Integrated Railway Network. INFORMS Annual Meeting 2014, San Francisco Dr. Steven Harrod

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1 Integrated Railway Network Performance Design in Denmark in Denmark INFORMS Annual Meeting 2014, San Francisco Dr. Steven Harrod

2 Rail Transport in Denmark History National Transport Model Investment Projects Example 2 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

3 A Familiar Scenario Network Originates from Primarily to Connect Port Cities Largely Unchanged Since 1940? 3 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

4 The Real Denmark 4 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

5 Many Islands of Denmark 5 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

6 The Urban Future 6 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

7 Passenger-km Transport Demand Person- og varebil Kollektiv Cykel Gang Fly DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

8 8 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

9 Political Winds 1979 Electrification Plan North Sea Oil Boom 1980 >>>> 1981, 1994 Electrification Suspended 1997 DSB Split 1998 Gode Tog Til Alle The IC4 Debacle Togfonden DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

10 The National Transport Model Landstrafikmodellen Funded by the Danish Government at 60 million kroner ($10.5 mil.) Managed at DTU Project Life 2009 to 2020 INTEGRATED All modes Whole nation Freight and Passenger 10 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

11 The National Transport Model Strategic level Screening of large projects Road, rail, air, important bus lines 176 zones, overall road network National level Analysis of national projects + Road (driver & passenger), bike and walk 907 zones, most important road network Regional level Detailed analysis of decided projects and regional projects + more bus lines 3670 zones and most roads Cross roads, traffic lights 11 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

12 A Social Laboratory National Travel Survey Double sample mid 2009 mid 2011 Model based on interviews ( single trips) Data collections continuously since 1992 Able to identify behaviour and trends Rejsekort National Citizen Register 12 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

13 Detailed Transport Network L 166_Bus Linjevariantelementer Færge Tog, udland Fjern- og regionaltog S-tog S-tog, ringbane Metro Lokalbane Bus Stoptyper Færgehavn Helsingør st_københavn H_ØR L 169_Bus L E L B Fjern- og regionaltog S-tog Hellerup st. (S-tog, ikke Ringbanen) Metro Lokalbanetog Bus Skiftekant Bane L 196_Bus 479 Hellerup st. (bus) L C Hellerup st. (S-tog, Ringbanen) L 179_Bus L 1A_Bus Hellerup st København H_Helsingør st_ør 7681 Rymarksvej L F 7192 Estersvej L 21_Bus m 0 5 km 13 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

14 Danish Public Transit Togafgange Busafgange Aarhus km DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark 5 km Storkøbenhavn

15 15 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

16 Togfonden 28.5 Billion Kroner ($5 billion) High Speed Alignment European Signal Standard Resumption of Electrification Separately Funded Femern Bælt-forbindelsen Femern Belt Link The Bird Flight Line 41 billion kroner ($6.9 billion) 16 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

17 New Signals ERTMS Level 2 Entirely Cab Signalled No Wayside Signals 17 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

18 Electrification 25k v, 50Hz 15k v, 16.3Hz Sweden Germany 18 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

19 Femern Bælt-Forbindelsen 19 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

20 Challenges Remain 155 mph 124 mph 93 mph 20 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

21 Study at the Local Level Inner City is Only 30% of Destinations Yet Downtown Remains Transit Hub 21 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

22 Solution: Bypass Downtown 1b 22 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

23 3 1b 3 2a 23 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

24 Transport Model Analysis Robustness 24 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

25 Project Performance Scenario 1b Rail 2a Metro 3 Light Rail Million hours per year time saved Growth in million trips per year Reduction in boardings at Central Station Reduction in boardings at Nørreport Project Cost, million kroner DKK 950 DKK 10,180 DKK 15, DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

26 Summary Massive Investment in Rail Service Design Tested in National Transport Model Linking Scandinavia to Southern Europe Increasing Flow and Efficiency 26 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

27 Thank You 27 DTU Transport, Technical University of Denmark

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