The Age of Sustainable Development
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- Audrey Carol Sutton
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1 International Growth Centre public lecture The Age of Sustainable Development Professor Jeffrey D. Sachs Director of The Earth Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University Special Advisor to United Nations Secretary-General on Millennium Development Goals Dr Jonathan Leape Chair, LSE Suggested hashtag for Twitter users: #LSESachs
2 THE AGE OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT JEFFREY D. SACHS International Growth Centre London School of Economics 4 February 2015
3 The Anthropocene: It s All About Scale
4 James Watt s Engine: Most Significant Invention of Modern History
5 Gross World Output
6 Gross World Product per Capita
7 Human Population in the Holocene
8
9 SIXTH WAVE SHOULD BE SUSTAINBLE GROWTH BUILT ON DIGITAL REVOLUTION
10 THE INFORMATION AGE (TRANSISTOR COUNT ON INTEL MICROPROCESSORS) 5,000,000,000 XEON PHI 5.0B 4,500,000,000 4,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,500,000,000 1,000,000, ,000,000 INTEL K
11 Mobile Subscribers Worldwide, Billions
12 Shenzhen, 1980
13 Shenzhen, 2013
14 A WORLD IN FLUX 1. GLOBAL SCALE PRODUCTION SYSTEMS 2. RAPID ICT ENABLED TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 3. RAPID POPULATION GROWTH IN AFRICA AND SOUTH ASIA AND AGING IN THE HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES 4. WORLDWIDE DECLINE OF MIDDLE SKILLED JOBS 5. EXTREME ENVIRONMENTAL CRISES 6. ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL MULTI POLARITY
15 PROGRESS DURING THE MDG ERA
16 YET ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION ARE HAMPERED BY THREE LARGE HURDLES: GROWING INCOME INEQUALITY AND SOCIAL EXCLUSION CONTINUED RAPID POPULATION GROWTH GROWING ENVIRONMENTAL CRISES
17 GINI COEFFICIENT IN US, SOURCE: US CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE 2012
18 GINI COEFFICIENT IN CHINA,
19 Tunis, January 2011 Cairo, January 2011 Athens July 2011 Tel Aviv, August 2011 Chile, August 2011 New York City, November 2011 Madrid, September 2012 Istanbul, June 2013 Rio de Janeiro, June 2013
20 PERSISTENCE OF HIGH FERTILITY IN AFRICA
21 PLANETARY BOUNDARIES Source: Rockström et al 2009a)
22 JAGUARY DAM, SAO PAULO STATE, JANUARY 2014
23 SUMATRA FOREST FIRES, MARCH 2014
24 BOSNIA, May
25 HIROSHIMA FLOODS, AUGUST 2014
26 STEVENS CREEK RESERVOIR, MAY 2014
27 CURRENT DROUGHT RISK MAP, OCTOBER 2014 INSET FOR THE MIDDLE EAST AND WEST ASIA ci/vh/vh_browse.php
28 2014: Warmest Year on Instrument Record
29 Sustainable Development as a Framework for Action Sustainable Development is the Holistic Integration of Economic, Social, and Environmental Objectives in an Approach to Scientific Analysis, Governance, Problem Solving, and Human Action The UN Member States are now negotiating Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to be adopted in September 2015
30 2015 is the Decisive Year for Setting Sustainable Development Goals Financing for Sustainable Development (Addis Ababa, July 2015) Sustainable Development Goals (UN HQ, September 2015) Climate Change Agreement at COP21 (Paris, December 2015)
31 SDG PRIORITIES (CONSOLIDATING THE 17 STATED PRIORITIES OF THE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY) 1. END POVERTY AND HUNGER 2. HEALTH FOR ALL 3. EDUCATION FOR ALL 4. REDUCE ECONOMIC INEQUALITIES; END GENDER INEQUALITIES 5. SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DECENT JOBS 6. SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE 7. SUSTAINABLE CITIES 8. STOP HUMAN INDUCED CLIMATE CHANGE 9. CONSERVE MARINE AND TERRESTIAL ECOSYSTEMS 10. GOOD GOVERNANCE AND GLOBAL PARTNERSHIPS
32 Challenges to Meet the Sustainable Development: Rapid Technological Transformation Equity in Social Service Provision Community Protection of Natural Resources Strengthening of Local Governance Sharing Work, Learning, and Leisure Restraining Arbitrary Corporate Power Responsible investing and Financial Markets Re Democratizing Our Democracies Identifying Shared Global Values
33 CRITICAL SUSTAINBLE SYSTEMS PRIORITIES: SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND NUTRITION SUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION ( SMART CITIES ) WILL NEED TECHNOLOGICAL BREAKTHROUGHS
34 NEED NEW GLOBAL PUBLIC PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS (PPPs) FOR SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES: LOW CARBON ENERGY SYSTEMS RESILIENT AND SUSTAINBLE AGRICULTURE SMART ICT ENABLED URBAN SYSTEMS ICT ENABLED HEALTH, EDUCATION, GOVERNANCE
35 EXAMPLES OF DIRECTED SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY: VACCINES, MEDICINES, AND DIAGNOSTICS RADAR CRYPTOGRAPHY NUCLEAR ENERGY COMPUTING SEMICONDUCTORS SATELLITES AND SPACE SCIENCE INTERNET HUMAN GENOME PROJECT HIGGS BOSON (CERN) BRAIN INITIATIVE
36 HALVING OF COST ROUGHLY EVERY NINE MONTHS
37 2 degree C BAU: 4 6 degree C
38 Main Decarbonization Strategies Strategy Energy Efficiency Decarbonization of Electricity End Use Fuel Switching to Electric Sources Key Metric of Transformation Energy Intensity of GDP (GJ/$2005) Electricity Emissions Intensity (gco2/kwh) % 25% 50% 75% Share of Electricity and Electric Fuels in Total Final Energy (%)
39 THE WORLD WILL NEED TO STRAND OIL, GAS, AND COAL RESERVES FROM McGLADE AND EKINS, NATURE MAGAZINE, JANUARY 8, 2015
40
41 Solar PV: Annual and Cumulative Production (MW) 140, , ,000 80,000 60,000 Production Cumulative 40,000 20,
42 KEY ROLES OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT DISCIPLINES (1) Understanding Mechanisms: climate, biodiversity, economic dynamics (2) Monitoring and mapping Earth system states (3) Developing integrated physical human systems for the green economy (4) Assisting directed technological change e.g. deep decarbonization, ICT based health and education, sustainable agriculture, smart cities (5) Leading public and university education, and building a shared global framework for action
43 Some Recent Alliances for Sustainable Development Earth League UN SDSN SDSN.Edu and MDP DDPP PPPs for Low Carbon Technology
44 International Growth Centre public lecture The Age of Sustainable Development Professor Jeffrey D. Sachs Director of The Earth Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University Special Advisor to United Nations Secretary-General on Millennium Development Goals Dr Jonathan Leape Chair, LSE Suggested hashtag for Twitter users: #LSESachs
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