Nutrition As A Transformative Investment Agenda Ziauddin Hyder World Bank October 24, 2013 zhyder@worldbank.org
Country Resource Allocation Likely to be Associated With Stunting Reduction Rate of under-five stunting Poverty reduction is not automatically translated in nutrition improvement. Public financing reviews lead us to believe that inadequate stunting decline in Africa is linked to poor public resource allocation in nutrition
The Window of Opportunity for High Impact Investment is narrow pre-pregnancy until 24 months of age (1000 days) 0.50 Weight for age Z-score (NCHS) 0.25 0.00-0.25-0.50-0.75-1.00-1.25-1.50-1.75 Latin America and Caribbean Africa Asia Actions after age two Too expensive Too little Too late -2.00 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 Age (months) But, nutrition narratives are often too technical to be conceived by national politicians and top decision makers for resource allocation
We need to build on this evidence to drive investment priorities in human capital -Take advantage of malleability -Build foundations for further learning -Prevent early damage and avoid irreversible loss EARLY CHILDHOOD PROGRAMS APPEAR PROFITABLE, EVEN IF PAYOFF IS ONLY 20+ YEARS FROM TODAY 4
Why Invest in Nutrition: Getting the right start Malnutrition leads to high rates of maternal and child mortality (MDGs 4 & 5) and dramatically increases expenditure on health Malnutrition in early years is linked to 7 month delay in starting school and diminishes return on education via reducing quality Iodine deficient children lose 13 IQ points; anemic adults have lower work and earning capacity > 10% reduction in lifetime earnings for each malnourished individual Collectively, GDP losses is around 8% via poorer cognition and reduced schooling But, many arguments are based on global estimates, inadequate efforts to generate local evidence, driven by international bodies: leading to poor ownership by national policy makers
Investment opportunities increases by moving to a wider development lens Narrow nutrition lens Transportation sector Financial and credit sector Agriculture sector Health sector Education sector Private sector Trade and tax policies sector Multiple other sectors Multisectoral nutrition lens Financing envelope But, efforts are limited to involve multiple sectors to achieve nutrition outcomes 6
The cost of inaction is high, AND action at scale is achievable Costs of inaction: 3.1 million child deaths annually (45% of all child deaths) 11% annual loss in GDP (= $140 b in 2011) 10-46% loss in individual life-time incomes Increase in NCDs & higher healthcare costs Costs of action at scale is: $ About 10 billion/year globally; of which only $3-$4 billion from external partners
HD & SD working together to scaleup evidence-based interventions Evidence base Nutrition-specific Interventions Health Community based programs for behavior change for infant feeding, hygiene, sanitation Vitamin A & Zinc suppl. Micronutrient powders Deworming Iron-folic acid supplements for women Iron fortification Salt iodization Complementary foods Treatment of Severe Malnutrition Scaling these up will save 1 m lives annually, reduce stunting by 20% over existing trend Education School-based deworming, Iron suppl for girls, Nutrition/health education in schools SP SSNs to target women/children CCTs to increase demand for nutrition services Nutrition-sensitive Interventions Agriculture Technologies to reduce women s work Aflatoxin control Biofortification of crops Nutrition education via Agric. Extn. workers Technologies to reduce post-harvest losses Reducing costs of high nutrient foods Zinc fertilisers Hygiene education via WATSAN projects eat, dairy, fish. Scale-up likely to improve nutrition impacts; but documented evidence todate is limited
Actions Show Results.. Ethiopia Child Stunting Trends 60 Stunting prevalence in children 0-35 months Senegal Child Stunting Trends 60 Stunting Prevalence 55 50 45 40 35 30 2009 2010 2011 Tranche 2 DHS Expected Trend (1.4 ppts/yr) Tranche 3 DHS Expected Trend (1.4 ppts/yr) 50 40 30 20 10 Africa Senegal Asia 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 on track for achieving MDG 1c (nutrition)
Governments Adopting Nutrition As A Transformative Investment Agenda Multisectoral Benin, Malawi, Madagascar, Senegal, The Gambia, Uganda Health Angola, Burundi, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Nigeria, Togo Agriculture/SP/ Education Burundi, Cameroon, DRC, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Zambia
Enjoy Your Stay in Addis Ababa