organic Growth Growth Strategy 2 : M&A Further utilize collective strength of the Group 1. Expanding group synergies 2. Best practice sharing 3. Collaboration between domestic and international business Developed markets: Strengthen competitive advantage mainly in the commercial market to achieve continuous profit growth Emerging markets: Capture market growth mainly in personal market by expanding distribution and product base Continue to consider new business investment opportunities in both developed and emerging markets while maintaining discipline Further enhance our business platform to support future growth of the International Insurance Business Global Corporate Functions Governance / Internal Controls Internal Audit ERM Investment Global HR Strategy Development of global leadership talent Deployment of local talents for global operations Business Process / IT etc. 34
36 3-3. International Insurance Business - Developed Counties (North America) Business unit profits (billions of yen) Net premiums written (billions of yen) C/R 94% 94% 94% level CAGR approx. +5% CAGR approx. +4% Normalized * Projections 2017 Plan Maintaining profit growth outperforming the market through underwriting discipline and action Highly competitive business model focusing on niche markets Maintaining high retention ratio of in-force policies through strong franchise network Holding fast to underwriting discipline including Dynamic Portfolio Optimization (DPO) *2, etc. Expanding distribution channel and new product sales including strategic bolt-on M&A *2 DPO: Strategy to optimize portfolio by identifying contracts with significant natural catastrophe risks and actively improving pricing terms and conditions Product development 2014 Pursue synergy effect in North America HR Reinsurance Investment development 2015 Projections 2017 Plan Expanding profit growth through profound investment expertise as well as further developing specific products and specific markets Highly competitive business model focusing on market for employee benefits and excess workers compensation Maintaining high retention ratio and improving underwriting conditions in main products Diversifying profit sources including asset accumulation business *3 through profound investment expertise *3: Asset accumulation business: Annuity and Funding Agreement Cost efficiency *1: Applying foreign exchange rates as of the end of Mar and assuming an average level of natural catastrophe losses 35
37 3-4. International Insurance Business - Developed Counties (Europe, Reinsurance) Europe Reinsurance Business unit profits Net premiums written Business unit profits Net premiums written C/R 94% % CAGR C/R 93% 92% 93% level 90% level approx. +9% CAGR approx. +8% (billions of yen) (billions of yen) (billions of yen) (billions of yen) , CAGR approx. +13% Applying foreign exchange rates as of the end of Mar and excluding the impact of multi-year contracts almost flat Normalized* Projections Plan Projections Plan Normalized* Projections Plan Projections 2017 Plan Achieving profit growth through business platform in the Lloyd s market and Corporate market under the integrated brand, Tokio Marine Kiln Maintaining profitability in the softening market with profound expertise on each region and line, and proper response to customer needs Enhancing the quality of business through the integration Focusing on specialty business whilst maintaining underwriting discipline Reinforcing strategic approach to the Corporate market including Japanese enterprises Further expanding US / Europe / Oceania portfolio Promoting geographical and product line diversification (expansion in business without risk of natural catastrophe) Expanding source of profit through solution offering to meet customer needs 36 *:Applying foreign exchange rates as of the end of Mar and assuming the average level of natural catastrophe losses
38 3-5. International Insurance Business - Emerging countries Asia South & Central America Non-life Net premiums written Life Insurance premiums Net premiums written CAGR approx. +10% 1, (billions of yen) (billions of yen) (billions of yen) approx.+10% in local currencies CAGR approx. +5% CAGR approx. +4% Projections Plan Projections 2017 Plan Projections 2017 Plan Thailand, Malaysia, India etc. Strengthening main product sales and expanding distribution channels China Further strengthen Japanese corporate customer business and auto insurance business Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand Improving profitability through expansion of distribution channels and product revisions India, Indonesia Establishing stable business platform including distribution networks Strengthening management control by Tokio Marine Asia (regional headquarter) Further expanding business by benchmarking the best-practice within the Group Accelerating development in personal market through expansion of distribution channels both in non-life and life Brazil Maintaining high growth outperforming market and profitability in auto insurance as the main business Establishing a new growth driver in addition to auto insurance business Promoting progress of measures to improve operation efficiency and profitability through business process reform 37
39 3-6. International Insurance Business - M&A strategy Significant contribution to the Group s profit growth through M&A strategy and smooth PMI Acquisition Principles Management soundness (A good management team sharing our values ) Robust business model High growth potential Trend of adjusted EPS* Smooth PMI (Post Merger Integration) Establishing strong mutual reliable relationship with local management Implementing effective governance structure while respecting local management Expanding group synergies through sharing and transferring competitive advantages of each company 423 Significant contribution to the Group s profit growth building solid track records Total adjusted EPS * of 3 companies Mar Dec May 2012 * Group : adjusted net income per share 3 companies : total of business unit profits per share Group total adjusted EPS* Continue to consider new business investment opportunities both in developed and emerging markets while maintaining M&A discipline 38
40 b Business Strategy for Sustainable Profit Growth 1. Domestic Non-Life 2. Domestic Life 3. International Insurance 4. Financial and General 39
41 4. Financial and General businesses Financial business General business Contribute to the improvement of the Group s business portfolio and profit growth by developing businesses with high capital efficiency, mainly in the asset management (fee-based) business Strategically expand our business in the domestic retail business and overseas businesses, which are the growing markets, by utilizing our asset management expertise proven in the business for domestic institutional investors Maximize the Group s strengths and synergies through enhanced cooperation among group companies Contribute to improve competitiveness of the Group's insurance companies by improving quality of products and services as well as operational efficiency Maximize the Group s strengths and synergies Investment advisory and investment trust services Tokio Marine Asset Management Risk consulting Tokio Marine & Nichido Risk Consulting Real estate investment advisory services Assistance Healthcare for the elderly Tokio Marine Property Investment Management Private equity investment services Tokio Marine Assistance Tokio Marine & Nichido Medical Service Tokio Marine & Nichido Samuel Tokio Marine & Nichido Better Life Service Tokio Marine Capital Mezzanine fund investment services Tokio Marine Mezzanine Comprehensive human resource services Tokio Marine & Nichido Career Service Life planning Facility management Tokio Marine & Nichido Facilities Tokio Marine & Nichido Anshin Consulting 40
42 3 Summary of the New Mid-Term Business Plan 41
43 Summary of the New Mid-Term Business Plan Aiming to continuously create value through the circulation of capital 1 2 <Sustainable profit growth> Adjusted net income 350B~ 400B <Steady dividends growth> Payout ratio as a guide is above 35% of average adjusted net income Enhance capital efficiency Adjusted ROE approx. 9% 4 <Disciplined capital management> Secure financial soundness and profitability while considering comfortable level* Continue to sell business-related equities (more than 100B per year) <Investment for future growth> Invest in new businesses with high capital efficiency Invest today to build foundations for our growth tomorrow 3 Flexible shares repurchases * Guideline for comfortable level of ESR is approx. +30% at present. 42
44 Reference a b c d e Revision of Required Capital Model Definition of Adjusted Net Income (new) Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income / Adjusted Net Assets Definition of Business Unit Profits (new) Reconciliation of Business Unit Profits Consolidated Results Overview (FY2014 Results) Consolidated Projections Overview (FY2015 Projections) Business Unit Profits (FY2015 Projections) International Insurance Business FY2015 Projections by Region Impact of FX Rate Change on the Group's Financial Results Asset portfolio Tokio Marine Holdings Key Statistics Return to Shareholders Basic Information (Domestic Non-Life) - TMNF Basic Information (Domestic Life) - TMNL Basic Information (International Insurance) 43
45 Revision of Required Capital Model While maintaining AA credit rating standard (99.95%VaR), we revised our capital model referring to the method in European SolvencyⅡ, etc. Revisions include "change in tax effect consideration", "excluding restricted capital", "change in asset management risk measurement method", etc. <End of Sept. 2014> <End of Mar. 2015> 148% Model revision 141% 140% * Risk capital 3.3T Net asset value 4.9T Impact to net asset value change in tax effect consideration excluding restricted capital Introduction of MCEV etc. Impact to risk capital change in tax effect consideration Change in asset management risk measurement method etc. Risk capital 2.5T Net asset value 3.5T Factors causing change in net asset value Contribution of 2H FY14 adjusted earnings Increase in unrealized gains of business-related equities Depreciation of the yen etc. Factors causing change in risk capital Increase in risk of equities due to the rise in stock price Depreciation of the yen etc. Risk capital 2.8T Net asset value 3.9T Previous model New model New model (*Reference) ESR(99.5%VaR) : 171% 44
46 Definition of Adjusted Net Income (new) Adjusted Net Income* 1 Adjusted Net Income Net income Provision for Provision for Provision for = (consolidated) + catastrophe loss + contingency + price fluctuation - *2 reserves *3 reserves *3 reserves *3 Gains or losses on sales or valuation of ALM *4 bonds and interest rate swaps Adjusted Net Assets *1 (average balance basis) Amortization of Gains or losses goodwill and other on sales or + intangible fixed - valuation of fixed - assets assets Other extraordinary gains/losses, valuation allowances, etc Adjusted Net Assets Net assets Catastrophe Contingency Price fluctuation = (consolidated) loss reserves reserves reserves Goodwill and other intangible fixed assets Adjusted ROE (new definition) Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted = ROE Net Income Net Assets *1: Each adjustment is on an after-tax basis *2: Net income is attributable to owners of the parent *3: Reversals are subtracted *4: ALM: Asset Liability Management. Excluded as counter balance items against market value fluctuations of liabilities under ALM Difference between new definition and former definition Earnings of life insurance business Adjusted Net Income (new) Adjust the financial accounting basis net income Adjusted Earnings (former) Increase in EV during the current fiscal year Capital of life insurance business Adjusted Net Assets (new) Adjust the financial accounting basis net assets Adjusted Capital (former) EV Gains or losses on sales or valuation of equity holdings Included Excluded Goodwill and other intangible fixed assets Excluded Included Provision for catastrophe loss reserves, etc. Gains or losses on sales or valuation relating to ALM Amortization of goodwill and other intangible fixed assets Excluded (No change) Excluded Catastrophe loss reserves, etc. Added (No change) Added Gains or losses on sales or valuation of fixed assets 45
47 Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income / Adjusted Net Assets (billions of yen) Adjusted Net Income *1 Adjusted Net Assets Adjusted ROE Net income(consolidated) *2 FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections YoY FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections YoY FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections Net Net assets(consolidated) 3, , income(consolidated) YoY + Provision for catastrophe loss Catastrophe loss reserves * reserves Net , , assets(consolidated)* + Provision for contingency FInancial acccounting reserves * Contingency reserves % 6.6% -1.3% basis ROE + Provision for price fluctuation reserves * Price fluctuation reserves * average balance basis - Gains or losses on sales or valuation of ALM bonds and interest rate swaps Goodwill and other intangible fixed assets FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections YoY Gains or losses on sales or valuation of fixed assets Amortization of goodwill and other intangible fixed assets Other extraordinary gains/losses, valuation allowances, etc Adjusted Net Assets 4, , Adjusted Net Income Adjusted Net Assets* 3, , Adjusted ROE 8.9% 7.8% -1.1% Adjusted Net Income * average balance basis *1 Each adjustment is on an after-tax basis *2 Net income attributable to owners of the parent *3 Reversals are subtracted 46
48 Definition of Business Unit Profits (new) Non-life insurance business Business Unit Profits *1 Provision for Provision for Net = + catastrophe loss + price fluctuation - income reserves *2 reserves *2 Gains or losses on sales or valuation of ALM *3 bonds and interest rate swaps Gains or losses on sales - or valuation of equity - holdings and fixed assets Other extraordinary gains/losses, valuation allowances, etc. Life insurance business *4 Business Unit Profits *1 Other businesses Increase in EV *5 = during the current + fiscal year Capital transactions such as capital increase Net income determined in accordance with financial accounting principles *1: Each adjustment is on an after-tax basis *2: Reversals are subtracted *3: ALM: Asset Liability Management. Excluded as counter balance items against market value fluctuations of liabilities under ALM *4: For life insurance companies in certain regions, Business Unit Profits is calculated by using the definition in Other businesses (head office expenses, etc. are deducted from profits) *5: EV: Embedded Value. An index that shows the net present value of profits to be gained from policies in-force is added to the net asset value Difference between new definition and former definition Business Unit Profits (new) Adjusted Earnings (former) Non-life insurance business No change - Life insurance business Increase in MCEV during the current fiscal year Increase in TEV during the current fiscal year Other businesses No change - The indicator for life insurance business will be changed from TEV (Traditional Embedded Value) to MCEV (Market-Consistent Embedded Value), which reflects the economic value more accurately. For detailed information about MCEV, please refer to Tokio Marine & Nichido Life Introduction of Market Consistent Embedded Value (end of March 2015), which is separately disclosed by Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. 47
49 Reconciliation of Business Unit Profits Non-life insurance business *1 (TMNF) International insurance business FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections YoY FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections Net income for accounting purposes Overseas subsidiaries Net income for accounting purposes Provision for catastrophe loss reserves* Difference with EV (Life) Provision for price fluctuation reserves* Adjustment of non-controlling interests Gains or losses on sales or valuation of ALM bonds and interest rate swaps Difference of subsidiaries covered Gains or losses on sales or valuation of equity holdings and fixed assets Other adjustments * 20.0 Business Unit Profits Intra-group dividends * Amortization of other intangible fixed assets head office expenses, etc. - Other extraordinary gains/losses, valuation allowances, etc Business Unit Profits *1 Each adjustment is on an after-tax basis *2 Reversals are subtracted 48
50 Consolidated Results Overview (FY2014 Results) (billions of yen, except for %) YoY FY2013 FY2014 Change % Ordinary income (TMHD Consolidated) 4, , % Net premiums written (TMHD Consolidated) 2, , % Tokio Marine & Nichido 1, , % Nisshin Fire % Life insurance premiums (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life (Insurance premiums and other) * % Ordinary profit (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido % Nisshin Fire % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life * % Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life * % Overseas subsidiaries % Financial and general % Others (Consolidation adjustments, etc.) Net income (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido % Nisshin Fire % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life * % Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life * % Overseas subsidiaries % Financial and general % Others (Consolidation adjustments, etc.) Since Tokio Marine & Nichido Life (TMNL) and Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life (FL) merged on October 1st 2014, FY2014 results for TMNL are the sum of its pre-merger results in the first half (April - September) and post-merger results in and after October FL's FY2014 results show its pre-merger results in the first half. Net premiums written Increased in Group total due to an increase in domestic non-life mainly in auto as well as organic growth and the positive impact from progress of the depreciation of the yen at overseas subsidiaries Life insurance premiums Decreased mainly due to an increase of surrender of variable annuities in domestic life business (former FL) despite revenue growth at overseas subsidiaries Ordinary profit TMNF Increased mainly due to an increase in net premiums earned mainly in auto and a decrease in natural catastrophe losses, etc. despite an increase in net provision for catastrophe loss reserves Overseas Subsidiaries Increased mainly due to the progress of various growth measures and the depreciation of the yen, despite the reversal effect of temporary increase factors in FY2013 Net income Record high net income (Negative effect of the reduction of deferred tax assets owing to the decrease in corporate tax rate was mostly offset by the positive effect of tax reduction) 49
51 Consolidated Projections Overview (FY2015 Projections) FY2014 Results Ordinary income (TMHD Consolidated) 4,327.9 (billions of yen, except for %) Net premiums written (TMHD Consolidated) 3, , % Tokio Marine & Nichido 2, , % Nisshin Fire % Life insurance premiums (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life (Insurance premiums and other) * % Ordinary profit (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido % Nisshin Fire % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life * % Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life *1 0.8 Overseas subsidiaries % Financial and general % Others (Consolidation adjustments, etc.) Net income *2 (TMHD Consolidated) % Tokio Marine & Nichido % Nisshin Fire % Tokio Marine & Nichido Life * % Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life *1 0.8 YoY FY2015 Projections Change % Overseas subsidiaries % Financial and general % Others (Consolidation adjustments, etc.) Since Tokio Marine & Nichido Life (TMNL) and Tokio Marine & Nichido Financial Life (FL) merged on October 1st 2014, FY2014 results for TMNL are the sum of its pre-merger results in the first half (April - September) and post-merger results in and after October FL's FY2014 results show its pre-merger results in the first half. 2 "Net income (TMHD Consolidated)" will be reported as "Net income attributable to owners of the parent" from FY2015 Projections Net premiums written Projected to increase in Group total mainly due to an increase in domestic non-life mainly in auto, despite the reversal effect of temporary increase factors in FY2014, and FX effects at overseas subsidiaries Life insurance premiums Projected to increase mainly due to a decrease in surrender of variable annuities, etc. in domestic life business (former FL) Ordinary profit Domestic Non-Life Projected to decrease mainly due to assuming an average level of natural catastrophe losses as well as an increase in net provision for catastrophe loss reserves Domestic Life Projected to decrease due to an increase in expenses associated with new policies, etc. Overseas Subsidiaries Projected to decrease mainly due to assuming an average level of natural catastrophe losses Net income Projected to decrease due to the same factors in ordinary profit (In FY2014, negative effect of the reduction of deferred tax assets owing to the decrease in corporate tax rate was mostly offset by the positive effect of tax reduction ) 50
52 Business Unit Profits (FY2015 Projections) (billions of yen) Business Domain FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections Change Domestic Non-Life TMNF: Projected to increase by 16.3B YoY to 130.0B Domestic Non-Life TMNF NF Other *1 *2 Domestic Life TMNL International Insurance North America Europe (incl. Middle East) South & Central America Asia Reinsurance International Non-Life * International Life Assuming an average level of natural catastrophes Increase in net premiums earned mainly in auto and fire Reversal effect of the reduction of deferred tax assets in FY2014 owing to the decrease in corporate tax rate Reversal effect of the negative impact* due to the progress of the depreciation of the yen, etc. in FY2014 *Increase in provision for reserves for foreign currency denominated outstanding claims and decrease in gains on FX derivatives Domestic Life AL: Projected to decrease by 99.7B YoY to 70.0B mainly due to the reversal effect of temporary increase factors* ( 92.8B) in FY2014 and a decrease in new business value owing to the decline in interest rates *Main factors are the recording of deferred tax assets of FL, effect of change in assumptions used due to the decrease in corporate tax rate, and economic variances Financial & General Total *1: Excluding capital transactions *2: Regarding Domestic Life, because MCEV was adopted, which is effective from FY2015, FY2014 figure is also described based on MCEV *3: International Non-Life figures include some life insurance figures of composite overseas subsidiaries International Insurance Projected to decrease by 18.5B YoY to 127.0B mainly due to the reversal effect of temporary effects in FY2014 *FY2014 results is approx. 125 billion yen based on exchange rate as of the end of Mar and assuming an average level of natural catastrophe losses 51
53 International Insurance Business FY2015 Projections by Region Net Premiums Written Business Unit Profits (billions of yen, except for %) Applied FX rate USD/JPY FY2013 Results FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections FY2013 Results FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections As of end- As of end- As of end- As of end- As of end- As of end- YoY (Ref.) Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 YoY Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 YoY (Excluding JPY JPY JPY Change % FX effects) *3 JPY JPY JPY Change % (Ref.) YoY (Excluding FX effects) *3 North America % 4% % 4% Philadelphia % 5% % 2% Delphi % 2% % 5% Europe & Middle East South & Central America Asia Reinsurance Total Non-Life * % 9% % - 35% % 7% % - 18% % 13% % - 29% % - 31% % 16% , , % 2% % - 6% Life % - 12% % - 78% Total *2 1, , , % 1% % - 11% *1: Total Non-Life figures include some life insurance figures of composite overseas subsidiaries *2: After adjustment of head office expenses *3: Local currency basis 52
54 Impact of FX Rate Change on the Group's Financial Results Main impact in the event of 1 yen depreciation *1 Negative impact of the depreciation of the yen decreased due to the reorganization of TMNF U.S. branch as an overseas subsidiary Impact on P/L 1. Increase in profit from overseas subsidiaries converted into yen : approx. +1.0B *2 2. Change in reserves for foreign currency denominated outstanding claims and derivatives at TMNF approx B *2 Impact on B/S Increase in yen based net asset value of overseas subsidiaries : approx B Regarding No.2 in the left column, due to the simultaneous change in value of the matching foreign currency denominated assets and hedged assets, impact on the Group's net asset value is basically neutral *1: Assuming that the FX rate for each currency changes by the same ratio as USD *2: After tax basis Reference (applied FX rate) Applied FX rate (USD/JPY) FY2013 Results FY2014 Results FY2015 Projections (Assumptions) Overseas subsidiaries JPY (end-dec. 2013) JPY (end-dec. 2014) JPY TMNF JPY (end-mar. 2014) JPY (end-mar. 2015) (end-mar. 2015) 53
55 Asset Portfolio Domestic Non-Life (TMNF) With regard to "long-term insurance liabilities," we aim to maximize the value of surplus by controlling the interest rate risk based on the principle of strict ALM investments With regard to "Absolute return investment and lending," we work toward diversification of investments with appropriate risk control, in order to maximize net asset value and increase investment income TMNF Total Assets 9.0T (as of Mar. 31, 2015) Domestic Life (TMNL) Excluding assets in separate accounts, most assets are assets for backing long-term insurance liabilities. We aim to maximize the value of surplus by controlling the interest rate risk based on the principle of strict ALM investments TMNL Total Assets 7.0T (as of Mar. 31, 2015) Assets backing long-term insurance liabilities Mainly yen-denominated fixed income assets 28% Appropriately control the yendenominated interest rate risks of longterm insurance liabilities including deposit-type insurance, with yendenominated fixed income assets Absolute return investment and lending (Including short-term investments) Business-related equities 16% Carefully select investment targets from domestic and foreign bonds, etc. and aim for profit contribution Continue to reduce holdings Assets backing long-term insurance liabilities Mainly yen-denominated fixed income assets Appropriately control interest rate risks of life insurance liability 65% 31% Investments in subsidiaries and affiliates Others 12% Assets in separate accounts Former FL Real estate for own use and non-investment assets Others 13% Short-term 14% investments, etc. 21% 54
56 Tokio Marine Holdings Key Statistics FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Financial accounting basis New KPI Former KPI Net income (billions of yen) Shareholders' equity after tax (billions of yen) 3, , , , , , , , , ,578.7 EPS (yen) BPS (yen) 3,820 4,128 3,195 2,067 2,754 2,460 2,399 3,052 3,536 4,742 ROE 3.3% 2.8% 3.6% 1.1% 6.8% 3.5% 0.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% PBR Adjusted net income (billions of yen) Adjusted net assets (billions of yen) , , , ,103.4 Adjusted EPS (yen) Adjusted BPS (yen) ,001 3,580 4,135 5,437 Adjusted ROE % 6.5% 8.2% 8.9% Adjusted PBR Adjusted earnings (billions of yen) * Adjusted capital (billions of yen) 4, , , , , , , , , ,900.5 Adjusted EPS (yen) * Adjusted BPS (yen) 5,040 5,570 4,490 3,260 4,010 3,810 3,690 4,460 5,110 6,494 Adjusted ROE *1 3.7% 3.8% 3.5% - 1.7% 5.8% 2.4% - 0.7% 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% Adjusted PBR Adjusted number of issued and outstanding shares (thousands of shares) Market capitalization (billions of yen) Share price as of the end of Mar. (yen) Percentage change (Reference) TOPIX Percentage change Sales of business-related equity holdings (billons of yen) *2 840, , , , , , , , , ,599 3, , , , , , , , , ,438.0 *3 4,660 4,360 3,680 2,395 2,633 2,224 2,271 2,650 3,098 4, % - 6.4% % % 9.9% % 2.1% 16.7% 16.9% 46.5% 1, , , , , , % - 0.8% % % 26.5% % - 1.7% 21.1% 16.3% 28.3% *1 FY2005: excludes the effects of changes in assumption, etc. in EV calculation of domestic life *2 All figures exclude the number of treasury shares held from the total number of the shares issued and are shown on a basis after a share-split in Sep *3 All figures are shown on a basis after a share-split in Sep
57 Return to Shareholders FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 (Projections) Adjusted earnings Adjusted earnings (excluding EV) Average adjusted earnings (excluding EV) * bn yen 169.7bn yen 143.2bn yen bn yen 165.4bn yen 72.0bn yen bn yen 209.1bn yen 278.1bn yen 412.0bn yen Adjusted net income 327.0bn yen 104.1bn yen 121.5bn yen 128.1bn yen 4.7bn yen 113.4bn yen 44.5bn yen bn yen 98.8bn yen 173.6bn yen 272.2bn yen Average adjusted net income 215.0bn yen 90.0bn yen 90.0bn yen 100.0bn yen 80.0bn yen 85.0bn yen 80.0bn yen 80.0bn yen 85.0bn yen 110.0bn yen 155.0bn yen Dividends total 25.2bn yen 29.8bn yen 38.7bn yen 38.0bn yen 39.4bn yen 38.6bn yen 38.3bn yen 42.2bn yen 53.7bn yen 72.2bn yen Dividends total 79.2bn yen Dividends per share 30yen 36yen 48yen 48yen 50yen 50yen 50yen 55yen 70yen 95yen(Plan) Dividends per share 105yen Payout ratio *2 28% 33% 39% 48% 46% 48% 48% 50% 49% 47% Payout ratio 37% Share repurchases *3 70.1bn yen 85.0bn yen 90.0bn yen 50.0bn yen bn yen bn yen Share repurchases TBD Total distributions to shareholders 95.3bn yen 114.8bn yen 128.7bn yen 88.0bn yen 39.4bn yen 88.6bn yen 38.3bn yen 42.2bn yen 53.7bn yen 122.2bn yen Total distributions to shareholders TBD <Refernece : Financial accounting basis> Net income 89.9bn yen 93.0bn yen 108.7bn yen 23.1bn yen 128.4bn yen 71.9bn yen 6.0bn yen 129.5bn yen 184.1bn yen 247.4bn yen (Consolidated) <Refernece : Financial accounting basis> Net income (Consolidated) 240.0bn yen Payout ratio 28% 32% 36% 165% 31% 54% 639% 33% 29% 29% Payout ratio 33% *1: Excludes effects from the Great East Japan Earthquake and Thai Flood *2: Until FY2014:payout ratio to average adjusted earnings (excluding EV) From FY2015:payout ratio to average adjusted net income *3: On a repurchase year basis. FY2006 figure excludes JPY57.8B of stock exchange between Nisshin Fire 56
58 Basic Information (Domestic Non-Life 1) - TMNF Trend of net premiums written and combined ratio C/R(Private insurance W/P Basis) Net premiums written (billions of yen) 93.1% 92.0% 91.2% 90.9% 89.8% 1, , , % 1, % 97.2% 1, , % 1, , % 1, , % 2,100.0 Premium composition by line Marine 3.2% (FY2014 net premiums written basis) CALI 13.6% Others 12.9% P.A. 8.3% Fire 13.3% Auto 48.6% Premium composition by sales channel (FY2014 managerial accounting basis) Projections Statistics of combined ratio and loss ratio (private insurance E/I basis) Financial institutions 3.4% Auto repair shop 6.0% Others 17.2% Auto dealership 20.0% Full-time agents 28.3% Corporate 25.0% FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 Projections Market share* (FY2013 net premiums written basis) Net E/I C/R * 103.8% 99.6% 97.2% 90.6% 92.4% E/I loss ratio 69.8% 66.8% 65.0% 58.5% 59.5% Excluding natural catastrophes 61.3% 62.8% 60.1% 56.9% 57.3% Expense ratio 34.0% 32.8% 32.2% 32.2% 32.8% その 他 72.1% TMNF 25.8% NF 1.8% *: Net E/I C/R = E/I loss ratio + W/P expense ratio *Japanese non-life market (excluding reinsurance companies) 57
59 Basic Information (Domestic Non-Life 2) - TMNF Trend of underwriting results in auto insurance (W/P basis combined ratio) <Factors of profitability deterioration> <Measures to improve profitability> Increase in senior drivers with high accident frequency Decrease in per-policy premiums owing to the progress of the average discount rate under the Grade Rating System Increasing trend in unit repair cost 98.5% 103.6% 102.9% 103.8% 102.6% Efforts to decrease business expenses such as operational streamlining Product and rate revisions Introduction of age-bracket rate plans Revision of the Grade Rating System Other measures to improve underwriting result 98.5% 94.9% 96.0% 94.0% 91.5% 91.4% Projections Trend of auto insurance policy renewal ratio, combined ratio and loss ratio Rate revisions and profitability improvements per FY Policy renewal ratio FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 Projections 95.1% 95.3% 95.6% 95.6% - Net E/I C/R * 102.9% 100.2% 95.7% 91.6% 93.1% E/I L/R 70.7% 69.4% 65.3% 61.1% 62.2% *: Net E/I C/R = E/I loss ratio + W/P expense ratio (excluding revision of the Grade Rating System in non-fleet auto insurance) (billions of yen) Revision FY13 FY14 FY15 Projections FY16 Projections Jan Oct Oct Oct Total
60 Basic Information (Domestic Life) - TMNL Growing "Medical & Cancer" market Composition of number of in-force policies (Individual insurance basis, total of Japanese life insurance market) FY % Growth rate of number of in-force policies at TMNL CAGR of in-force policies from FY2000 to FY2013 *1 *1: Total of individual insurance and individual annuities TMNL * % *2: After merger basis FY % Average of Japanese life insurance market *3 +2.7% *3 :Source Insurance Statistics (Seiho Toukeigo) Others Medical & Cancer Source: The Life Insurance Association of Japan (unit: millions of policy) (unit: ten thousands of policy) Number of in-force policies *4 at TMNL (total of individual insurance and individual annuities) *4:Total of TMNL and former FL Through development of product strategies focusing on life insurance to protect one's living in response to customer needs, TMNL achieved 5 million in-force policies in FY2014, significantly exceeding the market growth 59
61 Basic Information (International Insurance) Net premiums written in international insurance business (billions of yen) 1, , ,200 1,074.5 Life Reinsurance 1, North America Europe & Middle East South & Central America Asia FX rate * USD/JPY Projections (until 2000) Developed by mainly focusing on Japanese corporate customer business Reinsurance Enhanced business expansion into non-japanese corporate customer business Non-life in emerging countries Life in emerging countries Kiln Full-scale operation in U.S. and European markets Philadelphia Further expansion in the emerging markets Life in India Delphi Further growth, business diversification and increasing capital efficiency *FX rates are as of Dec. 31 of each year 60 (FX rate for FY2015 Projections is as of Mar )
62 Disclaimer These presentation materials include business projections and forecasts relating to expected financial and operating results of Tokio Marine Holdings and certain of its affiliates in current and future periods. All such forward looking information is based on information and assumptions available to Tokio Marine Holdings when the materials were prepared and is subject to a range of inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results may vary materially from those estimated, anticipated, expected or projected in the accompanying materials and no assurances can be given that any such forward looking information will prove to have been accurate. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements in these materials. Tokio Marine Holdings undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of this forward looking information, whether as a result of new information, recent or future developments, or otherwise. These presentation materials do not constitute an offering of securities in any jurisdiction. To the extent distribution of these presentation materials or the information included herein is restricted by law, persons receiving these materials must inform themselves of and observe any such restrictions. For further information... Investor Relations Group, Corporate Planning Dept. Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. URL : Tel :
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