Integrating Predictive Models and Microsoft BI

Transcription

1 Integrating Predictive Models and Microsoft BI A New Age in Analytics Presented by Curt Hertler, Partner Solutions Architect

2 Models for Safe, Reliable, & Profitable Operations E&P Well Production Forecasting Equipment/Asset/System Performance Midstream Equipment/Unit/System Performance Reliability & Integrity Hydrocarbon Processing Planning & Forecasting Equipment/Unit/System Performance

3 Continuous Improvement Process Plan Execution Operation Model Accuracy Reporting & Feedback Predictions & Goal Setting Analysis & Feedback Business Needs Profitability Production Reliability Model Operational Capabilities Current conditions Process behavior Safety & Environmental 3

4 Conceptual Data Flow Predictive Model Historical Data Set Future Data PI Asset Framework Data Abstraction Layer Real Time Data UFL or RDBS Interface(s) Interface(s) PI Data Archive 2014R2 4

5 Reporting to Scale PI AF Asset Hierarchy KPI Total Template Plant Process KPI KPI Laboratory Template 5

6 Plan Execution Reporting 6

7 Model Accuracy Analysis PI Data Archive 2014 R2 Model Improvement Opportunity

8 Leveraging Real Time Data for Prediction Improvement Actual & Predicted Prediction Error Affecting Conditions

9 PI Analytics

10 Power Query for Excel 2013 Free Add-In for Excel 2010 or 2013 Access to useful data sources OData Feeds, like the PI OData feature of the PI Web API Shape datasets for Power View analysis Remove columns and filter rows Insert calculated columns Reformat text and numeric data Append and merge 10

11 PI Web API s OData Feature CTP available on vcampus Connect to PI AF by URL Easy navigation to AF attribute data by element template Dataset types Snapshot Archive Interpolated Summaries 11

12 Analyzing Model Accuracy 12

13 PI Data Archive 2014 R2 DeLorean September 2013 Sneak peak, user validation December 2013 Programming Hackathon Demos & developer feedback 13

14 PI Data Archive 2014 R2 DeLorean 2014 Q2: vcampus CTP storage preview Q3: Beta Program storage feature complete Release 14

15 System-Wide Future Data PI Interfaces/Connectors Data In/Out PI Server AF and Analytics Programmatic Access PI AF SDK, Web API, Clients PI DataLink, PI Coresight, 15

16 Curt Hertler Partner Solutions Architect OSIsoft, LLC 16

17 Brought to you by

18 Agenda The What and Why of Future Data? What are sources and uses of Future Data? Examples in Predictive Analytics Closing Comments Q&A

19 Adding the 4 th Dimension to the Cube.. Time *-1 Time * Future Time * +1 19

20 More Examples of PvA BI 20

21 Closing Comments Future Data Enabled Predictive Analytics Xxxx Xxxx Xxxx Participation in Beta Test opportunity to help shape the Future of Future Data 21

22 FUTURE DATA As a plant operator or manager, Name: I want to Stan record Prosowski and visualize forecast data with our PI System, Role: so we can Sr. see how Plant we are Operator BETTER doing against our actual DECISIONS production numbers and anticipate both risks and opportunities. As a maintenance engineer, Name: I want to Aaron manage Tucker our equipment service schedule in our PI System, Role: so that we Maintenance operate our facility Engineer at maximum efficiency and safety, while minimizing equipment failures and downtimes. HIGHER EFFICIENCY As a process or lab engineer, Name: I want to Lalit use predictive Subramaniam analytics with all data from our PI System, Role: in order to Process generate and Engineer optimize our process models, while researching future products and production techniques. DEEPER INSIGHTS

23 Conceptual Data Flow Predictive Model Historical Data Set Future Data PI Asset Framework Data Abstraction Layer Real Time Data UFL or RDBS Interface(s) Interface(s) PI Data Archive 2014R2 23