Update on Telecommunications Competition and the Qwest AFOR Settlement

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1 Update on Telecommunications Competition and the Qwest AFOR Settlement Presented to the: Information Technology and Telecommunications Oversight Committee Thursday September 18, 2008 Rio Rancho, New Mexico Presented by: Leo Baca and Dennis Pappas 1

2 NEW MEXICO - CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE GROWTH IN POPULATION vs. QWEST SWITCHED ACCESS LINES % 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Population Qwest Business Lines Qwest Residence Lines Qwest Total Switched Access Lines 2

3 The Impact of Telecom Competition Is Significant Qwest NM access lines NM wireline competitor access lines reported (VoIP-based lines exempt) Number of wireline competitors reporting access lines in NM (VoIP-based providers exempt) Number of NM wireless customers Number of NM wireless carriers Wireless revenue per minute (national) Residential VoIP customers (national) NM high speed lines 853,911 N/A 2 395,111 5 $ ,000 (2003) 2, ,949 76, ,415,726 (exceeds all wireline carriers by 55%) 9 $0.07 (2006) 15.9 million 544,706 (each a potential VoIP customer) (Sources: Qwest access lines ARMIS 43-08; CLEC access lines, number of CLECs, number of wireless subscribers & carriers FCC Local Competition Report; wireless revenue per minute FCC Trends in Telephone Service; residential VoIP subscribers Telecom Industry Assoc. Market Review & Forecast; high speed lines FCC High Speed Internet Access Report) 3

4 New Mexico Consumers Have Choices For Their Telecom Provider Wireless Service Available From: Farmington AT&T (bus) Bullseye (bus) Level 3 (bus) McLeod (bus) TW Telecom (bus) Verizon [MCI] (bus) Belen ACN Comm. (res) Bullseye (bus) Comcast (res) McLeod (bus) TW Telecom (bus) Verizon [MCI] (res & bus) Alltel, Sprint & Verizon Coverage throughout most of the state AT&T & T-Mobile - Albuquerque, Santa Fe, Farmington, Las Cruces, Belen, Roswell, among other communities Plateau Wireless Portales & Roswell, among other communities Cricket Wireless Albuquerque, Santa Fe, Las Cruces & Belen, among other communities Albuquerque ACN (res) AT&T (bus) Bullseye (bus) Cable One (res Rio Rancho) Comcast (bus & res) Cyber Mesa (res & bus) Level 3 (bus) Matrix (res & bus) McLeod (res & bus) TW Telecom (bus) Verizon [MCI] (res & bus) Las Cruces ACN Comm. (res) AT&T (bus) Level 3 (bus) McLeod (bus) Tanager (bus) Verizon [MCI] (res & bus) Santa Fe ACN Comm. (res) AT&T (bus) Cyber Mesa (res & bus) Level 3 (bus) Matrix (res & bus) McLeod (res & bus) Tanager (bus) Verizon [MCI] (res & bus) Roswell ACN Comm. (res) AT&T (bus) Cable One (res) Bullseye (bus) Level 3 (bus) McLeod (bus) Tanager (bus) Verizon [MCI] (bus) Portales ACN Comm. (res) McLeod (bus) Verizon [MCI] (bus) Yucca (res & bus) 4

5 New Mexico Telecom Regulation Cable companies: Internet companies: Wireless companies: Voice over Internet (VOIP) companies: Competitive Local Exchange Carriers (CLECs): No regulation by PRC on either pricing or service quality No regulation by PRC on either pricing or service quality No regulation by PRC on either pricing or service quality No regulation by PRC on either pricing or service quality PRC certification requirement; no regulation by PRC on either pricing or service quality Qwest: Price Cap Regulation pricing rule with limited flexibility to respond to competitors promotions; service quality rule with stringent standards and rapidly escalating customer credit requirements. Unequal regulation is unfair to consumers because it denies the full benefits of competition in the form of lower prices and better service. In addition, it is unfair to Qwest because Qwest cannot effectively retain its customers by matching the offers of unregulated competitors, resulting in lost business, lost jobs, and stranded facilities. 5

6 AFOR Settlement Overview Project Expenditures Capital 2007 $ 46,371,000 Expense 2007 $ 2,977,000 Total Spend for 2007 $ 49,348,000 Capital 2008 YTD * $ 77,868,000 Expense 2008 YTD * $ 4,931,000 Total Spend 2008 YTD * $ 82,799,000 Total capital spend over the life of the SASA $ 124,239,000 Total expense over the life of the SASA $ 7,908,000 Total spend over the life of the SASA YTD * $ 132,147,000 NM AFOR Settlement requirement: $127,500,000 by October 31, 2008 *Spend data as of September 3,

7 AFOR Settlement Overview by Category 4a High Speed Internet More than $61M spent. 7

8 AFOR Settlement Overview by Category 4b Redundant and Diverse Routes Project More than $14M spent since 2/1/07 Farmington project completed during 1Q08 (2/18/08) Also completed diverse routes for: Angel Fire; Cimarron; Las Vegas; Los Alamos; Springer; Taos Main 4c Cable Improvement Project Almost $19M spent since 2/1/07; completed 58 characterization jobs and replaced: miles of cable, 780 terminals and upgrade 17 systems 4d Advanced Telecommunications Technologies Project More than $17M spent since 2/1/107 on Advanced Telecommunications Technology and more than $6M spent on fiber feeder jobs 4e Network Improvement and Capacity Augment Projects More than $13M spent since 2/1/107 Inter-Office Facility (IOF) Jobs across New Mexico to facilitate expansion of Qwest s high speed internet service and Qwest Metropolitan Optical Ethernet (QMOE) deployments 8

9 AFOR Settlement Overview Second half initiatives Completion of remaining High Speed Internet build by end of 3Q09. Expand Fiber to the Node (FTTN) deployments. Increase central office diversity and redundancy. Continue to replace sections of aerial and buried facilities and upgrade the associated network elements. Continue to build out fiber feeder jobs to meet the required $10M investment in category 4d. Complete the Qwest CyberCenter build at 400 Tijeras during the 3 rd quarter in

10 ENLARGED OC192 OC48 FIBER and SPEED BREAKDOWN OC12 OC3 OC3 DS3 (COPPER BREAKDOWN) ENLARGED 1 OC12 4 OC3 12 DS3 336 DS1 8,064 DS0 1 DS3 28 DS1 672 DS0 1 OC192 4 OC48 16 OC12 64 OC3 192 DS DS1 129,020 DS0 1 OC48 4 OC12 16 OC3 48 DS DS1 32,356 DS0 1 OC3 3 DS3 84 DS1 2,016 DS0 (DS1) (DS0) 1 DS1 24 DS0 1 DS0 UP TO 24 10

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