Fordonsindustrins satsningar på kort och lång sikt Hasse Johansson Executive Vice President, Research and Development

Transcription

1 Fordonsindustrins satsningar på kort och lång sikt Hasse Johansson Executive Vice President, Research and Development

2 Haulage Construction Distribution Special purpose Scania s product ranges Network and services Intercity and coach City and intercity Engines

3 Commercial vehicle registrations and GDP growth in the EU CV registrations GDP growth % 2,900,000 2,700,000 2,500,000 2,300,000 2,100,000 1,900,000 1,700,000 CV registrations GDP Source: AAA, ACEA, DG ECFIN, IMF

4 Goods transport in EU-27 Billion tonne-km Source: EU Commission

5 European emission legislation g/kwh NOx 8 g/kwh Euro Euro Euro I Nitrogen oxides 4 Euro Euro Euro Euro / 2014 EPA ? Particulate matter PM g/kwh

6 Two technologies to reach Euro 4/5/6 EGR exhaust gas recirculation SCR selective catalytic reduction Combustion optimised for low emissions Cooled exhaust dilutes intake air Colder combustion reduces NOx Combustion optimised for fuel efficiency Exhaust aftertreatment Catalyst/silencer

7 litres/100 km Efficiency improvement European 40-tonne combination Euro level ACEA ambition 20%

8 Projected CO 2 -emissions from road transport in EU EU proposal: 10% reduction from 2005 level in non-ets sectors Data from TREMOVE

9 CO 2 -Reduction 50% 1. Logistics 2. Driver 3. Vehicle technology 4. Biofuel 5. Hybrid 50%? Fuel consumed per tonne-km (= CO 2 emissions)

10 Energy efficiency Aerodynamics Driver training Driver support Waste heat recovery Engine efficiency Auxiliary systems - Alternators - Compressors -

11 Improved Aerodynamics from increased vehicle length? Increase in cab length by 1 m ΔC D = Increase in trailer length by 1 m ΔC D = ΔC D = % Fuel Economy improvement

12 Energy efficiency Aerodynamics Driver training Driver support Waste heat recovery Rolling resistance Engine efficiency Auxiliary systems - Alternators - Compressors -

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14 Energy efficiency Aerodynamics Driver training Driver support Waste heat recovery Hybrid systems Rolling resistance Engine efficiency Auxiliary systems - Alternators - Compressors -

15 Hybrid saving potential 25% 15% 5% 3,000-5,000 litres saved per year

16 Degree of hybridisation Conventional powertrain Micro hybrid Mild hybrid Parallel hybrid Series hybrid All-electric drive

17 Roadmap biofuels and new technology Ethanol Stamp of approval Biodiesel Biogas Alcohol from cellulose Dimethyl ether Hybrids Hydrogen + fuel cell l Now Availability at a competitive price l 2020

18 50% more cargo 25% lower emissions Fewer vehicles How far should we go? Intermodal transport Space for fuel savings and safety