Residential Programs. May 22, 2014

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1 Residential Programs May 22, 2014

2 Residential Lighting (As of ) 1,801, YTD 2014 Filed Target 431,060 Bulbs Sold 2

3 Residential Lighting (As of ) , YTD 20, Filed Target Energy Savings (MWH) Demand Savings (MW) 3

4 Residential Lighting POP and Field Activities Store Visits Walmart Sam s Club Home Depot 4

5 Residential Lighting Events Dayton Home and Garden Show March Foodbank Distribution Kickoff April 22 80,000 bulbs distributed 3 food banks 7 news stories 14 social media mentions 5

6 Residential Appliance Recycling (As of ) 4, YTD 2014 Filed Target 537 Appliances Picked Up 6

7 Residential Appliance Recycling (As of ) 4, YTD 2014 FiledTarget Energy Savings Targets (MWH) Demand Savings (MW) 7

8 Residential Appliance Recycling Promotions Activity Pick-Up Reservations Bill Inserts March, May $50 Incentive Promo July - August 8

9 Residential HVAC Rebates (As of ) 5,704 1, YTD 2014 Filed Target Rebates 9

10 Residential HVAC Rebates (As of ) 8, YTD 2, Filed Target Energy Savings (MWH) Demand Savings (MW) 10

11 Residential HVAC Rebates Summer Contractor Reward Fall Promo: 20% increase over forecast 11

12

13 YOUTH ENERGY CELEBRATION Lehman High School 2 nd Senior Division Oakwood High School 1 st Senior Division

14 DP&L / VECTREN SCHOLARSHIP Three $1000 scholarships Tommy Lane - Oakwood HS Brad Terrace - West Carrollton Morgan Nash - Carroll HS

15 WATTS IN A BARN McClain High School Greenfield

16 AEGIS ENERGY BIKE PROGRAM June 9-11, 2014 Ankeney Middle School / Beavercreek Bethel Junior High School / Bethel Edison Elementary School / Dayton Smith Middle School / Vandalia Van Cleve 6 th Grade / Troy

17 Planning Be E3 Smart 9,000 Energy Efficiency Kits Teachers Youth Energy Summit / Fair Senior Scholarships AEGIS Bike Program Energy Sources Tour/Blitz

18 Business Rebate Programs May 22, 2014

19 2014 YTD Incentive Budget Business Rebate Programs (Preliminary Results through April 30, 2014) $6,000,000 $5,676,095 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $- $722,177 $1,998,095 $924,999 $566,648 $13,635 Rapid Rebates Custom Rebates Mercantile Rebates Filed Incentive Budget Paid 2

20 2014 YTD Energy (MWh) Savings Business Rebate Programs (Preliminary Results through April 30, 2014) 60,000 56,634 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000-25,470 12,580 7,679 7, Rapid Rebates Custom Rebates Mercantile Rebates Filed Energy Target Paid 3

21 2014 YTD Demand (MW) Savings Business Rebate Programs (Preliminary Results through April 30, 2014) Rapid Rebates Custom Rebates Mercantile Rebates Filed Demand Target Paid 4

22 Slow Start... Actions Taken Bonus Rebate Promotions Direct outreach to Major and Mid-Major Customers Mass media campaign Targeted marketing 9,000,000 Prescriptive Lighting kwh 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 - (updated ) 5

23 Expanded Lighting Options APT implementing 2 midstream lighting opportunities Retail Launch: June 2 7 Home Depot Retail Outlets Pro Desk purchases only Standard and specialty CFLs Standard and specialty LEDs LED downlight retrofit kits Savings ~30,000 MWh $502,000 Distributor Launch: Now 9 distributors at 15 locations (7 of 9 are Channel Partners) Standard and specialty CFLs Standard and specialty LEDs LED downlight retrofit kits T8 reduced wattage lamps LED exit signs Savings ~55,000 MWh $1.6 million 6

24 2014 C&I Stakeholder Initiatives May 21 Webinar Notched V-belt Pilot Argonne NL, AEP, DP&L and Duke Energy 7

25 Program Marketing May 22, 2014

26 2

27 Television Residential Business 3

28 Print Radio 4

29 Web Local media Pandora Facebook 5

30 Social Media 6

31 Website 7

32 Support Materials 8

33 DP&L 2013 Program Year Evaluation Overview May 22, 2014

34 Overview of 2013 Portfolio Performance Impact evaluation Assess the appropriateness of gross claimed ex ante savings Calculate gross achieved ex post savings Determine program- and portfolio-level cost-effectiveness Process evaluation Assess overall satisfaction Identify any design and delivery changes to improve performance Assess effectiveness of marketing and outreach Identify barriers and how effectively to overcome them 2

35 Quick Recap: How We Determine Energy Savings Step 2: Verify Installation Reported Ex Ante Savings Audited Savings Verified Savings Adjusted Savings (Evaluated) Step 1: Review Program Databases Step 3: Perform Measurement & Evaluation Key Outcome Action

36 2013 Evaluation Activity Overview Telephone Surveys 6 Lighting retail manufacturers / Retailer inventory 88 Low-Income participants 129 HVAC customers and 35 HVAC partners 70 Be E3 Smart participants 39 Channel Partners Site Visits Utilized Meter Data/ Statistical Analysis Engineering Analysis 77 Residential lighting inventory 57 C&I Prescriptive projects 28 C&I Custom projects Appliance Recycling meter data HVAC Rebate customer billing data HVAC Tune-Up customer billing data HOU metering nonresidential All programs

37 2013 Ex Ante to Adjusted Gross Ex Ante Claimed Savings 160,370 MWh 25.6 MW Verified Gross Savings 160,523 MWh (100% RR) -No major differences 25.3 MW (99% RR) -No major differences Adjusted Gross Savings 166,331 MWh (104% RR) -Higher nonres lighting -Metered HOU 23.8 MW (93% RR) - New construction projects - Low income ex ante - Calculations and assumptions 5

38 Overview of 2013 Portfolio Performance Program 2013 Program Goals Ex Ante Claimed Savings Verified Gross Savings Adjusted Gross Savings kwh kw kwh kw kwh kw kwh kw Residential Lighting 58,317,636 5,075 69,388,980 8,299 69,388,980 8,299 70,936,412 7,503 Appliance Recycling 3,072, ,094, ,094, ,556, Low-Income 1,118, ,249, ,308, ,286, HVAC Rebates 8,883,567 2,699 6,937,760 1,962 6,937,760 1,962 6,893,788 1,374 Be E3 Smart 2,476, ,646, ,030, ,983, Commercial and Industrial Prescriptive 47,180,000 8,293 59,237,677 11,009 60,245,855 11,109 65,208,283 11,771 Custom 21,147,367 3,880 16,815,917 3,432 16,518,498 3,126 16,466,532 2,416 Total 142,195,390 20, ,370,480 25, ,523,796 25, ,331,379 23,845 One significant difference between ex ante & adjusted gross Exceeded 2013 kwh and kw portfolio goals 6

39 Overview of Portfolio Performance Adjusted gross compared to ex ante savings - realization rates are high and consistent with past evaluation 7

40 Overview of 2013 Portfolio Performance Ex ante savings - TRC of 2.0 Adjusted gross savings - TRC of 2.02 Individual programs below 1.0 TRC B/C ratio - Both HVAC programs (HVAC rebate passing UCT) - Low Income - Mercantile (but passing UCT) 8

41 A FEW HIGHLIGHTS OF THE 2013 EVALUATION 9

42 Upstream Lighting Inventory Study 2013 Saturation: Higher CFL saturation Saturation Growth: Significant growth Remaining Opportunity: Low-hanging fruit remains 10

43 Appliance Recycling Program Evaluation Findings Appliance Ex Ante Annual UEC (kwh/year) Ex Post Annual UEC (kwh/year) Precision at 90% Confidence Interval Refrigerators 1,242 1,085 6% Freezers 1, % Unit age declining Common as programs mature Savings also declining Larger share of recycled units manufactured after the 1990 NAECA standard 11

44 Channel Partners are Satisfied Overall program 82% 15% n = 39 Communications from DP&L 85% 15% n = 39 Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Program Website 68% 27% n = 37 Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied Online application process 68% 22% n = 37 Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Program materials provided 68% 19% n = 37 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 12

45 Improvement Areas Improvement areas, all being discussed or modified Significant advances in program data tracking, and identified a few areas for improvement The Channel Partner survey indicated a need for some slight tweaks regarding bonus incentives Marketing research indicated lower customer awareness HVAC and customer education regarding residential lighting 13

46 Future Evaluation Considerations - Integrate more metering for nonresidential - Fine-tune some important assumptions (Res bulbs to C&I and T12 Lighting) - Whole house billing analysis for LI - More of the same 14

47 Program Cost Update May 22, 2014

48 Program Overview 2

49 Program Overview (continued) 3

50 Residential Lighting (CFLs) Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

51 Residential HVAC Rebates Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

52 Residential Appliance Recycling Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

53 Residential Low Income Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

54 Residential School Program Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

55 Non-Residential Prescriptive Rebates Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

56 Non-Residential Custom Rebates Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

57 Non-Residential Mercantile Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

58 Customer Education Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

59 Evaluation, Measurement and Verification Program costs are preliminary. Final costs to be filed May 15,

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