SPECIAL SESSION: Polling Results on Cuban Americans Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity

Transcription

1 SPECIAL SESSION: Polling Results on Cuban Americans Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity

2 Methodology Sample 400 Cuban American adults living in the United States Dates of Interviews March 20 25, 2015 Languages of Interviews Margin of Error English, Spanish +/- 4.9 percentage points 2

3 Change in United States - Cuba Policy 3

4 Summary of President Obama s Announcement On December 17 th, 2014 President Barack Obama announced that the United States would begin to normalize relations with Cuba for the first time since Normalizing relations with Cuba would mean: re-establishing an embassy in Havana; carrying out high-level exchanges and visits between the two governments; working with Cuba on issues like drug trafficking, environmental protection and human trafficking; easing travel restrictions; allowing greater banking ties; raising the level of remittances allowed to be sent to Cuban nationals; and allowing American travelers to import goods from Cuba. 4

5 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 9% 40% 51% Agree Disagree Don t know/no answer 5

6 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 45% 46% 8% Born in the U.S. 66% 22% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don t know/no answer 6

7 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born incuba) Before % 60% 8% After % 35% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 7

8 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 69% 20% 11% 30 to 49 60% 32% 8% 50 to 64 47% 45% 8% % 54% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 8

9 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 41% 49% 10% Living in the rest of U.S. 69% 23% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 9

10 60% 50% 40% Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 2014 vs % 20% 44% 51% 48% 40% 10% 0% 8% 9% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 10

11 Do you think President Obama s announcement is good for the people on the island of Cuba or good for the United States? 40% 29% 25% 28% 20% 7% 11% 0% Good for the people in the island of Cuba Good for the U.S. Good for both Good for neither Don't know/no answer 11

12 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 9% 35% 56% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 12

13 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 51% 39% 10% Born in the U.S. 69% 21% 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don t know/no answer 13

14 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States andcuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born incuba) Before % 49% 8% After % 32% 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 14

15 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 46% 43% 11% Living in the rest of U.S. 74% 18% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 15

16 60% 50% 40% Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 2014 vs % 20% 10% 0% 56% 47% 39% 35% 14% 9% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 16

17 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? 9% 24% 67% Yes No Don't know/no answer 17

18 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 17% 75% 8% Born in the U.S. 40% 45% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don t know/no answer 18

19 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Age 18 to 29 49% 36% 15% 30 to 49 25% 61% 14% 50 to 64 19% 72% 9% % 83% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 19

20 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 17% 36% 47% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer 20

21 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 41% 43% 16% Should continue Should not continue Don t know/no answer Born in the U.S. 23% 60% 17% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 21

22 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born incuba) Before % 35% 15% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer After % 49% 16% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 22

23 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Age 18 to 29 26% 51% 23% 30 to 49 28% 56% 15% Should continue 50 to 64 40% 48% 12% Should not continue Don't know/no answer % 36% 19% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 23

24 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 2014 vs % 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 47% 40% 44% 36% 16% 17% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 24

25 United States - Cuba Policy The Cuba Economic Opportunity 25

26 Do you think that companies owned by Cuban Americans in the United States should be able to sell their products in Cuba? 10% 32% 58% Yes No Don't know/no answer 26

27 Do you think that companies owned by Cuban Americans in the United States should be able to sell their products in Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 64% 20% 16% 30 to 49 62% 28% 10% 50 to 64 63% 34% 3% % 42% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 27

28 The U.S. government recently made regulatory changes to authorize for certain goods and services produced by independent Cuban entrepreneurs to be imported into the United States. Do you think that independent businesses opened and operated by Cubans living in Cuba should be able to sell their products in the United States? 10% 34% 56% Yes No Don't know/no answer 28

29 If it becomes legal to do so, do you plan to invest in Cuba? 12% 16% 72% Yes No Don't know/no answer 29

30 If it becomes legal to do so, do you plan to invest in Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 12% 80% 8% Born in the U.S. 27% 49% 24% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don t know/no answer 30

31 If it becomes legal to do so, do you plan to invest in Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born incuba) Before % 95% After % 68% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 31

32 If it becomes legal to do so, do you plan to invest in Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 34% 44% 21% 30 to 49 24% 55% 21% 50 to 64 9% 79% 12% 65+ 6% 93% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 32

33 What is the main reason that you do not plan to invest in Cuba? It's too risky of an investment/i don't trust the Cuban government 29% Cuba is still communist 14% I don't have money to invest 14% I'm not interested 14% I won t invest in Cuba as long as the Castro brothers are still in power 11% I'm too old 7% I would rather invest in the US 2% Other 8% Don't know/no answer 1% 33

34 What is the main reason that you plan to invest in Cuba? N=61 Cuba is a growing market I want to help/change Cuba and make it better Because I have family connections or Cuban heritage Because I would like to live in Cuba 34

35 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? 8% 26% 66% Yes No Don't know/no answer 35

36 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 61% 30% 9% Born in the U.S. 80% 14% 6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don t know/no answer 36

37 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born incuba) Before % 40% 11% After % 14% 6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 37

38 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? By Age 18 to 29 77% 13% 10% 30 to 49 79% 14% 7% 50 to 64 62% 31% 7% % 38% 9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 38

39 Do you think any individual or company in the United States should be able to provide funding to Cubans living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? 10% 35% 55% Yes No Don't know/no answer 39

40 Currently, U.S. companies like Coca-Cola, Nike and Apple sell their products in communist countries like China and Vietnam. Do you think U.S. companies should be able to sell their products in Cuba? 7% 31% 62% Yes No Don't know/no answer 40

41 Do you think passenger cruise lines like Carnival and Royal Caribbean should be allowed to take passengers between the United States and Cuba? 10% 38% 52% Yes No Don't know/no answer 41

42 Do you think passenger cruise lines like Carnival and Royal Caribbean should be allowed to take passengers between the United States and Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 64% 23% 13% 30 to 49 58% 36% 6% 50 to 64 52% 41% 7% % 43% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't know/no answer 42

43 Demographics 43

44 Age 30% 15% 28% 27% and over 44

45 Gender 54% 46% Male Female 45

46 Country of Birth 27% 73% United states Cuba 46

47 In what year did you come to the United States from Cuba? Asked only of those who were born in Cuba 40% 32% 26% 20% 12% 15% 14% 1% 0% 1960s or before 1970s 1980s 1990s After the year 2000 Don't know/no answer 47

48 State of Residence 34% 66% Living in Florida Living in the rest of U.S. 48

49 Language of Interview 39% 61% English Spanish 49

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